Risk management, - ing.be · Risk management, hedging imports ... can be damaged by sudden change...
Transcript of Risk management, - ing.be · Risk management, hedging imports ... can be damaged by sudden change...
Payments and Cash Management
Risk management, hedging imports and exports
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The business of many companies confronts them with transactions in foreign currencies or
outstanding loans. Such activities entail real risks, such as interest rate or exchange rate risks,
derivatives can be used to hedge against such risks. Derivatives can relate to different products
(the underlying assets), for instance an interest rate or a currency couple, a share, etc. The premium
for such products is calculated according to the value of the underlying assets, the duration, the
volatility (fluctuations of the underlying assets) etc.
Do such derivatives offer reliable and appropriate cover? Yes, undoubtedly. All derivatives are
especially designed to hedge against risks.
In that way an exporter incorporates the ex-
change rate in its commercial margin. In fact,
an invoice paid with a three-month deadline
can be settled at an exchange rate which is far
less attractive than at the time the contract was
concluded. A substantial drop in the foreign
currency is likely to shrivel the expected com-
mercial margin, or in a worst case scenario
reduce it to a loss. Logically the risk of unlim-
ited loss is matched by the just as unlimited
possibility of benefi ting from a positive trend in
exchange rates.
Reckless exchange risk management is certain
to be penalised. The cost of funding is already
diffi cult to estimate, and therefore to budget,
forecasting possible interest rate trends and
taking them into account is a practically impos-
sible mission. In this regard, hedging can again
prove useful. Your hedging will guarantee
a given interest rate meaning that you can
budget very tightly without needing to worry
about unfavourable interest rate trends and
possibly benefi t from a favourable develop-
ment.
The trend in the exchange rate is of the utmost importance.
It can have both positive and negative consequences on your
total cost price. All companies hope for a favourable trend and
therefore have a certain development in mind, however reality
teaches us that fi nancial markets are unpredictable. The chal-
lenge consists in hedging now against an unfavourable trend
and nonetheless making the most of a possible favourable
trend.
Hedging against interest ratesDerivatives can also hedge against changes in interest rates.
Have you borrowed at a fl oating rate? The risk is that interest
rates might rise. You can protect yourself with an IRS, buy a
cap or a collar, etc. Are you a depositor? A possible fall in inter-
est rates could be to your disadvantage. Derivatives can also
provide effi cient cover through the purchase of a fl oor, an IRS,
etc. Whether you are a depositor or a borrower, there are many
opportunities thanks to the fl exibility of derivatives. You can
choose solutions according to your needs and objectives.
As is the case with the exchange rate risk, it is diffi cult to fore-
see the trend in interest rates, consequently you are subject to
the interest rate risk. Whether or not it is linked to a derivative,
the interest rate is a risk factor you need to include in your
calculations from the outset. Therefore you must select the
cover which suits your company’s needs, objectives and culture
best. Important elements to be taken into consideration when
making your choice include the trend in the budget, the level
of protection, the premiums, etc.
Managing the credit risk, a complex decisionUnfortunately the road towards international business is not
always paved with good intentions. A customer’s good faith
can be damaged by sudden change to its situation. Market
conditions are themselves subject to fl uctuations which are
not always foreseeable. The credit risk relates not only to the
value of goods, currency fl uctuations, interest charges but also
a customer’s solvency. Again appropriate solutions exist.
Risk management and its pitfallsExchange rates can vary at the pace of a rollercoaster. If you are
not, or insuffi ciently covered, severe losses can ensue meaning
that the expected profi t could turn into a heavy loss.
deadlines, resulting in a loss of value of the
currency you must sell and a possibly negative
impact on your margin and profi t. Thanks to
their remarkable fl exibility and many possibili-
ties, derivatives offer an excellent solution to
protect your profi t against a negative trend in
exchange rates.
Hedging against exchange rate risksYou have obtained substantial payment deadlines from your
suppliers? Well done! Yet the currency you must buy to settle
your payments can rise sharply in value. As a result your invoice
can turn out to be a lot more expansive than initially planned.
