Results 2001 14 February 2002. Results 2001 2 Index ABN AMRO at a glance 3 Group & SBU Performance 4...
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Transcript of Results 2001 14 February 2002. Results 2001 2 Index ABN AMRO at a glance 3 Group & SBU Performance 4...
Results 2001
2
Index
ABN AMRO at a glance 3
Group & SBU Performance 4
Asset Quality and Provisioning 11
Capital Management & Ratios 18
Strategy and Strategic Initiatives 22
Dividend 2001 & Outlook 2002 25
Annexes 28
Results 2001
3
Solid Credit Rating
Long-TermMoody’s Aa2Standard & Poor’s AAFitchIBCA AA
C&CC (62%)
WCS (18%)
PCAM (5%)
AALH (5%)
CC (10%)
ABN AMRO at a glance
1,7481,828
2,570
3,097
2,363
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001
Net profit 1997 - 2001
1.20 1.23
1.72
2.04
1.53
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001
Earnings per share 1997 - 2001
15.7%16.9%
23.7%26.5%
20.5%
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001
Strong Balance Sheet
Total assets EUR 597.4 bnGroup capital EUR 34.0 bnRisk-weighted assets EUR 273.4 bnBIS tier 1 ratio 7.03%BIS total capital ratio 10.91%
Return on Equity 1997 - 2001
Operating result 2001 per SBU
Results 2001
4
Operating result relatively stable in 2001 . . .
Revenues increased by 2.0% in 2001 compared to 2000 against the backdrop of weak market conditions and in the midst of a restructuring programme.
Expenses are trending down in the second half of 2001, even though full year costs show an increase
Operating result held up relatively well in 2001 due to client-product mix
Operating result excluding contribution EAB and impact exchange rate, down by 0.7%
Results 2001
5
. . . and up in the fourth quarter
Revenues
Expenses
Operating result
Efficiency ratio
Revenues FY 2001
Interest (54%)
Other (10%)
Commissions (28%)
Trading (8%)
(EUR m) Q4 01 Q3 01
% change
4,726
3.447
1.279
72.9%
4,674
3.456
1.218
73.9%
1.1
(0.3)
5.0
2.0
4.3
(3.9)
Q4 01/Q3 01
FY 01/ FY 00
Fourth quarter revenues up despite worsening market conditions
Expenses remained relatively stable. Expenses down in WCS’ businesses where activity declined and up in C&CC businesses where activity increased
Improvement of efficiency ratio due to higher revenues and slightly lower costs
Results 2001
6
C&CC was the main contributor to the operating result in 2001
C&CC (62%)
WCS (18%)
PCAM (5%)
AALH and CC (15%)
Results 2001
7
The relatively strong performance of C&CC reflects robustness of retail franchises . . .
Operating result FY 2001
US (60%)
RoW (8%)
Brazil (20%)
Netherlands (12%)
Revenues
Expenses
Operating result
Efficiency ratio
2,542
1,851
691
72.8%
2,534
1,739
795
68.6%
0.3
6,4
(13.1)
1.8
3.6
(2.1)
(EUR m) Q4 01 Q3 01
% changeQ4 01/Q3 01
FY 01/ FY 00
Revenues held up well despite the economic slowdown in three home markets
NL: Revenues held up well in midst of restructuring programme
US: Strong increase in mortgage activity lead to higher revenues in 2001, but made increase in mortgage related expenses necessary
BR: Revenues held up well despite economic slowdown and crisis in Argentina
Results 2001
8
. . . while in WCS the operating result was supported by the mix of clients/products
Revenues in WCS held up well despite difficult market conditions.
GFM and other flow-related income were strong, while equities related business and corporate finance were relatively weak.
