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Retailing in the UK Market Summary & Forecasts Comprehensive overview of the market, consumer, and competitive context, with retail sales value and forecasts to 2019 Report Code: RT0220MR Published: August 2015 Report Price: US$4,950 (Single Copy)

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www.Conlumino-winesandspirits.com

Retailing in the UK – Market Summary & Forecasts Comprehensive overview of the market, consumer, and competitive context, with retail sales value and

forecasts to 2019

Report Code: RT0220MR

Published: August 2015

Report Price: US$4,950 (Single Copy)

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Retailing in the UK – Market Summary & Forecasts

Published: August 2015

Summary

The UK became fifth largest economy in the world by surpassing France in 2014 and it is also the second

largest economy in Europe. Retail sales in UK were anemic in 2009 due to the global financial crisis and

recorded signs of growth since 2010. Online sector has seen a significant growth in the past five years

and has doubled its market share as more and more customers are relying on online for their purchases.

Consumers’ spending is one of the factors driving UK’s economy and retail sector accounts for

approximately x% of the economy. The retail sales in UK stand at GBP xxx billion in 2014 and is

forecasted to reach GBP xxx billion by 2019.

Key Findings

The UK became the fifth largest economy of the world by surpassing France in 2014 and it’s also

the second largest economy in Europe.

Consumers’ spending is one of the factors driving UK’s economy and retail sector accounts for

approximately x% of the economy.

A robust internet infrastructure and high internet penetration, increasingly at fast broadband

speeds, have been driving the UK online retail market.

Chinese visitors remain as the major contributors to the UK’s retail market.

The increasing popularity of shopping through mobile devices has led to an increase in the share

of m-commerce towards total e-commerce sales in the UK.

Online sales of food and grocery have superseded sales growth through the offline channel, as

more consumers shopped for groceries online

Growth in clothing and footwear segments is fueled by the consumers’ expectations for a

continuous up gradation in product offerings

Reasons to Buy

Gain a comprehensive knowledge on 26 products across 12 product sectors in the UK’s retail

market and develop a competitive advantage around consumer behavior trends from the start of

your supply chain

Explore novel opportunities that will allow you to align your product offerings and strategies to

meet demand by analyzing the vital economic and population trends, key consumer and

technology trends influencing the retail market

Investigate current and forecast behavior trends in each category to identify the best opportunities

to exploit

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Retailing in the UK – Market Summary & Forecasts

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Analyze the recommended actions to align your marketing strategies with the crucial trends

influencing the consumer behavior

Understand the fastest growing categories in the market with insights on performance of

individual product categories, across key channels from 2009, with forecasts until 2019

Analysis of key international and domestic players operating in the UK’s retail market – including

store counts and revenues that give you a competitive edge - identify opportunities to improve

your market share

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Retailing in the UK – Market Summary & Forecasts

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1. Retail Topline

1.1 Total Retail

The UK’s retail sector was badly hit during the recession. However, retail sales in the UK started to grow

gradually from late 2012. Despite sluggish economic growth and challenging market conditions, retail

sales in the UK stood at GBP xxx billion in 2014 and are forecast to reach GBP xxx billion by 2019. A

declining unemployment rate and rapidly improving housing market in 2014 helped UK consumers to

regain their confidence and helped consumers bring forward consumption. Consumer spending is one of

the key factors driving UK’s economy and the retail sector accounted for approximately x% of the

economy in 2014.

Categories such as Food &Grocery, Clothing, Health &Beauty, Electrical &Electronics, and Home

&Garden products will have higher rates of growth. The Food &Grocery category is expected to achieve

the highest growth in terms of values over the forecast period. The growth is driven by the increasing

number of people in the work force, the emerging middle class, and an affluent population with higher

spending levels. Conversely, categories such as Music, Video &Entertainment Software, Electrical

&Electronics, Books, News, &Stationery, and Jewelry, Watches &Accessories have strong online

penetration.

The UK is the largest online retail market in Europe, and the third largest in the world after the US and

China. Online retail in the UK has gained widespread popularity and the channel accounted for xx% of

total retail sales in 2014; it has been one of the main factors driving the overall retail market in the UK and

is the fastest growing channel in the country. Online retail has been a bright spot for many retailers, while

growth in physical retail has been fairly lackluster. Retailers from almost all sectors have entered online

retailing in order to capture available growth in the channel, and to attract consumers as sales in physical

stores decline.

