RETURN PATH DATA: LESSONS LEARNED & MEASURING THE...

30
Copyright © 2017 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary. Brian Fuhrer SVP - Product Leadership 2017 August RETURN PATH DATA: LESSONS LEARNED & MEASURING THE CONNECTED VIEWER

Transcript of RETURN PATH DATA: LESSONS LEARNED & MEASURING THE...

Page 1: RETURN PATH DATA: LESSONS LEARNED & MEASURING THE ...pamro.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/08/return-path... · Source: Nielsen Common Homes, May 2016 Includes all Reportable Networks

Copyright © 2017 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.

Brian Fuhrer

SVP - Product Leadership

2017 August

RETURN PATH DATA: LESSONS LEARNED & MEASURING THE CONNECTED VIEWER

Page 2: RETURN PATH DATA: LESSONS LEARNED & MEASURING THE ...pamro.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/08/return-path... · Source: Nielsen Common Homes, May 2016 Includes all Reportable Networks

2Cop

yri

gh

t ©

20

17

Th

e N

iels

en

Com

pa

ny.

Co

nfid

en

tia

l a

nd

pro

pri

eta

ry.

Drivers of Change

Buyers and sellers want “currency” to reflect ecosystem opportunities

Challenges Solutions

Fragmentation of audience based

on expanded options

Distribution across digital and

mobile devices

Consumers extending time shifting

window

New disruptive distribution

platforms

Panel expansions, supplemental

panels, RPD

Digital measurement beyond the

TV glass

Provide measurement beyond

traditionally adopted intervals

Develop measurement techniques

to capture all video consumption

Page 3: RETURN PATH DATA: LESSONS LEARNED & MEASURING THE ...pamro.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/08/return-path... · Source: Nielsen Common Homes, May 2016 Includes all Reportable Networks

3Cop

yri

gh

t ©

20

17

Th

e N

iels

en

Com

pa

ny.

Co

nfid

en

tia

l a

nd

pro

pri

eta

ry.

The Total Audience Story Continues To Unfold

C3/C7

Digital in TV

Ratings

Digital Ad Ratings

Total Ad Ratings

Digital Content

Ratings

VOD Content

Ratings

Out Of Home

Total Content

Ratings

Page 4: RETURN PATH DATA: LESSONS LEARNED & MEASURING THE ...pamro.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/08/return-path... · Source: Nielsen Common Homes, May 2016 Includes all Reportable Networks

4Cop

yri

gh

t ©

20

17

Th

e N

iels

en

Com

pa

ny.

Co

nfid

en

tia

l a

nd

pro

pri

eta

ry.

Co

pyri

gh

t ©

20

17

Th

e N

iels

en

Com

pa

ny.

Con

fid

en

tia

l a

nd

pro

pri

eta

ry.

Return Path Data

Tuning data that cable and

satellite providers can

collect from their

subscribers’ set-top boxes

Not all Set-top boxes are return path capable

The scope of available data varies by provider, not all providers

capture Time Shifted Viewing

Return Path data is not “plug and play” into television ratings

WHAT IS RETURN PATH DATA (RPD)?

Page 5: RETURN PATH DATA: LESSONS LEARNED & MEASURING THE ...pamro.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/08/return-path... · Source: Nielsen Common Homes, May 2016 Includes all Reportable Networks

5Cop

yri

gh

t ©

20

17

Th

e N

iels

en

Com

pa

ny.

Co

nfid

en

tia

l a

nd

pro

pri

eta

ry.

Co

pyri

gh

t ©

20

17

Th

e N

iels

en

Com

pa

ny.

Con

fid

en

tia

l a

nd

pro

pri

eta

ry.

IS WHAT YOU SEE WHAT YOU REALLY GET?

Quantity Quality

Opportunity to View Actual Viewer

Return Path Data (RPD) Census

Page 6: RETURN PATH DATA: LESSONS LEARNED & MEASURING THE ...pamro.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/08/return-path... · Source: Nielsen Common Homes, May 2016 Includes all Reportable Networks

6Cop

yri

gh

t ©

20

17

Th

e N

iels

en

Com

pa

ny.

Co

nfid

en

tia

l a

nd

pro

pri

eta

ry.

Cop

yri

gh

t ©

20

17

Th

e N

iels

en

Com

pa

ny.

Co

nfid

en

tia

l a

nd

pro

pri

eta

ry.

THE IMPORTANCE OF PANELS IN

INTEGRATING STB DATA

IS THE SET ON OR OFF?

WHO IS IN THE HOME?

WHO IS WATCHING?

