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RI Institutional Presentation December 2011
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Transcript of RI Institutional Presentation December 2011
2
Company HighlightsCompany Highlights
Investment grade rating by Moody’s and S&P.
Strong balance sheet with solid net cash position.
Company established in 1969, privatized in 1994 and listed in USA in 2000.
Sector leader in the Dow Jones Sustainability Index 2011/2012.
Broad customer base in commercial and executive aviation, defense and
security segments.
Global footprint.
Highly experienced management team.
3
Corporate and Business StrategyCorporate and Business Strategy
• Product strategy.
• Diversification and expansion of customer base.
• Excellence in Customer Experience (ECE).
• Market share growth.
• Margins improvement.
• Product strategy and customer support focus.
• Organic growth.
• Margins enhancement through the P3E.
• Business and revenues diversification.
• Establish Embraer as the defense house of Brazil.
• Organic growth and through acquisitions.
4
Global BusinessGlobal Business
� Operations in Brazil, USA, Europe and Asia
� Dual listed in Brazil’s Bovespa (1989) and NYSE (2000)
Melbourne*
Fort Lauderdale
Nashville
USA
Taubaté
Botucatu
Gavião Peixoto
São José dos Campos
Brazil
Évora*
Alverca
Portugal
Le Bourget
Villepinte
France
Harbin
Beijing
China
Singapore
Singapore
Countries of Operation Factories Offices Service Centers Contracted/ Planned Authorized Network* Under construction
� One of Brazil’s largest exporters of manufactured goods
� Diversified customer-base across five continents
Mesa
Windsor Locks
São Paulo
Spare Parts Distribution Centers
LouisvilleMinneapolis
5
Executive Large Jets
Aircraft DeliveriesAircraft Deliveries
Executive Light JetsCommercial JetsPhenom
*
103
133
165
125
73
27 36 3721 19 6
98
126101
243
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 9M2011
102+*
18*
100*
2011 deliveries estimates
Legacy e Lineage
6
RevenuesRevenues
Guidance 2011: Net Revenues (US$ 5.6 – 5.8 billion)2006-2008: US GAAP2009-2010: IFRS*
**2011: YTDGuidance
US$ Million
55%
20% 11%
14%
Executive aviationCommercial aviation
Aviation services/othersDefense and security
3.760
5.245
6.3355.498 5.364
3.778
2006 2007 2008 2009* 2010* 2011**
89%
71%62%
53%
7%16%
21%
11% 9% 13%
7% 11% 13% 13%1%
4%
2000 2005 2009 2010
7
Revenues by SegmentRevenues by Segment
Commercial aviation
Executive aviation Aviation services/others
Defense and security
Net Revenues
US$ Billion*3.83 5.50 5.362.73
2009-2010: IFRS*
46% 43%
22%13%
24%18%
33%
33%
12%
10%7%
15%
4%
4%11% 13%
6%18% 21% 22%
8% 7% 6% 4%
2007 2008 2009 2010
8
Revenues by RegionRevenues by Region
Latin America
Others
North America
Brazil Asia Pacific
Europe
2009-2010: IFRS*
Net Revenues
US$ Billion*6.33 5.50 5.365.24
9
Firm BacklogFirm Backlog
US$ Billion
14.8
18.820.9
16.6 16.015.6
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 3Q2011
E-Jets: 60 Airlines from 40 Countries
