Risk & Capital Management at UBS€¦ · Investment risk Funding risk Operational risk Note: Risk...
Transcript of Risk & Capital Management at UBS€¦ · Investment risk Funding risk Operational risk Note: Risk...
![Page 1: Risk & Capital Management at UBS€¦ · Investment risk Funding risk Operational risk Note: Risk Exposure and utilization numbers include changes in methodology 1 Year end figures.](https://reader034.fdocuments.in/reader034/viewer/2022042812/5fb176aa7ed1cd138e494adb/html5/thumbnails/1.jpg)
Risk & Capital Management at UBS
June 4, 2007
Walter Stuerzinger,Group Chief Risk Officer
![Page 2: Risk & Capital Management at UBS€¦ · Investment risk Funding risk Operational risk Note: Risk Exposure and utilization numbers include changes in methodology 1 Year end figures.](https://reader034.fdocuments.in/reader034/viewer/2022042812/5fb176aa7ed1cd138e494adb/html5/thumbnails/2.jpg)
1
Outline
♦ UBS is a growth company
♦ Strong risk management and risk control culture
♦ Risk appetite changes over time, within our constant risk culture
♦ Highly integrated risk management and control process
♦ Focus on managing and controlling concentration and liquidity risk
♦ Well capitalized with a comprehensive capital planning process
Risk and capital management – key themes
![Page 3: Risk & Capital Management at UBS€¦ · Investment risk Funding risk Operational risk Note: Risk Exposure and utilization numbers include changes in methodology 1 Year end figures.](https://reader034.fdocuments.in/reader034/viewer/2022042812/5fb176aa7ed1cd138e494adb/html5/thumbnails/3.jpg)
SECTION 1
UBS - A Growth Company
![Page 4: Risk & Capital Management at UBS€¦ · Investment risk Funding risk Operational risk Note: Risk Exposure and utilization numbers include changes in methodology 1 Year end figures.](https://reader034.fdocuments.in/reader034/viewer/2022042812/5fb176aa7ed1cd138e494adb/html5/thumbnails/4.jpg)
3
UBS is a growth company: Strategy
Executing on our growth agenda, without jeopardizing our risk principles
Enhancing WM's global leadership position
Maintaining our focus on cost / income ratio
Delivering to shareholders
![Page 5: Risk & Capital Management at UBS€¦ · Investment risk Funding risk Operational risk Note: Risk Exposure and utilization numbers include changes in methodology 1 Year end figures.](https://reader034.fdocuments.in/reader034/viewer/2022042812/5fb176aa7ed1cd138e494adb/html5/thumbnails/5.jpg)
4
UBS is a growth company: Financial highlights
1Q07
Net profit attributable to UBS shareholders1,2 CHF 3.18 bn
Diluted EPS3,
Diluted EPS3 growth (year-on-year)CHF 1.62
+9%
Cost / income ratio1 68.1%
Net new money1 CHF 52.8 bn
RoE3 28.7%
Invested assets growth1 (year-on-year) +13%
1 Based on Financial Businesses, from continuing operations2 UBS Group reported CHF 3,275m net profit attributable to UBS shareholders3 Based on UBS Group, from continuing operations
![Page 6: Risk & Capital Management at UBS€¦ · Investment risk Funding risk Operational risk Note: Risk Exposure and utilization numbers include changes in methodology 1 Year end figures.](https://reader034.fdocuments.in/reader034/viewer/2022042812/5fb176aa7ed1cd138e494adb/html5/thumbnails/6.jpg)
5
Balanced business mix1
1 Q1 2007 LTM Financial Businesses only, from continuing operations2 "Other" = Corporate Center
% of last 12 months financial businesses revenues
43% Wealth and Asset Management
46% Investment Bank
% of last 12 months financial businesses profit before tax
37% 4% 16%
WM Int & CH WM US BB CH
Global WM & BB
10%
Global Asset Management
41%
InvestmentBank
-8%
Corporate Center
Investment Banking; 7%
Equities; 20%
Fixed Income, Rates and Currencies; 18%
Business Banking CH;
11%
Global Asset
Management; 7%
Other2; 1%
Wealth Management US;
13%
Wealth Management Int
& CH; 23%