IS THE VIEWING DIFFERENT IN STB

HOMES NOT RETURNING DATA?

Page 7: RETURN PATH DATA: LESSONS LEARNED & MEASURING THE ...pamro.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/08/return-path... · Source: Nielsen Common Homes, May 2016 Includes all Reportable Networks

7Cop

yri

gh

t ©

20

17

Th

e N

iels

en

Com

pa

ny.

Co

nfid

en

tia

l a

nd

pro

pri

eta

ry.

Co

pyri

gh

t ©

20

17

Th

e N

iels

en

Com

pa

ny.

Con

fid

en

tia

l a

nd

pro

pri

eta

ry.

COMMON HOME ANALYSISNielsen’s Unique Ability to understand accuracy, quality and coverage of STB Data

Directly Comparing Nielsen Homes to Return Path Data

STEP 1

STEP 2

STEP 3

HH CHARACTERISTIC ACCURACY CHECK

COMPARE PANEL TUNING TO PROVIDER TUNING DATA

ADJUST AND CORRECT KNOW DISCREPANCIES

Page 8: RETURN PATH DATA: LESSONS LEARNED & MEASURING THE ...pamro.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/08/return-path... · Source: Nielsen Common Homes, May 2016 Includes all Reportable Networks

8Cop

yri

gh

t ©

20

17

Th

e N

iels

en

Com

pa

ny.

Co

nfid

en

tia

l a

nd

pro

pri

eta

ry.

Cop

yri

gh

t ©

20

17

Th

e N

iels

en

Com

pa

ny.

Co

nfid

en

tia

l a

nd

pro

pri

eta

ry.

8

NIELSEN PANEL HOME

Page 9: RETURN PATH DATA: LESSONS LEARNED & MEASURING THE ...pamro.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/08/return-path... · Source: Nielsen Common Homes, May 2016 Includes all Reportable Networks

9Cop

yri

gh

t ©

20

17

Th

e N

iels

en

Com

pa

ny.

Co

nfid

en

tia

l a

nd

pro

pri

eta

ry.

Cop

yri

gh

t ©

20

17

Th

e N

iels

en

Com

pa

ny.

Co

nfid

en

tia

l a

nd

pro

pri

eta

ry.

9

NIELSEN PANEL HOME

SET TOP BOX DATA

Page 10: RETURN PATH DATA: LESSONS LEARNED & MEASURING THE ...pamro.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/08/return-path... · Source: Nielsen Common Homes, May 2016 Includes all Reportable Networks

10Cop

yri

gh

t ©

20

17

Th

e N

iels

en

Com

pa

ny.

Co

nfid

en

tia

l a

nd

pro

pri

eta

ry.

Cop

yri

gh

t ©

20

17

Th

e N

iels

en

Com

pa

ny.

Co

nfid

en

tia

l a

nd

pro

pri

eta

ry.

10

NIELSEN PANEL HOME

SET TOP BOX DATA

NIELSEN METER DATA

Page 11: RETURN PATH DATA: LESSONS LEARNED & MEASURING THE ...pamro.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/08/return-path... · Source: Nielsen Common Homes, May 2016 Includes all Reportable Networks

11Cop

yri

gh

t ©

20

17

Th

e N

iels

en

Com

pa

ny.

Co

nfid

en

tia

l a

nd

pro

pri

eta

ry.

Cop

yri

gh

t ©

20

17

Th

e N

iels

en

Com

pa

ny.

Co

nfid

en

tia

l a

nd

pro

pri

eta

ry.

11

NIELSEN PANEL HOME

SET TOP BOX DATA

NIELSEN METER DATA

SAME HOME/SAME TVs

Page 12: RETURN PATH DATA: LESSONS LEARNED & MEASURING THE ...pamro.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/08/return-path... · Source: Nielsen Common Homes, May 2016 Includes all Reportable Networks

12Cop

yri

gh

t ©

20

17

Th

e N

iels

en

Com

pa

ny.

Co

nfid

en

tia

l a

nd

pro

pri

eta

ry.

Cop

yri

gh

t ©

20

17

Th

e N

iels

en

Com

pa

ny.

Co

nfid

en

tia

l a

nd

pro

pri

eta

ry.

COMMON HOMES IDENTIFIES ERRORS

12

NIELSEN PANEL HOME

SET TOP BOX DATA

NIELSEN METER DATA

X

SIDE-BY-SIDE COMP

SAME HOME/SAME TVs

Page 13: RETURN PATH DATA: LESSONS LEARNED & MEASURING THE ...pamro.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/08/return-path... · Source: Nielsen Common Homes, May 2016 Includes all Reportable Networks

Copyright © 2017 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.

