REGULATORY LAG IN A DIFFERENT SETTING Kubitz* … · each an nominal R-factor of 11, or R-ll) will...
Transcript of REGULATORY LAG IN A DIFFERENT SETTING Kubitz* … · each an nominal R-factor of 11, or R-ll) will...
CONSERVATION CONSUMER PROTECTION:
"REGULATORY LAG" IN A DIFFERENT SETTING
K.R. Kubitz*
INTRODUCTION
Energy conservation has always had two aspects: (1) behavioral adap-
tation to high prices or shortages (less ~se of services, heat,
light, and mechanical motion, provided energy) and (2) improved effi
ciency (the use of devices or systems that reduce hea.t loss or other
forms of wasted energy)@ Because conservation through behavior changes
can mean sacrifices in lifestyle, which are unacceptable to
major segments of the American population, programs that concentrate on
behavior may not savingse , the
of most conservation has been on the
installation and use of cost-effective measures that improve energy
, Pa.cific Gas and Companye Viewsthose of the author j not PG&E@
Here I wish to make three assertions, to
cussion:
later dis-
estimates are not of
the that will result from. energy conserva
tion devices~ because the processes of mass installation will
effect actual energy (and costs to the
conservation programs should be
with an system of
control@consumer
2~ As a consequence,
undertaken in
conservation devices are
I will these two cases: and
standards for insulation, and the ef and
of solar water systems @ For each case we will consider the
record and installation standards, and
the role of both industries and utilities in to insure that these
investments are effective in energy@
Before so, however, we must first discuss consumer
tion and issues are to conservation efforts@
l~e answer is evident: consumer is essential to accep-
tance of any conserva.tion program@ There are reasons for this@
to and finance conserva-
of conservation could be
of insta.lled measures, utilities are
co'ntrol of
First utilities are
tion mea.sures 1 Because
the poor
concerned wi th
Second~ customer confidence has been identified as a barrier to
of some measures, solar systems 0
If the is uncertain whether a new or unfamiliar will per-
formas , the rate of is to be slower than
In addition~ an uncertain m.a.rket may mean unit
costs~ which in turn could retard sales~
Finally, government agencies and utilities are relying upon antici
pated savings from conservation to meet future energy demand and
reduce oil imports (0 Consequently, utilities must verify conservation
program results@ The issue of quality control is thus closely linked to
issues of demand forecasting, through monitoring and verifying conserva
tion s8vings@ If the expected number of installations of a given con
servation measure have been installed but results are less than
expected, the explanation must lie in either poor technical performance
or behavioral changes that offset savings@
CONSERVATION: POTENTIAL FAILURE MODES
Before the cases of insulation and solar heating
, let us review the ways in which conservation , or cost-
effectiveness, can be lower than Besides affected by
behavior, the net energy can be
o or installation@
o Lower than
is
device ~~~~M~.~, even if the device or
and installed@
o deterioration of over the life of a product
or
o Traumatic failure from internal or external causes
Of course, individual installations can exceed average expectationso
For insulation in a home save more than 25
energy, or a solar water heater 80 per-
cent of water energy~ However, we will focus on the other end
of the since we are more concerned with the
..... _~""" ... Ill>~.._t reasonable minimum () for the performance
of numbers of
actual energy each of the above possible
failure modes affects the economics of a conservation measure@ This can
in two ways@ First, the amount of conserved energy may be less
than thus the payback on investiment@ Second,
the cost of achieving a of energy savings with a particular
device may be increased because of higher maintenance, component
c.osts,. or both@
In addition to associated with the of conserva-
tion devices)) in meeting c.onservation goals
need to be considered, will not be covered in detail in
this paper~ One area of concern is escalation in the retail cost of
energy conservation devices 0 This can be a response to
increased consumer demand for conservation, but can also, more
~ be financial incentives to accelerate
consumer demand<0
Another concern is the of consumer
behavior installation of conservation measures@ For example,
some households may want to heat and use more rooms once added insula-
tion lowers the cost of s comfortable @ Both effects have been
little studied but will bear in the future@
the energy savings of
albeit less
devices@
, in addition to that
conserva tion devices, there are more serious,
risks to or residences from failures of
INSULATION: THE SLOW EVOLUTION OF STANDARDS
Insulation standards are an of the interactive,
process of developing energy conservation measures~ The
gradual recognition of a need for insulation standards resulted from
unanticipated side-effects of some of insulation, and
in from concern over the thermal of different
of materials, such as cellulose, , or foam@
the transfer of
Heat loss or in residences may be
the use of sufficient amounts of
-_ ...... _"'~&&,\Iil~-, walls, and floors, to the National
Manual, p@ 3-2)@
cuts down on energy
heat into or out of a
reduced up to 50
insulation in
Bureau of Standards
Heat transfer is the q == UA where q is the
rate of heat loss (or for the entire home (in ; U is a heat
transfer coefficient (in A the total areas of
the shell floors) and ceil;~ s) ; and is the
:ins difference $ The of insulation to
retard heat flow is measured its thermal resistance, or R-factor@ R
is the of U in the above heat-transfer R-factors
are additive) i@e@, installation of two identical of insulation,
each an nominal R-factor of 11, or R-ll) will a nominal R-22
thickness of insulation.
