Results Presentation 2Q12
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Transcript of Results Presentation 2Q12
Results PresentationTIM Participações S.A.
Var. % YoY
Var. % YoY
+12.6%
+14.7%
+9.2%
+12.4%
+56.4%
+7.0%
+9.8%
+6.0%
+10.2%
+45.9%
2Q12 1H122Q11
4,2524,547
4,668
1,214
1,262
1,057
9,016
9,180
2,383
2,453
1,600
Q2 Financials Highlight
Total Revenue (reported)
Total Revenue (MTR adjusted)
EBITDA (reported)
EBITDA (MTR adjusted)
CAPEX
Guidance
>10% Confirmed
>10% Confirmed
~R$3 bln Confirmed
(+R$0.5 Mln licenses)
R$ mln
1,145
724
Anticipation focused on
Network
2
Main Achievements Quarter Impact
Leadership in Prepaid segment Fastest data growth (+40%YoY) and
smartphone at 35.2% of total base TIM Fiber started-up (Live TIM brand)
MTR cut (-R$121mln rev; -R$48 mln EBITDA)
Macro-economic and competitive environment
TIM Fiber start-up costs (~R$11 mln)
Macro economic scenario slowdown in 1H12 vs. 1H11 (i.e.: level of indebtedness; high commitment of income to debt payment; GDP lower growth)
Short term competition aggressiveness
-28%
Effects on Q2: MTR and Macro Environment
Total Net Revenues(R$ billion)
EBITDA(R$ billion)
MTR Macro Environment
4.5
2Q11 2Q12
0.1
4.3 +7%
+10%
1.1 1.2
2Q122Q11
0.1
+6%
+10%
-R$121 mln impact on net revenues and -R$48 mln on EBITDA
Still no elasticity coming on and traffic reshape to offset MTR impact
FMS will lead to lower dependency on MTR 143%
2Q122Q11
11%
83%
2Q11 2Q12
YoY
Net Revenues Volume
Drivers to softening these impacts Keeping the
Innovative approachEILD regulatory framework
Macro scenario improvement
Intelig/ TIM Fiber (leased lines swap)
3
4Q12
4.7
1.3
2Q12
Revenues Costs
1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11 1Q12 2Q12e 3Q12e 4Q12e 1Q13e
Source: BCB, Bradesco Corretora and Company’s estimates
GDP Quarterly Growth (YoY)
Handset Sale
FMS Secular Trend Remains on Play
4
-23%
2Q121Q124Q113Q112Q111Q11
Fixed Tariff Premium over Mobile
ARPM (R$/min)
Leading Traffic to a Sharp Increase
(Bln Minutes)
Leadership in LD Market Share
(% Minutes)
Mobile Outgoing price (% YoY)
Lines in Service
(% yoy)
Fixed Revenue
(% yoy)
jun/11dec/10 dec/11jun/10 mar/12jun/09
Incumbents*TIM
* Telemar, Brasil Telecom, Telesp e Embratel.
Mobile
Fixed 3Q11
2Q11
1Q12
4Q11
23.8
-14%
22.621.820.118.417.5
Source: Companies results, Teleco and Bloomberg estimates; **Excluding one company.
40% mobile discount
Fixed to Mobile Substitution… …impacting Fixed Incumbents
2Q12
jun/10
Lines
(% yoy)
Mobile Revenue
(% yoy)
… benefiting Mobile Segment
3Q11
2Q11
1Q12
4Q11
2Q12
-4.1%
-8.0%
-7.0%
-7.6%
-4.9%
-4.7%
-4.0%
-4.5%
-3.4%
+18.0%
+16.7%
+18.6%
+18.6%
+17.6%
3Q11
2Q11
1Q12
4Q11
2Q12
3Q11
2Q11
1Q12
4Q11
2Q12
+11.5%
+11.3%
+14.5%
+12.4%
+7.1%**-11.7%**
5+
Operations
Operational Growth Remains Strong
6
Customer Base(million lines)
Total Market Share Growth(% of total lines)
9.7+2.7
+3.7 +4.9 +3.1 +1.7
68.9
10.0
PrePaid
PostPaid
2Q11
55.58.0
1Q11
52.87.7
3Q11 4Q11 1Q12 2Q12
59.2 64.1 67.2
8.79.3
Net Adds(000)
Post Paid
Pre Paid
223 632317 655 348
1,598 3,0532,359 4,219 2,786
348
1,308
YoY2Q
+2.0
+11.3
+25%
+24%
%
Oi
Claro
Vivo
18% 20% 18% 17% 15% 14% 16% 19% 20% 18%
17% 17% 19% 24% 25% 25% 26% 26% 27% 24%
15% 16% 15% 16% 17% 18% 18% 17% 15% 13%
15% 10% 7% 9% 13% 12% 15% 16% 12% 15%
Vivo
TIM
Claro
Oi
3Q112Q111Q11 2Q124Q11
25.5%25.4%
1Q10
25.4%
2Q10
25.3% 25.4%
