RIA 2013 Recap - Industrial Robotics...Market: 2013 Recap 2 U.S. Economy & Manufacturing Market...
Transcript of RIA 2013 Recap - Industrial Robotics...Market: 2013 Recap 2 U.S. Economy & Manufacturing Market...
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Alex ShikanyDirector of Market Analysis
Robotic Industries [email protected]
@AlexShikany
The North American Robotics Market: 2013 Recap
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U.S. Economy & Manufacturing
Market Overview
Robot Applications
Robot Industries
Robot Types
CRI & Automate 2015
Conclusion
Table of Contents
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2013 Set New Records
2013 Was the Best Year Ever for Robot Shipments!
Order Units
Order Dollars
21,562
$1.338b
Robotics is becoming one of the hottest areas of interest in manufacturing in North America
Shipment Units
Shipment Dollars
22,591
$1.385b
NEW RECORD
NEW RECORD
U.S. Real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) – Year-Over-Year Percent Change
2.5%
3.5%3.1%
2.7%1.9%
‐0.3%
‐3.1%
2.4%1.8%
2.8%
1.6%
2.6%
‐4.0%
‐3.0%
‐2.0%
‐1.0%
0.0%
1.0%
2.0%
3.0%
4.0%
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013(p)
2014(p)
Growth continued in the U.S. economy in 2013 but weaker than initial expectations. Economists are forecasting 2.6% growth
for 2014.Source: IMF
U.S. Economy
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30
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45
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65
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2009 20112010 2012 2013
U.S. Purchasing Manager’s Index (PMI)
U.S. Manufacturing PMI was very strong in 2013, never posting a month of contraction.
Source: Markit & HSBC
U.S. Manufacturing
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707580859095
100105
2007
Q1
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2013
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2013
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2013
Q4
U.S. Industrial Production continued its ascent back to pre-recessionary levels throughout the year.
Index of U.S. Industrial Production (Quarterly Data – 2007 to 2013, Manufacturing Only – 2007 = 100)
2007 20092008 2010 2011 2012 2013
Source: Federal Reserve
U.S. Manufacturing
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85
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2007 20092008 2010 2011 2012 2013
Percent U.S. Manufacturing Capacity Utilization
U.S. Capacity Utilization also remained at healthy levels in 2013, increasing a bit toward the end of the year.
Source: Federal Reserve
U.S. Manufacturing
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0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
-1.7%
-12.0%2.9%
-10.1%-6.2% 2.2% 1.1%
-10.1%
-3.8%
-40.5%
8.6%
33.1%
26.4%
8.3%
Source: BEA
U.S. car sales continued to increase in 2013, albeit at a slower rate than 2012.
U.S. Car Sales
U.S. Manufacturing
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North America as a Percent of the Worldwide Industrial Robot Market(Based on Shipped Units)
North America has represented 14% to 18% of the world market (Average = 16.0%).
Total Units Shipped
Worldwide in 2013 = 168,000
North America
Asia/Australia
Europe
Year 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013NA Share 15.6% 18.0% 15.7% 16.5% 14.4% 14.0% 15.1% 17.1% 17.5% 16.7%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Unspecified
Africa
Europe
Asia Australia
South America
North America
Market Overview
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Total Net Orders in Dollars and Units – North America
Net Orders in North America contracted in 2013 due largely to a slowdown in automotive
related orders
‐
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
$0$200,000
$400,000$600,000$800,000
$1,000,000$1,200,000$1,400,000
$1,600,000
UN
ITS
DO
LLA
RS
(000
'S)
Dollars Units
‐22% 18% ‐16% ‐3% 48% 38% 27%
‐30% 25% ‐21% 39%‐25% 47%Unit Growth
Rates 17%
‐10%
‐5%
Market Overview
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Orders Broken Down by Applications in Units – Relative Share
In 2013 the most important application in percent of orders was material handling followed by spot welding
and arc welding.