Conversely, you can be exposed to a drop in the value of the
currency you need to buy if you grant your customers payment
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ing rate to a fi xed rate or the opposite. It is possible by means
of an Interest Rate Swap. For that purpose your vision and
requirements are important to determine the IRS. With this
formula you can hedge against the risk of interest rates fl uc-
tuating without exchanging any capital. ING offers functional
fl exibility: starting date in the future, amortisation and con-
tract amendments can be considered. The rate is fi xed for the
whole of the term chosen. Just like with the other derivatives,
ING guarantees that the transaction can be settled at market
conditions at any time during its lifetime.
Purchase of a cap. You buy an option on an interest rate which
implies the payment of a premium. Consequently, you are en-
titled to take out a loan at a predetermined rate for a chosen
period. You only exercise your right if the short-term rate is
higher than that fi xed by the cap.
An example: you borrow in the form of three-month advances
at the 3M Euribor + the credit margin. To hedge against a pos-
sible rise in the 3M Euribor you bought a cap. The cap guaran-
tees a maximum interest rate for the 3-M Euribor at which you
can borrow in the event of an unfavourable trend in interest
rates.
Purchase of a fl oor. A fl oor is for depositors who want to
hedge against a possible drop in interest rates. Imagine that
you invest capital for 3 months at the Euribor rate minus the
commercial margin but your intuition is that interest rates will
drop over the long term. By buying a fl oor, you are certain of a
guaranteed minimum rate for the agreed period.
Purchase of a collar. A company which wants to use advances
and to hedge against a rise in interest rates, but does not want
to pay a premium, can buy a collar. The structure of a collar is
based on the purchase of a cap (protection) which is funded
you will have to relinquish part of your gain.
The structure set up (purchase of a call option
funded through the sale of a put option)
provides protection against an unfavourable
trend, nonetheless you can still benefi t from a
favourable trend.
Ratio 1/2 contracts. You buy (sell) a foreign
currency forward and want to protect your-
self against an unfavourable trend in the
exchange rate. Moreover you do not want to
pay a premium. Therefore you will have to
relinquish part of your gain yet as a result of
the supplementary risk (double amount) you
can benefi t longer from a favourable trend.
The structure set up (purchase of a call option
funded through the sale of two put options)
offers protection against an unfavourable
trend, but on the other hand you can still
benefi t a little from a favourable trend. The
strike prices of the options are more attractive
than for tunnel structures, but you must pay
twice the amount if ING actually exercises the
options sold. A ratio 1/2 contract is particularly
suitable for companies with a constant fl ow in
foreign currencies.
Tunnels with reverse knock-in. RKI Tunnels
in short. As is the case with a tunnel, you can
hedge your exchange risk and benefi t partly
from a favourable trend. The difference lies
in the level of protection or the level up to
which it is possible to improve the profi t by
implementing the RKI. Yet if the trigger of the
RKI (level up to which it is possible to benefi t)
is reached during the lifetime of the option,
you will be obliged to buy or sell your foreign
currencies at a less favourable rate than market
conditions.
ING’s proposals to hedge interest risksIRSs (Interest Rate Swaps). You are a borrower
or a depositor and you want to change your
interest rate structure, switching from a fl oat-
ING’s global Payments & Cash Management approach
focuses on the individual needs of each company. Derivatives
are decision and implementation instruments which can be
negotiated on the over-the-counter market. ING guarantees
the essential liquidity to enable you to exit at your discretion
from a product during its lifetime and at market conditions.
Your adviser can examine your requirements with a view to
making a precise and detailed analysis.▶ Do you want to pay a premium or not for the hedging
planned? ▶ How do you expect interest rates or exchange rates to
evolve?▶ Do you want to take out a credit line to implement the
strategy?
The purchase of a derivative requires a minimum amount:
250,000 euros to hedge interest rates, 10,000 euros to hedge
the exchange risk.
ING’s proposals to hedge exchange risksForward exchange contracts. You buy (sell) a currency forward
and fi x the purchase (selling) rate now, as protection against
a rise (drop) in the value of the currency. The forward rate is
determined on the basis of the spot rate and the difference in
the exchange rate of the currencies exchanged.
Buying a call option. You need to buy forward a foreign
currency you expect to fall. To hedge against an unexpected
rise, you pay a premium when you buy the option. The option
contract maximises your fl exibility: you are covered against a
drop in the currency – through the maximum purchase rate
– yet at the same time you will still benefi t without any restric-
tions from a possible drop.