4Q103Q10
29.5% 29.5%
24.0%
25.5%
29.5%29.5% 29.8%
26.0%
19.5%
25.1%
29.7%
26.8%26.5%
19.4% 19.7% 19.1% 18.8% 18.8% 18.5%
30.1% 30.2% 30.1%
24.6%25.3%
20.1%
25.5%24.9%
20.4%
29.6%
18.7%
24.6%
26.9%
1Q12
23.7%24.5%
25.1%57.6 58.9
47.545.1 50.6 54.8
3Q112Q111Q11 2Q124Q111Q10 2Q10 4Q103Q10 1Q12
SP City Market Share Growth(% of total lines)
Source: Anatel Source: Anatel
640bps
270bps
Largest Prepaid
Base
Oi
Claro
Vivo
3Q112Q111Q11 2Q124Q111Q10 2Q10 4Q103Q10 1Q12
Customer Base Growth(%YoY)
1st in yearly growth for 8 consecutive quarters
Growth Backed by Efficiency Approach
7
Customer Base Growth(% YoY)
SAC and SAC/ARPU(R$)
Handset Subsidy(R$ million)
Bad Debt Trend(as % of Gross Revenues)
2Q122Q10 2Q11
Prepaid
+830Bps -210Bps2.6
1.4
2Q112Q10 2Q12
1.6
2Q10 2Q11 2Q12 2Q12
0.92%
2Q11
1.08%
2Q10
1.83%
Continuous growth on pre-paid
and acceleration on postpaid
But with a rational approach:
o significant subscriber acquisition
cost drop
o continuous bad debt downward
trend
Sustainable business model
o Low bad debt
o No subsidies
o Freedom to customers
SAC/ARPU
SAC(R$)
-44% -26%
CapitalizedSubsidy
Postpaid+360Bps
+860Bps
Update on Anatel´s Sales Ban
8
Anatel SMP 5 – Orig. calls compl. Anatel SMP 7 - Call drop(Points)
Anatel Ranking of Complaints Procon Ranking of Complaints(SMP Compl./ Lines in Service * 1000) (Compl. of Integrated System of Procon )
=> Network KPI
=> Customer KPI
=> Commitment on Network Development
=> Commitment on Quality Improvement
157
# TRX Data Channel Elements KM of Fiber(‘000) (‘000) (‘000 Km)
+75% +84%
TIM Call Center Index of Complaints(Points)
271
139
741
29
53
76%
90% 92% 96% 100% 77%
SMP 5 - Call Complete SMP 7 - Drop Call SMP12 - % Call Center(% clusters) Responsiveness
2011 2014 2011 2014 2011 2014
1H 2012 2014E
4.3x
-30%
1H 2012 2014E 1H 2012 2014E
+1,600Bps+400Bps +1,300Bps
Current Situation: TIM is not the worst Outlook: Improvement Plan Presented
Anatel’s sales ban is expected to be removed in the next days
Source: Anatel, Procon and Company
9+
Marketing
Innovation Platform
10
Local=LD
Per Call
Unlimited
Per Day or Month
“All you can eat”
Unlimited
Per Day or Month
Unlimited
Budget Control
Innovation path
LibertyTorpedo
1Q11
40.157.553.3
2Q12
56.1
1Q124Q113Q11
47.8
2Q11
43.9
1Q11
4.1 7.56.6
2Q12
7.0
1Q124Q113Q11
5.8
2Q11
5.5
1Q11
1.2
3.62.7
2Q12
3.2
1Q124Q113Q11
2.3
2Q11
1.6
New Concept Unlimited Internet offer SMS Hybrid Plan
Unlimited
Per Day
International
Infinity Customer Base(million lines)
Liberty Customer Base(million lines)
Infinity Web Unique Users(daily users, million)
Liberty Web
Infinity Web
InfinityTorpedo
Liberty Controle
Liberty Passport
Liberty
Infinity
And Generating Value
11
Pre Paid – Customer Base(000 lines)
Post Paid – Customer Base(000 lines)
MOU and Post paid Churn(Minutes, % of lines)
58,873
47,506
2Q12
37,469
2Q112Q10
2Q112Q10 2Q12
2Q122Q11
10,001
2Q10
6,9568,019
Churn
MOU
+24%+3%
-80Bps -50Bps
+27%
+24% +15%+25%
Volume of Top Up growth(Mln recharges)
2Q112Q10 2Q12
+42%+18%
Combining volume and
value throughout a complete
and unlimited platform of
services (local and LD calls,
SMS and data)
Pre-paid consistent growth
Post-paid taking-up with
increasing traffic and lower
disconnections…
..even with no handset subsidy
policy and no loyalty
Internet Take-Up Supported by Best Handset and Offering
12
Smart/Web phone Penetration(% smartphones/total CB (lines))