One source of consumer has been the of R-
values for different amounts and of insulation@ Different insula-
tion materials of the same thickness may have very different R-factors$
Four of materials are used in the of insulation:
1. Fibrous or
rock wool~
mineral material, as ~ or
2. Fibrous or cellular
or wood bark$
material, such as cone , wood,
3$ Cellular organic
foamse
, such as or polyurethene
as alumin.um
In addition, insulation is marketed in four different forms:
!@ Blankets and batts of rock waole
slabs<lP
3~ Loose fill, eeg~t cellulose, fiberfil1e
40 Rolls sheets, e@g~, rolls of aluminum~
In addition to heat transfer floors,
walls, heat is also transferred
windows and doors, and
air infiltration through cracks in
storm windows, the frames of
around windows and doors, heat
the
losses or due to air infiltration can be cut down@
To the extent that some of these measures share installation or perfor
mance characteristics with insulation, the comments which follow also
to these measures@
of new materials in
insulation material@ Now a
and
The : Before the
the 19508, rock wool was the
of materials are used,
of a cellulose insulation plant are in the
foams @ There are estimated to be abou,t 8 to 10 firms rock
cellulosehundreds of firms
tal cos
wool insulation"wool and
insulatiol1@
tion
of
can 'be
,000 to million, a produc
for much less@ Lead time for production
is estimated at months@ There are three,
insulation@
four, domestic
production
in the demand
ofincreasedto be met
is
The time needed to build
months@ Therefore, sudden
in continuous
is about 1
for insulation are
cellulose based materials@ It appears that cellulose production capa
city increased in the mid 19708 (10-12 new firms per month)@ Expansion
of cellulose has sometimes been limited by the shortage of boric
acid, a fire-retardant, as well as concerns over the insulating and
fire resistant qualities of the material@2
Insulation Installation: Installation of batts and blankets is rela
tively simple, requiring only some care in shaping materials to fit
attic spaces $ Therefore~ there is a significant do-it-yourself market
for fiberglass batts@
Installation of blown-in materials requires more care in order to
achieve (1) adequate depths and fluffiness affect the R-value),
and (2) installation that does not interfere with vents or cause
of light fixtures@
A C-2 license from the Contractors State License Board is required
to ins tall insulation in California, and more than 700
contractors now hold this license ~ About 100 of these are members of
the Insulation Contractors Association (
There is no nationwide survey of the number and of estab-
lishments that install insulation~ The U@S@ Census of the Construction
lists insulation under the broader "Plastering,
2 Acoustical and Insulation Work Trade Contractors, SIC
Code 1 @if The 1972 Census indicated that there were then 13,415 estab
lishments with in this Total of these
establishments amounted to ~2 billion from construction work@ The
limited conclusions that can be drawn from these data are that even 10
years ago, the insulation was, diverse, and typified by
moderate size firms@
Insulation The earliest national standards for insulation-------------the U@ S @ Government Services
of insulation, 5C~ In early 1977,
( , Which had pro-
with the Electric and Gas Industries
that contractors referred to customers PG&E
were
( for federal
Pacific Gas & Electric
insulation in
Association)
meet federal standards for material quality, as well as special workman
ship standards for installing insulation in existing homes@
In March 1978 the california Public Utili ties Commission issued a
decision as part of its investigation into insulation financing~3 That
decision established, among other things, interim insulation materials
standards:
"pntil such time as insulation material standards are adopted by the
State Energy Resources Conservation and Development Commission, cellulo
sic insulation materials must meet standards that equal or exceed the
interim insulation material standards set forth in Appendix C. u4 Appen
dix C required compliance with the federal standard HH-I-515C, and
allowed no product to claim an R-value greater than 3@7 per inch~
These interim insulation standards were to apply until the califor-