WHAT ARE THE ISSUES WE FOUND WE NEED

TO CORRECT IN STB DATA?

13

Page 14: RETURN PATH DATA: LESSONS LEARNED & MEASURING THE ...pamro.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/08/return-path... · Source: Nielsen Common Homes, May 2016 Includes all Reportable Networks

14Cop

yri

gh

t ©

20

17

Th

e N

iels

en

Com

pa

ny.

Co

nfid

en

tia

l a

nd

pro

pri

eta

ry.

Co

pyri

gh

t ©

20

17

Th

e N

iels

en

Com

pa

ny.

Con

fid

en

tia

l a

nd

pro

pri

eta

ry.

TUNING ISSUES IN STB DATA REQUIRING

CORRECTIONS

Spikes In Viewing,

Often in Key

Dayparts, Inflating

HUT while

Depressing Shares

Gaps in Viewing, No

TSV, Overstating Live

Viewing and Random

Inaccuracies in

Reporting Station

Audiences

Assigning Viewing

Incorrectly to

Wrong Program,

Creating Incorrect

Audience Data

Page 15: RETURN PATH DATA: LESSONS LEARNED & MEASURING THE ...pamro.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/08/return-path... · Source: Nielsen Common Homes, May 2016 Includes all Reportable Networks

15Cop

yri

gh

t ©

20

17

Th

e N

iels

en

Com

pa

ny.

Co

nfid

en

tia

l a

nd

pro

pri

eta

ry.

Co

pyri

gh

t ©

20

17

Th

e N

iels

en

Com

pa

ny.

Con

fid

en

tia

l a

nd

pro

pri

eta

ry.

CORRECTING MIS-ASSIGNED TUNING

7.0%

8.8%

4.2%

7.2%

4.4%5.9%

2.9%

27.3%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

Affiliate A Affiliate B Affiliate C Affiliate D

% of Tuning Minutes

NPM

RPD

Source: Nielsen Common Homes, May 2016

Page 16: RETURN PATH DATA: LESSONS LEARNED & MEASURING THE ...pamro.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/08/return-path... · Source: Nielsen Common Homes, May 2016 Includes all Reportable Networks

16Cop

yri

gh

t ©

20

17

Th

e N

iels

en

Com

pa

ny.

Co

nfid

en

tia

l a

nd

pro

pri

eta

ry.

Cop

yri

gh

t ©

20

17

Th

e N

iels

en

Com

pa

ny.

Co

nfid

en

tia

l a

nd

pro

pri

eta

ry.

CORRECTED INPUT DATA

Source: Nielsen Common Homes, May 2016

Includes all Reportable Networks and Stations for the May 2016 NSI Measurement Period

Network and Station Crediting – Time-Shifted Viewing

74% ENTITIES CORRECTLY IDENTIFIED BEFORE NIELSEN FIXES

ENTITIES CORRECTLY IDENTIFIED AFTER NIELSEN FIXES 96%

HIGH-QUALITY PANELS AND THE SCIENCE TO APPLY THEM ARE CRITICAL

Page 17: RETURN PATH DATA: LESSONS LEARNED & MEASURING THE ...pamro.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/08/return-path... · Source: Nielsen Common Homes, May 2016 Includes all Reportable Networks

17Cop

yri

gh

t ©

20

17

Th

e N

iels

en

Com

pa

ny.

Co

nfid

en

tia

l a

nd

pro

pri

eta

ry.

Cop

yri

gh

t ©

20

17

Th

e N

iels

en

Com

pa

ny.

Co

nfid

en

tia

l a

nd

pro

pri

eta

ry.

CORRECTED INPUT DATA

Source: Nielsen Common Homes, May 2016

Includes all Reportable Networks and Stations for the May 2016 NSI Measurement Period

Time Crediting – Time-Shifted Viewing

PROVIDER DATA CREDITS

DAYTIME DRAMA

NIELSEN PANEL CREDITS

LOCAL NEWS

DRAMA INCORRECT CREDITING YIELDS

INCORRECT AUDIENCE ESTIMATES

SOME PROVIDERS SHOW

100%INCORRECT CREDITING

WITHOUT THE RIGHT CALIBRATIONS BIG DATA CAN BE JUST WRONG DATA

Page 18: RETURN PATH DATA: LESSONS LEARNED & MEASURING THE ...pamro.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/08/return-path... · Source: Nielsen Common Homes, May 2016 Includes all Reportable Networks

Copyright © 2017 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.