10
11
Product PortfolioProduct Portfolio
capacity: 70 to 80 seatsrange: 2,100 nm (3,900 Km)
capacity: 78 to 88 seatsrange: 2,000 nm (3,700 Km)
capacity: 98 to 114 seatsrange: 2,400 nm (4,500 Km)
capacity: 108 to 122 seatsrange: 2,200 nm (4,100 Km)
capacity: 37 seatsrange: 1,750 nm (3,250 Km)
capacity: 50 seatsrange: 1,550 nm (2,900 Km)
capacity: 50 seatsrange: 2,000 nm (3,700 Km)
capacity: 44 seatsrange: 1,650 nm (3,050 Km)
12
EE--Jets Customer Base EvolutionJets Customer Base Evolution
60110 112 118
245
343
440
619
764
1018
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008-11
Ac
cu
mu
late
d F
irm
Ord
ers
1 2 3 4 9 14 19 28 42 60Customers/Operators
EIS
13
Worldwide DistributionWorldwide Distribution
E-Jets Customer Base by Business Model
(% of E-Jets Fleet+Backlog)
Firm Orders
Commercial Jets Market Share Evolution Worldwide
Considering Accumulated Net Orders
60-120 Seats Jets
41%
32%
27%
44%
12%
26%
6%12%
33%16%
8%
30%13%
Backlog
Europe & CIS
Middle East & Africa
Latin America
North America
Asia Pacific & China
43%
30%
3%
7%5%
Low Cost Carriers
Regional Airlines
Network Airlines
14
EE--Jets DeploymentJets Deployment
World
Right-sizing New Markets Replacement of old Jets
NaturalGrowth
helping airlines to be more efficienthelping airlines to be more efficient
Around 7,225 jet deliveries (30-120 seats) in the next 20 years (US$ 320 bi)
15
Embraer Market Forecast (2011Embraer Market Forecast (2011--2030)2030)
North
America
84032%
North
America
2,35033%
Latin
America
31512%
Latin
America
6709%
Europe
58022%
Europe
1,67523%
Russia /
CIS
1556%
Russia /
CIS
4356%
Africa
803%
Africa
1953%
Middle
East
1054%
Middle
East
3104%
Asia
Pacific
2108%
Asia
Pacific
6159%
China
34013%
China
97513%
Projected Deliveries - Jets
Market Segment
(Seats)
2010 – 2019
Deliveries
30-60 60
61-90 1,015
91-120 1,550
30-120 2,625
Market Segment
(Seats)
2011 – 2030
Deliveries
30-60 430
61-90 2,670
91-120 4,125
30-120 7,225
• Scope Clauses relaxation allowing 80-seater aircraft as a natural growth of RJ50s in the US
• Right-sizing of narrow-body operations
• Regional aviation development in Emerging Markets
• Acceleration of replacement of old & inefficient jets
MRJ70
MRJ90
ARJ21
E195
E190
E175
E170
SSJ100/95
CS100
CRJ900
CRJ700
60
70
80
90
100
110
120
1600 1800 2000 2200 2400 2600 2800 3000
Range Nominal
Cap
acit
y 3
2'' p
itch
16
110 Seats
Competitive LandscapeCompetitive Landscape
70-90 Seats
100 Seats
EE--Jets: Continuous ImprovementJets: Continuous Improvement
Interior Improvements
Advanced Features
NG FMS
Structural and Prognostics Health
Management (SHM/PHM)
Increased Maintenance Plan
Intervals (750FH/7500FH)
Fuel Burn Improvement Package
External Noise Improvement Package
CPDLC
Steep Climb
Slim seat
Steep Approach
ADSB-out DO-260A
Electronic Flight Bag
(EFB)
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
ETOPS 120’ E190
E170/E175 AR
Operational Envelope extension:
-ISA+39 E170/E190- 14,000ft (E190)
17
More than 400 executive jets in operation.
