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    [Translation of Article Published in the Economic Observer, April 12, 2010]

    Note: The original Chinese is available at: http://www.lrn.cn/stratage/expertpoint/201004/t20100412_480131.htm

    http://www.eeo.com.cn/observer/shijiao/2010/04/13/167385.shtml

    Responsibility of Upstream States: Environmental Impacts of Chinas hydropower development on

    the Upstream Mekong

    Reflections on a Depleted Mekong River

    Qin Hui

    Outbound Runoff Volume Accounts for 13.5%?

    As China continues to make progress developing hydropower on the mainstream of Langcang

    River, public attention from the downstream Mekong River Countries has continued to increase.

    Criticisms of negative impacts in particular, have increased since the year 2008. For example,

    irregularities in water flows between the Tonle Sop Lake and the Mekong River in Cambodia, rare

    catastrophic flooding in the Vientiane plain in Laos and sea water encroachment in Vietnam at the

    Mekong Delta have all been attributed to Chinas upstream development.

    Especially since the recent catastrophic drought in Southwest China and the occurrence of

    record low water levels in the downstream Mekong River just beyond the Chinese border, the Lao

    and Thai media have focused even more attention on Mekong River issues. On March 11, the

    Chinese Embassy in Thailand held a press conference on the Mekong River drought, at which in

    addition to repeating its routine statement that annual runoff of the outbound Langcang River

    represents only 13.5% of annual Mekong runoff volume, the Embassy also pointed out that the

    reservoirs of three new dams on the upstream Langcang: the Manwan Reservoir, Dachaoshan

    Reservoir and Jinghong Reservoir cause only negligible evaporation as they are relatively small

    and have low water consumption. Based on this, the Embassy went on to conclude that Chinas

    hydropower development has virtually no impact on the water volume of the downstream Mekong

    River.

    During recent visits to Southeast Asia, the author heard frequent criticisms of Chinese

    construction of hydropower facilities, which are said to cause numerous environmental problems.

    The author feels compelled to respond to these criticisms. The author thinks that these criticisms of

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    China are often groundless, or at a minimum they lack compelling evidence, and has debated

    regularly with critics of China throughout his travels to the region. However, in the authors view,

    the response of the Chinese Embassy officials is completely inappropriate, and does nothing to

    help to put the record straight. Instead, it gives the impression that China is trying to pull a fast one

    on its neighbors. It is said that this very tactless statement came not from the Embassy directly, but

    was based on a statement from the Ministry of Water Resources. From the authors perspective,

    this is even more puzzling. It is difficult to understand how such an ignorant statement might come

    from a professional department like the Ministry of Water Resources.

    The main argument Chinese officials have repeatedly is that the annual runoff of the outbound

    Lancang represents only 14% (or 13.5% or 16% alternatively) of the annual runoff volume of the

    Mekong River. When applied to problems arising in the far downstream area, especially in the

    Mekong River Delta, such as the sea water encroachment issues faced by Vietnam it might follow

    from this argument that such phenomenon are not related to developments in China. After all, the

    runoff in the Delta area obviously did not come directly from China. On the other hand, such an

    argument is ridiculous when applied to problems arising in the near downstream area. In the far

    downstream, the three downstream tributaries of the Mekong River the Mun River, the San -

    Mekong River and Tonle Sap River account for the vast majority of the runoff from Champassak,

    Laos down south to the Mekong River Delta. North of the Mun River up to the port of Guanlei, the

    runoff of the Lancang River (which is within Chinas borders) represents a much greater

    proportion of total runoff volume of the Mekong (for example, approximately two thirds of runoff

    volume near Luang Prabang, Laos comes from China). For this reason, we cannot just say that

    river water problems in this area have nothing to do with China. For example, the 2008 flood in

    Vientiane, Laos and the present low water levels occurred in sections of the Mekong River for

    which nearly all of its runoff originates from China. Any argument which focuses on the

    percentage of runoff coming from China at the Mekong River Delta to talk about what is

    happening just south of the Chinese border is ridiculous.

    Tall Dams and Large Reservoirs have No Impact?

