Revisiting Schelling segregation dynamics€¦ · Revisiting Schelling segregation dynamics C...

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Revisiting Schelling segregation dynamics C Alais, R Mourgues, JP Bouchaud, M Benzaquen Ecole Normale Supérieure NAEC-X day at OECD December 10th 2019 www.EconophysiX.com CFM Chair of Econophysics & Complex Systems

Transcript of Revisiting Schelling segregation dynamics€¦ · Revisiting Schelling segregation dynamics C...

  • Revisiting Schelling segregation dynamicsC Alais, R Mourgues, JP Bouchaud, M BenzaquenEcole Normale Supérieure

    NAEC-X day at OECD

    December 10th 2019

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  • 2/21 Table of contents

    1. Schelling modelPresentationFree energy

    2. SimulationsEvolution of a cityAnnealed dynamicsActivation Barrier

    3. Market-Mediated Schelling ModelStationary StateWith Evolving Landlords

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  • 3/21 Schelling Model

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  • 4/21 Schelling model

    A modification of the original Schelling model [1], defined by [2],[3].

    Move with probability p(q −→ q′) = 11+e−β(u(q′)−u(q))

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  • 5/21 Schelling model

    Allowing the system to evolve from a homogeneous initial state to a stationary state :

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  • 6/21 Free energy

    This process does not optimize the sum of individual utilities,but a potential H which depends on the configuration of the city x .For fully rational agents H reads :

    H(x) =Q∑

    q=1

    nxq∑n=1

    u(n)

    Or considering densities :

    H(x) =Q∑

    q=1

    ∫ ρq0

    u(ρ)dρ

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  • 7/21 Phase separation

    ∫ ρq0 u(ρ)dρ as a function of ρq :

    Here for fully rational agents.To maximizeH(x) =

    ∑Qq=1

    ∑nxqn=1 u(n), it is better

    to have some neighbourhoods at 0 andsome at 0.7 rather than all at 0.5.

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  • 8/21 Phase separation

    ∫ ρq0 u(ρ)dρ as a function of ρq :

    Here for irrational agents.In this case the maximization of H isachieved with a homogeneous state,which also maximizes individualutilities.

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  • 9/21 Phase diagram

    Measure of segregation in the final state for different temperatures and global density(the higher the more segregated the city is)

    Rationality

    0.0

    5

    10

    Density0.0 0.5 1

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  • 10/21 Evolution of a city

    ZZZ

    ZZZ

    ZZ}

    Increasing time

    Each line is the trajectory of a system with initial state indicated by its color.Only the end of the trajectory is represented.

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  • 11/21 Evolution of a city

    �����>

    Increasing time

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  • 12/21 Annealed dynamics

    ?

    Increasing time and increasing rationality

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  • 13/21 Activation barrier

    n non-empty neighbourhoods

    n − 1

    ∆U‡

    The agents of the neigh-bourhood to be emptied areevenly distributed into theother filled neighbourhoods.For instance for Q = 36,L = 100, N = 1800 andβ = 5 in average 1018 stepsare required !

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  • 14/21 Market-Mediated Schelling Model

    One landlord per neighbourhood, he has an unknown price function p(ρ).Agents have a new utility function u(ρ)− αp(ρ)We look for a stationary state which maximizes :

    H =Q∑

    q=1

    ∫ ρq0

    (u(ρ)− αp(ρ))dρ

    with∑Q

    q=1 ρq = Qρ̄. Under the hypothesis that:

    - all landlords have the same price function as a function of density

    - the stationary state is reached when all landlords have the same profit ρp(ρ)

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  • 15/21 Market-Mediated Schelling Model

    Concave case : the stationary state is homogeneous.Convex case : there is segregation(ρ1, ρ2), the conservation of the number ofinhabitants and the stationary state condition give∫ ρ2

    ρ1

    (u(ρ)− αp(ρ))dρ = ρ2u(ρ2)− ρ1u(ρ1)

    No natural p(ρ) gives a segregated state.

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  • Embedded Animation 16/21 Market-Mediated Schelling Dynamics

    A simulation where the landlords are blind, they change their prices randomly, keepingthe new value if they make a higher profit on the next step.

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  • Conclusion

    - A simple model which does not converge to a situation that maximizes individualutilities

    - It is not obvious that a housing market helps avoiding segregation, or evenallows a stationary state

    Thank you for your attention !

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  • 18/21 References

    Thomas C. Schelling.Dynamic models of segregation.Journal of Mathematical Sociology, pages 143–186, 1971.

    Sebastien Grauwin, Dominc Hunt, Eric Bertin, and Pablo Jensen.Effective free energy for individuals dynamics.Advances in Complex Systems, pages 529–536, 2011.

    Pablo Jensen, Thomas Matreux, Jordan Cambe, Hernan Larralde, and Eric Bertin.

    Giant catalytic effect of altruists in schelling’s segregation model.Physical Review Letter, page 208301, may 2018.

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  • Evolution of a city

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  • 20/21 Market-Mediated Schelling Dynamics

    Every million steps :

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  • 21/21 Market-Mediated Schelling Dynamics

    Every 4 millions steps :

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    Schelling modelPresentationFree energy

    SimulationsEvolution of a cityAnnealed dynamicsActivation Barrier

    Market-Mediated Schelling ModelStationary StateWith Evolving Landlords

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