18
19
Product PortfolioProduct Portfolio
Large
Aircraft Model
Phenom 100
Phenom 300
Legacy 450
Legacy 500
Legacy 600
Lineage 1000
Seats / Range
up to 8 occupants/ 1,178 nm
up to 11 occupants/ 1,971 nm
7 to 9 passengers/ 2,300 nm
8 to 12 passengers/ 3,000 nm
13 to 14 passengers/ 3,400 nm
13 to 19 passengers/ 4,500 nm
Entry
Light
Mid-light
Mid-size
Ultra-large
Super Mid-Size
Certified: 2008
Certified: 2009
Under development
Certified: 2001
Certified: 2008
Ultra-Long Range
Competitors
• Cessna - Mustang CJ1+/M2• HondaJet
• Cessna - CJ2+/CJ3/CJ4• Hawker - PremierIA/400XP• Bombardier - Learjet 40XR• SyberJet - SJ30
• Bombardier - Learjet 45XR• Cessna - XLS+/Latitude• Hawker 750
• Bombardier - Learjet 60XR/85• Cessna - Sovereign• Hawker - H900XP• Gulfstream – G150
• Bombardier - CL605/GL5000• Dassault - Falcon 2000/900LX• Gulfstream - G350/G450
• Airbus - ACJ 318/319/320• Boeing – BBJ/BBJ2/BBJ3• SSJ VIP/ ARJ21B / An-148VIP
Legacy 650 13 to 14 passengers/ 3,900 nmCertified: 2010
• Bombardier - GL XRS• Gulfstream – G500/G550/G650• Dassault – Falcon 7X
• Bombardier - CL300/CL850• Cessna - X/Ten• Dassault - Falcon 2000S• Gulfstream - G200/G280• Hawker - H4000
20
25% 24% 22% 21% 20%
33% 35% 37% 40%33%
7% 7% 7% 6%
9%
12% 13% 13% 14%
11%
2.7% 3.1% 3.5% 3.3%14%
19% 16% 16% 14% 11%
2% 3% 2% 1% 2%
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
% O
EM
Sh
are
–T
ota
l u
nit
s
749 885 1,040 1,154 870
Market ShareMarket Share
OthersHawker-BeechEmbraer Gulfstream
Dassault
Cessna
Bombardier
Deliveries share (units)Revenues share (US$ - based on B&CA list prices)
Market Deliveries 2010: 763 units.
Embraer Deliveries: 145 units.
Market Revenues 2010: $18.2 Bi.
Embraer Revenues: $1.1 Bi.
30% 29% 28% 29% 28%
16% 16% 17% 18%12%
11% 11% 12% 12%18%
23% 23% 23% 24% 21%
3.5% 3.9% 4.7% 4.2% 6.4%10% 9% 8% 8% 8%
5% 8% 6% 5% 6%
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
% O
EM
Sh
are
–T
ota
l R
ev
en
ue
s U
S$
$13.2Bi $16.6Bi $19.3Bi $22.2Bi $17.2Bi
2010
763
6.9%
2010
$18.2Bi
19%
27%
7%
22%
21%
6%
10%
20%
23%
12%
13%
10%
3%
21
Forecast
-
200
400
600
800
1.000
1.200
1.400
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
ULTRA LARGE
ULTRA-LONG RANGELARGE
SUPER MID-SIZE
MID-SIZE
MID-LIGHT
LIGHT
ENTRY*
New bizjet deliveries (Units)
20122012--21 Market Forecast World Deliveries21 Market Forecast World Deliveries
11,275 jets US$ 260 billion over the next 10 years����
North America
EMB >170 a/cEMEA
EMB >150 a/c
Asia PacificEMB ~20 a/c
BrazilEMB 90 a/c
Latin AmericaEMB ~100 a/c
20122012--21 Market Forecast and21 Market Forecast and
Embraer Actual Fleet DistributionEmbraer Actual Fleet Distribution
22
5,265 a/c (47%)US$ 109 Bi (42%)
905 a/c (8%)US$ 16 Bi (6%) 550 a/c (5%)
US$ 8 Bi (3%)
3,415 a/c (30%)US$ 88 Bi (34%)
1,690 a/c (15%)US$ 48 Bi (18%)
23
Business Jets TrafficBusiness Jets Traffic
US/FAA Bizjet Flight Activity
European Bizjet Flight Activity
20052007
20062004
2008
2009
2010
130
140
150
160
170
180
190
200
210
220
230
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May Ju
n
Jul
Aug
Sep Oct
Nov
Dec
2011
2005
2007
2006
2004
20082009
2010
25
30
35
40
45
50
55
60
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May Ju
n
Jul
Aug
Sep Oct
Nov
Dec
2011
24
PrePre--owned Inventory: Recoveringowned Inventory: Recovering
Business Jets For Sale
Angola
Belgium
Brazil
Niger
France
Gabon
India
Paraguay
Mexico
Peru
Chile
Colombia
Honduras
Uruguay
Argentina
Greece
Italy
Nigeria
EcuadorEquatorial Guinea
Pakistan
Thailand
Dominican Rep.