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Retailing in the UK – Market Summary & Forecasts

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Figure 1: Retail Sales Value and Growth (GBP Billion, %) 2006–2014 xxx

xxx

xxx

xxx

xxx

xxx

xxx

xxx

xxx

xx%

xx%

-xx%

xx%

xx%

xx%

xx%xx%

-x%

-x%

x%

x%

x%

x%

x%

x%

xxx

xxx

xxx

xxx

xxx

xxx

xxx

xxx

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Yo

Y S

ale

s G

row

th in

(%

)

Re

tail S

ale

s (

GB

P b

illi

on

)

Retail Sales (GBP billion) YoY Sales Growth (%)

Source: : World Bank Development Indicators and Conlumino 2015 / © Conlumino

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Figure 2: Retail Sales as % of Total Consumer Spend (%), 2006 and 2014

xx%

xx%

2014

xx%

xx%

2006

Retail Sales as .Percentage of total Consumer Spending (%)

Others (%)

Source: Conlumino 2015 © Conlumino

Figure 3: Total Retail Sales and Growth Rate(GBP Billion, %), 2014 & 2019

xxx xxxxxx

xxx

xxx

xxx

xxx

xxx

xxx

xxx

xxx

2014 2019

Re

tail S

ale

s (

GB

P b

illi

on

)

Retail Sales (GBP billion)

CAGR+xx%

Source: Conlumino 2015 © Conlumino

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Retail – Product Sectors

2.1 Product Sector Analysis

Electrical and Electronics

Electrical and electronics is expected to perform better in the coming years compared to a negative growth in the review period, which was hugely impacted by the poor economic environment. The sector will witness a sluggish growth over the forecast period, as consumers continue to postpone their big ticket purchases. The replacement cycles of electronics products have somehow stretched over the years, which in turn have, had a negative impact on the segment. Online will be the most preferred channel among the Brits to shop for electrical and electronics products, which is expected to be the fastest, as well as the largest, channel group surpassing the others

Figure 4: Share of Electrical and Electronics in overall Retail 2014 and 2019

xx%

2014

xx%

2019

Electrical andElectronics

Source: Conlumino 2015 © Conlumino

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Figure 5: Retail Sales Value and Growth (GBP Billion, %) of Electrical and Electronics 2014-2019 xx

xx

xx

xx

xx

xx

-xx%l -xx%l -xx%l

-xx%l

-xx%l

-0.5%

-0.5%

-0.4%

-0.4%

-0.3%

-0.3%

-0.2%

-0.2%

-0.1%

-0.1%

0.0%

xx

xx

xx

xx

xx

xx

xx

xx

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Yo

Y S

ale

s G

row

th in

(%

)

Ele

ctr

ical

an

d E

lectr

on

ics S

ale

s i

n

(EU

R b

illio

n)

Electrical and Electronics Sales in (GBP billion) YoY Sales Growth (%)

Source: Conlumino 2015 © Conlumino

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Retailing in the UK – Market Summary & Forecasts

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Summary Methodology

Overview

All data in this series of retail reports from Conlumino is rigorously sourced using a comprehensive,

standardized methodology. This methodology ensures that all data is thoroughly researched and cross–

checked against a number of sources and validation processes. At the core of this methodology is a

triangulated market sizing approach, which ensures that results from different sources and approaches,

including Conlumino’s own industry surveys, are compared and a final consensus number between these

inputs is derived. In addition, standardized processes and quality controls across the entire data

collection, analysis and publication process ensure compliance and cross–checking of the data occurs at

each stage of the methodology.

The triangulated market sizing method

The triangulation method ensures that the results from three distinct phases of the research are brought

together and cross–compared before finalized market numbers are derived:

1. Existing internal resources: as retail data is compiled using a rolling annual program of industry research, the first stage of producing the data is to review the existing internal information, both from the last major data release, as well as that which has been collected on an ongoing basis throughout the year. This includes inputs about market as well as individual retailer performance. These sources are then reviewed and incorporated into data collection processes and databases before the second intensive phase of desk research.

