RICHARD WERNSING - Microsoft · A proactive risk based asset management strategy results in overall...
Transcript of RICHARD WERNSING - Microsoft · A proactive risk based asset management strategy results in overall...
RICHARDWERNSING
PSE&G
POR QUE GESTÃO
DE ATIVOS
É IMPORTANTE?
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• Utility Overview
– New Jersey Based
– Total Assets ~ $17 Billion
– Total Revenue ~ $8
Billion
• Service Territory
– 323 Municipalities
– 70% of New Jersey’s
population
– 2.2 million Electric
customers
– 1.7 million Gas
customers
– 2,600 Square Miles
New York City
Philadelphia
DATA
DATA
DATA
DATA
$ (
$ M
illio
n)
Years
Substation O&M Savings
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Maintenance Efficencies Failure Avoidance Short term Opportunites
Short Term Opportunities
Maintenance Efficiencies
Failure Avoidance
• Diagnostic/InspectionCollect and
Centralize Data
• InformationTransform data into Actionable
Condition Based Maintenance
SAIFI Optimization
Criticality
Drive Results
Data Collection
Analysis & Reporting
Drive Results
Raw data
Measurement
points
Notifications
Work Orders
Feedback
People
CGI CAD System
Shared ServerScheduling
Dispatching
SAPJob Creation
Financials
Materials Mgt
Asset registry
OSIAsset Management
Historical Data
and
Analysis
EquipmentInformation
Condition Based Maintenance
Wireless Network
Inspection DataDiagnostic Data
Jobs CreationMaterial
Time Sheets Job Completion
+ Process
Service Assurance (Outage Management)
Work Management (Crew Management)
Wireless Communications
Graphic Information (AM/FM)
Decision Support (Data driven decisions)
+ Systems
OMS
GIS
Transformer Loads Gas Analysis
SAP Asset Registry
Pole Top Solar
Distribution SCADA
Transmission SCADA Electrical TestsAsset Inspections
Assessing Asset Condition
CircuitsSAIFI
UndergroundNetworkReliability
SubstationReliability
PoorestPerformingDevices (PPD)
Advanced Loop Scheme (ALS)
VisibilityMonitoring
Dynamic Transformer MonitoringTransformersBreakers/Relays
These annual expenditures protect $20.5 B of inside plant assets and
full benefits after approximately five years.
Note:
Illustration depicts overall
changes in maintenance
investment strategy.
Preventive
Maintenance
Corrective
Maintenance
Capital Rep.
Calendar Based
Preventive
Maintenance
Corrective
Maintenance
Failures
Condition Based
Preventive
Maintenance
Historical Today
Failures
Capital Rep
10-20% Overall Reduction
Assessing Asset Condition
CircuitsSAIFI
UndergroundNetworkReliability
SubstationReliability
PoorestPerformingDevices (PPD)
Advanced Loop Scheme (ALS)
VisibilityMonitoring
Dynamic Transformer MonitoringTransformersBreakers/Relays
TieFdr #1 Fdr #1
COR 8023 COR 8032
Existing Configuration
451S
451S
651R 651R 651R 651R 651R
651R
651R651R651R651R
COR 8023
COR 8032
R FR
1
R
tie
FR
2
FR
3
FR
4
FR
5
FR
1
FR
2
FR
3
FR
4
Fiber
Optic
Cable
Innovations Current System Modernized Grid
Customer Segmentation
Average 1500
customers Impacted
per outage
Average 500
Customers Impacted per outage
Single Phase Tripping Not Implemented
Average 1500
customers Impacted per outage
Average 167 single
phase customers impacted per outage
Make Before Break Momentary Interruption 30-60 seconds
No Momentary Interruptions
Options Cost
Traditional ApproachTrim tree’s, replace equipment $6 - 12 M per loop
Smart Grid TechnologyLimit risk, add communications (fiber), and leverage technology
$2 - 4 M per loop
Both options produce similar SAIFI results for the first year
OpportunityRising SAIFI Trends are not adequately
being addressed with
current Asset Management
Programs
SolutionLeverage
opportunitiesto improve toolsfor investment prioritization
BarriersCulture Change
System upgradesDedicated personnel
Securing funding
OutcomeA device based
program that has optimized
SAIFI reduction and spend
…will mitigate rising electric distribution SAIFI trends.