Panama
United States United Kingdom¹
Kuwait¹
Mauritania
Kenya¹
Togo
Germany
Portugal
Spain
Sweden
Luxembourg
Chad
Libya
Egypt
Tunisia
Canada
Switzerland
Venezuela
Indonesia
Presence in more than 40 countries.
25
Embraer Defense and SecurityEmbraer Defense and Security
Light attack and advanced
training
Light attack and advanced
trainingTransport of authoritiesTransport of authorities
Modernization programsModernization programs Tactical military transportTactical military transportServices
ISR (Intelligence, Surveillance and Reconnaissance)
ISR (Intelligence, Surveillance and Reconnaissance)
Embraer Defense and Security, partners and affiliated companies
System of SystemsSystem of Systems
UAV’sUAV’s
RadarRadar
HARPIA
26
Revenues Evolution (US$ Million)
1.1 1
1.5
3.2 3.33.5
0
1
2
3
4
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 3T11
US
$ (B
illio
n)
6.3
12.4 12.211.4
13.4
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
(%)
670499505346227
9%
8%7%
6%
12.6%
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010U
S$
(Mill
ion
)0%
3%
6%
9%
12%
15%
Par
tici
pat
ion
(%
)
GAGR31%
Embraer Defense and Security ResultsEmbraer Defense and Security Results
EBIT Evolution (%) Backlog Evolution (US$ Billion)
27
Super TucanoSuper Tucano
28
Firm orders: 180 aircraft
Brazil: 99
Colombia: 25
Dominican Republic: 8
Chile: 12
Ecuador: 18
Indonesia: 8
Greystone (TACAir): 1
Undisclosed: 9
Deliveries: 156 aircraft
Addressable Market Forecast 2020 (US$ million)
Pursuing USAF Light Air Pursuing USAF Light Air
Support competitionSupport competitionTotal Market Forecast: 300 aircraft
US$ 3.5 billion
Medium-term2,000 Short-term
800
Long-term700
EMBRAER KCEMBRAER KC--390390
29
• A new tactical military transport and tanker aircraft
• First flight in 2014
• Six countries
• Letters of intent totalizing 60 aircraft
Brazil (28)
Colombia (12)
Argentina (6)
Chile (6)
Portugal (6)
Czech Rep. (2)
Total Market Forecast 2025:
700 aircraft
US$ 50+ bi
A1-MF-5M A-4
Brazilian Navy A-4
12 aircraft
Two prototype at GPX-CS
Brazilian Air Force A-1M
43 aircraft
Five received by Embraer for the modernization
Brazilian Air Force F-5M
46 a/c + 11 a/c (2nd batch)
44 already deliveredTotal Market Forecast*: 234 aircraft
US$ 1.6 billion
Addressable Market Forecast 2025 (US$ million)
Short-term527
Medium-term505
Long-term567
* Forecast considering the market for F-5 and Tucano modernization
Modernization ProgramsModernization Programs
30
New PortfolioNew Portfolio
31
HARPIA
Command and Control Systems
Onboard Systems
Simulation Systems
Electronic Warfare Systems
Intelligence Systems
Air Traffic Management and Control Systems
Command and Control Systems
Onboard Systems
Simulation Systems
Electronic Warfare Systems
Intelligence Systems
Air Traffic Management and Control Systems
JV with Elbit/AEL Sistemas where EmbraerDefense and Security has a major participation
UAS, simulators and modernization of avionics systems
JV with Elbit/AEL Sistemas where EmbraerDefense and Security has a major participation
UAS, simulators and modernization of avionics systems
Air, ground and sea surveillance radars