2. Extensive desk research: this phase of the methodology incorporates the main phase of secondary research. This research is initially conducted across a wealth of information sources, as listed below. In addition, the results of any relevant surveys from other Conlumino projects are also fed into data collection sheets. Online industry surveys can include industry opinion surveys of retailers’ — and their suppliers’ — sentiment and consumer surveys of purchasing and retail behavior. Secondary sources include, but are not limited to, the following:

a. Industry surveys b. Industry and trade association research c. Trade portals d. Company filings and analyst presentations e. Broker and investment analyst reports f. International organizations g. Government statistics h. Retail media i. National Press, including both business and consumer titles

3. Market modeling: the next stage in the process is to feed the results of the above into market

models, which also include drive–based forecasting tools — which analyze drivers such as disposable

income, product uptake, macro–economic drivers and market momentum — in order to fill in any gaps in

the data and update forecast numbers. At this stage, the market models also look to update channel

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Retailing in the UK – Market Summary & Forecasts

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distribution data sets. For example, information found at the research and trend monitoring stage on

online retail sales would directly affect the channel distribution models.

4. Data finalization: the final stage of the process is the true triangulation of all the previous inputs.

At this stage data is created using the inputs to hand in a bottom–up fashion, starting with the inputs from

each of the previous three stages of the process for each data point to be published. This is done for all

the product, channel and country combinations covered in the data. At this stage, therefore, the project

analysts are constantly evaluating and deciding upon the relative merits of each of the inputs from the

research processes. Once a triangulated set of data has been finalized, these outputs are then thoroughly

cross–checked using a series of top–down checks which review the data against a series of reference

benchmarking, including known overall retail sizes, growth trends and per–capita spending rates.

Figure 6: The Triangulated Market Sizing Methodology

Source: Conlumino 2015 / © Conlumino

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Industry surveys in the creation of retail market data

Stage 2 of the above process includes using the outputs of Conlumino’s surveys of consumers’ packaged

goods consumption and industry opinion. Every year Conlumino completes a large scale survey, with

over 120,000 responses, covering CPG purchasing and consumption habits in 10 core retail markets

around the globe. This major study, cross-referenced against the primary telephone research of product

market sizes by country, provides outputs against which relevant retail market data, focusing on the

grocery channel and core products in this channel are assessed. It should be noted that overall, this feeds

research into 3 of the 25 product categories covered. In addition, any other suitable surveys conducted by

Conlumino which also provide information on retail markets are mined for information to be put into the

data finalization process.

Quality control and standardized processes

Crucial to the function of the above method is the adoption of strict definitions for all products and

channels, and adherence to a standardized process at each and every stage in the methodology. By

following this approach all data is made cross-comparable across countries to ensure that analysis adds

to the understanding of market dynamics and trends.

The key elements of this approach are:

Strict channel definitions: the definition of each channel is the same in every country;

Strict product definitions: the definition of each product is the same in every country;

Standardized processes:

o Data capture – all data received as part of the research is captured in standardized files and in a

standard format. Any workings that analysts carry out on inputs, for example to correct for

misalignment in category coverage, are also covered in these sheets

o Data creation – all modeling and forecasting approaches are standardized in order to ensure

consistency

o Finalization and verification – systematic methods and approaches are used to finalize data

points

Country by country research structure: all research is conducted country by country in order to

ensure that market data reflect local market trends and contexts

Data checks during “bottom-up” creation: during the data creation and finalization stage analysts

refer back to initial sources and inputs in order to ensure accuracy in the data

Top down data audits and cross-checks: a large series of cross-checks across all the different

dimensions of the final data sets are run in order to identify any outliers or trends that do not fit with

Conlumino’s market understanding, as well as to conduct specific analyses against set proofing

criteria, such as abnormal growth rate changes, verifying data at both the overall and detailed level

against research inputs and checking per capita spends against other analysis of consumers’

spending in a country

Hierarchical review processes: finally, all of the above processes are subject to a hierarchical

review process which ensures that not only the core analysts within a team look at the data, but that

at each stage data is passed through several management layers in order that queries and data

review and sign-off are completed before any final data can be published

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Table of Contents

1. Introduction .................................................................................................9

1.1 What is this Report About? .................................................................................. 9

2. Executive Summary & Outlook ................................................................ 10

3. Market Context .......................................................................................... 12

3.1 UK’s economy takes a deep lurch due to Global recession ............................... 12

3.1.1 UK economy saw a nascent recovery after global financial crisis .................................... 12

3.1.2 Uncertain economic conditions led to a surge in savings rate .......................................... 15

3.1.3 Service sector remains the dominant sector for employment ........................................... 16

3.1.4 UK’s unemployment rate falls to a record low ................................................................... 17

3.1.5 Inflation rate is down to a decade low ............................................................................... 18