nia Commission (CEC) could issued its own standards for insula-
tion~ [as for in the Public Resource Code Section
, which the CEC to regulate the quality of insula-
tion material sold or installed within the State of Californiae Regula-
tions were the CEC on December 6~ 1978@ However, shortly
before these were to become effective, a court order prohi-
bited their This court order was rescinded in August
1980, and amendments to the earlier Quality Stan-
dards were the of an initial environmental study issued by the
Commission on 19, 1981@
Meanwhile, federal insulation standards were also evolving@ Partly
as a result of a series of by the Denver District Attorney's
office the of cellulose insulation, Congress
the Interim Consumer Product Safety Sta.ndard Act of
1978 (Public Law The Consumer Product Safety Commission, on
6, shed standards that incorporated the flame resis-
tance and corrosiveness standards in the GSA specification HH-I-515C~ to
become effective 1, 1978@5
the two years in which the California Commission was
enjoined from implementing its insulation standards, the California
PUC's interim standards remained in These interim standards
served not'· only as criteria retrofit insulation financed under util
ity programs but ~ in effect, as the main operative standards for all
retrofit insulation in California homes@ As la~e as December 30, 1980,
the California PUC was still to its interim standards
in order to comply with the Federal Trade Commission's Home Insulation
Rule (16 CFR 460)@7 This rule cellulosic materials to meet or
exceed federal (GSA) specifications HH-I--515C$ The California PUC's
order will in effect until such time as insulation materials stan-
dards adopted the California Commission become effective9
these federal and state standards, the ial for
or excessive claims for insulation continues to
exist @ Controversies over the and
further erode consumer c.onfidence @ Ai; an
of insulation
of this
about insulation effectiveness, a
manufacturer, a staff witness in a PUC hear-
on conservation , elicited the information that
has a to maintain its rated insulation avai-
labili much better than blown-in insulation~ which has a to
settle@8 In order for blown-in insulation to maintain an of 19
at the end of a 20 year ~ the PUC staff witness estimated that a
initial It-value, or R-25, would be
the utili's zero-
that
of
also
service
stimulated
A witness for this same
the use of cellulose
Pacific Power and
interest weatherization loan program~ created for consumers as
a result of insulation and fire It was also
that installation of materials was the source of for
a number of fires in 9
this same , reference was made to a in February
1980 the Consumer Product Safety Commission on its activities enforc-
the Interim Safety Standard for The CPSC expressed con-
cern about the "high rate with the amended standards
found to date$e@@ from these firms have
failed the radiant panel and/or: combustion tests under the
amended standard@nlO
In the first instance, concerns about cellulose insulation were
raised someone a rival ; the CPSC concerns were
voiced by a of their accuracy, both comments
illustrate the sense of uneasiness that is also by those Who have
insulated their homes, and those who do so in the future@ Miti-
any actual hazard loss in thermal is fair
to consumers who have retrofitted, and doubts about insulation
and thermal is essential to future customerS0
THE CASE OF UREA FORMALDEHYDE: A COSTLY LESSON
Urea foam insulation (UFFI) is an of too lit-
tle, too late in an effective consumer program for
an energy conservation measure@ The of UFFI, in which
and installation any detailed into its proper-
ties, the need for evaluation of the
benefits and risks of
compressor, which drives
a nozzle into
less
less than 65 cents11
UFFI ls installed in walls
resin, air, and a
the cavities to be insulated@ A
than 2,000 square feet)
per square foot) was described in 1
described as
wool, well as ] nontoxic and
the article suggested that in
~ UFFI foam of the installed
contain a fire in the house@ According
In the article ~ UFFI was
value than mineral or
fire--resistant@@\3H@ Photos
addition to its
was nonflammable and could
to the measures in installation included