Remote sensing
Air, ground and sea surveillance radars
Remote sensing
Security of Critical Infrastructure
Public Security (sporting events,
cities, states)
Airport Management
Systems
SISFRON
SisGAAZ
ServicesServices
Engine and Component Maintenance
Overhaul and Modernization
Aerostructure Manufacturing and Assembling
System of SystemsSystem of Systems
UAV’sUAV’s
RadarRadar
32
Brazilian Army PrioritiesBrazilian Army Priorities
Comm
9% UAV
12%
SW
20%
Sensors
59%
SISFRON
Integrated Borders Monitoring System
Estimate: US$ 4 Billion
Comprising radars, communication networks, C4I, unmanned air vehicles (UAV) and armored vehicles
Satellite
Estimate: US$ 400 Million
Participation in the first Brazilian Geostationary Satellite
Security of Critical Infrastructure
Public Security (sporting events, cities, states)
Airport Management Systems
Satellite
Diversify Markets and Customer BaseDiversify Markets and Customer Base
33
Transport
4%
Light Attack and Combat
9%
KC-390
34%
Radar, C4I, UAV, MRO
18%
New Business14%
Sisfron, Satellite
10%
Services
11%2020
New BusinessAirport Management Systems
SisGAAz (“Blue Amazon” Integrated Management System)
Security of Critical InfrastructurePublic Security (sporting events, cities, states)
Services
11%
Modernization30%
Radar, C4I, UAV,
MRO
25%
Light Attack9%
ISR
9%
KC-390
16%
Revenues Breakdown EvolutionRevenues Breakdown Evolution
2011
34
35
OutlookOutlook
2011 Outlook2011 Outlook
US$ 465 million
Net Revenues
EBIT
EBIT margin
US$ 5.6 – 5.8 billion
8.0% - 8.3%
US$ 700 millionEBITDA
EBITDA margin 12.0% - 12.5%
36
Research
Development
US$ 90 million
US$ 160 million
CAPEX US$ 200 million
37
2011 Outlook2011 Outlook
OutlookOutlook
US$ Million
YTD Outlook
59 72
10990
160
200
Research Development CAPEX
Financial Results IFRSFinancial Results IFRS
38
39
Net Revenues / SG&A ExpensesNet Revenues / SG&A Expenses
Net Revenues - US$ Million
Net Revenues Gross Margin
SG&A Expenses - US$ Million
Selling Expenses G&A Expenses
Guidance 2011 - Net Revenues: US$ 5.6 - 5.8 billion
1,044
1,970
1,0561,359 1,364
21.2%22.4%
24.3%
16.8%
20.5%
3Q10 4Q10 1Q11 2Q11 3Q11
89106
94109
53
6157
64 69
103
3Q10 4Q10 1Q11 2Q11 3Q11
142
167173 172
151
40
Income from Operations / EBITDAIncome from Operations / EBITDA
EBIT EBIT Margin
Income from Operations - US$ Million
EBITDA EBITDA Margin
EBITDA - US$ Million
EBIT: US$ 465 millionEBIT Margin: 8.0% - 8.3%
2011 Outlook -EBITDA: US$ 700 millionEBITDA Margin: 12.0% - 12.5%
2011 Outlook -
132
94106
124
66
9.1%
7.8%8.9%6.7%
6.4%
3Q10 4Q10 1Q11 2Q11 3Q11
131
197
156 153188
12.5% 10.0%
14.8%
11.3%
13.8%
3Q10 4Q10 1Q11 2Q11 3Q11
41
Net Income / Free Cash FlowNet Income / Free Cash Flow
Net Income - US$ Million Free Cash Flow - US$ Million
Net Income Net Margin
126 123105 96
2
12.1%
6.2%
10.0%
7.1%
0.1%
3Q10 4Q10 1Q11 2Q11 3Q11
(112)
(38)
(126)
193
(66)
3Q10 4Q10 1Q11 2Q11 3Q11
42
Indebtedness Profile / Net CashIndebtedness Profile / Net Cash
Indebtedness Maturity Net Cash - US$ Million
Long-term Short-term
Loans Average Maturity (Years)
90% 87%
6% 5%
74%95%
94%
26%13%10%
4.5
5.0
5.76.36.1