3.1.6 Consumer spending is one of the main drivers for the UK’s recovery .............................. 19

3.2 Britain registers a strong population growth in Europe ....................................... 21

4. UK Shoppers .............................................................................................. 24

4.1 Click-and-collect services gained popularity among UK shoppers ..................... 24

4.2 Online retailing on special days such as Black Friday, Cyber Monday, and Manic

Monday have witnessed record-breaking sales .......................................................... 26

4.3 Price sensitive consumers drive Private-label sales in UK ................................. 27

4.4 Social media effects the purchasing decisions of UK consumers ...................... 28

4.5 Chinese tourists boost retail sales in UK ........................................................... 29

5. Doing Business in UK ............................................................................... 30

5.1 Summary ........................................................................................................... 30

5.1.1 Bureaucracy ...................................................................................................................... 30

5.1.2 Business culture ................................................................................................................ 30

5.1.3 Geography ......................................................................................................................... 30

5.1.4 Infrastructure and logistics ................................................................................................ 30

5.2 Taxation in the UK ............................................................................................. 31

5.2.1 Corporate tax ..................................................................................................................... 31

5.2.2 Withholding tax .................................................................................................................. 31

5.3 Trading Hours Law for Retailers ........................................................................ 32

5.4 Data Protection Law requires Organizations to Respond................................... 32

5.5 Accepting Returns and Giving Refunds: the Law ............................................... 32

6. Internet &Technology ............................................................................... 34

6.1 Internet users rise as more people access the internet through smartphones ... 34

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6.2 Broadband infrastructure to improve, driven by government investments .......... 35

6.3 Mobile devices will account for a larger share of online retailing in the future .... 36

6.4 Technology Trends............................................................................................ 37

6.4.1 Waitrose introduced interactive touch screen customer experience kiosks ..................... 37

6.4.2 Argos offers digital receipts to its customers for counter purchases ................................. 38

6.4.3 Marks & Spencer deploys on-line-in-store interactive self-service terminals .................... 39

7. Retail Topline ............................................................................................. 40

7.1 Total Retail ........................................................................................................ 40

7.1.1 Online Sales & Growth ...................................................................................................... 42

7.2 Summary of product sectors .............................................................................. 43

7.2.1 Share of key product sectors............................................................................................. 43

7.2.2 Key product sectors ........................................................................................................... 44

7.3 Summary of channels ........................................................................................ 46

7.3.1 Spend per Channel ........................................................................................................... 46

7.3.2 Online Penetration of Key Product Sectors ....................................................................... 47

8. Retail – Product Sectors ........................................................................... 49

8.1 Product Sector Analysis .................................................................................... 49

8.1.1 Clothing ............................................................................................................................. 49

8.1.2 Footwear ............................................................................................................................ 55

8.1.3 Books, News and Stationery ............................................................................................. 61

8.1.4 Electrical and Electronics .................................................................................................. 65

8.1.5 Food and Grocery ............................................................................................................. 69

8.1.6 Health and Beauty ............................................................................................................. 73

8.1.7 Furniture and Floor Coverings........................................................................................... 77

8.1.8 Home and Garden Products.............................................................................................. 81

8.1.9 Music, Video and Entertainment Software ........................................................................ 85

8.1.10 Sports and Leisure Equipment .......................................................................................... 89

8.1.11 Jewelry, Watches and Accessories ................................................................................... 93

8.1.12 Luggage and Leather Goods............................................................................................. 97

9. Retailers ................................................................................................... 101

9.1 Clothing ........................................................................................................... 104

9.2 Footwear ......................................................................................................... 106

9.3 Books, News and Stationery ........................................................................... 108

9.4 Electrical and Electronics ................................................................................ 109

9.5 Food and Grocery ........................................................................................... 110

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9.6 Health and Beauty ........................................................................................... 112

9.7 Furniture and Floor Coverings ......................................................................... 114

9.8 Home and Garden Products ............................................................................ 116

9.9 Music, Video and Entertainment Software ....................................................... 117

9.10 Sports & Leisure Equipment ............................................................................ 118

9.11 Jewellery, Watches and Accessories .............................................................. 119

9.12 Luggage and Leather Goods ........................................................................... 120

10. Appendix .................................................................................................. 121

10.1 Definitions ....................................................................................................... 121

10.1.1 This report provides 2014 actual sales; while forecasts are provided for 2014 – 2019 .. 121

10.2 Summary Methodology ................................................................................... 127

10.2.1 Overview .......................................................................................................................... 127

