Resilience and stability of ecological networksResilience and stability of ecological networks Elisa...

55
Resilience and stability of ecological networks Elisa Thébault [email protected]

Transcript of Resilience and stability of ecological networksResilience and stability of ecological networks Elisa...

Page 1: Resilience and stability of ecological networksResilience and stability of ecological networks Elisa Thébault elisa.thebault@upmc.fr

Resilience and stability of ecological networks

Elisa Thébault

[email protected]

Page 2: Resilience and stability of ecological networksResilience and stability of ecological networks Elisa Thébault elisa.thebault@upmc.fr

Why study ecological interaction webs?

Page 3: Resilience and stability of ecological networksResilience and stability of ecological networks Elisa Thébault elisa.thebault@upmc.fr

Why study ecological interaction webs?

Factors which determine interactions

between species

Network structural patterns

Naisbit et al. 2012

Rezende et al. 2007

Page 4: Resilience and stability of ecological networksResilience and stability of ecological networks Elisa Thébault elisa.thebault@upmc.fr

Why study ecological interaction webs?

Consequences on ecosystem functioning

and stability

Network structural patterns

Dunne et al. (2004)

Page 5: Resilience and stability of ecological networksResilience and stability of ecological networks Elisa Thébault elisa.thebault@upmc.fr

Why study ecological interaction webs?

Effects of global change on networks and consequences

Cavalheiro et al. (2008)

Page 6: Resilience and stability of ecological networksResilience and stability of ecological networks Elisa Thébault elisa.thebault@upmc.fr

Before 1970s, the view is that complexity begets stability

Page 7: Resilience and stability of ecological networksResilience and stability of ecological networks Elisa Thébault elisa.thebault@upmc.fr

Several arguments:

- Theoretical and experimental evidence that

simple model ecosystems are inherently

unstable

- species-poor islands and artificial

agricultural ecosystems are more prone to

invasions by new species and pests than are

their continental and natural counterparts.

Elton 1958

Before 1970s, the view is that complexity begets stability

Page 8: Resilience and stability of ecological networksResilience and stability of ecological networks Elisa Thébault elisa.thebault@upmc.fr

Elton 1958 MacArthur 1955 Several arguments:

- Theoretical and experimental evidence that

simple model ecosystems are inherently

unstable

- species-poor islands and artificial

agricultural ecosystems are more prone to

invasions by new species and pests than are

their continental and natural counterparts.

Before 1970s, the view is that complexity begets stability

Page 9: Resilience and stability of ecological networksResilience and stability of ecological networks Elisa Thébault elisa.thebault@upmc.fr

– Consider a community of k species with population density Ni

– Population dynamics can be described by:

kii NNF

dt

dN,...,1

This traditional view is challenged in the early 1970s

May 1972

A mathematical formulation

Page 10: Resilience and stability of ecological networksResilience and stability of ecological networks Elisa Thébault elisa.thebault@upmc.fr

n …

… 2 1

1 2 ….. n

– Near equilibrium, the behaviour of the community is related to the eigenvalues of the Jacobian of the system at this point

A = community matrix

aij = interaction strength eqj

iij

N

Fa

This traditional view is challenged in the early 1970s

Page 11: Resilience and stability of ecological networksResilience and stability of ecological networks Elisa Thébault elisa.thebault@upmc.fr

n …

… 2 1

1 2 ….. n

– Near equilibrium, the behaviour of the community is related to the eigenvalues of the Jacobian of the system at this point

– For a random network with a proportion C of nonzero interaction strengths (connectance), and s the mean interaction strength, the condition for local stability is:

A = community matrix

aij = interaction strength eqj

iij

N

Fa

1kCs

This traditional view is challenged in the early 1970s

Page 12: Resilience and stability of ecological networksResilience and stability of ecological networks Elisa Thébault elisa.thebault@upmc.fr

These contrasting views are at the origin of the complexity – stability

debate

Page 13: Resilience and stability of ecological networksResilience and stability of ecological networks Elisa Thébault elisa.thebault@upmc.fr

Tackling this debate is fundamental to understand how the structure of ecological networks affect ecosystem resilience

These contrasting views are at the origin of the complexity – stability

debate

Page 14: Resilience and stability of ecological networksResilience and stability of ecological networks Elisa Thébault elisa.thebault@upmc.fr

New perspectives on this debate with different definitions of stability

Going beyond May’s work: ecological networks are not random and new model assumptions