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Parts, Service & Training
Inspection
Material Removal
Material Handling
Assembly
Coating & Dispensing
Arc Welding
Spot Welding
Material Handling
Arc Welding
Spot Welding
2013 = 49%
2013 = 14%
2013 = 21%
Robot Applications
Great Recession
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Orders Broken Down by Applications in Units – Major Trends
In 2012, welding increased in importance as the focus of North American robotics companies while material handling
decreased. The reverse is true for 2013.
Material Handling and Welding as Percent of Total Orders
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013Total Welding 45.3% 37.3% 44.3% 36.3% 40.1% 34.2% 38.2% 46.8% 35.5%Material Handling 42.2% 43.9% 40.7% 45.9% 47.6% 52.5% 50.1% 41.7% 49.5%
30.0%
35.0%
40.0%
45.0%
50.0%
55.0%
Robot Applications
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Orders Broken Down by Industry in Units – Relative Share
Automotive and Automotive Components are the Most Important Industries in Terms of Robot Orders.
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013Automotive Automotive Components
Food & Consumer Goods Semiconductor & Electronics/Photonics
Plastics & Rubber Life Sciences/Pharmaceutical/Biomedical
Metals All Other Industries
29%
28%
Automotive Components
Automotive
Robot Industries
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Orders Broken Down by Industry in Units – Major Trends
Since 2005, automotive related orders have declined in percentage of total orders while other industries such as life
sciences, semiconductors, and metals have grown.
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
2005 2007 2009 2011 2013
Automotive Related Non‐Automotive Related
30.4%
69.6%
43.4%
56.6%
‐ 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000
10,000 12,000 14,000 16,000
2005 2007 2009 2011 2013
Automotive Related Non‐Automotive Related
Great Recession
Revitalization of U.S. Auto
Industry
Robot Industries
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Orders Broken Down by Industry in Units – Growth Rates
Automotive components and metals are growing fastest on average post-Great Recession.
Industry 2010 2011 2012 2013 AverageAutomotive 19% 59% 47% -30% 24%Automotive Components 63% 77% 21% -3% 40%Food & Consumer Goods 47% -7% -6% 67% 25%Semiconductor & Electronics/ Photonics 66% 24% -18% 32% 26%Plastics & Rubber 57% 2% -6% 35% 22%Life Sciences/Pharma/ Biomedical 26% 6% 3% 73% 27%Metals 90% 56% 12% 1% 40%All Other Industries 29% 37% -17% 5% 14%Total 39% 47% 17% -5% 25%
Robot Industries
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013Cartesian/Linear/Gantry Robots Cylindrical Robots SCARA Robots Articulated Robots Others
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Orders Broken Down by Type of Robots in Units – Relative Share
Articulated robots continue to account for the largest share of robots sold in North America.
Articulated Robots (2013 = 86%)
Robot Types
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Orders Broken Down by Type of Robots in Units – Growth Rates
Orders for all types of robots have grown at a healthy average since the Great Recession. In 2013, the Other
category grew the most, likely due to an increase in demand for Delta type robots.
Robot Type 2010 2011 2012 2013 Average
Cartesian/Linear/ Gantry Robots 196% -82% 16% -30% 25%
Cylindrical Robots N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
SCARA Robots 69% 46% -7% 49% 39%
Articulated Robots 37% 54% 19% -11% 25%
Others -35% 55% 3% 187% 53%
Total 39% 47% 17% -5% 25%
Robot Types
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What to Expect in 2014
‐
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
$0$200,000$400,000
$600,000$800,000
$1,000,000
$1,200,000$1,400,000
$1,600,000
UN
ITS
DO
LLA
RS
(000
'S)
Dollars Units
U.S. Economy to GrowManufacturing Remains StrongAutomotive is Cyclical +4%
Robot Orders in North America (2014 forecasted)
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Alex ShikanyDirector of Market Analysis900 Victors Way, Suite 140Ann Arbor, MI 48108, USA
Phone: (734) 994-6088
Email: [email protected]
Twitter: @AlexShikany
Web: www.robotics.org
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