31.1%
1Q121Q11 3Q11
26.6%
35.2%
15.4%
2Q124Q11
12.6%19.5%
2Q11
Data Revenues(% of Gross Mobile Service Revenues)
14.6%
16.7%
3Q111Q11
13.8%
2Q11
15.7%
18.7%
1Q12
18.1%
2Q124Q11
+490Bps
SMS unique users growth(daily unique users)
2Q121Q124Q113Q112Q111Q11
~3X
May 12
18,907
2Q11
12,391
Data users(monthly unique users)
57% 68%3G coverage(% of urban pop.) +1,100Bps
79%
% sold
77%70%71%54%48%
Value Added Services Revenues(R$ billion)
0.73
2Q11 2Q12
1.03+40%
+53%
13+
Financials
EBIT Net Financial
Result
Net Income 2Q12
Taxes and
Others
550
1,214
Depreciation/Amortization
347
EBITDA2Q12
-64
ΔYoY +6.0% +7.8% +3.9% +44.6% +3.2% -0.9%
-664
-140
1,145
EBITDA2Q11
EBITDA2Q12
-172
Marketingand Sales
1,214
PersonnelG&A and
others expenses
+27
Handset Margin
-38
Network and ITX
+12
Services Revenues
26.9% 26.7%EBITDA Margin
Service EBITDA Margin32.7% 32.2%
+240
Handsets Rev.:COGS:
+55-43
Consistent EBITDA and Net Income Growth
EBITDA EvolutionR$ Mln
From EBITDA to Net Income R$ Mln
R$54 mln one off event due to mark to market hedge position
-2.8% +8.7%-14.4% +15.1%+6.4%ΔYoY
Net Debt(R$ Mln)
OFCF(R$ Mln)
Working Capital(R$ Mln)
2Q122Q10 2Q11
-82
2Q10 2Q12
147
2Q11
2Q122Q112Q10
2Q12
2,278
2Q11
1,998
2Q10
2,520
Net DEBT/EBITDA
(trailing 12m)0.68x 0.45x 0.47x
2Q11 2Q12 VarNetwork 61% 67% 600 BpsIT 22% 28% 600 BpsOthers 17% 5% -1,200 Bps
Cash Position Analysis
Capex(R$ Mln)
OFCF R$-34mln YoYEBITDA-CAPEX =-R$261mlnWC R$230mlnOther –R$3mln
Including TIM Fiber net debt = R$87 mln
WC: R$230 mln YoY
+46%
15
16+
TIM Fiber Update
Market Demand(Units)
Quality of Service(Mbps)
Buildings authorized
5,700
Building’s accessed
2,100
MSANs installed
214
Network Construction
Homes Passed Ready
to Sell
220k1
Optical network
MSANs
Backbone
Network and Marketing Highlights
2
3
Activation 1k
Website Registration 63k
Market Demand and Quality of Service
Download Speed
UploadSpeed
17
TIM Fiber Launch Plan: On Track
18
Geographic Coverage (SP/RJ) 1 neighborhood 5 neighborhoods 20+ neighborhoods
Launch Phases
Key objective Technical Trial of the solution
Start of the Commercial Operations
Check of the Business Readiness
Customer base ~50 Employees +
Friendly User Testers
~1 Thousand
Beta Testers
50-70 Thousand
Customers end-of-period
n/a Advertising outside of communication media (BTL)
Communications
Pre-Launch Test Soft Launch Commercial Launch
Commercial Launch Soon…
Product
Channelsn/a
Naked Ultra Broadband
Door to door + Tele sale Outbound
Door to door + Tele sale Outbound + Tele sale Inbound
Advertising in mass communication media (ATL)
Conclusions and 2H12 Outlook
19
• Focus on network development, quality improvement and communication to defend post-paid segment and reverse the bad perception from Anatel ban
• Insist on FMS trend with an innovative approach
• Support data revenues growth through smartphone penetration and network strengthening
• Launching TIM Fiber (Live TIM)
Out
look
• TIM managed to maintain its solid operational improvements amid tough 1H12 (macro-economic and competitive scenario)
• Data services continued at a solid pace
• Leadership in market share of net addition for 8th consecutive quarter is a clear signal how TIM’s offer is indeed the best value option
• Operational efficiency set the tone, with significant subscriber acquisition cost (SAC) and bad debt reduction
Con
clus
ions