RESULT UPDATE GRASIM INDUSTRIES - Myirisbreport.myiris.com/ES1/GRAINDUS_20150504.pdf · Grasim...
Transcript of RESULT UPDATE GRASIM INDUSTRIES - Myirisbreport.myiris.com/ES1/GRAINDUS_20150504.pdf · Grasim...
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Edelweiss Securities Limited
Grasim Industries’ (Grasim) Q4FY15 EBITDA of INR1.3bn was lower than our INR1.7bn estimate due to poor VSF performance. Though VSF volumes surprised surging 19% YoY (versus our 12% estimate), realisations dipped 4.5% QoQ (versus our 3% estimate) and cost/t stood flat (with increase in fixed costs from newly commissioned Vilayat plant offsetting decline in pulp cost). Ergo, VSF margins dipped ~430bps QoQ versus our 200bps estimate. While lower variable costs (down 7% YoY) will cushion margins, sharp recovery is unlikely in the near term given pricing pressure owing to subdued outlook for cotton and polyester fibres. Accordingly, we lower our FY16E EBITDA for VSF by ~23% and keep it unchanged for FY17. Performance of cement business has already been discussed in our note, Soft Volumes a near term concern, dated April 27, 2015, wherein we had pruned our FY16/17 EBITDA estimates by ~13%/9%. Ergo, we prune our consolidated EBITDA estimates by 13%/8% for FY16/17. We remain optimistic on recovery in both cement and VSF businesses from H2FY16 and maintain ‘BUY’ with target price of INR4,422 (INR4,725 earlier).
VSF: Realisations remain under pressure
VSF volumes, at 118kt, rose 19% YoY while realisations dipped ~4.5% QoQ. As cost of
pulp fell 13% YoY, overall cost/t remained flat due to higher fixed cost from newly
commissioned Vilayat project. Ergo, PBIDT margin slipped 430bps QoQ. Owing to
weakness in cotton and polyester prices, VSF prices are expected to be under pressure
in the near term. Hence, we lower our FY16 EBITDA estimates for this segment by 23%
and being optimistic on recovery, keep FY17 estimates unchanged.
Outlook and valuations: Optimistic on recovery; maintain ‘BUY’
We continue to be positive on the cement business on expectation of demand
improvement from H2FY16 and slowing capacity addition. In VSF too, we estimate
slowing capacity addition globally to aid improvement in industry utilisation. We
continue to value Grasim on SOTP basis, valuing VSF at 5x FY17E EV/EBITDA and 60.3%
stake in UltraTech Cement at 35% holding company discount to our fair value estimate.
At CMP, the stock trades at 6.7x FY16E and 4.6x FY17E EV/EBITDA. We maintain
‘BUY/SO’ recommendation/rating with target price of INR4,422.
RESULT UPDATE
GRASIM INDUSTRIES Lower VSF realisations impact performance
COMPANYNAME
EDELWEISS 4D RATINGS
Absolute Rating BUY
Rating Relative to Sector Outperformer
Risk Rating Relative to Sector Medium
Sector Relative to Market Underweight
MARKET DATA (R: GRAS.BO, B: GRASIM IN)
CMP : INR 3,625
Target Price : INR 4,422
52-week range (INR) : 4,025 / 2,583
Share in issue (mn) : 91.9
M cap (INR bn/USD mn) : 333 / 5,241
Avg. Daily Vol.BSE/NSE(‘000) : 93.3
SHARE HOLDING PATTERN (%)
Current Q3FY15 Q2FY15