Today we will focus on two questions from recent works in this field:

These contrasting views are at the origin of the complexity – stability

debate

Page 15: Resilience and stability of ecological networksResilience and stability of ecological networks Elisa Thébault elisa.thebault@upmc.fr

New perspectives on this debate with different definitions of stability

Going beyond May’s work: ecological networks are not random and new model assumptions

Today we will focus on two questions from recent works in this field:

These contrasting views are at the origin of the complexity – stability

debate

Page 16: Resilience and stability of ecological networksResilience and stability of ecological networks Elisa Thébault elisa.thebault@upmc.fr

Stability: a multifaceted concept …

Dynamic stability

Local stability: definition often used in theoretical studies See May

Cycles and Chaos: Associated measures of stability: Variability, amplitude of fluctuations, etc.

Page 17: Resilience and stability of ecological networksResilience and stability of ecological networks Elisa Thébault elisa.thebault@upmc.fr

Stability: a multifaceted concept …

Dynamic stability Response to disturbances

Resilience and resistance of the community, species persistance, ….

Page 18: Resilience and stability of ecological networksResilience and stability of ecological networks Elisa Thébault elisa.thebault@upmc.fr

… in relation with many diversity-stability relationships

Ives and Carpenter (2007)

Model of randomly structured competitive communities:

Investigate 13 relationships between diversity and stability

Page 19: Resilience and stability of ecological networksResilience and stability of ecological networks Elisa Thébault elisa.thebault@upmc.fr

… in relation with many diversity-stability relationships

Ives and Carpenter (2007)

Page 20: Resilience and stability of ecological networksResilience and stability of ecological networks Elisa Thébault elisa.thebault@upmc.fr

… in relation with many diversity-stability relationships

Page 21: Resilience and stability of ecological networksResilience and stability of ecological networks Elisa Thébault elisa.thebault@upmc.fr

… in relation with many diversity-stability relationships

Page 22: Resilience and stability of ecological networksResilience and stability of ecological networks Elisa Thébault elisa.thebault@upmc.fr

Temporal variability of ecosystem functioning: a new perspective on the

diversity-stability debate

Tilman et al. (2006)

Page 23: Resilience and stability of ecological networksResilience and stability of ecological networks Elisa Thébault elisa.thebault@upmc.fr

Insurance hypothesis

Diversity decreases variability of ecosystem properties through asynchronous responses of species to environmental perturbation Higher diversity

levels

Low diversity

Yachi & Loreau (1999)

Page 24: Resilience and stability of ecological networksResilience and stability of ecological networks Elisa Thébault elisa.thebault@upmc.fr

Tem

pe

ratu

re T

(°C

)

Time

Niche differentiation

Pla

nts

an

d h

erb

ivo

res

mo

rtal

ity

rate

s m

T(t)

5 15 25

5 15 25

5 15 25

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

0 500 1000 1500 2000

Degree of niche differentiation

Insurance hypothesis and interactions between species

1 1 P

1 … P

n - 1 P

n

H 1

… H n - 1

H n

P 1

… P n - 1

P n

H 1

… H n - 1

H n

P 1

… P n - 1

P n

H 1

… H n - 1

H n

Environmental fluctuations

Thébault & Loreau (2005)

Page 25: Resilience and stability of ecological networksResilience and stability of ecological networks Elisa Thébault elisa.thebault@upmc.fr

0

0,2

0,4

0,6

0,8

1

1 2 4 8 16

0

0,1

0,2

0,3

1 2 4 8 16

Plant diversity

CV

of

tota

l he

rbiv

ore

b

iom

ass

P 1 P n - 1 P n

H 1 H n - 1 H n

Specialist herbivores

CV

of

pla

nt

and

he

rbiv

ore

bio

mas

s

Higher degree of niche

differentiation

Plant diversity

synchronous responses

asynchronous responses

highly asynchronous responses

CV

of

tota

l pla

nt

bio

mas

s

0

0,1

0,2

0,3

1 2 4 8 16

Insurance hypothesis and interactions between species

Thébault & Loreau (2005)

Page 26: Resilience and stability of ecological networksResilience and stability of ecological networks Elisa Thébault elisa.thebault@upmc.fr