![Page 7: Risk & Capital Management at UBS€¦ · Investment risk Funding risk Operational risk Note: Risk Exposure and utilization numbers include changes in methodology 1 Year end figures.](https://reader034.fdocuments.in/reader034/viewer/2022042812/5fb176aa7ed1cd138e494adb/html5/thumbnails/7.jpg)
SECTION 2
Our Risk Management and Control Culture
![Page 8: Risk & Capital Management at UBS€¦ · Investment risk Funding risk Operational risk Note: Risk Exposure and utilization numbers include changes in methodology 1 Year end figures.](https://reader034.fdocuments.in/reader034/viewer/2022042812/5fb176aa7ed1cd138e494adb/html5/thumbnails/8.jpg)
7
UBS Risk Management and Risk Control principles
Business management accountability
Independent Risk Control
Earnings protection
Risk disclosure Reputation protection
![Page 9: Risk & Capital Management at UBS€¦ · Investment risk Funding risk Operational risk Note: Risk Exposure and utilization numbers include changes in methodology 1 Year end figures.](https://reader034.fdocuments.in/reader034/viewer/2022042812/5fb176aa7ed1cd138e494adb/html5/thumbnails/9.jpg)
8
Partnership - Business management and Risk Control Business owns and manages the risk; Risk Control oversees it
Early involvement of Risk Control
Thorough analysis of risks
Partnership in risk decision making
Controllers as trusted advisors
Analysis of exposures; recommendation of new limits and control structures
Example:
Partnership between business and Risk Control
in thestrategic planning process
![Page 10: Risk & Capital Management at UBS€¦ · Investment risk Funding risk Operational risk Note: Risk Exposure and utilization numbers include changes in methodology 1 Year end figures.](https://reader034.fdocuments.in/reader034/viewer/2022042812/5fb176aa7ed1cd138e494adb/html5/thumbnails/10.jpg)
SECTION 3
Risk Appetite
![Page 11: Risk & Capital Management at UBS€¦ · Investment risk Funding risk Operational risk Note: Risk Exposure and utilization numbers include changes in methodology 1 Year end figures.](https://reader034.fdocuments.in/reader034/viewer/2022042812/5fb176aa7ed1cd138e494adb/html5/thumbnails/11.jpg)
10
Varying risk appetite within a consistent risk culture
Risk culture and risk principles
Risk capacity Risk exposure ceiling
Risk exposure
Earnings1
Performance-related
compensation
Dividend2
Risk capacity
Aggregation
1 From forecast and historical revenues and costs before tax and performance-related compensation2 Including tax on earnings necessary for payment of dividend
Our risk culture has not changed...
Risk types
Bonus cushion
…but our risk capacity and risk exposure do change
![Page 12: Risk & Capital Management at UBS€¦ · Investment risk Funding risk Operational risk Note: Risk Exposure and utilization numbers include changes in methodology 1 Year end figures.](https://reader034.fdocuments.in/reader034/viewer/2022042812/5fb176aa7ed1cd138e494adb/html5/thumbnails/12.jpg)
11
Risk capacity – Earnings@RiskBoard of Directors sets risk exposure ceiling…
Risk capacity
Earnings
Performance-related
compensation
Dividend
Risk capacity
Risk exposure ceiling
Bonus cushion
![Page 13: Risk & Capital Management at UBS€¦ · Investment risk Funding risk Operational risk Note: Risk Exposure and utilization numbers include changes in methodology 1 Year end figures.](https://reader034.fdocuments.in/reader034/viewer/2022042812/5fb176aa7ed1cd138e494adb/html5/thumbnails/13.jpg)
12
Risk exposure – Earnings@Risk…a maximum for the aggregate of risk across all categories
Risk exposure
Aggregation
Risk exposure ceiling
Risk category
Credit
Market & Issuer
Investment
Business
Operational
Funding
![Page 14: Risk & Capital Management at UBS€¦ · Investment risk Funding risk Operational risk Note: Risk Exposure and utilization numbers include changes in methodology 1 Year end figures.](https://reader034.fdocuments.in/reader034/viewer/2022042812/5fb176aa7ed1cd138e494adb/html5/thumbnails/14.jpg)
13
Risk exposure evolution - Increase well within capacity
