REMARKS ON THE OCCASION OF THE BOOK LAUNCH...SeLFIES - Bonds o SeLFIES = Standard-of-Living indexed,...
Transcript of REMARKS ON THE OCCASION OF THE BOOK LAUNCH...SeLFIES - Bonds o SeLFIES = Standard-of-Living indexed,...
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REMARKS ON THE OCCASION OF THE BOOK LAUNCH
“THE FUTURE OF PENSIONS PLANS IN THE EU INTERNAL MARKET”
edited by
Prof Nazaré Costa Cabral and Associate Professor Nuno Cunha Rodrigues
Rui Pinto Ferreira
Lisbon, February 28th 2020
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R. C. Merton
Sloan School of Management, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA, USA
e-mail: [email protected]
A. Muralidhar
AlphaEngine Global Investments Solutions LLC, Great Falls, VA, USA
e-mail: [email protected]
Rui S. Pinto Ferreira, Retired Capital Markets Professional, Lisbon, Portugal
e-mail: [email protected]
SeLFIES for Portugal: An Innovative Pan-European Retirement Solution
Robert C. Merton, Arun Muralidhar and Rui Seybert Pinto Ferreira
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Rui Pinto Ferreira
The Looming Global/EU Pension Crisis and the Need for Supplementary Systems
Source https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-51078405
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Rui Pinto Ferreira
Fact: Social Security Is Unsustainable Because of Demographics/Low Growth
Source https://www.ft.com/content/49e1e106-0231-11ea-b7bc-f3fa4e77dd47
• Need for new funding
methodologies.
• Uncertain retirement incomes
delivered by traditional
Defined Contribution plans.
• Need for “finance science” to
deliver safe retirement income
outcomes.
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SeLFIES - Bonds
o SeLFIES = Standard-of-Living indexed, Forward-starting,
Income-only Securities.
o Government issued bond – similar procedures to
traditional debt (liquid, low-cost, low-risk).
o Income-only – pays only coupons. Coupon in real € and
not in %. Example: Coupon of € real 5 per year.
o Coupon Indexation to Standard-of-Living, not inflation.
o Starts paying from retirement date. Example: Coupon of €
5 per year from age 65 = Forward-starting.
o Maturity of say 20-25 years (based on Life Expectancy).
Rui Pinto Ferreira
Fact Sheet SeLFIES – A Simple Innovation To Improve Retirement Security
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Rui Pinto Ferreira 6
SeLFIES Visualised: Simple Design = Simplicity in Stating Retirement Goal
o Goal = annual pension of €
50,000 per year (in today’s
lifestyle).
o Purchase of 10,000 SeLFIES
over working life.
o 10.000 X € Real 5 = € Real
50.000 per year.
o Indexation to Per-Capita
Consumption maintains pre-
retirement lifestyle.
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Rui Pinto Ferreira 7
Major Issue: Unacceptable Decline in Standard-of-Living Post Retirement
• First raised by Prof. Robert
Merton in his 1983 paper “On
Consumption Indexed Public
Plans”.
• Goal for Retirement Income: A
guaranteed (target) real
retirement income to maintain
pre-retirement lifestyle.
• Today – extremely hard to
achieve with current
instruments.
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Rui Pinto Ferreira
SeLFIES - Why Indexation to Standard-of-Living Matters
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SeLFIES - Bonds
o SeLFIES provide budgetary certainty, no hidden liabilities.
o SeLFIES extend maturity of government debt.
o With SeLFIES payments linked to per-capita consumption and
VAT receipts offer governments a natural hedge.
o SeLFIES are ideal to fund infrastructure – synergistic cash-flows.
o SeLFIES can lead to broader domestic and EU-wide demand for
government debt.
o SeLFIES stabilise government funding markets and could lower
cost of outstanding debt.
Rui Pinto Ferreira 9
SeLFIES – A Good Deal for Governments as Well
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SeLFIES - Bonds
o Supplementary systems need to be Sustainable, Universal,
Portable, Efficient and (low) Risk (or “SUPER”).
o SeLFIES – a simple low-cost, low-risk, liquid instrument to improve
retirement security.
o Greatly simplifies retirement planning.
o Benefits governments at many levels.
o A viable Pan European solution to the looming retirement crisis.
o Without innovation, EU nations will repeat mistakes of other
countries.
Rui Pinto Ferreira 10
Conclusions – SeLFIES Can Improve Retirement Security and Benefit Governments
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Q & A
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