0

0,1

0,2

0,3

1 2 4 8 16

0

0,2

0,4

0,6

0,8

1

1 2 4 8 16

0

0,1

0,2

0,3

1 2 4 8 16

0

0,1

0,2

0,3

1 2 4 8 16

0

0,1

0,2

0,3

1 2 4 8 16

0

0,2

0,4

0,6

0,8

1

1 2 4 8 16

Plant diversity

CV

of

tota

l pla

nt

bio

mas

s C

V o

f to

tal h

erb

ivo

re

bio

mas

s

CV

of

pla

nt

and

he

rbiv

ore

bio

mas

s

Plant diversity

synchronous responses

asynchronous responses

highly asynchronous responses

Insurance hypothesis and interactions between species

Thébault & Loreau (2005)

P 1 P n - 1 P n

H 1 H n - 1 H n

P 1

H

P 1

H

P 1

H

Page 27: Resilience and stability of ecological networksResilience and stability of ecological networks Elisa Thébault elisa.thebault@upmc.fr

0

0,1

0,2

0,3

1 2 4 8 16

0

0,2

0,4

0,6

0,8

1

1 2 4 8 16

0

0,1

0,2

0,3

1 2 4 8 16

0

0,1

0,2

0,3

1 2 4 8 16

0

0,1

0,2

0,3

1 2 4 8 16

0

0,2

0,4

0,6

0,8

1

1 2 4 8 16

Plant diversity

CV

of

tota

l pla

nt

bio

mas

s C

V o

f to

tal h

erb

ivo

re

bio

mas

s

CV

of

pla

nt

and

he

rbiv

ore

bio

mas

s

Plant diversity

synchronous responses

asynchronous responses

highly asynchronous responses

Insurance hypothesis and interactions between species

Thébault & Loreau (2005)

P 1 P n - 1 P n

H 1 H n - 1 H n

P 1 … P n - 1

H 1 … H n - 1

P 1 … P n - 1

H 1 … H n - 1

P 1 … P n - 1

H 1 … H n - 1

Page 28: Resilience and stability of ecological networksResilience and stability of ecological networks Elisa Thébault elisa.thebault@upmc.fr

P 1 P n - 1 P n

H 1 H n - 1 H n

0

0,1

0,2

0,3

1 2 4 8 16

0

0,2

0,4

0,6

0,8

1

1 2 4 8 16

0

0,1

0,2

0,3

1 2 4 8 16

0

0,1

0,2

0,3

1 2 4 8 16

0

0,1

0,2

0,3

1 2 4 8 16

0

0,2

0,4

0,6

0,8

1

1 2 4 8 16

Plant diversity

CV

of

tota

l pla

nt

bio

mas

s C

V o

f to

tal h

erb

ivo

re

bio

mas

s

CV

of

pla

nt

and

he

rbiv

ore

bio

mas

s

Plant diversity

1 1

synchronous responses

asynchronous responses

highly asynchronous responses

P 1 … P n - 1 P n

H 1 … H n - 1 H n

P 1 … P n - 1 P n

H 1 … H n - 1 H n

P 1 … P n - 1 P n

H 1 … H n - 1 H n

Insurance hypothesis and interactions between species

Thébault & Loreau (2005)

Page 29: Resilience and stability of ecological networksResilience and stability of ecological networks Elisa Thébault elisa.thebault@upmc.fr

P 1 P n - 1 P n

H 1 H n - 1 H n

0

0,1

0,2

0,3

1 2 4 8 16

0

0,1

0,2

0,3

1 2 4 8 16

0

0,2

0,4

0,6

0,8

1

1 2 4 8 16

P 1 … P n - 1 P n

H 1 … H n - 1 H n

P 1 … P n - 1 P n

H 1 … H n - 1 H n

P 1 … P n - 1 P n

H 1 … H n - 1 H n

0

0,1

0,2

0,3

1 2 4 8 16

0

0,2

0,4

0,6

0,8

1

1 2 4 8 16

Plant diversity

CV

of

tota

l pla

nt

bio

mas

s C

V o

f to

tal h

erb

ivo

re

bio

mas

s

Plant diversity

synchronous responses

asynchronous responses

highly asynchronous responses

0

0,1

0,2

0,3

1 2 4 8 16

CV

of

pla

nt

and

he

rbiv

ore

bio

mas

s

Insurance hypothesis and interactions between species

Thébault & Loreau (2005)

Page 30: Resilience and stability of ecological networksResilience and stability of ecological networks Elisa Thébault elisa.thebault@upmc.fr

Jiang et al. 2009

Haddad et al. 2010

Diversity promotes ecosystem stability

Page 31: Resilience and stability of ecological networksResilience and stability of ecological networks Elisa Thébault elisa.thebault@upmc.fr