10.2.2 The triangulated market sizing method ........................................................................... 127

10.2.3 Industry surveys in the creation of retail market data ..................................................... 129

10.2.4 Quality control and standardized processes ................................................................... 129

10.3 About Conlumino ............................................................................................. 130

10.4 Disclaimer ....................................................................................................... 130

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List of Figures

Figure 1: GDP Value (US$ billion), 2008–2014E .......................................................................................................................................... 13 Figure 2: Growth Rate of GDP (US$ billion, %), 2008–2014E ...................................................................................................................... 13 Figure 3: GDP Value and Growth (GBP billion, %), 2008–2014E ................................................................................................................. 14 Figure 4: Forecasts for GDP Value and Growth (GBP billion, %), 2014–2019 .............................................................................................. 14 Figure 5: Gross Domestic Savings Rate (% of Disposable Household Income), 2004–2014 ........................................................................ 15 Figure 6: Share of Employment by Sector (%), 2004 and 2014E .................................................................................................................. 16 Figure 7: Unemployment Rate (%), 2004–2014E ......................................................................................................................................... 17 Figure 8: Inflation Rate (%), 2004–2014 ....................................................................................................................................................... 18 Figure 9: Household Consumption Expenditure in UK (GBP billion), 2004 and 2014E ................................................................................. 19 Figure 10: Household Consumption Expenditure of Major Countries (US$ billion), 2014E ........................................................................... 20 Figure 11: Rural and Urban Populations (millions) 2004, 2014, and 2019 .................................................................................................... 20 Figure 12: Total Population and Growth Rate (Millions, %), 2004–2019 ....................................................................................................... 21 Figure 13: Population Split by Gender (%), 2014 and 2019 .......................................................................................................................... 22 Figure 14: Population Split by Age Group (%), 2014 and 2019 ..................................................................................................................... 22 Figure 15: Per Capita Spend on Retail (GBP), 2006 and 2014 ..................................................................................................................... 23 Figure 16: Per Capita Spend (GBP) and Total Retail Spend by Age Group (%), 2006 and 2014 .................................................................. 23 Figure 17: Click-and-collect services of retailers in the UK ........................................................................................................................... 25 Figure 18: 2014 Black Friday and Cyber Monday E-commerce in the UK 2014 ............................................................................................ 26 Figure 19: Private label brands account for more than half of the UK grocery sales ..................................................................................... 27 Figure 20: 2014 Popular Social Media sites in UK ........................................................................................................................................ 28 Figure 21: Chinese visitors in UK ................................................................................................................................................................. 29 Figure 22: Total Number of Internet Users and Penetration (Millions, %), 2004–2014 .................................................................................. 34 Figure 23: Total Number of Fixed Broadband Users and Penetration (Millions, %), 2004–2014 ................................................................... 35 Figure 24: Total Number of Mobile Phone Users and Penetration (Millions, %), 2004–2014 ........................................................................ 36 Figure 25: Waitrose interactive touch screen kiosk ....................................................................................................................................... 37 Figure 26: Argos e-receipt for counter purchases ......................................................................................................................................... 38 Figure 27: Marks & Spencer’s polytouch self-service kiosks......................................................................................................................... 39 Figure 28: Retail Sales Value and Growth (GBP billion, %), 2005–2014 ...................................................................................................... 40 Figure 29: Retail Sales as % of Total Consumer Spend (%), 2006 and 2014 ............................................................................................... 41 Figure 30: Total Retail Sales and Growth Rate (GBP billion, %), 2014 and 2019 ......................................................................................... 41 Figure 31: Online Sales and Growth Rate (GBP billion, %) 2014–2019 ........................................................................................................ 42 Figure 32: Share of Key Product Sectors (%), 2014 and 2019 ..................................................................................................................... 43 Figure 33: Growth Rate of Key Product Sectors vs. Growth of Total Retail (%), 2014–2019 ......................................................................... 44 Figure 34: Value Growth of Key Product Sectors (GBP billion), 2014–2019 ................................................................................................. 45 Figure 35: Spend Per Channel, 2014 and 2019 ........................................................................................................................................... 46 Figure 36: Online Penetration of Key Product Sectors (%), 2014 ................................................................................................................. 47 Figure 37: Online Penetration of Key Product Sectors (%), 2019 ................................................................................................................. 48 Figure 38: Share of Clothing in overall Retail 2014 and 2019 ....................................................................................................................... 49 Figure 39: Retail Sales Value and Growth (GBP billion, %) of Clothing 2014–2019 ...................................................................................... 50 Figure 40: Spend per Head on Clothing 2014 and 2019 ............................................................................................................................... 50 Figure 41: Share of Clothing by Womenswear, Menswear and Childrenswear 2014 and 2019 .................................................................... 51 Figure 42: Womenswear Sales Value and Growth (GBP billion, %) 2014–2019 ........................................................................................... 52 Figure 43: Menswear Sales Value and Growth (GBP billion, %) 2014–2019 ................................................................................................ 52 Figure 44: Childrenswear Sales Value and Growth (GBP billion, %), 2014–2019 ......................................................................................... 53 Figure 45: Online Spend in Clothing and Growth (GBP billion, %), 2014–2019 ............................................................................................ 53 Figure 46: Online Share of Total Clothing Spend 2014 and 2019 ................................................................................................................. 54 Figure 47: Spending per Channel in Clothing (%) 2014 and 2019 ................................................................................................................ 54 Figure 48: Share of Footwear in Total Retail Sales, 2014 and 2019 ............................................................................................................. 55 Figure 49: Retail Sales Value and Growth (GBP billion, %) of Footwear, 2014–2019 ................................................................................... 56 Figure 50: Spend per Head on Footwear, 2014 and 2019 ............................................................................................................................ 56 Figure 51: Share of Footwear by Women’s Footwear, Men’s Footwear and Children’s Footwear 2014 and 2019 ........................................ 57 Figure 52: Women’s Footwear Sales Value and Growth (GBP billion, %), 2014–2019 ................................................................................. 58