Expenses and efficiency ratio are trending downwards
Revenues
Expenses
Operating result
Efficiency ratio
Revenues FY 2001
Interest (38%)
Other (5%)
Commissions (36%)
Trading (21%)
(EUR m) Q4 01 Q3 01
% change
1,505
1,239
266
82.3%
1,540
1,357
183
88.1%
(2.3)
(8.7)
45.4
(3.1)
2.5
(26.9)
Q4 01/Q3 01
FY 01/FY 00
Results 2001
9
Expenses in WCS are trending down
TOPS has reduced its cost base– Accumulated P&L savings of approx. EUR 150 mln
Equities business and Corporate Finance have been right-sized– Measures have been taken to ensure an effective and sustainable
presence in Asia and the United States
– Cost base in Corporate Finance has been reduced by focusing on key sectors with best profit potential
– Duplication between Corporate Finance and Client Coverage has been removed
Reduction in headcount took place towards the end of the year, most of the cost savings will be realised in 2002
Results 2001
10
The operating result in PCAM was affected by weak market conditions
Revenues are market-related and affected by weak market conditions in 2001
Increase in expenses driven by build-up costs related to restructuring
Assets under Management increased by 34% to EUR 172 bn in 2001
Assets under Administration decreased by 2% to EUR 105 bn in 2001
Revenues
Expenses
Operating result
Efficiency ratio
Revenues FY 2001
Interest (23%)
Other (5%)
Commissions (69%)
Trading (3%)
(EUR m) Q4 01 Q3 01
% change
370
305
65
82.4%
330
279
51
84.5%
12.1
9.3
27.5
(2.2)
14.5
(38.3)
Q4 01/Q3 01
FY 01/FY 00
Results 2001
12
Higher provisioning reflects poor market conditions . . .
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 '00 '01
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Risk provisioning as a % of RWA (right hand scale)
26bp
39bp35bp
23bp
52bp
EUR bnRWA
Results 2001
13
Higher provisioning was driven by . . .
WCS: defaulting of several large corporations during the year
C&CC: high share of mortgages limits deterioration in asset quality. The main drivers are:
– US: related to SME portfolio and leveraged finance book– Brazil: limited deterioration in consumer finance book in line with
market developments– Netherlands: apart from foot & mouth disease in Q1, no significant
deterioration
PCAM: mainly driven by a few individual credit defaults in Q4
Corporate Centre: related to sovereign risk provisioning
Results 2001
14
WCS38%
C&CC56%
PCAM1%
CC / other5%
YTD Provisioning/ RWA
0.0%0.1%0.1%0.2%0.2%0.3%0.3%0.4%
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
C&CC WCS ABN AMRO
. . . but current provisioning remains within sustainable and acceptable levels
SBU 1Q01 2Q01 3Q01 4Q01 YTD 1Q01 2Q01 3Q01 4Q01 YTDC&CC 176 220 200 206 802 0.11% 0.13% 0.13% 0.13% 0.51%WCS 92 40 90 320 542 0.09% 0.04% 0.09% 0.32% 0.55%PCAM 3 -1 2 10 14 0.05% -0.02% 0.03% 0.15% 0.22%Group 267 253 308 598 1426 0.10% 0.09% 0.11% 0.22% 0.52%
EUR million YTD Provisions / RWA
Results 2001
15
Limits/exposures are well diversified . . .(December 2001)
Telecom7.8%
Media4.2%
Technology7.3%
Oil & gas9.3%
Utilities10.5%
Chemical5.7%
Services 3.7%
Manufacturing (general)8.6%
Real estate1.4%
Automotive (oem+supply)
7.2%
Manuf other transport means1.8%
Tobacco0.7%
(Non) durables3.4%
Transport services7.1%
Leisure0.8%
Metals & Mining3.6%
Retail1.9%
Construction3.8%
Agri/raw materials2.5%
Health/pharma2.6%
Food6.0%
Results 2001
16
Asia Pacific Advanced8% (8%)
North America30% (26%)
Africa0.4% (1%)
Europe 49% (50%)
Eastern Europe
0.3% (2%)
Middle East
1% (1%)
Asia7% (6%)
Latin America5% (5%)
( ) December 2000
Limited exposure to non-OECD countries . . .(December 2001)
Results 2001
17
. . . leading to only a slight deterioration of asset quality in the portfolio of WCS
2.20
2.40
2.60
2.80
3.00
3.20
Dec.00 Jun.01 Sep.01 Dec.01
TMT ECP ACD
Weighted average UCR by limits
Results 2001
19
Capital allocation in line with asset gathering model(in 2001 per SBU)
C&CC (63%) WCS (23%)
PCAM (9%) AALH (4%)
CC (1%)
Capital Allocation Revenues
C&CC (54%) WCS (33%)
PCAM (8%) AALH (4%)
CC (1%)
Results 2001
20
MfV-based capital management has meant . . .