Promoters *
25.5 25.5 25.5
MF's, FI's & BK’s 16.9 16.7 16.4
FII's 22.8 22.8 22.8
Others 34.7 34.9 35.3
* Promoters pledged shares (% of share in issue)
: NIL
PRICE PERFORMANCE (%)
Stock Nifty EW
Construction Material Index
1 month (2.3) (3.7) (2.0)
3 months (7.4) (6.1) (6.8)
12 months 37.2 23.5 6.6
Navin Sahadeo +91 22 6623 3473
Rahul Veera +91 22 6623 3321
India Equity Research| Cement
May 4, 2015
Financials (Conslidated) (INR mn)
Year to March Q4FY15 Q4FY14 % change Q3FY15 % change FY15 FY16E FY17E
Net rev. 88,196 84,187 4.8 80,365 9.7 328,473 361,904 417,801
EBITDA 15,489 15,270 1.4 12,025 28.8 51,445 68,638 92,560
Core PAT 7,227 9,895 (27.0) 4,585 57.6 24,369 36,069 54,153
EPS (INR) 78.7 107.7 (27.0) 49.9 57.6 190.8 271.3 401.6
P/E (x) 19.0 13.4 9.0
EV/EBIDTA (x) 9.1 6.7 4.6
ROE (%) 7.8 10.3 13.6
Cement
2 Edelweiss Securities Limited
Other highlights
Chemicals: Volumes and margins decline QoQ
The segment volumes surged ~21% YoY, but fell ~1% QoQ. Blended realisations/t were
down 2% QoQ, while the costs/t jumped 1% QoQ impacting PBIDTA margin by ~220bps
QoQ. Though the volume outlook remains positive, margins are unlikely to see an uptick in
the near term. Accordingly, we lower our FY16/17 EBITDA estimates for the segment by
19%/12%.
Plant shutdown at Nagda (MP)
Grasim has temporarily suspended production at its Nagda plant (capacity 162KTPA), due to
water shortage caused by deficient rain. Production is fully suspended since April 30, 2015
and operations will resume with the onset of monsoons. However, ramp up at Vilayat is
expected to ensure no downward revision in our volume estimates. We are currently
assuming volumes of 427kt for FY16 versus Grasim’s guidance of 465kt
Capex update
The company commissioned 22ktpa of the new VSF capacity at Vilayat, Gujarat, in March
2015. Grasim’s total VSF capacity now stands at 497KTPA in India.
Merger of Aditya Birla Chemicals India (ABCIL) with the company (with effect from April 1,
2015) will increase production capacity of caustic soda from 452KTPA to 804KTPA. The
process is on track and expected to be completed by Q3FY16 on obtaining requisite
approvals.
In cement, subsidiary UltraTech Cement had proposed to acquire cement units of Jaiprakash
Associates in Madhya Pradesh in Q3FY15. As per the company, the transaction is expected
to be completed in Q3FY16, months after obtaining all required regulatory approvals.
Table 1: SOTP valuation: Target price of INR4,422 (INR mn)
Source: Edelweiss research
Particulars FY17E
Assumed EV/EBITDA multiple for VSF (x) 5.0
EV of VSF segment (1) 36,915
EV of Chemicals & Textile segments @3x EV/EBITDA (2) 9,615
EV of Grasim Standalone (1) + (2) = (3) 46,530
Net debt of Grasim excl UltraTech (4) (18,656)
Derived Mcap of Grasim Standalone (3 ) + (4) = (5) 65,186
Value of 60.3% holding in UltraTech @35% disount (6) 340,905
Derived Mcap of Grasim (5) + (6) = (7) 406,092
S/o (8) 91.8
Value per share (7) / (8) 4,422
Potential Upside 21.8
Grasim Industries
3 Edelweiss Securities Limited
Financial snapshot - Standalone (INR mn)