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Figure 53: Men’s Footwear Sales Value and Growth (GBP billion, %), 2014–2019 ...................................................................................... 58 Figure 54: Children’s Footwear Sales Value and Growth (GBP billion, %), 2014–2019 ................................................................................ 59 Figure 55: Online Spend in Footwear and Growth (GBP billion, %), 2014–2019 .......................................................................................... 59 Figure 56: Online Share of Total Footwear Spend, 2014 and 2019 .............................................................................................................. 60 Figure 57: Spending per Channel in Footwear (%) 2014 and 2019 .............................................................................................................. 60 Figure 58: Share of Books, News and Stationery in overall Retail, 2014 and 2019 ....................................................................................... 61 Figure 59: Retail Sales Value and Growth (GBP billion, %) of Books, News and Stationery, 2014–2019 ..................................................... 62 Figure 60: Spend per Head on Books, News and Stationery, 2014 and 2019 ............................................................................................... 62 Figure 61: Online Spend in Books, News and Stationery and Growth (GBP billion, %), 2014–2019 ............................................................. 63 Figure 62: Online Share of total Books, News and stationery Spend, 2014 and 2019 .................................................................................. 63 Figure 63: Spending per Channel in Books, News and stationery (%) 2014 and 2019 ................................................................................. 64 Figure 64: Share of Electrical and Electronics in Total Retail Sales, 2014 and 2019 .................................................................................... 65 Figure 65: Retail Sales Value and Growth (GBP billion, %) of Electrical and Electronics, 2014–2019 .......................................................... 66 Figure 66: Spend per Head on Electrical and Electronics, 2014 and 2019 ................................................................................................... 66 Figure 67: Online Spend in Electrical and Electronics and Growth (GBP billion, %), 2014–2019 .................................................................. 67 Figure 68: Online Share of total Electrical and Electronics Spend, 2014 and 2019 ....................................................................................... 67 Figure 69: Spending per Channel in Electrical and Electronics (%) 2014 and 2019 ...................................................................................... 68 Figure 70: Share of Food and Grocery in Total Retail Sales, 2014 and 2019 ............................................................................................... 69 Figure 71: Retail Sales Value and Growth (GBP billion, %) of Food and Grocery, 2014–2019 ..................................................................... 70 Figure 72: Spend per Head on Food and Grocery, 2014 and 2019 .............................................................................................................. 70 Figure 73: Online Spend in Food and Grocery (GBP billion, %) 2014–2019 ................................................................................................. 71 Figure 74: Online Share of total Food and Grocery Spend, 2014 and 2019 .................................................................................................. 71 Figure 75: Spending per Channel in Food and Grocery (%), 2014 and 2019 ................................................................................................ 72 Figure 76: Share of Health and Beauty in Total Retail Sales, 2014 and 2019 ............................................................................................... 73 Figure 77: Retail Sales Value and Growth (GBP billion, %) of Health and beauty, 2014–2019 ..................................................................... 74 Figure 78: Spend per Head on Health and beauty, 2014 and 2019 .............................................................................................................. 74 Figure 79: Online Spend and Growth (GBP billion, %)in Health and beauty, 2014–2019 .............................................................................. 