Results Highlights & Strategy - Santos€¦ · Next phase of projects on schedule Acquisition of...

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1 2009 Half Year Results 20 August 2009 1 Results Highlights & Strategy David Knox CEO & Managing Director 2

Transcript of Results Highlights & Strategy - Santos€¦ · Next phase of projects on schedule Acquisition of...

Page 1: Results Highlights & Strategy - Santos€¦ · Next phase of projects on schedule Acquisition of additional acreage and investment in ESG $300 million in asset sales executed including

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2009 Half Year Results20 August 2009

1

Results Highlights & StrategyDavid Knox

CEO & Managing Director2

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Profits impacted by lower oil pricesChange on 20082009 Half Year Result

Oil Price A$73.28 per bbl (39)%

Production 26.6 mmboe (4)%

Sales Revenue $1,024 million (26)%

EBITDAX $647 million (37)%

Net Profit After Tax $102 million (66)%

Operating Cash Flow $499 million (20)%

Interim Dividend 22 cents per share unchanged

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The Santos Strategy

Base business Eastern Australia: Margin growth and resource conversion Indonesia: Steady business with incremental growth WA & NT: Exploit asset position

LNG growth GLNG: The leading CSG to LNG project PNG LNG: On track for 2009 FID Darwin LNG: Mature brownfield LNG growth

Focused growth in Asia India/Bangladesh: Bay of Bengal exploration-led growth Vietnam: Develop Chim Sao and exploration-led growth

Using quality assets, Santos will safely deliver:

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Strategy delivery in 2009

Marketing key terms agreed for 6.3mtpa LNGApproval for early works

PNG LNG

Successful $3 billion equity raisingFunding for growth

Binding HoA with PETRONAS for 2mtpa with 1mtpa option underpins first LNG trainEIS lodged, public consultation period ended 17 AugustFEED studies commencedFairview produced water approval

GLNG

DeliveryTarget

Oyong Phase 2 (Indonesia) – first gas 3Q09Henry (Vic) – first gas 1H10Kipper (Vic) – first gas 1H11Reindeer (WA) – first gas 2H11

Next phase of projects on schedule

Acquisition of additional acreage and investment in ESG$300 million in asset sales executed including Petrel/Tern/Frigate

Portfolio management

26.6 mmboe in first half, on track for full year guidance2009 production 53 – 56 mmboe

Bas

e B

usi

nes

sLN

G G

row

thA

sia Bay of Bengal 3D seismic survey completedIndia / Bangladesh

Chim Sao reservoir and facilities studies complete, assessing options for FPSO, target first oil in 2011

Vietnam

2009 Half Year ResultsPeter Wasow

Executive Vice President & CFO 6

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Reported & underlying profits

0

40

80

120

160

200

240

280

320

Reported NPAT: 1st half Underlying NPAT: 1st half

2008 2008 20092009

304

102 102(20)

(161)283

otherprices & fx

$m

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Production

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

27.6

AssetSales

(0.5)

Natural Field

Decline

(1.4)

New GasContracts

1.4

Field &Other Op'g

Performance

(0.5) 26.6

1st half 2008 1st half 2009

mmboe

On track to meet 2009 production guidance

Asset sales (40% of GLNG and Kakap)

New gas contracts (Maleo, John Brookes) offset natural field decline

Positive offshore field performance offset by onshore downtime

Outlook for 2009: 53 to 56 mmboe unchanged

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Sales revenue

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

1,384

LiquidsPrices

(452)

Liquids FX

115

Gas Prices

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Volume Mix

(48) 1,024

AUD/GJ‘08 $4.00‘09 $4.19

USD/bbl ‘08 $113‘09 $52

AUD/USD‘08 $0.94‘09 $0.72

1st half 2008

Average price $50.51 per boe

1st half 2009

Average price $35.31 per boe

$m

Liquids prices bottomed early in 1st half with significant recovery in later months

Offset by weaker exchange rate which strengthened through the half

Gas volumes up however higher-value liquids were lower reducing average selling price

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Production costs

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

257

FX

17

CostReductions

(8) 266

Outlook for 2009: $550-570 million unchanged

1st half 2008

Average cost $9.31 per boe

1st half 2009

Average cost $10.02 per boe

$m

A lower AUD impacted USD costs unfavourably

Lower work-over expense and crude trucking offset by volume related production costs at Maleo and John Brookes

Early gains from rigorous focus on cost control

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Operating and capital costs a focus

Scaled back Cooper Oil program, no wells in Q2/Q309 Reduced base business capital programme by ~$350m

Capital Programmes

Reduction in service providers and contractors ~290 Employee numbers reduced ~ 50 redundancies, 320

positions eliminated Salary freeze

People

Renegotiating supplier contracts; half of key contracts completed, reductions range up to 30% Renegotiating development contracts eg Reindeer,