Year to March Q4FY15 Q4FY14 % change Q3FY15 % change
Revenues 17,332 15,489 11.9 15,593 11.2
Raw material 10,099 9,093 11.1 8,590 17.6
Staff costs 1,401 820 71.0 1,171 19.6
Power & fuel 2,601 2,168 20.0 2,687 (3.2)
Freight outward 334 281 18.9 268 24.4
Others 1,606 1,541 4.2 1,065 50.8
Total expenditure 16,040 13,902 15.4 13,782 16.4
EBITDA 1,291 1,587 (18.6) 1,811 (28.7)
Interest 131 109 20.0 116 12.6
Depreciation 843 635 32.8 629 34.2
Other income 507 630 (19.4) 308 64.8
Extraordinary items 262 - NA - NA
PBT 562 1,472 (61.8) 1,374 (59.1)
Tax 252 169 49.0 437 (42.2)
Reported Profit 310 1,303 (76.2) 937 (66.9)
Adj EPS (INR) 3.4 14.2 (76.2) 10.2 (66.9)
as % of net revenues
Raw material 58.3 58.7 55.1
Staff expenses 8.1 5.3 7.5
Power & fuel 15.0 14.0 17.2
Freight outward 1.9 1.8 1.7
Other expenses 9.3 9.9 6.8
EBITDA 7.5 10.2 11.6
Adjusted net profit 1.8 8.4 6.0
Tax rate (%) 44.9 11.5 31.8
Segmentwise results - standalone
Segment Q4FY15 Q4FY14 % change Q3FY15 % change
Viscose staple fibre
Revenue (INR mn) 14,053 12,736 10.3 12,035 16.8
Volume ('000 tonnes) 118.5 99.4 19.2 97.0 22.1
Blended realisation (INR/tonne) 118,606 128,144 (7.4) 124,066 (4.4)
PBIDTA (INR mn) 970 1,282 (24.3) 1,359 (28.6)
PBIDTA margin (%) 6.9 10.1 (3.2) 11.3 (4.4)
PBIDTA / tonne (INR/tonne) 8,190 12,901 (36.5) 14,009 (41.5)
Chemicals
Revenue (INR mn) 4,285 3,367 27.3 4,416 (3.0)
Volume ('000 tonnes) 105 86 21.4 107 (1.4)
Net realisation (INR/tonne) 40,807 38,936 4.8 41,461 (1.6)
PBIDTA (INR mn) 555 550 0.8 674 (17.7)
PBIDTA margin (%) 12.9 16.3 (3.4) 15.3 (2.3)
PBIDTA / tonne (INR/tonne) 5,282 6,362 (17.0) 6,324 (16.5)
Cement
4 Edelweiss Securities Limited
Financial snapshot (INR mn) Year to March Q4FY15 Q4FY14 % change Q3FY15 % change FY15 FY16E FY17E
Net revenues 88,196 84,187 4.8 80,365 9.7 328,473 361,904 417,801 Raw material 22,899 22,026 4.0 20,201 13.4 - - -
Power and fuel 16,040 15,893 0.9 16,522 (2.9) - - -
Freight outward 15,636 14,576 7.3 14,007 11.6 - - -
Staff costs 5,693 4,281 33.0 5,354 6.3 - - -
Other expenses 12,439 12,141 2.5 12,256 1.5 - - -
Total expenditure 72,708 68,917 5.5 68,339 6.4 277,029 293,267 325,241
EBITDA 15,489 15,270 1.4 12,025 28.8 51,445 68,638 92,560
Depreciation 4,175 3,892 7.3 3,832 8.9 15,632 17,893 19,140
Other income 1,096 1,283 (14.5) 571 92.0 5,390 7,408 10,028
Interest 1,826 1,082 68.7 1,857 (1.7) 6,674 7,391 7,417
Profit before tax 10,489 11,579 (9.4) 6,907 51.9 34,528 50,762 76,032
Tax 3,262 1,684 93.8 2,322 40.5 10,159 14,693 21,878
Minority interest 2,609 3,405 (23.4) 1,603 62.8 8,379 12,656 18,772
Reported net profit 7,227 9,895 (27.0) 4,585 57.6 24,369 36,069 54,153
Adjusted Profit After Tax 7,227 9,895 (27.0) 4,585 57.6 17,533 24,929 36,896
No. of shares (mn) 92 92 92 92 92 92
Diluted EPS (INR) 56.2 107.7 (27.0) 49.9 57.6 190.8 271.3 401.6
Market cap / rev. (x) - - - 1.0 0.9 0.8
As % of net revenues
Raw material 26.0 26.2 25.1 - - -
Employee cost 6.5 5.1 6.7 - - -
Power & fuel 18.2 18.9 20.6 - - -
Freight outward (% of revenue) 17.7 17.3 17.4 - - -