Pockets of surplus capital throughout the organisation have been identified for elimination
Divestiture programme for a number of countries and (mainly retail) operations
Reduction of capital allocation in WCS, using a.o. securitisation and loan pricing
Freed-up capital will be used to support asset-gathering model
Managing the level and quality of Tier I capital
Results 2001
21
. . . improved level of Tier I capital and next step is to improve the quality of it
Total assetsShareholders’ equityGroup capitalRisk-weighted assets
Tier 1 ratioTotal capital ratio
(EUR bn) 31 12 01
597.411.834.0
273.4
7.03% 10.91%
30 09 01
597.711.132.7
274.2
6.47% 10.10%
31 12 01/ 30 09 01
(0.1)6.34.0
(0.3)
10.0(5.9)
4.53.6
% change
31 12 01/31 12 00
Results 2001
23
The two main components of ABN AMRO’s strategy are . . .
Asset Gathering as the guiding strategy– C&CC is the central piece of the strategy– WCS and PCAM in support– Alignment to create synergies
MfV and Economic Profit as the guiding principle– Capital and resource allocation – Rooting out of inefficiencies – Create sustainable business positions
Results 2001
24
Decisions taken in support of this strategy . . .
Restructuring in the Netherlands and ‘Zonder Omwegen’
Clustering of US C&CC businesses and divestiture of EAB
Reconfiguration and restructuring of WCS to create a long-term sustainable business position
The strategic alignment process between the three SBU’s
Reduction of capital in WCS
Qualitative improvement of Tier I capital
Results 2001
26
Dividend remains unchanged
Full year dividend unchanged compared to 2000 at EUR 0.90
Reaffirming our believe in:
– the potential of our business model
– the restructuring process
– the profitability in the years to come
Results 2001
27
Outlook 2002
No meaningful economic recovery until the end of the year
Revenues expected to be in line with 2001
Operating performance in the first half of 2002 will be lower than the first half of 2001
Slightly higher provisioning, in line with economic outlook
Lower expense level will offset the reinstated Dutch pension costs and slightly higher provisioning
Results 2001
29
An update on the restructuring programme in the Netherlands
6,673 employees have opted to use voluntary staff reduction scheme
Staffing new organisation and further implementation new service concept can be started
Limited mismatch, which can be solved within the program or by limited recruiting
Results 2001
30
Award-winning Performance (Products)
Advised on 151 transactions worldwide with a total value of EUR 33 bn Thomson Financial Securities Data, January 2002
# 3 most impressive syndicate desk # 3 best lead manager of bonds for European distribution
# 6 bookrunner of euro-denominated bond issues # 8 arranger of worldwide syndicated loans
Global Financial Markets
# 2 Best arranger of Project Finance Loans # 3 Best Service in arranging Project & Structured Finance Loan Products
Euroweek Review of the Year, Bond
Poll, January 2002
IFR, January 5, 2002
Euroweek Review of the Year, 2001
M&A
Media Team ranked # 1 All-Europe Research Team in their sector # 2 Global Co-ordinator/Bookrunner of all international equities in
Transport sector