Group risk in % of Group risk capacity
Risk exposure1 Risk utilization2
Business risk Market & Issuer risk Credit risk
Investment risk Funding risk Operational risk
Note: Risk Exposure and utilization numbers include changes in methodology1 Year end figures. The size of the individual slices does not reflect the diversification across risk categories2 Source: UBS internal estimates. Figures for end of quarter3 Indexed to 100
2003 2006
10031123
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
4Q03 4Q04 4Q05 4Q06
![Page 15: Risk & Capital Management at UBS€¦ · Investment risk Funding risk Operational risk Note: Risk Exposure and utilization numbers include changes in methodology 1 Year end figures.](https://reader034.fdocuments.in/reader034/viewer/2022042812/5fb176aa7ed1cd138e494adb/html5/thumbnails/15.jpg)
SECTION 4
Risk Management & Control Processes
![Page 16: Risk & Capital Management at UBS€¦ · Investment risk Funding risk Operational risk Note: Risk Exposure and utilization numbers include changes in methodology 1 Year end figures.](https://reader034.fdocuments.in/reader034/viewer/2022042812/5fb176aa7ed1cd138e494adb/html5/thumbnails/16.jpg)
15
Market Risk
Risk factor
Issuer risk
Operational limits
Concentration measuresPortfolio measures
VaR
Stress
Risk measures
VaR and backtesting, 2002-2007
(CH
F m
)
![Page 17: Risk & Capital Management at UBS€¦ · Investment risk Funding risk Operational risk Note: Risk Exposure and utilization numbers include changes in methodology 1 Year end figures.](https://reader034.fdocuments.in/reader034/viewer/2022042812/5fb176aa7ed1cd138e494adb/html5/thumbnails/17.jpg)
16
Credit RiskRisk measures
0
5
10
15
20
25
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
(CH
F bn
)
Investment Bank Global WM&BB LLP
Impaired loans and loan loss provisions
Operational limits
Counterparty exposure
Concentration measuresPortfolio measures
Statistical losse.g. Credit VaR
(Sub-) portfoliosIndustry Sector
Country riskStress loss
![Page 18: Risk & Capital Management at UBS€¦ · Investment risk Funding risk Operational risk Note: Risk Exposure and utilization numbers include changes in methodology 1 Year end figures.](https://reader034.fdocuments.in/reader034/viewer/2022042812/5fb176aa7ed1cd138e494adb/html5/thumbnails/18.jpg)
17
Operational Risk
Risk identifiers
Self-certification(twice yearly)
Financial events(monthly from
G/L)
Metrics(regular)
Audit points(as issued)
Top-downassessment(quarterly)
Non-financial/ Ext. events
(ad hoc)
Risk inventory
♦ SOX specific information
♦ Assessment by Group SOX office
SOX relevant issues
♦ Capital calculation for Operational Risk (AMA)
Basel II
♦ Business management equipped to make informed decisions on Operational Risk
Risk – Reward decisions
♦ Business continuity management
♦ Legal and Compliance♦ HR
Other specialist riskassessments
![Page 19: Risk & Capital Management at UBS€¦ · Investment risk Funding risk Operational risk Note: Risk Exposure and utilization numbers include changes in methodology 1 Year end figures.](https://reader034.fdocuments.in/reader034/viewer/2022042812/5fb176aa7ed1cd138e494adb/html5/thumbnails/19.jpg)
18
Integrated Risk Management and Control model
Stra
tegi
c co
ntro
lling
Risk controlling
Financial controlling
![Page 20: Risk & Capital Management at UBS€¦ · Investment risk Funding risk Operational risk Note: Risk Exposure and utilization numbers include changes in methodology 1 Year end figures.](https://reader034.fdocuments.in/reader034/viewer/2022042812/5fb176aa7ed1cd138e494adb/html5/thumbnails/20.jpg)
SECTION 5
Capital Management and Planning
![Page 21: Risk & Capital Management at UBS€¦ · Investment risk Funding risk Operational risk Note: Risk Exposure and utilization numbers include changes in methodology 1 Year end figures.](https://reader034.fdocuments.in/reader034/viewer/2022042812/5fb176aa7ed1cd138e494adb/html5/thumbnails/21.jpg)