Other expenditure 14.1 14.4 15.3 - - -
EBITDA 17.6 18.1 15.0 15.7 19.0 22.2
Adjusted net profit 8.1 11.6 5.7 7.3 9.8 12.7
Tax rate 31.1 14.5 33.6 29.4 28.9 28.8
Change in Estimates
FY16E FY17E
New Old % change New Old % change Comments
Net Revenue 361,904 382,143 (5.3) 417,801 437,857 (4.6) Factoring in cuts in VSF and
Chemicals segment, we reduce our
EBITDA for FY16/FY17 estimates by
13%/9% respectively
EBITDA 68,638 79,300 (13.4) 92,560 101,121 (8.5)
EBITDA Margin 19.0 20.8 22.2 23.1
Adjusted PAT 24,929 30295 (17.7) 36,897 41471 (11.0)
PAT Margin 10.4 11.4 13.3 13.9
Capex 34,000 23,000 47.8 17,000 17,000 0.0
Grasim Industries
5 Edelweiss Securities Limited
Company Description
Headquartered in Mumbai, Grasim is the flagship company of the Aditya Birla Group, and is
one of the largest private sector companies in India. Incorporated in 1947, it commenced
operations in 1948 as a textile manufacturer. Over the years, it has become a diversified
conglomerate with presence in four business segments—VSF, cement, chemicals, and
textiles. VSF and cement are the main segments, contributing ~90% to the company’s
revenue and operating profit. Post the de-merger of its cement business, Grasim holds
60.3% in UltraTech, which now has a cement capacity of 63mtpa (including 3 mtpa of ETA
Star Cement). Investment Theme
We continue to value Grasim on SOTP basis, valuing VSF business at 5x FY17E EV/EBITDA
and 60.3% stake in the cement business at 35% holding company discount to our fair value
estimate of UltraTech Cement. Our revised target price of INR4,422 offers ~22% upside
potential. We maintain our recommendation/rating of ‘BUY/Sector Outperformer ’for
Grasim.
Key Risks
Sharp increase in cement and VSF prices.
Sharp decrease in input cost for VSF and also international and domestic coal prices.
6 Edelweiss Securities Limited
Cement
Financial Statements
Income statement (INR mn)
Year to March FY14 FY15 FY16E FY17E
Income from operations 293,240 328,473 361,904 417,801
Total operating expenses 244,096 277,029 293,267 325,241
EBITDA 49,144 51,445 68,638 92,560
Depreciation & Amortization 14,575 15,632 17,893 19,140
EBIT 34,570 35,812 50,744 73,420
Add: Other income 5,766 5,390 7,408 10,028
Less: Interest Expense 4,473 6,674 7,391 7,417
Profit Before Tax 35,862 34,528 50,762 76,032
Less: Provision for Tax 7,348 10,159 14,693 21,878
Less: Minority Interest 8,828 8,379 12,656 18,772
Add: Share of profit from
associates
1,029 1,542 1,516 1,516
Reported Profit 20,715 17,533 24,929 36,897
Adjusted Profit 20,715 17,533 24,929 36,897
Adjusted Basic EPS 225.6 190.8 271.3 401.6
No. of Diluted shares outstanding
(mn)
92 92 92 92
Adjusted Diluted EPS 225.6 190.8 271.3 401.6
Adjusted Cash EPS 384.3 361.0 466.1 610.0
Dividend per share (DPS) 22.5 22.5 22.5 22.5
Dividend Payout Ratio (%) 17.1 13.8 9.7 6.6
Common size metrics
Year to March FY14 FY15 FY16E FY17E
Operating expenses 83.2 84.3 81.0 77.8
Depreciation 5.0 4.8 4.9 4.6
Interest Expense 1.5 2.0 2.0 1.8
EBITDA margins 16.8 15.7 19.0 22.2
Net Profit margins 10.1 7.9 10.4 13.3
Growth ratios (%)