Institutional Investors, February 2001
Capital Data BondwareEquities
In private equity, ABN AMRO is one of the few global players with a portfolio of over EUR 2.3 billionPrivate Equity
Bondware, January 2002
# 5 bookrunner & Joint-Lead Manager of European equity issues # 7 bookrunner & Joint-Lead Manager of international equity issuesEquity Capital Markets
Global Transaction Services
Best at Cash Management The Banker, September 2001 Cash Management - Service Contract of the Year: ABN AMRO - Shell The Banker, December 2001
Petroleum Economist June, 2001
Results 2001
31
Award-winning Performance (Clients)
ABN AMRO No. 3 in providing Best overall service to the Energy sector ABN AMRO Rothschild No. 1 top Bookrunner and Joint Lead Manager
of European Healthcare sector equity issues, 2001
Petroleum Economist Energy Finance - 2001 Poll
Capital Data Bondware 12/01
Energy, Chemicals and Healthcare (ECH)
For 2001 ABN AMRO had a top 10 position as a provider of EUR denominated International Bonds for Financial & Banking Institutions
IFR PlatinumFinancial Institutions and Public sector (FIPS)
ABN AMRO Rothschild No. 1 top Bookrunner and Joint Lead Manager of all European Telecoms and Technology sector equity issues in 2001Telecom, Media and
Technology (TMT)
Capital Data Bondware 12/01
ABN AMRO Rothschild No. 1 top Bookrunner and Joint Lead Manager of International equity issues in 2001 (ex US and Japan)
Automotive, Consumer and Diversified (ACD)
Capital Data Bondware 12/01
Results 2001
32
Revenues
Expenses
Operating result
Pre-tax profit
487
288
199
189
(692)
(579)
(113)
(79)
2.4%
3.6%
(0.7%)
(20.3%)
Publishedchange
Impact ofcurrencies
Organicgrowth(EUR m)
365
569
(204)
(1,112)
Impact of acquisitions
281
200
81
42
Impact ofEAB
Impact of acquisitions and currency translation on profit and loss account
Results 2001
33
Composition of revenue(EUR mln)
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
16,000
18,000
20,000
96 97 98 99 00 '01
Commissions (-11.3%)
Other (+22.4%)
Trading (-1.1%)
Interest (+7.3%)
Results 2001
34
Composition of revenue(EUR mln)
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
97-1 97-2 98-1 98-2 99-1 99-2 00-1 00-2 01-1 01-2
Other
Trading
Commissions
Interest
Results 2001
35
Break-down net commissions
Securities32%
Asset Mgt& Trust
17%Other24%
PaymentServices
27%
Results 2001
36
Trading break down 1997 - 2001(EUR mln)
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
Other
Derivatives
Securities
Forex
97-1 97-2 98-1 98-2 99-1 99-2 00-1 00-2 01-1 01-2
Results 2001
37
Stable portfolio composition(by outstanding)
Dec 2000
2%
5%
24%
69%
Jun 2001
68%
25%
5%
2%
Sept 2001
69%
24%
5%2%
Wholesale C&CCPCAM Other
Dec.01
2%
5%
23% 70%
36%
57%
4%3%
Private Loans( EUR bn - by outstandings)
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
Dec-00 Mar-01 Jun-01 Sep-01 Dec-01
Wholesale C&CC Private Other
NL US
Brazil Other
Results 2001
38
WCS: 4 Client BUs organised globally by sectors(by limits; December 2001)
Public Sector
5%
NBFI17%
Commercial Banks33%
Automotive, Consumer, Diversif ied
23%
Energy, Chemical, Pharma
13%
Telecom, Media,
Technology9%
Commercial banks exposure includes commercial lines, money market and OBSI facilities.