Chim Sao Reduced discretionary costs

Materials and Services

ActionsLevers

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EBITDAX

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1,032

Prices

(312)

Mix

(48)

Operating Costs

17

Gas Purchases

(35)

Other

(7) 647

1st half 2008

Average cash margin $37.66 per boe

1st half 2009

Average cash margin $22.31 per boe

$m

Lower prices and lower value product mix reduced price by $15 per boe

Operating costs lower due to royalties which are linked to prices

Higher gas purchases due to PETRONAS equity gas in GLNG

Total cash operating costs increased by $0.40 per boe

Cash margin deterioration limited to fall in selling prices

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Eastern Australia 318 451 (29)WA&NT 285 474 (40)GLNG 8 38 (79)Asia Pacific 64 102 (37)Corporate and unallocated items (28) (33) 15

TOTAL EBITDAX 647 1,032 (37)

Eastern Australia | Lower liquids prices and production volumesWA&NT | Higher gas volumes but lower liquids prices and productionGLNG | Expanding field operations increasing production costsAsia Pacific | Higher gas production, lower liquids prices and volume

Segment EBITDAX Summary

Segment$m

Half Year Half Year Change2009 2008 %

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Depreciation, depletion & amortisation

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

343

Volume

(16)

Rate

(13) 314

Outlook for 2009: $12.20 per boe

1st half 2008

Average rate $12.42 per boe

1st half 2009

Average rate $11.82 per boe

$m

Lower production volumes reduced DD&A by $16 million

DD&A rate also fell due review of asset lives and future development costs

2009 guidance revised to $12.20 per boe from $12.80 per boe

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Operating cash flow

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700626

EBITDAX

(385)

BorrowingCosts

40

Tax

165

ExplorationExpensed

(37)

WorkingCapital

87

Other

3 499

1st half 2008 1st half 2009

$m

Lower prices flow through into lower operating cash flow

Lower working capital requirement and tax payments also result from price environment

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A Strong Balance Sheet Position

<15% of totalDebt maturities (09 – 11)

700Undrawn facilities

600FUELS Redemption, Sep’09

1,752Net “in funds” position

(1,840)Gross debt (after swaps)

3,592Cash & term deposits

30 June 2009$m

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Looking ForwardDavid Knox

CEO & Managing Director17

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LNG is a key component of Santos’ Growth Strategy

Strategy Components

Darwin LNG Commenced production

in 2006 3.25mtpa single train Santos 11.4%

GLNG Leading CSG to LNG On track for FID 1H10 3.5mtpa first train 2 train FEED Santos 60%

PNG LNG On track for FID 4Q09 6.3mtpa two trains Santos 13.7%Deliver the

Base Business

LNG Growth

Focused growth in Asia

Bonaparte LNG 2mtpa FLNG Santos 40% with carry to FID

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GLNG: The Leading CSG to LNG Project

Freehold land for liquefaction plant

Pre FEED work completed

PETRONAS selected as partner

LNG marketing well underway

Reserves build on track

Downstream FEED entry

EIS lodged, public comment period ended 17 August

Fairview produced water approval

Pipeline FEED entry

Binding offtake agreement with PETRONAS for 2mtpa plus 1mtpa

Upstream FEED entry

Final Investment Decision (FID)

First LNG

Momentum building towards FID in first half of 2010

3Q 09

1H 10

2014

1H

20

09

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GLNG: Upstream update Wells

- 90 CSG wells drilled so far this year Production

- Phase 2 Fairview expansion commissioned- Fairview exceeded 100TJ/d for first time

Environment- EIS lodged in March, public comment

period ended 17 August- EPA approval for innovative Fairview

irrigation project for forage cropping and hardwood plantation

Upstream FEED- Dual FEED contractors appointed- FEED entry 3Q09

Reserves- 3,246PJ 2P reserves as at 31 Dec 2008- 2009 reserves build on track- Next reserves report early 2010

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GLNG: Downstream update Curtis Island site

- EIS application for 10mtpa capacity (3 trains)

Downstream FEED- Bechtel appointed- 2-train FEED 40% complete- Curtis Island geotechnical site

survey work complete Pipeline FEED

- GHD appointed- FEED 50% complete

Marketing- Binding offtake agreement with

PETRONAS for 2mtpa plus 1mtpa at GLNG sole option

- Ongoing discussions with other Asian customers

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PNG LNG on Track for 4Q 2009 FID Pre FEED work on two train

6.3mtpa plant Marketing Representative

Agreement Coordinated Development and

Operating Agreement Gas Agreement Front End Engineering Design Entry

Decision Project finance progressing well EIS submitted Marketing key terms agreed for

6.3mtpa Approval for early works Landowner Agreements Final Investment Decision First LNG

