RENEWABLE ENERGY CERTIFICATES AN OVERVIEW...4 RENEWABLE ENERGY CERTIFICATES (RECs) q The REC –...

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1 RENEWABLE ENERGY CERTIFICATES: AN OVERVIEW presentation by George Gross Department of Electrical and Computer Engineering University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign at the EGen SWATeam Meeting, February 20, 2018 © 2018 George Gross, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, All Rights Reserved.

Transcript of RENEWABLE ENERGY CERTIFICATES AN OVERVIEW...4 RENEWABLE ENERGY CERTIFICATES (RECs) q The REC –...

Page 1: RENEWABLE ENERGY CERTIFICATES AN OVERVIEW...4 RENEWABLE ENERGY CERTIFICATES (RECs) q The REC – also known as the green tag or renewable energy credit – is a tradable but non–tangible

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RENEWABLE ENERGY CERTIFICATES:

AN OVERVIEW

presentation by

George Gross

Department of Electrical and Computer Engineering

University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign

at the EGen SWATeam Meeting, February 20, 2018 © 2018 George Gross, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, All Rights Reserved.

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q  Renewable Energy Certificates (RECs)

q  REC purchase mechanisms

q  US energy markets with renewable output players

m  REC compliance markets

m  voluntary markets

q  Renewable Energy (RE) tracking systems in the US

q  REC arbitrage

q  REC status

OUTLINE

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RENEWABLE ENERGY CERTIFICATES

Source: https://resource-solutions.org/wp-content/uploads/2017/08/RPS-and-Voluntary-Markets.pdf

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RENEWABLE ENERGY CERTIFICATES (RECs)

q  The REC – also known as the green tag or renewable energy credit – is a tradable but non–tangible energy commodity that provides proof of the production of 1–MWh electricity from a renewable resource

q  Every RE resource receives compensation for its generation from two revenue streams: the energy is compensated from sales into either the organized electricity markets or via power purchase agreements (PPAs) and the sale of the RECs representing that energy production receives a separate payment

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RENEWABLE ENERGY CERTIFICATES (RECs)

electricity+

right to claimthe consumption of

renewableenergy

MWh

RECs

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physical

ENERGY, RENEWABLE ENERGY AND RECs environmental

customers renewable gen

MWhMWh

conventional gen MWh

$

RECs RECs

market$$$

$

tracking sensors

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RECs AND THE ENVIRONMENT

q  The RECs convey the environmental benefits of

the renewable–resource–generated electricity and,

under a tracking mechanism, provide the direct

accounting needed to certify the jurisdictional

Renewable Portfolio Standard (RPS) goals are met

q  The RECs provide auditable proof of the RE

produced and injected into the grid

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RECs

q  The produced RE and the RECs may be sold

separately and to different buyers

q  The green energy consumption and the proof of

the production may be in different jurisdictions

q  The prices of RECs vary from one jurisdiction to

another and their use across different states are

subject to the non–uniform rules of the states

q  RECs provide buyers and sellers flexibility in the

trade of RE consumption proofs across state borders

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RECs

q  RECs provide the means to account for, track and

assign ownership of consumed RE and constitute

the legal instrument to certify US RE usage claims

q  US has several regional tracking systems that

issue RECs, monitor their deployment and certify

that no RE resource generation has multiple RECs

issued for the same MWh

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RECs

q  Tracking systems provide the information system

that allows RECs to be traded and used correctly,

as if it were a tangible commodity

q  Each tracking system allows a REC to be used for

a specified time window prior to its expiration

q  The tracking system retires RECs once they are

used and a retired REC cannot be sold, donated

or transferred to any other party

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REGIONAL RE TRACKING SYSTEMS IN NORTH AMERICA

Source: https://resource-solutions.org/wp-content/uploads/2017/08/RPS-and-Voluntary-Markets.pdf

ERCOTMIRECS

NVTRECNYGATS

PJM-GATS

WREGIS

M-RETSNARNC-RETS

NEPOOL-GIS

Notracking system formally adopted

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REC EVOLUTION TIMELINE

year venue development

1983 IA first state to adopt a RE requirement

1995 CA first mention of the concept of certificate trading

1996 NH first competitive retail green power pilot program

1997 CA introduction of environmental certification

standards for voluntary RE products; Green-e launched

1998 CA, MA & RI electricity markets open to retail choice

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REC EVOLUTION TIMELINE

year venue development

1998 CA APX is the first wholesale green power market

1998 MA AllEnergy Marketing Company sells the first unbundled retail REC

1999 TX first RPS with REC trading for compliance

2001 TX establishment of the first REC tracking system

2006 US SunEdison Renewable Ventures pioneers the solar PPA

2012 US Federal Trade Commission updates Green

Marketing Guidelines with added clarifications for making provable RE claims

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US RECs MARKETS

q  There are two types of REC markets in the US:

m  the RPS compliance or involuntary markets; and

m  the voluntary markets

q  Involuntary markets serve to meet the need to

prove RPS compliance: entities buy RECs to meet

compliance with state RPS in involuntary markets

q  RECs are bought voluntarily for other purposes in

voluntary markets

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US RPS COMPLIANCE MARKETS

q  Involuntary markets originate as a result of policy decisions, such as the adoption of a state RPS

q  RPS targets are typically imposed on electricity

providers and may also include additional criteria,

such as economic and job growth

q  RECs are purchased to prove compliance claims

of entities subject to RPS targets

q  Price distortion issues may arise in involuntary

markets due to its intrinsic regulatory nature

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US RPS COMPLIANCE MARKETS

q  Since RE targets and the associated penalties for non–compliance are officially imposed on the electricity providers, RE suppliers know their customers’ willingness to pay

q  REC supply limitations also may contribute to the exercise of market power by RE sellers in various compliance markets

q  Consequently, the REC prices may reach high levels without the provision of a more economic alternative for the energy provider than payment of the RPS non–compliance penalties