3Q10 4Q10 1Q11 2Q11 3Q11
Total Debt 3Q11: US$ 1.8 Billion Total Cash 3Q11: US$ 2.0 Billion
618692
505406
193
3Q10 4Q10 1Q11 2Q11 3Q11
43
InvestorsInvestors’’ ReturnReturn
Pay OutEPADS
2006-2008: US GAAP2009-2010: IFRS*
2.11
2.64 2.14
2.57
1.83
53% 68% 52%
26% 34%
2006 2007 2008 2009* 2010*
EPADS and Pay Out Dividend Yield (%)
2.012.91
4.34
3.28
2.23
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
44
723,665,044 Voting Shares723,665,044 Voting Shares
Ownership StructureOwnership Structure
September, 2011
PREVI
10.6%
BNDESPAR
5.5%
BM&FBOVESPA
OTHERS
24.3%
BLACK ROCK
5.1%
THORNBURG
INVESTMENT
6.8%
OPPENHEIMER
FUND'S
8.7%
NYSE OTHERS
32.9%
GRUPO
BOZANO
6.0%
NYSE
53.5%
BM&F
BOVESPA
46.5%
46
Sustainability InitiativesSustainability Initiatives
Brazilian Alliance for Bio-fuel
Reforestation Projects
ISO 14001 and OHSAS 18001 Certifications
Sustainability InitiativesSustainability Initiatives
1st ethanol powered aircraft in the World
IpanemaRecycling
Corporate ValuesGreener Technology
Social Activities
47
Lean Results: ELean Results: E--Jets Final Assembly Jets Final Assembly
Line TransformationLine Transformation
“Dock” layout - 2008 Assembly Line – 2009 Assembly Line – 2011
0
0
68
8
4
Mar/11 (10ac/month)
00,21,51,510Over time (% of work hours)
001,7732Number of non-conformity per a/c
688995106212Work in process (US$mi)
78101218Cycle time (days)
445612Number of positions
Out/11 (12ac/month)
June/2010 (8ac/month)
Sep/2009 (10ac/month)
July/2009 (10ac/month)
May/2008 (15ac/month)
Performance indicators
0
0
68
8
4
Mar/11 (10ac/month)
00,21,51,510Over time (% of work hours)
001,7732Number of non-conformity per a/c
688995106212Work in process (US$mi)
78101218Cycle time (days)
445612Number of positions
Out/11 (12ac/month)
June/2010 (8ac/month)
Sep/2009 (10ac/month)
July/2009 (10ac/month)
May/2008 (15ac/month)
Performance indicators
48
Automation Initiatives 2010Automation Initiatives 2010
Automation initiatives continues in 2011…
Forward Looking StatementForward Looking Statement
This presentation includes forward-looking statements or statements about events or
circumstances which have not occurred. We have based these forward-looking statements
largely on our current expectations and projections about future events and financial trends
affecting our business and our future financial performance. These forward-looking
statements are subject to risks, uncertainties and assumptions, including, among other things:
general economic, political and business conditions, both in Brazil and in our market. The
words “believes,” “may,” “will,” “estimates,” “continues,” “anticipates,” “intends,” “expects” and
similar words are intended to identify forward-looking statements. We undertake no
obligations to update publicly or revise any forward-looking statements because of new
information, future events or other factors. In light of these risks and uncertainties, the
forward-looking events and circumstances discussed in this presentation might not occur. Our
actual results could differ substantially from those anticipated in our forward-looking
statements.