the foam to determine whether met standards $
Despite controls, the author that u@@@when temperature
hit the high 80's, the odor of into the back bed-
rooms, the eyes water and the throat burn until I vented the
space under the flat toof@U
As to the of UFFI, various
cited in the CEC staff have noted of 6-10 after
installation$ Based on these factors, both the of
and the of and Urban have sug-
nominal R-value of UFFI about This
R-value would be in the same range as that of alternatives that
cost about the same~ such as loose~fill wall insulation~
The health effects of in a house in which is
released vary in , but range from eye and skin irritation
and throat vapor concentrations
of homes studied the Consumer Product Commission
from O@Ol to 31~ 7 per million (
and Health Administration ( standard for
is 2 ppm~13 A
has been recommended
to
in a
sure to
tute of and Health
effects of residential exposure are likely to be affected
by the length of exposure and the fact that formaldehyde vapor
sensitivity appears to increase, over time~ with constant exposure@ The
CEC staff report states that nonce sensitized, there is no known safe
level of exposure to formaldehyde
In 1976 the Denver District At's Office petitioned the Consu
mer Product Safety Commission to regulate UFFI@ After years of study~
which included the findings of a Federal Panel on Formaldehyde and data
from the Chemical Institute of Toxicology, the staff of the CPSC warned
of potential hazards of formaldehyde j possible carcinogenic
risk for humans @ On January 13, 1981, the CPSC voted to propose a
nationwide ban of UFFI~14(
Several states had acted to control the hazards of UFFI@
The Wall Street that Massachusetts to have UFFI
foam removed from walls at the manufacturer's expense if it is found to
be a health hazard@28 The number of UFFI-insulated homes in Mas
sachusetts ranges from 4,000 to 11,000) to different esti
mates; the estimated cost of removal is $20 j QOO per house@ California,
to the above CEC staff , now has about 20,000 UFFI
installations@ The Journal 600,000 installations nationwide@
If even ten of these installations had to be removed, the cost
would $2 billion@
this~ as late as ~ 1981, the of Energy,
in amendments to its the Residential Conserva-
tion Service ( program, ha.d not decided whether to permit UFFI
installation certain control ) or to ban it
from the list of conservation measures@15 DOE proposed quality
control standards for UFFI content in resin, test-
the content of foam, Nuclear Magnetic Resonance
tea of resin, and of resins, and control
of and conditions@ In its proposed
~n1~~,,~~,n, DOE stated:
These ) which DOE believes wouldthe standards, are based on DOE's studies and recom-menda.tions made the CPSC after the close of the comment
in the last on U-F foam~ If the record sup-ports DOE's conclusions on these proposals, DOE would
them unless, on the basis of the record, DOE is convincedthat these the standards for U-F foam donot assure at least a minimum level of general and effectiveness$15
This brief of UFFI, the level of consumer
fears and hesita.tion, illustrates the of adequate
control and consumer before a is introduced
to the market--not
's)
to fulfill the manufacturer's (and the
to individual consumers, but also to
assure that a conservation measure will realize its full market
tial@
SOLAR ENERGY: WARRANTIES PRODUCE MORE REAT THAN LIGHT
initia-
and utili
of energybenef
of
the pace of solar utilization has never
Solar energy has been a
tives in recent years, and
lived up to the
tors0 One reason may be the cost of active solar energy systems, due to
the of copper and in the collectors as well as
the necessary controls t pumps $l and An alternative
tion, at least as V~~~~~~A~?4~, is that consumers are confused or misinfor-
mated in to choose a solar and installer, and find it dif-
ficult to assurances of workmanlike installation and
reliable
Consumer surveys bear this out@ A San Gas and Electric Com-
pany survey summarized in the CPUC's into solar
states that when with the statement, "[Solar installa-
tion is fast~n almost as many
.............._Al'O>n....... <&o) @ 16 In a California state-
wide survey of consumer toward solar energy, 25
of that solar water heaters were installed by
companies$17.