Year to March FY14 FY15 FY16E FY17E
Revenues 5.1 12.0 10.2 15.4
EBITDA (17.0) 4.7 33.4 34.9
PBT (30.7) (3.7) 47.0 49.8
Adjusted Profit (19.0) (15.4) 42.2 48.0
EPS (19.1) (15.4) 42.2 48.0
Key Assumptions
Year to March FY14 FY15E FY16E FY17E
Macro
GDP(Y-o-Y %) 6.9 7.4 8.0 8.7
Inflation (Avg) 9.5 6.7 5.0 5.0
Repo rate (exit rate) 8.0 7.5 6.8 6.5
USD/INR (Avg) 60.5 61.0 62.0 62.0
Sector
All India cement demand (mn
tonnes)
238 257 281 309
Industry capacity utilisation (%) 74.4 75.8 76.9 81.5
All India average price (INR/50 kg
bag)
290.3 303.0 321.0 346.0
Company
VSF Capacity ('000 tonnes) 377.8 497.8 497.8 497.8
Capacity Utilisation (%) 96 82 86 93
Effective tax rate (%) 20.5 29.4 28.9 28.8
VSF volumes ('000 tonnes) 367 403 427 461
VSF realisations(INR/tonne) 128,459 123,474 122,373 130,311
VSF EBITDA/tonne (INR) 17,848 9,687 11,097 16,011
VSF cost per tonne 110,610.4 113,786.7 111,275.7 114,300.0
Debtor days 29 29 27 25
Inventory days 60 60 61 57
Payable days 46 46 48 45
7 Edelweiss Securities Limited
Grasim Industries Cement
Peer comparison valuation
Market cap Diluted Price to Earnings
Ratio _x0028_P/E_x0029_
(X)
Enterprise Value / EBITDA (X) Return on Average Equity
_x0028_ROAE_x0029_ (%) Name (USD mn) FY16E FY17E FY16E FY17E FY16E FY17E
Grasim Industries 5,241 13.4 9.0 6.7 4.6 10.3 13.6
ACC 4,358 22.2 15.4 11.2 7.9 14.8 19.7
Ambuja Cement Ltd 5,889 29.3 17.6 14.3 9.1 12.2 18.5
UltraTech Cement 11,701 23.3 15.7 13.2 9.2 15.7 19.8
Median - 22.8 15.6 12.2 8.5 13.5 19.1
AVERAGE - 22.0 14.4 11.4 7.7 13.3 17.9
Source: Edelweiss research
Cash flow metrics
Year to March FY14 FY15 FY16E FY17E
Operating cash flow 35,566 71,553 59,853 79,210
Investing cash flow (23,968) (65,233) (44,484) (15,484)
Financing cash flow (10,463) 22,908 (9,809) (9,835)
Net cash Flow 1,136 29,228 5,560 53,891
Capex (33,568) (66,776) (34,000) (17,000)
Dividend paid (3,536) (2,418) (2,418) (2,418)
Profitability and efficiency ratios
Year to March FY14 FY15 FY16E FY17E
Return on Average Equity (ROAE)
(%)
10.0 7.8 10.3 13.6
Pre-tax Return on Capital
Employed (ROCE) (%)
25.8 25.3 33.3 43.5
Debtors Days 29 29 27 25
Current Ratio 2.2 1.5 1.7 2.2
Gross Debt/EBITDA 2.0 1.8 1.4 1.0
Gross Debt/Equity 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2
Adjusted Debt/Equity 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3
Interest Coverage Ratio 7.7 5.4 6.9 9.9
Operating ratios
Year to March FY14 FY15 FY16E FY17E
Total Asset Turnover 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.8
Fixed Asset Turnover 1.3 1.2 1.1 1.2
Equity Turnover 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1
Valuation parameters
Year to March FY14 FY15 FY16E FY17E
Adjusted Diluted EPS (INR) 225.6 190.8 271.3 401.6
Y-o-Y growth (%) (19.1) (15.4) 42.2 48.0
Adjusted Cash EPS (INR) 384.3 361.0 466.1 610.0
Diluted Price to Earnings Ratio
(P/E) (x)
16.1 19.0 13.4 9.0
Price to Book Ratio (P/B) (x) 1.5 1.4 1.3 1.2
Enterprise Value / Sales (x) 1.5 1.4 1.3 1.0
Enterprise Value / EBITDA (x) 9.1 9.1 6.7 4.6
Dividend Yield (%) 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6