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US RPS COMPLIANCE MARKETS

Source: http://ncsolarcen-prod.s3.amazonaws.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/03/Renewable-Portfolio-Standards.pdf

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US VOLUNTARY MARKETS

q  Consumers, wishing to support RE development or to prove claims of RE consumption, purchase RECs in voluntary markets

q  Prices are driven by consumer preferences over specific RE types and there is little, if any, price distortion

q  Participants in RPS compliance markets may purchase additional RECs in voluntary markets to further drive the push towards sustainability

q  Voluntary market prices, typically, tend to be below those in compliance markets

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COMPLIANCE AND VOLUNTARY MARKETS SALES HISTORY

Source: https://resource-solutions.org/wp-content/uploads/2017/08/RPS-and-Voluntary-Markets.pdf

other renewables

voluntary

compliance(new renewables)

compliance(existingrenewables)

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

350

300

250

200

150

100

50 0

mill

ions

of

MW

h

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US NON–HYDRO RE GENERATION GROWTH

Source: https://emp.lbl.gov/sites/default/files/2017-annual-rps-summary-report.pdf

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

300

250

200

150

100

0

50

283

146

Mill

ions

of

TWh

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THE 7 REC PURCHASE MECHANISMS

q  Utility Green Pricing

q  Utility Renewable Contracts

q  Competitive Suppliers

q  Unbundled RECs

q  Community Choice Aggregations

q  PPAs

q  Community Solar

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UTILITY GREEN PRICING

A customer procures green electricity through a supplemental fee above the monthly utility bill.

rd partygenerator3

$

MWh

RECs

$

RECsRECs

residentialcustomers

utility

utility sgenerator

'

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UTILITY RENEWABLE CONTRACTS

Customers procure RE from their utility via bilateral contracts or special tariffs; such arrangements are, typically, made over a longer term period.

MWh

RECs RECs

$ $

rd partygenerator3

utility

largecustomers

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COMPETITIVE RETAIL SUPPLIERS

q  Utility customers in competitive retail electricity

markets may opt to purchase RE from an alternative

retail electricity supplier

q  Such a supplier is selling RECs to the customers

as there exists no mechanism to supply directly

green electricity to the customers

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UNBUNDLED RECS

RE generators may sell electricity and the associated RECs to customers as separate, unbundled products.

MWhMWh$

rd partygenerator3 large

customersRECs

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COMMUNITY CHOICE AGGREGATIONS

Communities aggregate their loads to collectively procure RECs, just as do other large load customers.

MWh

RECs

$

rd partygenerator3

utility

largecustomers

residentialcustomers

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POWER PURCHASE AGREEMENT (PPA )

Contracts for the delivery of the output of renewable resources to meet the load of a customer are made for a specified period and under agreed terms.

rd partygenerator3 large

customersMWh

RECs

$

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COMMUNITY SOLAR PROJECTS

q  Utility customers buy a subscription in a shared

solar project owned by either a third party

developer or the utility itself

q  The subscription provides customers with credits

for their share on their utility statements

q  Typically, the utility remains the holder of all the

RECs so as to meet its RPS requirements

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COMMUNITY SOLAR

PV project

MWhMWh

RECs

$ investment( )

RECs

$ bill( )

communitysolar

projectcustomers

utility

$ credits( )

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REC ARBITRAGE

q  A RE project whose RECs are highly priced may

sell its RECs outright and replace them with RECs

purchased at a much lower price

q  Based on such a price difference between the

RECs, the RE project becomes even more profitable

with no the need to give up green energy claims

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REC ARBITRAGE : EXAMPLE

Source: https://www.epa.gov/sites/production/files/2018-01/documents/gppwebinar-1-17-18_kent.pdf

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US REC STATUS

q  Over 6 million customers procured RECs in 2016 –

a 45% increase over the customer number in 2015

q  95 million MWh of RECs were purchased in

voluntary markets in 2016 – a 19% increase over

the 2015 purchase volume

q  Unbundled RECs account for over half of the REC

purchases and are held by large non–residential

customers to meet their RE goals

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REC EVOLUTION

Source: https://www.nrel.gov/docs/fy18osti/70174.pdf

share of MWh sales (%) share of customers (%) 100

75

50

25

0

100

75

50

25

0

2010 2012 2014 2016 2010 2012 2014 2016

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2016 UNBUNDLED REC STATUS

Source: https://www.nrel.gov/docs/fy18osti/70174.pdf

unbundled RECs number of customers

unbundled RECs state of origin (million MWh)

20,000

15,000

10,000

5,000

0

6

4

2

0

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2016 REC STATUS

Source: https://www.nrel.gov/docs/fy18osti/70174.pdf

REC state of origin (million MWh)

20

15

10

5

0

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2016 REC STATUS

Source: https://www.nrel.gov/docs/fy18osti/70174.pdf

REC demand (millions of customers)

2

1.5

1

0.5

0

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CONCLUDING REMARKS

q  RE demand is considerably higher in states such

as CA, IL, TX and MA

q  TX, CA, IA and IL provide the majority of green

power generation consumed in the US

q  RE demand will increase as prices decline and

new products are introduced

q  The REC demand will increase over the short term

as the desire to look green is likely to continue