Buying a put option. You need to sell forward a foreign
currency and you foresee a rise. To hedge against a drop, you
pay a premium when you buy the option. The option contract
maximises your fl exibility: you are covered against a drop in
the currency – through the minimum selling rate – yet at
the same time you can benefi t without any restrictions from a
possible rise.
Tunnels. You buy (sell) a foreign currency forward and want to
protect yourself against an unfavourable trend in the exchange
rate. Moreover you do not want to pay a premium, therefore
Risk management. ING’s practical and tailor-made solutions
through the sale of a fl oor (restriction on fa-
vourable trends).
Purchase of a swaption. You are planning to
take out a loan within a certain deadline and
you want to hedge your interest rate risk now
over that future period. You buy a swaption
- an option on an IRS – with the payment of a
premium. When the swaption matures, you
have the right to conclude this IRS. The rate is
set for the future loan whereas you can ben-
efi t from a positive trend on the market (lower
long-term rate) when the swaption matures.
Hedging the credit risk
Documentary credit. It is in the interest of
businesses which import and export a lot to
implement payment procedures which protect
it against the risks inherent in international
trade. In that regard we refer in particular
to the credit risk, political risks, country and
transfer risks. Given its variability and its high
level of security, for both sellers and buyers, a
document credit is an extremely recommend-
able payment instrument. To optimise its use,
it is important to know about the form and
contents as well as the terms and conditions.
A documentary credit is an undertaking to
make a payment upon presentation of certain
documents within a set deadline and for a set
amount. The issuing bank opens the credit at
the request of the purchaser (the applicant) in
favour of the seller or provider of services (the
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benefi ciary). These documents can take the shape of invoices,
transport documents, insurance contracts, or certifi cates or
statements substantiating that the benefi ciary has fulfi lled
its undertakings. In addition to the ordinary processing of
transactions, ING also offers a range of electronic applications
which simplify communication between companies and ING.
ING Inside Business Documentary Payments (IIBDP) is a new
on-line module. All the user needs is a contract, user name
and password, and a browser. A business can thus submit its
application to open – or to amend – a docu-
mentary credit. Exporters can also receive their
incoming documentary credits electronically.
Furthermore the system also provides informa-
tion about payments, reporting, etc.
This system can also process incoming and
outgoing documentary credit collections in the
same way.
Company profi leToledo International specialises in the development and
production of ingredients for top quality prepared deep-
frozen products. The processing of beef and chicken is organ-
ised with selected south-American producers. The level of
quality attained does not prevent Toledo International from
offering competitive prices, highly appreciated by the leading
European food brands.
The problem encounteredMr Stevens, managing director: “In our line of business we
work with different currencies. Our south-American suppliers
are paid in US dollars and our European customers pay us in
euros. Therefore the exchange risks between the two curren-
cies are strong and opposing.”
“For several years, we have hedged this risk by means of
forward exchange contracts. With this type of contract, we
buy US dollars at a predefi ned rate but with deferred delivery
and payment, on a later date also set in the contract. There-
fore we know beforehand the purchase price of the dollars we
need. The forward rate is calculated on the basis of the spot
rate and the interest rate spread between the two currencies.
The contracts are concluded for a period of 1 to 12 months.
This method offers us security on the one hand – the rate
of the dollar is known in advance – and covers us against a
possible rise in the dollar. If, at maturity, the American currency
has risen, it will not have a negative impact on the payments
we will have to make on that date.”
One thing bothers Mr Stevens, if the dollar has dropped at
maturity and therefore is cheaper than the contractu-
ally agreed rate, Toledo International cannot benefi t from the
favourable development.
Case historiesWhen the euro and the dollar see-saw
The solution arranged by INGING’s Financial Market specialists examined
the problem and recommended an extremely
effi cient solution to protect us in another way
against the exchange risks and at the same
time to benefi t from a drop in the dollar. Via a
tunnel and a ratio contract, we have two-way
hedging: we know the maximum rate for the
US dollars we must buy and at the same time
allows us to benefi t from the gain resulting
from a possible drop in the American currency.
At no cost to us!”
For more details, please consult the “Documentary credits” brochure available from your ING branch or
contact your Cash Management Adviser. They will be happy to discuss documentary credits with you.
By defi nition, a documentary credit strengthens trust
between two distant partners, operating in different
countries and who do not know each other well.