    Of course, even if all of the water flows originate within China, it would be ridiculous to say

    that China is able to control the Mekong River system, and to blame it for natural changes in river

    flows during the wet or dry seasons. The drought in Southwest China definitely played a role in

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    causing the unusually low water levels in the downstream earlier this year. To link the low water

    levels in the downstream to Chinas construction of a number of tall dams in the upstream though

    requires evidence to prove that changes in outbound runoff are not natural occurrences. The

    argument that the construction of hydropower stations has no effect on downstream runoff because

    of their low water evaporation and low levels of water consumption is a prevarication and is

    completely illogical. It is common knowledge that the impacts of a reservoir on the downstream

    are not a result of evaporation or water consumption, (What do you think a reservoir is

    afterall? A giant kettle?) but are a result of the storing and discharging of water. The opening and

    closing of floodgates has tremendous impacts on the downstream runoff if this were not the case,

    why would experts constantly be talking about the ability of reservoirs to prevent droughts or

    floods?

    Of course the capacity of a reservoir is limited, and its ability to influence downstream runoff

    is also limited. The larger a reservoirs storage capacity (especially adjustment capacity), the

    greater will be the duration and distance over which it will influence downstream runoff.

    Reservoirs, accordingly, could be divided into those with daily, monthly, seasonal, annual and

    long term impacts. Chinese reservoirs have tremendous capacity for water resource adjustment.

    Although Chinas outbound runoff represents only 14% of the Mekongs total runoff volume, the

    capacity of Chinese reservoirs represents 70% of total storage capacity of all reservoirs along the

    Mekong River (once the Nuozhadu reservoir is put into use, the total share will rise to nearly

    90%). On the mainstream of the Mekong, Chinese reservoir capacity represents 100% of total

    mainstream reservoir capacity (note that there are only Chinese reservoirs on mainstream of the

    Mekong River). The effect (and as will be see below, this is not just a negative effect) of the

    operation of these reservoirs cannot simply be reduced to mere water resource calculations.

    Theoretically speaking, there is a possibility that these reservoirs can affect not only the near

    downstream but also the far downstream area, at times having impacts as far away as down in the

    delta area!

    Chinese government officials emphasize the small surface areas of the Manwan, Dazhaoshan

    and Jinghong reservoirs, yet the effect of a reservoir relies heavily on its capacity, and has

    nothing to do with surface area. The three above mentioned reservoirs are all reservoirs of tall

    dams that exceed 100 meters in height. Their respective capacities are 920 million, 940 million

    and 1.4 billion cubic meters, which collectively adds up to the volume of Dianchi Lake three

    times over. According a relevant technical department in China, the Manwan Reservior and

    Dachaoshan Reservior have seasonal water flow adjustment capacity, while the Jinghong

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    Reservoir has monthly capacity (although it is said by some to have seasonal capacity). This is to

    say that the three reservoirs have the capacity to influence the downstream runoff for at least a

    period of four months (one season). While it might be argued that positive impacts outweigh

    negative, it goes against common sense to argue that the reservoirs seldom influence downstream

    runoff volume because they cause limited evaporation. For the Chinese government to make

    such an argument in the face of common knowledge severely harms Chinas national image.

    Government officials also claim that there are only three reservoirs on the Lancang River. The

    Chinese media though has reported that the forth reservoir, the Xiaowan, which is much bigger

    than the others, was put into use on September 25, 2009. The dam at Xiaowan is the highest double

    arch dam in the world, and its capacity, which is said to be 15.8 billion cbm, (or at least 14.6

    billion cbm) ranks just below that of Three Gorges Dam, and is almost 5 times larger than the total

    capacity of the above mentioned three reservoirs. Relying on average annual runoff, it takes more

    than four and half a months to fill the reservoir. During the dry season, when average runoff is

    equal to only half of average annual runoff, releasing the full capacity of the reservoir will increase

    downstream runoff to the annual average for a period of nearly 10 months. Obviously no dry

    season will ever last 10 month, so of course the question is begged what will water levels be like

    the rest of the time?