These contrasting views are at the origin of the complexity – stability

debate

Going beyond May’s work: ecological networks are not random and new model assumptions

- effects of interaction type and network structure - importance of foraging adaptation

Today we will focus on two questions from recent works in this field:

Page 32: Resilience and stability of ecological networksResilience and stability of ecological networks Elisa Thébault elisa.thebault@upmc.fr

A diversity of interaction networks

Food web

Plant-pollinator network

Host-parasitoid network

Page 33: Resilience and stability of ecological networksResilience and stability of ecological networks Elisa Thébault elisa.thebault@upmc.fr

Food web

94% food

webs

1% mutualistic

webs

4% parasitic

webs

Proportions of papers on ecological

networks published in the last 50 years

that were related to food webs,

mutualistic webs and parasitic webs

A focus on food webs

Page 34: Resilience and stability of ecological networksResilience and stability of ecological networks Elisa Thébault elisa.thebault@upmc.fr

A focus on food webs

Schmid-Araya et al. 2002

Page 35: Resilience and stability of ecological networksResilience and stability of ecological networks Elisa Thébault elisa.thebault@upmc.fr

A focus on food webs

Gauzens et al. 2015

Trophic groups Modules

Page 36: Resilience and stability of ecological networksResilience and stability of ecological networks Elisa Thébault elisa.thebault@upmc.fr

Gross et al. (2009)

Food web structure and stability

Stouffer et al. (2011)

Page 37: Resilience and stability of ecological networksResilience and stability of ecological networks Elisa Thébault elisa.thebault@upmc.fr

A growing number of studies on mutualistic webs

Seed dispersal pollination

Nested structure

• Continuum between specialist and generalist species

• Presence of a core of highly connected species

• Asymmetrical specialization Bascompte et al. 2003

Page 38: Resilience and stability of ecological networksResilience and stability of ecological networks Elisa Thébault elisa.thebault@upmc.fr

A growing number of studies on mutualistic webs

Page 39: Resilience and stability of ecological networksResilience and stability of ecological networks Elisa Thébault elisa.thebault@upmc.fr

Okuyama & Holland (2008)

Nestedness of mutualistic webs and stability

Rohr et al. (2014)

Page 40: Resilience and stability of ecological networksResilience and stability of ecological networks Elisa Thébault elisa.thebault@upmc.fr

Gross et al. (2009) Okuyama & Holland (2008)

The links between network structure and stability

Page 41: Resilience and stability of ecological networksResilience and stability of ecological networks Elisa Thébault elisa.thebault@upmc.fr

The model: dynamics of mutualistic and trophic webs

Na

j

AjpreyPk

kij

ijij

iPiiPii

Np

j

AipreyPk

kji

jiji

iAiiAii

P

PAcPIPr

dt

dP

P

PAcAIAr

dt

dA

1

)(

1

2

1

)(

1

2

Na

j

PimutAk

kij

ijij

iPiiPii

Np

j

AimutPk

kji

jiji

iAiiAii

A

PAcPIPr

dt

dP

P

PAcAIAr

dt

dA

1

)(

1

2

1

)(

1

2

-intrinsic growth rates rP and rA < 0 obligate mutualism

-intrinsic growth rates rP > 0 and rA < 0

-density dependence term -density dependence term

-interaction term saturates with mutualistic partner densities

-interaction term saturates with prey densities

Mutualistic Antagonistic

Page 42: Resilience and stability of ecological networksResilience and stability of ecological networks Elisa Thébault elisa.thebault@upmc.fr

diversity

con

ne

ctan

ce

n = 24

n = 80

C =

0.0

5

C =

0.2

nestedness

modularity

time

Spec

ies

den

siti

es

The model: network structure and stability

Page 43: Resilience and stability of ecological networksResilience and stability of ecological networks Elisa Thébault elisa.thebault@upmc.fr

diversity

con

ne

ctan

ce

n = 24

n = 80

C =

0.0

5

C =

0.2

nestedness

modularity

time

Spec

ies

den

siti

es Persistence:

proportion of species persisting at the equilibrium

Resilience:

measure of the speed at which a system returns to its original state after a perturbation

The model: network structure and stability

Page 44: Resilience and stability of ecological networksResilience and stability of ecological networks Elisa Thébault elisa.thebault@upmc.fr