Balance sheet (INR mn)
As on 31st March FY14 FY15 FY16E FY17E
Share capital 1,364 1,510 1,510 1,510
Reserves & Surplus 214,779 229,887 252,397 286,876
Shareholders' funds 216,143 231,398 253,908 288,386
Minority Interest 69,358 76,818 89,474 108,246
Short term borrowings 20,692 30,714 30,714 30,714
Long term borrowings 76,298 64,233 64,233 64,233
Total Borrowings 96,990 94,947 94,947 94,947
Deferred Tax Liability (net) 28,030 34,291 34,291 34,291
Sources of funds 410,522 437,453 472,619 525,870
Gross Block 233,249 290,623 317,991 323,098
Net Block 218,674 274,991 300,098 303,958
Intangible Assets 676 676 676 676
CWIP (incl. intangible) 50,080 37,330 28,330 22,330
Total Fixed Assets 302,200 345,831 361,938 359,798
Non current investments 26,733 38,577 38,577 38,577
Cash and cash equivalents 53,342 38,780 56,340 110,230
Inventories 42,565 47,885 49,885 51,885
Sundry Debtors 25,092 26,474 27,974 29,474
Loans & Advances 26,782 42,348 42,348 42,348
Other Current Assets 634 641 641 641
Total Current Assets (ex cash) 95,072 117,347 120,847 124,347
Trade payable 32,459 37,195 39,195 41,195
Other Current Liabilities & Short
Term Provisions
34,366 65,888 65,888 65,888
Total Current Liabilities &
Provisions
66,825 103,083 105,083 107,083
Net Current Assets (ex cash) 28,247 14,264 15,764 17,264
Uses of funds 410,522 437,453 472,619 525,870
Book Value per share (INR) 2,353.5 2,518.8 2,763.8 3,139.1
Free cash flow (INR mn)
Year to March FY14 FY15 FY16E FY17E
Reported Profit 20,715 17,533 24,929 36,897
Add: Depreciation 14,575 15,632 17,893 19,140
Deferred tax 3,557 4,710 5,251 5,283
Others 1,457 35,643 13,279 19,391
Less: Changes in WC 4,738 1,965 1,500 1,500
Operating cash flow 35,566 71,553 59,853 79,210
Less: Capex 36,294 59,199 34,000 17,000
Free Cash Flow (727) 12,353 25,853 62,210
8 Edelweiss Securities Limited
Cement
Holding - Top 10
Perc. Holding Perc. Holding
Life Insurance Corp. of India 8.38 Aberdeen Asset Management (Asia) Ltd. 6.09
ICICI Prudential Life Insurance Co. Ltd. 3.61 Aberdeen Asset Managers Ltd. 3.10
HDFC Asset Management Co. Ltd. 2.43 Capital Research & Management Co. (World Investors) 1.68
Fidelity Management & Research Co. 1.34 Franklin Templeton Asset Management (India) Pvt Ltd. 1.08
ICICI Prudential Asset Management Co. Ltd. 0.97 Birla Sun Life Asset Management Co. Ltd. 0.96
*as per last available data
Insider Trades
Reporting Data Acquired / Seller B/S Qty Traded
No Data Available
*in last one year
Bulk Deals Data Acquired / Seller B/S Qty Traded Price
No Data Available
*in last one year
Additional Data
Directors Data Kumar Mangalam Birla Chairman Rajashree Birla Director
M L Apte Independent Director B V Bhargava Independent Director
R C Bhargava Independent Director Cyril Shroff Independent Director
Shailendra K Jain Director Adesh Gupta Whole Time Director & CFO
K K Maheshwari Managing Director Thomas M Connely Director
Om Prakash Rungta Independent Director N Mohan Raj Independent Director
Auditors - M/s. G. P. Kapadia & Co, M/s. Lodha & Co.