    Of course these are only rough estimations in reality the capacity of the reservoir to regulate

    downstream flows is always designed to be less than the total storage capacity. However, the

    capacity of this reservoir to regulate downstream flows is most impressive. Even propaganda and

    statements from the hydropower industry repeatedly claim that the capacity of the reservoir

    enables it to balance runoffs to the downstream dams, including the Jinghong hydropower facility,

    which is not far from the border. Oddly enough, despite this fact, government officials still find it

    prudent to make the claim that the dam has almost no impact.In fact, people in the downstream

    counties suspect that since the Xiaowan Reservior was only put into use in September, that

    because of its huge capacity, even now it is still in the process of filling. While certainly the

    drought throughout the region was horrible, it is also completely possible that water levels in the

    Mekong were decreased further because of the impact of this new over-sized reservoir. In order to

    determine whether or not the reservoir is having an impact, this requires that one have information

    regarding the operations of the reservoir. Merely saying that the reservoir has hardly no impact

    does nothing to convince the public that the dams did not contribute to the drought.

    What is more, we know that construction on the biggest reservoir in the Lancang River area,

    the Nuozhadu Reservoir, began in 2006, and that once complete it will have the capacity to store

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    23.7 billion cbm. We also know that this reservoir has already started storing water. Not only will

    the Nuozhadu have even greater capacity than the Xiaowan Reservoir, it is also very close to the

    downstream border. I really wonder whether once this project is complete if we will still make

    statements like it has a small surface area, low evaporation levels and low water consumption,

    meaning it has no serious effect on the downstream?

    Release or Store Water during the Drought?

    By this point it should be clear that the reservoirs of tall dams do impact the downstream, and

    what matters is whether the impacts are positive or negative. A number of environmental

    organizations have tended towards worshiping all things natural, and necessarily judge all impacts

    of infrastructure projects to be negative. Such analysis is far too simple. In reality, a reservoir can

    have both positive and negative impacts. The types of impacts depend not only on the

    appropriateness of the reservoirs construction but also to a great extent on the subsequent

    operation and regulation of the reservoir.

    The way a reservoir operates and regulates is constantly changing and inevitably involves

    extensive technical knowledge. In the most simple terms possible, a reservoirs operation alternates

    between the following two activities: one is known as positive regulation, which consists of

    holding water to prevent flooding and releasing water to relieve a drought. Normally, the way of

    doing this is to keep the water level of the reservoir as low as possible before river waters rise so

    that the reservoir can trap as much of the downstream runoff and fill to maximum capacity by the

    end of the flood season. In order to accomplish this, during the dry season, the reservoir must be

    maintained at the lowest possible level by releasing as much water as possible into the river. This

    has the comprehensive effect of keeping runoffs at elevated levels during the dry season, and at

    levels below peak flood stage in the wet season. In this way, a reservoir can prevent flood, relieve

    drought and balance runoff volumes downstream. Such an impact, in most cases, is welcomed by

    downstream residents. However, this kind of regulation usually conflicts with the electricity-

    generation and sediment-flushing needs of hydropower stations.

    The other mode of operation consists of discharging the flood waters and retaining limited

    flows in the dry season. This type of operation represents almost the exact opposite of the first type

    of operation discussed above. In this case, upstream reservoirs release turbid waters in the wet

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    season and store water by cutting the upstream water flow in the dry season. Because flood waters

    carry much sediment and are likely to cause blockages, this way of regulating permits the flushing

    of sediment in the wet season and sustains reservoir capacity in the dry season. Beyond this

    consideration, such a mode of operation increases the efficiency of electricity-generation, which is

    dependent on the volume of water flows and the head or height of the water. As during the dry

    season, water flow volume is limited, storing water helps to sustain high water levels upstream,

    which is good for electricity generation, although bad for the downstream. Used to the maximum

    extent, this mode of operating will lead to extreme flooding in the wet season and extreme drought

    in the dry season, which obviously will seriously harm interests of the downstream.