75 Figure 80: Online Share of total Health and beauty Spend, 2014 and 2019.................................................................................................. 75 Figure 81: Spending per Channel in Health and beauty (%) 2014 and 2019 ................................................................................................ 76 Figure 82: Share of Furniture and Floor Coverings in Total Retail Sales, 2014 and 2019 ............................................................................. 77 Figure 83: Retail Sales Value and Growth (GBP billion, %) of Furniture and Floor Coverings, 2014–2019 ................................................... 78 Figure 84: Spend per Head on Furniture and Floor Coverings, 2014 and 2019 ............................................................................................ 78 Figure 85: Online Spend and Growth (GBP billion, %)in Furniture and Floor Coverings, 2014–2019 ........................................................... 79 Figure 86: Online Share of total Furniture and Floor Coverings Spend, 2014 and 2019 ............................................................................... 79 Figure 87: Spending per Channel in Furniture and Floor Coverings (%), 2014 and 2019 ............................................................................. 80 Figure 88: Share of Home and Garden Products in Total Retail Sales, 2014 and 2019 ................................................................................ 81 Figure 89: Retail Sales Value and Growth (GBP billion, %) of Home and Garden Products 2014–2019 ....................................................... 82 Figure 90: Spend per Head on Home and Garden Products, 2014 and 2019 ............................................................................................... 82 Figure 91: Online Spend and Growth (GBP billion, %) in Home and Garden Products, 2014–2019 ............................................................. 83 Figure 92: Online Share of total Home and Garden Products Spend, 2014 and 2019 .................................................................................. 83 Figure 93: Spending per Channel in Home and Garden Products (%), 2014 and 2019 ................................................................................ 84 Figure 94: Share of Music, Video and Entertainment Software in Total Retail Sales, 2014 and 2019 ........................................................... 85 Figure 95: Retail Sales Value and Growth (GBP billion, %) of Music, Video and Entertainment Software, 2014–2019 ................................. 86 Figure 96: Spend per Head on Music, Video and Entertainment Software, 2014 and 2019 .......................................................................... 86 Figure 97: Online Spend and Growth (GBP billion, %)in Music, Video and Entertainment Software, 2014–2019.......................................... 87 Figure 98: Online Share of total Music, Video and Entertainment Software Spend 2014 and 2019 .............................................................. 87 Figure 99: Spending per Channel in Music, Video and Entertainment Software (%), 2014 and 2019 ........................................................... 88 Figure 100: Share of Sports and Leisure Equipment in Total Retail Sales, 2014 and 2019........................................................................... 89 Figure 101: Retail Sales Value and Growth (GBP billion, %) of Sports and Leisure Equipment, 2014–2019 ................................................ 90 Figure 102: Spend per Head on Sports and Leisure Equipment, 2014 and 2019 ......................................................................................... 90 Figure 103: Online Spend and Growth (GBP billion, %) in Sports and Leisure Equipment, 2014–2019 ........................................................ 91 Figure 104: Online Share of Total Sports and Leisure Equipment Spend, 2014 and 2019 ............................................................................ 91 Figure 105: Spending per Channel in Sports and Leisure Equipment (%), 2014 and 2019 ........................................................................... 92 Figure 106: Share of Jewelry, Watches and Accessories in Total Retail Sales, 2014 and 2019 ................................................................... 93 Figure 107: Retail Sales Value and Growth (GBP billion, %) of Jewelry, Watches and Accessories, 2014–2019 ......................................... 94 Figure 108: Spend per Head on Jewelry, Watches and Accessories, 2014 and 2019 .................................................................................. 94