20
Disciplined divestment of non-core activities
Overall capital re-deployment
CHF 20bn since 1998
CHF 120bn non-core loan reduction
25% Swiss Life stake
CHF 2.3bn real estate divestment
Private equity repositioning
56% Motor Columbus stake divestment
Sale of Hirslanden Group
Divestment of Correspondent Services Corporation
Sale of 3 private banks and GAM (CHF 5.6bn)
![Page 22: Risk & Capital Management at UBS€¦ · Investment risk Funding risk Operational risk Note: Risk Exposure and utilization numbers include changes in methodology 1 Year end figures.](https://reader034.fdocuments.in/reader034/viewer/2022042812/5fb176aa7ed1cd138e494adb/html5/thumbnails/22.jpg)
21
♦ Other treasury shares decreased by 16.3 m reflecting 37.6 m share deliveries to employees partly offset by 21.3 m shares purchased
Capital management update – Q1 2007
Tier 1
♦ 11.7%, down 20bps from 4Q06
♦ Risk weighted assets CHF 354.6 bn, +CHF 12.7 bn from 4Q06
♦ Tier 1 Capital CHF 41.5 bn, +2.5%
♦ 10,420,000 shares or CHF 800 m bought back under 2006/2007
♦ 7,210,000 shares or CHF 500 m bought back under 2007/2010 buyback program which started March 8, 2007
Buyback -
2nd line
Buyback -
1st line
![Page 23: Risk & Capital Management at UBS€¦ · Investment risk Funding risk Operational risk Note: Risk Exposure and utilization numbers include changes in methodology 1 Year end figures.](https://reader034.fdocuments.in/reader034/viewer/2022042812/5fb176aa7ed1cd138e494adb/html5/thumbnails/23.jpg)
22
Evolution of our Earnings@Risk methodology
♦ Risk capacity vs. risk exposure paradigm♦ Annual dividend-paying criterion: earnings capacity
♦ Annual solvency criterion: earnings + total capital capacity ♦ Risk exposure measured as extreme earnings deviation (including business risk) that
erodes capital
Capital@Risk – Buffer
Risk adjusted performance
Earnings@Risk
Capital@Risk – Solvency
♦ Quarterly & annual business continuity criteria: capacity defined by capital buffer above minimum regulatory level
♦ Risk exposure assumed to flow directly to capital – no earnings / no business risk
♦ Risk-adjusted performance measure♦ Capital optimisation
![Page 24: Risk & Capital Management at UBS€¦ · Investment risk Funding risk Operational risk Note: Risk Exposure and utilization numbers include changes in methodology 1 Year end figures.](https://reader034.fdocuments.in/reader034/viewer/2022042812/5fb176aa7ed1cd138e494adb/html5/thumbnails/24.jpg)
Challenges
SECTION 6
![Page 25: Risk & Capital Management at UBS€¦ · Investment risk Funding risk Operational risk Note: Risk Exposure and utilization numbers include changes in methodology 1 Year end figures.](https://reader034.fdocuments.in/reader034/viewer/2022042812/5fb176aa7ed1cd138e494adb/html5/thumbnails/25.jpg)
24
Challenges
Avoid risk concentrations in consolidating markets
Align our growth ambitions with our tolerance for risk
![Page 26: Risk & Capital Management at UBS€¦ · Investment risk Funding risk Operational risk Note: Risk Exposure and utilization numbers include changes in methodology 1 Year end figures.](https://reader034.fdocuments.in/reader034/viewer/2022042812/5fb176aa7ed1cd138e494adb/html5/thumbnails/26.jpg)
Summary
![Page 27: Risk & Capital Management at UBS€¦ · Investment risk Funding risk Operational risk Note: Risk Exposure and utilization numbers include changes in methodology 1 Year end figures.](https://reader034.fdocuments.in/reader034/viewer/2022042812/5fb176aa7ed1cd138e494adb/html5/thumbnails/27.jpg)
26
Summary
♦ UBS is a growth company
♦ Strong risk management and risk control culture
♦ Risk appetite changes over time, within our constant risk culture
♦ Highly integrated risk management and control process
♦ Focus on managing and controlling concentration and liquidity risk
♦ Well capitalized with a comprehensive capital planning process
Risk and capital management – key themes