    The Three Gorges Reservoir, the Sanmenxia Reservoir and some other Chinese reservoirs

    adopt such a mode of operations, which some Chinese refer to as a great innovation. In reality if

    one desires to protect hydropower facilities and maximize electricity output, it is really not so

    difficult to think of such an operating scheme. However, this scheme goes totally against the

    original intent of the reservoir which was to control flooding and relieve drought. It was only when

    reservoirs, particularly the Sanmenxia Reservoir, were faced with great threats from sedimentation

    that they began using such a means of operation. Although experts have racked their brains and

    designed a complicated regulating method to balance the need to regulate flows for the sake of the

    downstream and to protect facilities, the original design function of the reservoir to protect against

    flooding has been greatly reduced. By now, Sanmenxia reservoir has practically lost this function.

    Operators want to sustain capacity and ensure electricity generating, which often conflicts

    with the downstream needs of flood and drought control. Within China, this is a dilemma regularly

    faced by operators. To offer an extreme example, conflict between Henan province and Shanxi

    province over the use of Sanmenxia Reservoir got so heated that the provinces began debating

    whether the reservoir should be entirely abandoned.

    As for the tall dams and big reservoirs spanning the Lancang River, they are built primarily

    for power generation, as the Lancang River flows through ravines and valleys which are sparsely

    polluted and where there is little farmland. In the downstream on the other hand, the Mekong river

    flows through vast flatlands and plains where there are dense populations and along which are

    located the economic centers of a number of downstream states. As such, fighting floods and

    draught are the basic needs of downstream countries. One can easily imagine that the need of the

    upstream to sustain reservoir capacity and generate power conflicts with the need of the

    downstream to control flooding and prevent draught.

    The Thai media has blamed China for the unusually low level of water in the Mekong this

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    year. The Chinese media reported the response made by one Thai official to these protests. This

    official noted that China is unlikely to cut off water flow in the dry season and that accordingly the

    unusual Mekong drought should be attributed to natural disaster caused by global warming.

    This official has probably not heard anything about the controversy over how most Chinese

    dams operate. However, it should be the responsibility of the Chinese hydropower authorities topublicly explain whether or not reservoirs are retaining water in the dry season. If Chinese

    reservoirs have not retained water, but have instead released stored water to help relieve the

    downstream drought, China might be said to be making a great contribution to the downstream,

    and should proudly promote the efforts that it has made. However, in this case Chinese

    hydropower authorities have kept silent on the issue, claiming that there are no impacts to the

    downstream areas and have evaded the real issue by changing the subject to talk about

    evaporated quantity of water. In reality, such a response reveals much about what is likely the

    truth.

    Can two Conflicting Criticisms Co-exist?

    Publicizing that our reservoirs are retaining water in the dry season will inevitably invite

    criticism. However on occasion this might also invite gratitude. Normally, downstream areas

    welcome flood control and drought relief, but under certain conditions, exaggerated effects in the

    flood and drought seasons may be welcomed by downstream areas.

    In fact, determining whether the impacts of a reservoirs operations are positive or negative

    for the downstream is a complicated problem. Different operating schemes have different impacts,

    and even the same scheme may result in different consequences at different points along the

    downstream. Just as there is no consensus between the upstream country and the downstream

    countries, there is similarly no consensus among different downstream states. For example, for

    both the catastrophic flood along the Vientiane Plain in Laos in 2008 and the unprecedented low

    water levels in the north Mekong river this year, we heard people in Laos complain that operation

    of reservoirs upstream in China had caused extreme changes in runoff volume, meaning greater

    runoff volumes in the flood season and smaller runoff volumes in the dry season. However, during

    my recent trip to Cambodia, I heard exactly the opposite complaints. The Tonle Sap plain, which is

    the source of most of Cambodias fish and rice, has a unique ecology which relies on seasonal

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    changes in river flows. In the flood seasons when the water level of the Mekong River is high, the

    water backs into the Tonle Sap Lake through the Tonle Sap tributary, enlarging the surface area of

    the lake and bringing in rich organic sediment. This naturally fertilizes Cambodias unique

    elevated rice paddies, and allows large numbers of fish to migrate to and reproduce in the lake,

    making it one of the most productive lakes in the world for freshwater fish. In the dry season, the

    water level falls in the Mekong River and the Tonle Sap Lake flows into the Mekong River

    through the Tonle Sap Tributary. The surface area of the lake decreases and the fish are caught by

    local populations in delicately designed traps. As the water level decreases, the bed of the lake

    becomes farmland once again, and local people can go out on foot instead of by boat to collect the

    now mature high-pole rice.