A major policy landmark for the solar 's development was the
1978 report from the Subcommittee on Oversight and Investigations of the
House Committee on Interstate and Foreign Commerce, titled "Solar Energy
6& Today's Consumer",18 which began:
A significant number of have been by severalsources in the operation of active solar systems installed inresidences@ee@ If sales of these systems are stimulated by thetax credit or other Federal loan or purchase actions, by higherenergy prices or other factors, and system purchasers continueto experience a. significant n:mnber of problems, the imp..etus forrapidly expanded [solar] energy use is likely to be blunted0
This cited in New and Florida, as the basis
for its assertion that solar
cant number of
systems have encountered a
The New with 100 solar water
in Solar £~ in March
well, and the worst 25 percent
Electric
15 of 100
systems from 1
1 19
heater
of 15 or less,
Most of the flaws in1
were due first to installation problems, second
energy
the NEES solar
and sizes, and third to the
after installation0
selection of
and
to
lack of
As a result of this , NEES
mer recommendationS0 These included:
very stringent consu-
compare systems, and
suppliers; seek an
and labor warranty~
solar system
systems
i.nstaller and a
o
o to forecast costs over 10 years0
o Contract negotiating: hold back some' of the payment for 12
months; specify design temperature and gallons per day in per
formance requirements; get descriptions of freeze protection
and maintenance requirements, a set of drawings, and list of
all major componentse
The House Subcommittee on Oversight and Investigations sent a 77
question survey to 781 solar homeowners in California, Michigan, and
Wisconsin and received 336 usable responses@ Although over 86 percent
of the respondents were satisfied with their solar systems, this satis
faction was in many cases misplaced, since many of the systems were
shown to have a number of defects that seriously affected performance~
These defects included controller and pump failures, problems with loss
of collector fluid, and performance degradation@
the Subcommittee suggested that the
reason why most survey respondents were unaware of these problems is
that any deficiencies in the amount of heat supplied by the solar system
are made up, heat from the backup system, a
gas or electric water heater0 This has implications for both
the solar and for utilities, which may be calculating solar
contributions in system loads based only on the expected
number of solar installations@
The subcommittee concluded that there was a need for improved
consumer measures@ It of measures similar to
those recommended the New Electric Consumer
tion has received some energy policy, but
less than the level of subsidy of solar systems war-
rants@ The House subcommittee did note that the systems surveyed
were before the effective date of the State require-
ment that manufacturers their system~ as a condition of eligi-
for California's solar tax credit~
The California. Commission has responsibility for
solar thermal in In a February
1 ,20 the Commission identified four consumer issues:
and , remedying consumer problems,
The
adoption
information\\}
data is central to the
~ and
noted that
solar energy in
this and massive state tax
and imminent incentives to accelerate the use of solar energy,
there is little basis for if solar water hea.ters installed to
date have worked better than, worse or about as Answer-
ing this question would data from a properly
selected statistical of installed units~ Thus far, neither the
Energy Commission, nor any other in California, has under
taken this task~
Onecan
also listed several concerns about solar
be resolved by
will meet the lifetime and
Some collectors contain materials such
in ultraviolet (p@ The same
concern about the lifetimes of pumps and valves
that
such concern was
as
also
used in solar
consu-
tax
of Con-
solar tax
for testing and
one the
ieh is
for the
overa.ll
, the TIPSE program had been
for the
The Commission has established the TIPSE
solar collectors~ However,
~V.~4~~~%~~~, has limited
State's
credit, a consumer hotline
sumer Affairs, and the lSeal program~
mers solar systems that
credit@
The lack of more detailed data on the effectiveness of solar
of innovation have
seem to govern how rapidlytha.t:
seems ~ since a number of earlier stu-
decisionmakers to focus on the role of credible data in
solar utilization® .As Alan and Ae E@ Davis
in their seminal ~ Solar in22
in actual
tiona
identified four
technical innovations are accepted:
Ie The economic advantage of the innovation over older methods@
2. The extent of the uncertainty associated with using the innova
tion when it first appears.