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Retailing in the UK – Market Summary & Forecasts

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Figure 109: Online Spend and Growth (GBP billion, %) in Jewelry, Watches and Accessories, 2014–2019 ................................................. 95 Figure 110: Online Share of total Jewelry, Watches and Accessories Spend, 2014 and 2019 ...................................................................... 95 Figure 111: Spending per Channel in Jewelry, Watches and Accessories (%), 2014 and 2019 .................................................................... 96 Figure 112: Share of Luggage and Leather Goods in Total Retail Sales, 2014 and 2019 ............................................................................. 97 Figure 113: Retail Sales Value and Growth (GBP billion, %) of Luggage and Leather Goods, 2014–2019 ................................................... 98 Figure 114: Spend per Head on Luggage and Leather Goods 2014 and 2019 ............................................................................................. 98 Figure 115: Online Spend and Growth (GBP billion, %) in Luggage and Leather Goods, 2014–2019 .......................................................... 99 Figure 116: Online Share of total Luggage and Leather Goods Spend, 2014 and 2019 ............................................................................... 99 Figure 117: Spending per Channel in Luggage and Leather Goods (%), 2014 and 2019 ........................................................................... 100 Figure 118: The Triangulated Market Sizing Methodology .......................................................................................................................... 128

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Retailing in the UK – Market Summary & Forecasts

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List of Tables

Table 1: UK Clothing Retail Sales (GBP million), by Product Sub-Category, 2009–2014 ................................. Error! Bookmark not defined. Table 2: UK Clothing Retail Sales (GBP million), by Product Sub-Category, 2014–2019 ................................. Error! Bookmark not defined. Table 3: UK Footwear Retail Sales (GBP million), by Product Sub-Category, 2009–2014 ............................... Error! Bookmark not defined. Table 4: UK Footwear Retail Sales (GBP million), by Product Sub-Category, 2014–2019 ............................... Error! Bookmark not defined. Table 5: Major Domestic Retailers in the UK ................................................................................................... Error! Bookmark not defined. Table 6: Major International Retailers in the UK .............................................................................................. Error! Bookmark not defined. Table 7: Key Clothing Retailers in the UK ....................................................................................................... Error! Bookmark not defined. Table 8: Key Footwear Retailers in the UK ...................................................................................................... Error! Bookmark not defined. Table 9: Key Books, News and Stationery Retailers in the UK ........................................................................ Error! Bookmark not defined. Table 10: Key Electrical and Electronics Retailers in the UK ........................................................................... Error! Bookmark not defined. Table 11: Key Food and Grocery Retailers in the UK ...................................................................................... Error! Bookmark not defined. Table 12: Key Personal Care Retailers in the UK ............................................................................................ Error! Bookmark not defined. Table 13: Key Furniture and Floor Coverings Retailers in the UK .................................................................... Error! Bookmark not defined. Table 14: Key Home and Garden Products Retailers in the UK ....................................................................... Error! Bookmark not defined. Table 15: Key Music, Video and Entertainment Retailers in the UK ................................................................. Error! Bookmark not defined. Table 16: Key Sports & Leisure equipment Retailers in the UK ....................................................................... Error! Bookmark not defined. Table 17: Key Jewelry, watches and accessories Retailers in the UK ............................................................. Error! Bookmark not defined. Table 18: Key Luggage and Leather Goods Retailers in the UK ...................................................................... Error! Bookmark not defined. Table 19: UK Exchange Rate GBP–USD (Annual Average), 2009–2014 ........................................................ Error! Bookmark not defined. Table 20: UK Exchange Rate GBP–USD (Annual Average), 2015–2019 Forecasts ........................................ Error! Bookmark not defined. Table 21: Conlumino Retail Channel Definitions ............................................................................................. Error! Bookmark not defined. Table 22: Conlumino Retail Category Definitions ............................................................................................ Error! Bookmark not defined.

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Retailing in the UK – Market Summary & Forecasts

Published: August 2015

Related Reports

Clothing & Footwear Retailing in the UK - Market Summary & Forecasts

Books, News and Stationery Retailing in the UK - Market Summary & Forecasts

Electrical and Electronics Retailing in the UK - Market Summary & Forecasts

Health and Beauty Retailing in the UK - Market Summary & Forecasts

Furniture and Floor Coverings Retailing in the UK - Market Summary & Forecasts

Home and Garden Products Retailing in the UK - Market Summary & Forecasts

Sports and Leisure Equipment Retailing in the UK - Market Summary & Forecasts

Jewelry, Watches and Accessories Retailing in the UK - Market Summary & Forecasts

Luggage and Leather Goods Retailing in the UK - Market Summary & Forecasts

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About Conlumino

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with more than 200 years of combined experience, help you identify and understand the most current

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Last year hundreds of retail businesses across the globe used our research to make critical business

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