    These traditional livelihoods in Cambodia, which alternate between wet and dry ecologies,

    depend entirely on seasonal changes in Mekong river water flows. In other words, the expectations

    of Cambodians are quite different from their Lao neighbors. Contrary to the Lao, Cambodians

    desire much higher water levels in the flood season and decreased water levels in the dry seasons.

    This year, Cambodians complained about diminishing water flows in the wet season, noting that

    this year the Tonle Sop Lakes surface area is not large enough to irrigate all high-pole rice in the

    flood season and that water levels are not shallow enough to collect under-water rice in dry season.

    Additionally, fish migration has been impacted, causing a decrease in local incomes and

    threatening traditional lifestyles and the unique ecology. Public opinion tends to attribute all of

    these negative consequences to the operating practices of Chinese dams upstream.

    I therefore told the Cambodians that even though I have no information about the operation of

    upstream reservoirs, what I can say is that the complaints made in Cambodia are the exact opposite

    of those being made in Laos. I further told them that these two sets of complaints are not logically

    compatible. Theoretically speaking, upstream reservoirs could control floods and relieve droughts

    or discharge runoff in the flood season and retain water in the dry season. The consequences of

    each of these actions should be quite clear when we think through the logic. However, it is

    logically impossible for operation of one reservoir to have two different consequences

    simultaneously. If the two situations described by the Lao and the Cambodians coexist, then it

    would seem reasonable to argue that the situation in the upper downstream (Laos and Thailand)

    might have something to do with the operation of reservoirs in China, but that the situation further

    downstream must be related to other factors.

    Of course there is still another possibility -- that all of the problems are being caused by local

    floods and droughts, and have nothing to do with Chinese reservoirs. It is impossible to draw such

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    a conclusion at present though, as analysis of local hydrographic and metrological data and of

    information regarding the operation of upstream Chinese reservoirs cannot be completed.

    Why Inviting Only Criticisms and No Gratitude?

    These criticisms push me to think more deeply. However Chinese reservoirs operate at any

    given time, whether they adopt flood control and drought relief which leads to balanced

    downstream runoffs, or they adopt practices which maximize maintenance of facilities and

    generation of electricity, there should be both positive impacts and negative impacts at the same

    time. For instance, if Chinese reservoirs release water in the flood season, the Thais and the Lao

    may complain, but the Cambodian should thank China. On the other hand, if Chinese reservoirs

    release water in dry seasons, the Cambodians will complain but the Lao and the Thais should thank

    China. Currently though, regardless of what happens, China receives nothing but criticisms and

    complaints. Why is this so? Should China blame Southeast Asians for being biased against it?

    I think that the problem lies in the Chinese governments repeated statement that it has no

    impact regardless of what happens in the downstream. Because China makes such a statement,

    countries positively impacted by Chinese regulation of river runoffs have no need to show

    gratitude, while countries negatively impacted will never be convinced by such statements, as they

    are completely groundless. Are the complaints made by Southeast Asians supported by any

    evidence? No, because there is none as China has not disclosed any information about the

    operations of its reservoirs, meaning that other nations cannot objectively judge the actual impacts.

    As all China talks about are things like evaporation volume, other nations criticize China for

    making a mockery of public opinion.

    Nearly everyone would agree that natural drought has played at least some role in the

    catastrophic low water levels in the north Mekong River this year. The question is how Chinas tall

    dams and big reservoirs respond to this situation. Relevant Chinese government departments

    refused to disclose any data regarding upstream reservoirs. If China had released water to help

    relieve the drought, the Thais and the Lao should thank China. In such a situation, local people

    would attribute the severe drought to nature, which has caused low water levels despite Chinese

    efforts to relieve the situation. What if China had done the opposite? The Thais and the Laos would

    then be justified in blaming China, but the Cambodians further downstream should thank China.