Results: impact of network structure on species persistence

Antagonistic networks Mutualistic networks

Diversity

Co

nn

ecta

nce

Diversity

Nestedness

Mo

du

lari

ty

Nestedness Thébault & Fontaine 2010

Page 45: Resilience and stability of ecological networksResilience and stability of ecological networks Elisa Thébault elisa.thebault@upmc.fr

Results: impact of network structure on species persistence

Connectance Diversity

Modularity Nestedness

Persistence

0.07 0.31

- 0.53 - 0.03

- 0.81

0.87 -0.36

0.32

Connectance Diversity

Modularity Nestedness

Persistence

0.12 -0.29

- 0.01 - 0.89

- 0.81

0.86 -0.36

0.35

Mutualistic

opposite effect of network structure on the persistence of mutualistic and trophic networks

Antagonistic

Thébault & Fontaine 2010

Page 46: Resilience and stability of ecological networksResilience and stability of ecological networks Elisa Thébault elisa.thebault@upmc.fr

Results: impact of network structure on species persistence

indirect effect: 0.40 indirect effect: 0.18 indirect effect: -0.76 indirect effect: -0.31

Importance of nestedness and modularity for network stability

Connectance Diversity

Modularity Nestedness

Persistence

0.07 0.31

- 0.53 - 0.03

- 0.81

0.87 -0.36

0.32

Connectance Diversity

Modularity Nestedness

Persistence

0.12 -0.29

- 0.01 - 0.89

- 0.81

0.86 -0.36

0.35

Mutualistic Antagonistic

Thébault & Fontaine 2010

Page 47: Resilience and stability of ecological networksResilience and stability of ecological networks Elisa Thébault elisa.thebault@upmc.fr

Results: impact of network structure on resilience

Mutualistic Antagonistic

Connectance Diversity

Modularity Nestedness

Resilience

-0.17 0.49

- 0.17 0.25

- 0.73

0.83 -0.42

0.27

Connectance Diversity

Modularity Nestedness

Resilience

-0.62 -0.28

0.23 0.10

- 0.86

0.90 -0.30

0.26

indirect effect: 0. 32 indirect effect: 0.13 indirect effect: -0.10 indirect effect: -0.04

opposite effect of network structure on the resilience of mutualistic and trophic networks

Thébault & Fontaine 2010

Page 48: Resilience and stability of ecological networksResilience and stability of ecological networks Elisa Thébault elisa.thebault@upmc.fr

Results: network structure at equilibrium

Thébault & Fontaine 2010

Page 49: Resilience and stability of ecological networksResilience and stability of ecological networks Elisa Thébault elisa.thebault@upmc.fr

Summary: comparing networks with mutualistic and antagonistic interactions

The relation between structure and stability strongly differ between mutualistic and antagonistic webs Observed differences between herbivory and pollination networks suggest that network structure might differ between mutualistic and antagonistic interactions Importance of the particular architecture of interaction networks in determining their stability

Page 50: Resilience and stability of ecological networksResilience and stability of ecological networks Elisa Thébault elisa.thebault@upmc.fr

Importance of foraging adaptation

Consumers can’t consume different resource species simultaneously because of the prey’s patchy distribution, the capturing strategy for different preys, consumer’s sensory and cognitive constraints for discriminating between preys.

Bernays and Funk 1999

Page 51: Resilience and stability of ecological networksResilience and stability of ecological networks Elisa Thébault elisa.thebault@upmc.fr

Kondoh 2003

Importance of foraging adaptation

Page 52: Resilience and stability of ecological networksResilience and stability of ecological networks Elisa Thébault elisa.thebault@upmc.fr

Kondoh 2003

Importance of foraging adaptation

Page 53: Resilience and stability of ecological networksResilience and stability of ecological networks Elisa Thébault elisa.thebault@upmc.fr

Take home message Resilience, stability and the structure

of ecological networks

The relationship between network structure and stability depends on the definition of stability and on the mechanisms that determine species interactions

Need to be very careful about stability measures and model assumptions when you consider a study

Page 54: Resilience and stability of ecological networksResilience and stability of ecological networks Elisa Thébault elisa.thebault@upmc.fr

Is resilience the most appropriate measure to assess the stability of ecological networks and their response to perturbations?

Take home message Resilience, stability and the structure

of ecological networks

Page 55: Resilience and stability of ecological networksResilience and stability of ecological networks Elisa Thébault elisa.thebault@upmc.fr

Thank you for your attention