Targeting extended customers interrupted, a two part asset evaluation algorithm was
developed, modeled after our current inside plant CMMS system structure.
Frequency
• Number of occurrences
30%
CustomersInterrupted
• Number of customer interruptions
60%
Remediation Complexity
• Variance of cause codes
10%
I. Incident Evaluator Algorithm:
Device Health Score provides the basis for an initial prioritization of potential projects, subject to further field inspections and cost estimates as described below.
SAIFI Yieldon Investment
(Yield Score)Remediation Cost Estimate
SAIFI Benefit Validation
• Scope of work assessment by field engineering /
asset management
– SAIFI benefit validation
– Remediation cost estimates
II. Field Inspection, SAIFI validation and Cost Estimates:
Scope of work assessment in field provides basis for cost estimate and validation of SAIFI benefit.
Benefits and costs form basis for SAIFI Investment Yield calculation and final prioritization of projects.
Inc
rem
en
tal S
AIF
I B
en
efi
t
Incremental SAIFI Benefit vs. Cumulative Cost
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
$- $20.0 $40.0 $60.0 $80.0 $100.0 $120.0 $140.0
Cost in $Millions
Inc
rem
en
tal
SA
IFI
Be
ne
fit
Reliability Base Spend plus Incremental Device Approach Spend ($M)
SAIFI Benefit attained from Incremental Spend
0
0.02
0.04
0.06
0.08
0.1
0.12
0.14
0.16
1 6 11 16 21 26 31 36 41 46 51 56 61 66 71 76 81 86 91 96 101 106 111 116 121 126
Prioritized Remediation Projects
Yie
ld (
SA
IFI/$
Millio
n In
ve
ste
d
= Metro
= Central = Palisades
= SouthernSAIFI Yield (SAIFI Benefit/ $ Invested)
Assessing Asset Condition
CircuitsSAIFI
UndergroundNetworkReliability
SubstationReliability
PoorestPerformingDevices (PPD)
Advanced Loop Scheme (ALS)
VisibilityMonitoring
Dynamic Transformer MonitoringTransformersBreakers/Relays
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Lifecycle
Analysis
PipesSplicesPumping
PlantsTerminatorsCable
Lifecycle
Analysis
ConductorTowerHardware
CMMS PI ServerHDW
Metro
CentralPalisades
Southern
ESOC
OMS
GIS
Asset Mgr’s Engineers/Planners DERC
Advanced
Applications
The overall initiative focuses on utilizing, improving and augmenting the overall capabilities of the Transmission Operation System while incorporating new technology, methodology, recognizing and capitalizing on business drivers and opportunities along the way.
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Build a Fiber Network Reliable communications network
Bergen
Athenia
Belleville
West Orange
Lake Nelson
Aldene
Lakeside
South Orange
Cook Rd.
Montclair
Hawthorne
East Rutherford
Roseland
Jefferson
Branchburg
Somerville
Kingsland
Central
Control
When it breaks we know who will fix it.
Smart Network Management
needs dataDispatch
LineRelays
Transformer Monitoring
Non-Operational Data SDAMS
Operational DataSCADA
Bus Relays
Station
Fiber Network
PI Historian
Transformer Relays
Station Comm BUS
DataConcentrator
Promoting easy flow of information for better business decisions
Asset
Management
Planning &
Analysis
Field
Mobility
Operational
Awareness
Collect, organize
& exchange data
Transform data
Into actionable
information
Get the information
where it is most
needed
Foster a culture
That disseminates
knowledge
The Future is ….Storm Damage Assessment – decision support systems
(GIS) Graphic Information System Upgrade
(OMS) Replace Outage Management System
(ADMS) Replace Distribution Management Systems
(EMS) Replace Energy Management System
Asset Risk Management (Operational Awareness)
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Current Future
Distribution Investments
Low High
A proactive risk based asset management strategy results in overall operational awareness.
Reactive
Safety concerns
Decreased reliability
Failure based strategy
Replace/Maintain assets upon failure
High O&M costs
Proactive
Improved reliability
Risk based strategy
Optimize based on targeted condition
Reduced O&M costs
Regulatory credibility
#OSIsoftLATAM
#OSIsoftLRC