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    As it stands, as China has claimed to have done nothing, it will receive no thanks, while at the

    same time as it cannot provide evidence to argue with the Thais and the Lao, they will continue to

    suspect that China has cut upstream runoff by retaining water in the wet season.

    Therefore, when the Chinese hydropower authorities are evasive and make misleading claims,

    they face the following consequences: when China does something good, no one knows; whenChina does something bad, it fails to hide it; when China does nothing it all, it is suspected of

    having done so.

    Some Chinese officials seem to believe that the citizens of other countries behave like people

    in China who unite behind whatever is written in official press releases. As such, these officials

    show concern only for what officials from other countries are saying. I once overheard an

    employee from a Chinese invested company say why are these NGO organizations and

    independent media outlets fussing over China all the time, when even their government officials

    are not blaming china? In fact, the political regimes of these countries are quite different from

    those of China. Under a democratic political regime, public opinion and official statements tend to

    be complementary when it comes to international affairs, but rarely echo one another. Public

    opinion can express what government officials feel is inconvenient to say, successfully exerting

    pressure on relevant foreign governments while leaving room for official negotiation. In fact,

    government officials generally want to shift pressure when they are in trouble, therefore they

    welcome such public opinion.

    The Chinese government on the other hand does not know how to take advantage of the

    complementary role of public opinion; instead it usually strictly controls public opinion at home on

    international affairs as it is afraid of trivial issues disrupting its diplomacy. However, if China

    attempts to deal with foreign public opinion in the same way, it will tend to backfire ignoring it

    or mocking it will only make the situation worse.

    Giving Priority to Establishing an Information-Sharing and Multilateral

    Negotiation Platform

    The debate over the Mekong River has developed in a positive direction in recent years. The

    Mekong River Commission which consists of Vietnam, Cambodia, Laos, and Thailand held a

    conference to discuss regional issues related to the Mekong River, and China and Myanmar

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    attended the meeting as observers. Before the conference, Chinese authorities claimed that they

    would disclose some hydrological data regarding the Manwan Reservoir and the Jinghong

    Reservoir to Mekong River Commission, and begin taking the interests of downstream countries

    into consideration when developing the upstream. China also agreed to negotiate relevant issues

    with concerned countries. While these claims indicate a positive trend, personally I think that

    China could be much more open. Why is China unwilling to provide data on the Xiaowan

    Reservoir which is more important, and which has capacity almost 10 times as great as that of

    small reservoirs such as the Manwan and the Jinghong? It will be understandable (of course not

    OK) if China were to refuse to provide any data at all out of concerns related to sovereignty. As

    long as data from only small reservoirs are provided though, it will be impossible to avoid raising

    the suspicions of neighbors.

    Further, China will appear passive and even foolish if the amount of information it provides

    depends on the degree of criticism it receives from neighbors. Why not be more proactive? It is

    easy to calculate changes in runoffs caused by such a huge reservoir with the aid of a remote

    sensing satellite. If it is true, as many in China have argued, that there are anti-China elements

    behind the complaints regarding the impacts of Chinese dams, there will be no need to hide any

    data. If the claims of these so-called anti-China forces prove false, more proactive behavior and a

    more open attitude on the part of China will disperse broader suspicions of China.

    From what I learned visiting Laos and Cambodia, most people outside of government know

    little about China. Local rumors indicate that the eight Chinese reservoirs on Lancang River are

    causing a lot of problems. In fact, although China does have plans to build eight reservoirs on the

    Lancang River, only four have been built and put into use. Interestingly though, the complaints that

    I heard most frequently from civil society groups in these countries is not that the Chinese are

    necessarily doing anything wrong, but that they have no idea about how Chinese reservoirs are

    operated. They complain that Chinese authorities are prejudiced against NGO organizations and

    independent media and that the Chinese government refuses to communicate with non-official

    organizations. They are upset that requests to learn more through the Chinese Embassy and

    Chinese authorities are always turned down. Comparatively speaking, Southeast Asian NGO actors

    find Western countries much friendlier. Westerners invite NGO organizations and members of the

    media to visit construction sites and gather information about projects, and hold conferences to

    deal with controversies.