Telecom, Media,
Technology19%
Energy, Chemical, Pharma
28%
Automotive, Consumer, Diversif ied
53%
TMT
ECP
ACD
WCS - Total Portfolio WCS - Corporate Portfolio
TMT
ECP
ACD
FIPS
FIPS
FIPS
Results 2001
39
WCS: Corporate exposure for selected sectors
(by limits; December 2001)
Oil & Gas Airlines 9.3% of portfolio 10.5% of portfolio 1.5% of portfolio
UCR >=414%
UCR 1, 2, 386%
UCR >=415%
UCR 1, 2, 385%
Other secured
6%
Cash / ECA33%
Unsecured
14%
Treasury10%
Aircraft secured
37%
Utilities
Results 2001
40
WCS: Corporate exposure for selected sectors (by limits; December 2001)
Telecom Services7.8% of portfolio 7.3% of portfolio
Technology
UCR 1,2,3 81%
UCR >=419%
UCR 1,2,3
80%
UCR >=420%
7.2% of portfolio
Automotive
UCR 1, 2,3 82%
UCR >=418%
Results 2001
41
By ProductBy Geography
USA16.2%
Brasil5.4%
Netherlands73.2%
Rest of Latin
America0.1%
Rest of Europe,Mid
dle East,Africa
0.9%
Asia4.3%
Other1%
Loans against shares
1%
Overdraft1%
Auto Loans5%
Personal Loans
9%
Credit cards1%
Mortgage loans other
3%
Mortgage loans USA
14%
Mortgage loans NL
65%
Consumer Credit Outstanding (December 2001)
Results 2001
42
C&CC NL - Outstanding(December 2001)
C&CC NL Commerical Portfolio by Product December 2001
46%54%
Corporate Clients SME
C&CC NL Commerical Portfolio by UCR December 2001
0.4%
40.5%
59.1%
UCR 1, 2 and 3 UCR >= 4 Not rated
C&CC NL Total PortfolioDecember 2001
28%
72%
Commercial Consumer
Results 2001
43
C&CC US - Outstanding(December 2001)
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
Dec.99 Dec.00 Jun.01 Sep.01 Dec.01
UC
R P
erce
nta
ge
UCR 1, 2, and 3 UCR >= 4
UCR >= 438%
UCR 1/2/362%
Standard Federal
45%LaSalle
55%
Results 2001
44
UCR 1/2/364%
UCR >=429%
Not rated7%
C&CC Brazil - Outstanding(December 2001; Amounts in BRL mln)
-
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
Dec.00 Jun.01 Sep.01 Dec.01
Car financing Retail Middle Corp
BRL Mln
Middle Corp17%
Retail39%
Car financing
44%
Results 2001
46
Cautionary Statement regarding Forward-Looking Statements
This announcement contains forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements arestatements that are not historical facts, including statements about our beliefs and expectations.Any statement in this announcement that expresses or implies our intentions, beliefs,expectations or predictions (and the assumptions underlying them) is a forward-lookingstatement. These statements are based on plans, estimates and projections, as they are currentlyavailable to the management of ABN AMRO. Forward-looking statements therefore speak only asof the date they are made, and we take no obligation to update publicly any of them in light ofnew information or future events.
Forward-looking statements involve inherent risks and uncertainties. A number of importantfactors could therefore cause actual future results to differ materially from those expressed orimplied in any forward-looking statement. Such factors include, without limitation, the conditions inthe financial markets in Europe, the United States, Brazil and elsewhere from which we derive asubstantial portion of our trading revenues; potential defaults of borrowers or tradingcounterparties; the implementation of our restructuring including the envisaged reduction inheadcount; the reliability of our risk management policies, procedures and methods; and otherrisks referenced in our filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. For moreinformation on these and other factors, please refer to our Annual Report on Form 20-F filed withthe U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission and to any subsequent reports furnished or filedby us with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The forward-looking statements contained in this announcement are made as of the date hereof,and the companies assume no obligation to update any of the forward-looking statementscontained in this announcement.