3Q 09

4Q 092013/14

1H

20

09

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Strategic partnership with GDF SUEZ

NorthernTerritory

WesternAustralia

DarwinPetrel

TernFrigate

Barossa

CalditaEvans Shoal

Bayu-Undan

NT/RL1

NT/P61NT/P48

NT/RL1

WA-27-RWA-6-R

JPDA 03-12

AC/L1AC/L2AC/L3

Jabiru

ChallisCassini

WA-274-P

WA-281-PWA-411-P

Ichthys

Timor Sea

IndianOcean

LegendSantos acreageSantos/GDF SUEZ acreageOil fieldGas fieldGas pipeline

Santos has sold 60% of Petrel/Tern/Frigate to GDF SUEZ for up to US$370 million and a full carry of Santos’ share of costs to FID including 2 appraisal wells

The fields have a gross contingent resource of 2.1tcf – ideal size for FLNG

Consistent with Santos’ corporate strategy:- Unlocks value in contingent resources- Partner with world class companies- Deepening our LNG growth options

Santos retains a 40% interest in the Evans Shoal, Barossa and Caldita fields

Unlocks value in 2.1 tcf contingent gas resource

Santos retains approximately 70% (500mmboe) of its total Bonaparte Basin 2C contingent resource

Continuing to progress options for commercialisation of the Evans Shoal, Barossa and Caldita fields.

Burnside-1 – Great street address

WA-281-P

BurnsideBurnside--11

WA-411-P

WA-274-PWA-410-P

WA-274-P

WA-274-P Concerto

Mimia Echuca Shoals

Ichthys

ArgusCrux

Montara

Psepotus

Arquebus

CallianceBrecknock

Torosa

Poseidon

Gwydion

Caswell

LegendSantos acreageOil fieldGas field

121˚ 122˚ 123˚ 124˚ 125˚

-13˚

-14˚

-15˚

0 20 40 60 80 100

Kilometres

Territory of Asmore& Cartier Islands

Western Australia

Mapped Area

Cornea

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Leading position in Gunnedah Basin

ESG operated areas (STO 48%)1

- 9 coreholes drilled of 20 well programme

- Stepping out exploration and appraisal in PEL 238

- Successful trials of horizontal well technologies

- 79% upgrade in 2P reserves to 602PJ and 51% upgrade in 3P reserves to 1,959PJ announced 19 August 2009

STO operated areas (100% and earning up to 65%)- Initial exploration phase- 15 of 23 coreholes drilled- 3 drilling rigs operating- 525 km seismic acquired

Basin master position in quality basin with >50 tcf prospective potential

50km

LegendSantos operated acreageEastern Star operated acreageGas pipelineProposed gas pipeline

NewSouth Wales

Narrabri

Dubbo

Gunnedah

Tamworth

PEL434

PEL450PEL

462

PEL12

PEL 238

PEL 433

PEL456

PEL 1

PPL 3PAL 2

PALA 5PEL 452

Newcastle

Wilga Park Power Station

1 Santos 48% economic interest calculated as 35% direct interest plus 19.99% of ESG’s 65% interest

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Summary

Continued delivery of Santos’ growth strategy

Significant progress on strategic milestones

First half profits impacted by lower oil prices

Strong balance sheet to fund growth

Focus remains on delivery

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Reference slides

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Underlying profit 102 284Significant items - 20Net profit after tax 102 304

Significant items included:Gain on sale of oil and gas assets/controlled entities 21 -Impairment of Thevenard asset (5) -Provision of contract losses: rigs and offices (16) -Foreign currency losses/gains (15) 5Remediation and related costs of pipeline incidents 2 (16)Change in fair value of embedded derivatives 3 3Income tax 10 28

Total - 20

Significant items (after tax)

Half Year Half Year 2009 2008$m

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Net financing charges

847412Net financing costs

(6)(34)Less interest income

438046Financial expenses

Other

1617Unwind of the effect of discounting on provisions

556429

(3)(14)Less borrowing costs capitalised

6743Interest expense

Change%20082009

30

EBITDAX

1,032647EBITDAX

344317DD&A

108113Exploration expense

8

12

197

2009

Impairment write-downs

74Net financing costs

506Profit before tax

2008$m

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2009 guidance

No change$1,600 millionCapital expenditure (including exploration & evaluation)2

No change$80 to $100 million (after tax)

Royalty related taxation expense1

$12.20 per boe$12.80 per boeDepreciation, Depletion & Amortisation (DD&A) expense

No change$550 - $570 millionProduction costs

No change53 – 56 mmboeProduction

UpdatedGuidance

PreviousGuidance

Item

1 Royalty related taxation expense guidance assumes an oil price of A$75 per barrel which is consistent with analyst consensus forecasts for 2009.