    Our Chinese companies do a very good job of illustrating just how serve this problem is. A

    representative from a Chinese company in Southeast Asia described Western companies to me as

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    sly and good at flattering NGO organizations and the media. He went on to give the example of

    two hydropower stations in Laos. One, a Chinese invested station is guarded by an army, and

    forbids all visitors; the other, a Western invested project is open to all NGO organizations and to

    the media, and regularly hosts visitors every day. It is easy to imagine how local populations

    respond to these two different companies.As a vehicle of official communication, the Mekong River Commission gets much support

    from international organizations including the United Nations, and it has influence over many

    countries. China did not have a normal diplomatic relations with most of the member states in

    1980s when the Commission was established, and was not invited to join in, which definitely was

    no fault of Chinas. But as China developed upstream reservoirs and as diplomatic relations

    between China and most of the member states were restored, China should be expected to join the

    Mekong River Commission. Like many other multi-national consultative organizations, the

    Mekong River Commission is said to be inefficient and laden with disputes. It is said that in order

    to avoid getting involved in these disputes, that China has refused to participate and has remained

    only an observer.

    As said above, different interests not only exist between China and downstream countries, but

    also exist among downstream countries themselves. Regardless of how China operates its upstream

    reservoirs, there will always be costs and benefits in the downstream. That China receives only

    criticisms results from Chinese unilateral decision making. If instead China embraced multi-lateral

    organizations which make rules through multilateral negotiations, mechanisms of compensation

    and clear obligations might be established, and conflict might be brought under control. The needs

    of the Thais and the Lao are totally different from those of Cambodians when it comes to how to

    balance water flows in the Mekong River in each season. Presently though, they do not blame one

    another, but instead both criticize China. Despite the fact that neither of these countries have large

    reservoirs or tall dams, there is another reason they have all joined the Mekong River Commission

    and have made common decisions and have shouldered common responsibilities. Their common

    decisions justify the results of their action, while Chinese unilateral decisions are prone to

    criticism. All in all, upstream development will continue to have greater impacts on downstream

    countries, and China should join the Mekong River Commission as soon as possible.

    There Should be More Negotiations at home as wells as Abroad

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    The impacts of the drought along the Mekong River have generated many criticisms of China,

    including that it is hegemonic. On many occasions I have replied to such criticisms to argue that

    China is not behaving in such a way. Nevertheless, the Chinese hydropower authorities do seem to

    deserve their reputation as being domineering. What many probably do not realize though is that

    they are much more domineering back in China than they are overseas. Although foreign countries

    cry out that China is a hegemon in the Mekong River region, honestly speaking, China treats

    criticisms from abroad, especially those from foreign governments much more seriously than

    domestic criticisms. Though opinions from foreign NGO organizations are thought to be ignored,

    they tend to attract more attention than the opinions of the Chinese people. There are many

    conflicts in China: conflict among different stakeholder over floods, relocation and changes in

    upstream hydrology; conflict between social needs (flood control and drought relief) and the

    interests of hydropower station operators; and conflict between environmental protection and

    development. There are heated debates over Sanmenxia, Pubugou, and Yangliuhu Reservoirs in

    China. There are also controversies over whether we should build some hydropower stations at all,

    and for others over how we should build and operate them. All these conflicts and controversies

    need mechanisms through which they can be resolved currently China has absolutely no such

    mechanisms.

    In todays China, reform and development are two complimentary trends. The globalization

    process will eventually give China a lesson on how to manage its domestic affairs. We can learn a

    lesson from Capital Iron and Steel Corporation, the largest Chinese invested companies in South

    America, in dealing with autonomous labor unions in Peru. We can also get successful experiences

    from Chinese Aluminum Company, which respects land interests of indigenous Australians in their

    Aolukun project. All of these help us to improve labor rights and interests and find ways of

    reforming land tenure systems. Likewise, the debate over Mekong River will be significant if it

    provides precious experience for the hydropower authorities with respect to how to communicate

    with different stakeholders.