WHAT ARE THE END RESULTS ONCE WE

BRING TOGETHER MEASUREMENT FOR THIS

MARKET?

18

Page 19: RETURN PATH DATA: LESSONS LEARNED & MEASURING THE ...pamro.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/08/return-path... · Source: Nielsen Common Homes, May 2016 Includes all Reportable Networks

19Cop

yri

gh

t ©

20

17

Th

e N

iels

en

Com

pa

ny.

Co

nfid

en

tia

l a

nd

pro

pri

eta

ry.

Cop

yri

gh

t ©

20

17

Th

e N

iels

en

Com

pa

ny.

Co

nfid

en

tia

l a

nd

pro

pri

eta

ry.

BENEFITS OF METERS + RETURN PATH DATA

NewsFewer Swings, More Stability

Better Gauge of Performance

SalesMore Accurate Projections

Fewer Make-Goods

PromotionMore Stability brings Confidence in Marketing

Plans

Fewer Reactionary Mornings

ProgrammingLess Bounce, Confidence in Programming

Decisions

Page 20: RETURN PATH DATA: LESSONS LEARNED & MEASURING THE ...pamro.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/08/return-path... · Source: Nielsen Common Homes, May 2016 Includes all Reportable Networks

Copyright © 2017 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.

MEASURING THE CONNECTED VIEWER

Page 21: RETURN PATH DATA: LESSONS LEARNED & MEASURING THE ...pamro.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/08/return-path... · Source: Nielsen Common Homes, May 2016 Includes all Reportable Networks

21Cop

yri

gh

t ©

20

17

Th

e N

iels

en

Com

pa

ny.

Co

nfid

en

tia

l a

nd

pro

pri

eta

ry.

MORE MEDIA OPTIONS FILLING UP CONSUMERS’ DAY

Weekly Time Spent Based on the Total US Population Based on Qtr 1, P18+

Source: Nielsen Total Audience Report and Audience Insights Analysis

0

7

14

21

28

36

43

50

57

64

72

79

86

2002 2007 2012 2017

Tablet

Smartphone

PC

Multimedia Device

VCR

Game Console

DVD / Blu-Ray

Time-Shifted TV

Live TV

Radio

Ho

urs

pe

r W

ee

k

Page 22: RETURN PATH DATA: LESSONS LEARNED & MEASURING THE ...pamro.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/08/return-path... · Source: Nielsen Common Homes, May 2016 Includes all Reportable Networks

22Cop

yri

gh

t ©

20

17

Th

e N

iels

en

Com

pa

ny.

Co

nfid

en

tia

l a

nd

pro

pri

eta

ry.

VIDEO GAMESVOD DVR

DEVICE OWNERSHIP/ACCESS – Q2 16 VS. 17

Source: Nielsen National Panel (Scaled Installed Count) 2/15/2016 vs. 2/15/2017

HD TV SMARTPHONE DVD VOD TABLET

96% 87% 72% 62%

+2% +5% -7% -1% +5%

59% 54%

+11% +5% -2% +29%

33%

MULTIMEDIA

DEVICE

+24%

ENABLED

SMART TV

+27%

YOY DIFF%

63%

43% 31%

Page 23: RETURN PATH DATA: LESSONS LEARNED & MEASURING THE ...pamro.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/08/return-path... · Source: Nielsen Common Homes, May 2016 Includes all Reportable Networks

23Cop

yri

gh

t ©

20

17

Th

e N

iels

en

Com

pa

ny.

Co

nfid

en

tia

l a

nd

pro

pri

eta

ry.

TOTAL CONTENT BEYOND LINEARAverage minutes per person per day

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

P2-11 P12-17 P18-24 P25-34 P35-54 P55+

Q1 2007

Q1 2008

Q1 2009

Q1 2010

Q1 2011

Q1 2012

Q1 2013

Q1 2014

Q1 2015

Q1 2016

Q1 2017

Source: Nielsen National Data, Total Day, Average Minutes Per Person Per Day, Total Usage Minus Live and Time-shifted Viewing.

Page 24: RETURN PATH DATA: LESSONS LEARNED & MEASURING THE ...pamro.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/08/return-path... · Source: Nielsen Common Homes, May 2016 Includes all Reportable Networks

24Cop

yri

gh

t ©

20

17

Th

e N

iels

en

Com

pa

ny.

Co

nfid

en

tia

l a

nd

pro

pri

eta

ry.