2 Capital expenditure guidance includes $180 million for exploration.

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Prices & exchange rates

5%4.004.19Gas Prices (AUD/GJ)

(39%)120.5173.28Realised Oil Price (AUD/bbl)

24%0.93830.7158AUD/USD Exchange Rate

(54%)113.0852.45Realised Oil Prices (USD/bbl)

Half Year Half Year Change2009 2008 %

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2009 Capital expenditure outlook

2009 2008(A$ million)

5476Acquisitions

(2,052)(304)Disposal proceeds1

1,5001,600Capital expenditure

1 (pre tax, reported to date for 2009)

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2009 Second Half Sensitivities

Sensitivity Change NPAT Impact A$m

US dollar oil price US$1/bbl 8

Gas price 10 cent/GJ 9

A$/US$ exchange rate 1 cent 5

Interest rates 1% 3

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Strategic partnership with GDF SUEZ

Partner

GDF SUEZ – 2 floating LNG regassification terminals in development– Globally positioned throughout LNG value chain including top

3 LNG importer and Europe’s largest LNG importer

Participation 60% GDF SUEZ/40% Santos interest in FLNG project

Amount

Santos has sold 60% of its Petrel, Tern and Frigate assets to GDF SUEZ for up to US$370 million consisting of:

– Initial payment of US$200 million– Payment at FID of FLNG project of US$170 millionGDF SUEZ will also fully carry Santos’ share of pre-FEED and FEED costs including at least 2 appraisal wells

AlignmentSantos and GDF SUEZ aligned across the value chain: upstream resource, development, operation and LNG marketing

Project GDF SUEZ to lead the development of a floating LNG project with a planned capacity of 2mtpa of LNG

Completion Expected to close by the end of 2009

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Oil Price A$/bbl

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

Jan 09Jan 08

1st half 2008 1st half 2009

Average: A$120.51

Average: A$73.28

A$/b

bl

Current A$84.55

Jun 08 Jun 09

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P&A Q2 0970OilFergana / KyrgyzstanNorth Ayzar 1

Q3 09

Q3 09

Q2 09

Q1 09

Q1 09

Timing

Drilling70OilFergana / KyrgyzstanHuday Nazar 1

P&A Gas discovery47.8GasBrowse /

AustraliaBurnside 1

Gas discovery67.5GasEast Java /

IndonesiaPeluang 1

P&A with full carry40OilGulf of Suez /

EgyptSouth East July 1

P&A with gas shows55GasSong Hong /

VietnamHa Mai 1

%100 -500

50 -1000 – 50

CommentsSantosInterest

Upside Resource Potential (mmboe)TargetBasin / AreaWell Name

2009 Forward Exploration Schedule

The exploration portfolio is continuously being optimised therefore the above program may vary as a result of rig availability, drilling outcomes and maturation of new prospects

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Reporting Segments

Development

GLNG

Production

Fairview

Roma

GLNG

Development

PNG LNG

Oyong Phase 2

Chim Sao

Development

Reindeer

Development

Kipper

Henry

Shaw River

Production

Maleo

Oyong

Sangu

PNG

Production

John Brookes

Bayu Undan/Darwin LNG

Mereenie/Palm Valley

Stag

Mutineer Exeter

Barrow Island

Thevenard

Legendre

Jabiru/Challis

Production

Cooper Basin

Casino

Minerva

Patricia Baleen

Moonie

Qld conventional

Scotia

Asia PacificWA & NTEastern Australia

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Disclaimer & Important Notice

This presentation contains forward looking statements that are subject to risk factors associated with the oil and gas industry. It is believed that the expectations reflected in these statements are reasonable, but they may be affected by a range of variables which could cause actual results or trends to differ materially, including but not limited to: price fluctuations, actual demand, currency fluctuations, geotechnical factors, drilling and production results, gas commercialisation, development progress,operating results, engineering estimates, reserve estimates, loss of market, industry competition, environmental risks, physical risks, legislative, fiscal and regulatory developments, economic and financial markets conditions in various countries, approvals and cost estimates.

All references to dollars, cents or $ in this document are to Australian currency, unless otherwise stated.

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Contact Information

Registered and head officeShare RegisterAdelaideGround Floor, Santos Centre60 Flinders StreetAdelaide, South Australia 5000GPO Box 2455Adelaide, South Australia 5001Telephone: +61 8 8116 5000Facsimile: +61 8 8116 5050

Useful email contactsShare register enquiries:[email protected]

Investor enquiries:[email protected]

Andrew NairnGroup Executive Investor RelationsLevel 10, Santos CentreDirect: + 61 8 8116 5314Facsimile: +61 8 8116 5131Email: [email protected]

Brooke HannInvestor Relations AnalystLevel 10, Santos CentreDirect: + 61 8 8116 7227Facsimile: +61 8 8116 5131Email: [email protected]

Website:www.santos.com