*as per last annual report
9 Edelweiss Securities Limited
Company Absolute
reco
Relative
reco
Relative
risk
Company Absolute
reco
Relative
reco
Relative
Risk
ACC BUY SP M Ambuja Cement Ltd HOLD SU M
Grasim Industries BUY SO M India Cements HOLD SU H
JK Cement BUY SO M Shree Cements BUY SP M
UltraTech Cement BUY SO M
RATING & INTERPRETATION
ABSOLUTE RATING
Ratings Expected absolute returns over 12 months
Buy More than 15%
Hold Between 15% and - 5%
Reduce Less than -5%
RELATIVE RETURNS RATING
Ratings Criteria
Sector Outperformer (SO) Stock return > 1.25 x Sector return
Sector Performer (SP) Stock return > 0.75 x Sector return
Stock return < 1.25 x Sector return
Sector Underperformer (SU) Stock return < 0.75 x Sector return
Sector return is market cap weighted average return for the coverage universe
within the sector
RELATIVE RISK RATING
Ratings Criteria
Low (L) Bottom 1/3rd percentile in the sector
Medium (M) Middle 1/3rd percentile in the sector
High (H) Top 1/3rd percentile in the sector
Risk ratings are based on Edelweiss risk model
SECTOR RATING
Ratings Criteria
Overweight (OW) Sector return > 1.25 x Nifty return
Equalweight (EW) Sector return > 0.75 x Nifty return
Sector return < 1.25 x Nifty return
Underweight (UW) Sector return < 0.75 x Nifty return
10 Edelweiss Securities Limited
Cement
Edelweiss Securities Limited, Edelweiss House, off C.S.T. Road, Kalina, Mumbai – 400 098.
Board: (91-22) 4009 4400, Email: [email protected]
Nischal Maheshwari
Head Research
Coverage group(s) of stocks by primary analyst(s): Cement
ACC, Ambuja Cement Ltd, Grasim Industries, India Cements, JK Cement, Shree Cements, UltraTech Cement
Distribution of Ratings / Market Cap
Edelweiss Research Coverage Universe
Rating Distribution* 155 45 8 208 * stocks under review
Market Cap (INR) 151 54 3
Date Company Title Price (INR) Recos
Recent Research
30-Apr-15 Ambuja Cements
Soft volumes, tepid realisations; Result Update
238 Hold
30-Apr-15 Shree Cement
Costs control benefits offset realisation disappointment; Result Update
10,332 Buy
27-Apr-15 UltraTech Cement
Soft volumes a near-term concern; Result Update
2,655 Buy
> 50bn Between 10bn and 50 bn < 10bn
Buy Hold Reduce Total
Rating Interpretation
Buy appreciate more than 15% over a 12-month period
Hold appreciate up to 15% over a 12-month period
Reduce depreciate more than 5% over a 12-month period
Rating Expected to
-
149
297
446
594
743
Jan
-14
Feb
-14
Mar
-14
Ap
r-1
4
May
-14
Jun
-14
Jul-
14
Au
g-1
4
Sep
-14
Oct
-14
No
v-1
4
De
c-1
4
(IN
R)
One year price chart
2,362
2,849
3,336
3,824
4,311
4,798
May
-14
Jun
-14
Jul-
14
Au
g-1
4
Sep
-14
Oct
-14
No
v-1
4
De
c-1
4
Jan
-15
Feb
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Grasim Industries
11 Edelweiss Securities Limited
Grasim Industries
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12 Edelweiss Securities Limited
Cement
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