IMPACT OF TV CONNECTED DEVICES

Source: Feb 15, 2017 – Nielsen National Panell. Digital Streaming Devices (Amazon FireTV, Apple TV, Google Chromecast, Roku). Enabled Video Game Consoles (Sony

Playstation, Microsoft Xbox, Nintendo Wii).

73 MILLION or 62% of TV

households

have at least one of these devices

DIGITAL

STREAMING

DEVICES

INTERNET-ENABLED

VIDEO GAME

CONSOLES

INTERNET-

ENABLED

SMART TVS

Page 25: RETURN PATH DATA: LESSONS LEARNED & MEASURING THE ...pamro.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/08/return-path... · Source: Nielsen Common Homes, May 2016 Includes all Reportable Networks

25Cop

yri

gh

t ©

20

17

Th

e N

iels

en

Com

pa

ny.

Co

nfid

en

tia

l a

nd

pro

pri

eta

ry.

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

P2-11 P12-17 P18-24 P25-34 P35-54 P55+

Q1 2012

Q1 2013

Q1 2014

Q1 2015

Q1 2016

Q1 2017

INTERNET CONNECTED DEVICE USAGEAverage minutes per person per day

Source: Nielsen National Data – Internet Connected Device Usage (Multimedia Device and Smart TV, excludes Videogame Console).

Page 26: RETURN PATH DATA: LESSONS LEARNED & MEASURING THE ...pamro.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/08/return-path... · Source: Nielsen Common Homes, May 2016 Includes all Reportable Networks

26Cop

yri

gh

t ©

20

17

Th

e N

iels

en

Com

pa

ny.

Co

nfid

en

tia

l a

nd

pro

pri

eta

ry.

SUBSCRIPTION VIDEO ON DEMANDPercent of TV households with access

Source: Nielsen National Panel (Scaled Installed Count) June 2014, 2015, 2016, 2017

38%

33%

11%

6%

45%

41%

16%

8%

53%

48%

23%

12%

59%

53%

31%

13%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

Any SVOD Netflix Amazon Hulu

2014

2015

2016

2017

Page 27: RETURN PATH DATA: LESSONS LEARNED & MEASURING THE ...pamro.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/08/return-path... · Source: Nielsen Common Homes, May 2016 Includes all Reportable Networks

27Cop

yri

gh

t ©

20

17

Th

e N

iels

en

Com

pa

ny.

Co

nfid

en

tia

l a

nd

pro

pri

eta

ry.

STREAMING INSIGHTSStreaming accounts for 13% of all TV usage among over-the-top capable homes

Custom Streaming Meter Usage Report, Sum of Daily Streaming Minutes – Unweighted, P2+, 6/26/17 – 7/23/17

50%

11%

7%

6%

26%

Video Streaming % Distribution

Netflix Youtube Hulu Amazon Others

13%

% of Streaming

Other Usage Video Streaming

Page 28: RETURN PATH DATA: LESSONS LEARNED & MEASURING THE ...pamro.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/08/return-path... · Source: Nielsen Common Homes, May 2016 Includes all Reportable Networks

28Cop

yri

gh

t ©

20

17

Th

e N

iels

en

Com

pa

ny.

Co

nfid

en

tia

l a

nd

pro

pri

eta

ry.

STREAMING CONSUMPTION BY AGE

Custom Streaming Meter Usage Report, Sum of Daily Streaming Minutes – Unweighted, P2+, 6/26/17 – 7/23/17

More than a fifth of all TV usage is Video Streaming for the P2-34 demo

87%80% 78% 79% 76%

91% 95%

13%20% 22% 21% 24%

9% 5%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

P2+ P2-11 P12-17 P18-24 P25-34 P35-54 P55+

% of Streaming out of Total Usage of TV

Other Usage Video Streaming

Page 29: RETURN PATH DATA: LESSONS LEARNED & MEASURING THE ...pamro.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/08/return-path... · Source: Nielsen Common Homes, May 2016 Includes all Reportable Networks

29Cop

yri

gh

t ©

20

17

Th

e N

iels

en

Com

pa

ny.

Co

nfid

en

tia

l a

nd

pro

pri

eta

ry.

KEY TAKEAWAYSOngoing Shifts In Consumer Behavior Require Measurement Solutions

• Media Options, the More the Merrier

• Consumers are Getting Connected—

In More Ways Than One!

• SVOD Services Continue to Make Gains

• More Ways To Access Content Results in

Happier Consumers

Page 30: RETURN PATH DATA: LESSONS LEARNED & MEASURING THE ...pamro.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/08/return-path... · Source: Nielsen Common Homes, May 2016 Includes all Reportable Networks

Copyright © 2017 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.