RFP# 99FY12

Ashlawn ES/Williamsburg

ESJune 8, 2012

Need for More Capacity• Driven by increases in enrollment

system-wide – 18% increase in enrollment in 5

years

– 83 relocatable classrooms in place today

– Additional relocatables this summer

• Continued growth in number of births and County population and changing housing market suggest increases will continue for the foreseeable future 2

Cohort Analysis

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Projected Capacity NeedK-12 Enrollment Projections 2012-2021

17000

19000

21000

23000

25000

27000

29000

31000

33000

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

Year

Stu

de

nts

5 Year Linear Regression5 Year Average Rate of Change3 Year Average Rate of ChangeIncrease of 2% Per YearIncrease of 3% Per Year

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Projected Capacity Deficit

+ Capacity numbers do not include relocatable capacity.*Enrollment numbers do not include some alternative education programs. 5

Capacity Planning Process Goals

1. Respond to increasing enrollment by

adding permanent building

capacity to APS as part of the

Capital Improvement Plan

2. Achieve the plan for additional seats

through a transparent, structured,

and inclusive process

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School Board Evaluation Criteria

Optimize Impact on Capacity

• Flexibility of the solution• Larger impact of the solution• Increase number of seats at

schools with specific admission policies

• Number of seats generated• Relieving crowding in schools

of critical capacity need

Minimize Variation from Preferred School Size

• Maintain preferred seat range

Neighborhood Resources

• Impact on playgrounds• Impact on playfields• Impact on parking• Impact on green space• Neighborhood impact

Optimize Operational Effectiveness

• Minimize administrative impact

• Equity of space utilization• Impact on transportation

structure

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Criteria Weights as Established by School Board

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Community Outreach – To Date

• 8 Civic Associations

• 8 PTA Meetings

• 5 School Board Work Sessions

• 5 Community Updates

• Various Staff, County, & Citizen Meetings– Evaluation Committee

– Facilities Advisory Council & PCS

– Public Facilities Review Committee

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Community Outreach – Future

• BLPC APS Building Level Planning Committee

• PFRC Arlington County Public Facilities Review Committee

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All APS/ Select County Sites

CAPITAL IMPROVEMENT PLAN 11

Option Set E: 2 New Schools & Additions

ID Project Quad ScoreProject Cost

(2011 $)

Addl Elem Cap

Current Cap

Final Cap

05 ATS 12-Room Addition NW 0.4294 13,900,000 225 465 690

08Ashlawn 12-Room Addition

NW 0.5821 13,900,000 225 459 684

15 Carlin Springs/Kenmore New Choice ES

SW 0.5856 40,145,000 600 0 600

41 McKinley 12-Room Addition NW 0.4833 13,900,000 225 443 668

59 Williamsburg - New Neighborhood ES

NE/NW 0.5616 40,145,000 600 0 600

Total (5 projects) 121,990,000 1875

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Ten-Year CIP

• Ten-year CIP totals $538 million

• Adds approximately 4,800 new seats (2/3 of projected capacity deficit)

• Major Construction – Capital Reserve– Bonds

• Minor Construction/Major Maintenance (MC/MM)– Current Revenues

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CIP Years 1-5Opening of New Elementary

Seats • School Opening Year (Fall)

– 2014: 225 seats at Ashlawn

– 2015: 600 seats at new neighborhood

school (WMS campus)

– 2016: 450 additional seats at McKinley &

ATS

– 2017: 600 seats at new choice school

(CS/Kenmore campus) 14

CIP Years 6-10Additional Elementary

Capacity• First projects achieve good balance of enrollment to capacity

• Need to re-examine model criteria and re-score options based on new boundaries and utilization rates

• Add’l 1,200 seats needed in years 6-10

• Funding needed to create 600 seats (locations TBD)

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CIP Years 6-10Secondary Options

1. Develop robust list of secondary options (construction and non-building)

2. Re-examine criteria and rating scales for secondary capacity options

3. Continue to monitor growth and identify site options

4. Focus on secondary school building options in 2014 CIP/capacity planning process

5. Funding needed to create 2,300 seats (locations TBD) 16

Proposed Capacity Funding

• 2012: $46.8M (1 addition; 1 new school)

• 2014: $70.9M (2 additions; 1 new school)

• 2016:

• 2018:

• 2020:

$51 MElementar

y600 seats

$51 MElementar

y600 seats

$127 M

Middle1,500 seats

$127 M

Middle1,500 seats

$63 MHigh

800 seats

$63 MHigh

800 seats

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Ten-Year CIP Funding

• Major Construction

– Capital Reserve funded• Ashlawn 12-Room Addition $14.9M• Williamsburg - new ES – design $

4.0M

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Ten-Year CIP Funding• Major Construction

– Bond funded• Wakefield HS (2010 bond) $ 29.1M• Fiber Project/C-net (2010 bond) $ 0.3M• ATS 12-Room Addition $ 16.1M• McKinley 12-Room Addition $ 16.1M• Carlin Springs/Kenmore new ES $ 46.4M• Williamsburg - new ES – construction $ 39.1M• HVAC & Roofing (20-yr useful life) $ 34.6M• Infrastructure Projects (20-yr useful life) $ 21.0M• Capacity Projects – Years 6-10 $253.0M

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Ashlawn Schedule

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Williamsburg Schedule

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