3. The extent of commitment required to tryout the innovation~
4. The rate of reduction of the initial uncertainty concerning the
innovation's performance~
The staff of the California Public Utilities Commission has also
recognized the need for successful and credible consumer protection
measures in connection with the sale of solar energy systems@ In a 1977
report,23 the staff urged the adoption of "manda.tory minimum performance
standards" in addition to warranty The staff also stated
its belief that requirement of a minimum five-year warranty should
be included in the standards ~ U On the question of monitoring, the CPUC
staff stated:
, it has been that the utilities monitor samplesolar systems in their service areas to collect data on how well
work under actual conditions~ etc@ If the Stateor an independent agency undertakes standard setting ina manner, the sta.ff sees no need for the utilities tomonitor solar at (p@ 1-10).
The ultimate resolution of many consumer problems depends
on accurate feedback about At legislative hearings on the
future of solar energy in held in 1977 before the Assembly
Commi ttee OIl Resource, Land Use and Energy, 24 a number of speakers com
mented on the need for evaluation@ Hirshberg, a con
sultant with Booz-Allen and Hamilton of Bethesda, Maryland, made the
that with acceptance of solar energy
systems go the normal economics of the marketplaceo They have to
do with the fact that solar energy is a distributed energy source~ and
a number of individual buying decisions, in order to make
a energy contribution. This fact will delay solar energy
use unless dealt with@
Even the disincentives of initial costs for solar sys-
tems and the absence of replacement-cost pricing for energy~ Hirshberg
noted that consumers are concerned about the chance of
purchasing a solar system that isinstalled@ He added:
manufactured, designed, or
In getting back to the issue of consumer protection, althoughmany solar energy projects exist in California and in thenation, to my knowledge there has been no comprehensive evaluation of these projects&~@Nor has anyone looked at the potentialconsumer problems that could arise~ I would, therefore, proposethat you establish what I refer to as a solar implementationcenter 6 * @ @ These could be established not only to go out andtrac.k the solar energy industry and see what's happening outthere so the cost and performance are monitored. but also to protect consumers from potential oblems $ I think the consumerprotection can be accomplished by providing to theconsumer and information to installers (52-53)@
before grow to majorhis testimonyt41
of consumer Thecontinue to be a issue~
tax credit in the state of Cal-of there (p@ 51)$
I should underscore thefor fraud is
with theifornia~ There
the issue of
incentive
, Davis
.,.,...."..,....."""'"..." ........"" s colla-
that a
in the same
Mr@ A$E~ Davis of the Jet
borato!" on the
be built into the tax credit @
stated tha.t:
$ the Commission or cri-teria for solar energy systems which the performance ofsolar energy to be estimated by the manufacturer,installer ~ and should base the cost eligible forthe credit on this estimated (p@ 65)@
Davis felt that
mance would
the amount of the credit on estimated perfor-
and would an incentive back into
the solar market for the to
seller ~ He felt tllat the
with the
of the 55 percent state
Bolar tax credit diluted this incentive for the consumer to
or her own interests0
his
Whether manufacturer estimates ) of solar-system per-
formance are preferable to state warranty standards is not clear@
Perhaps the warranty approach would be simpler, but only if the systems
that met warranty requirements also tended to supply a solar energy
fraction within a reasonable range of performance. Data now available
do not yet warrant such a conclusion@
In terms of the magnitude of expenditures faced by individu-
als, the solar system can be compared roughly to buying an automobile.
Solar water heating systems now cost in the neighborhood of $2,000 to
$4,000@ This is not much less than the base price of a compact car in
today's market, and yet the information available to the consumer is far
less for any solar than for almost any auto 0 Nor is
there for solar systems like the routine "12,000 mile
manufacturer's guarantee" for a new car, in California a war-
is for any solar to be for the state tax
credit@ Numerous have been encountered even in war-
the customer full details of the
set the
on solar
described in an arti
1980, p@236) nproblems
ranties$ a failure to
non..-conformance with the
State~ and other means of
manufactu:,rers in California 0 These are
cle in the State Bar
with Solar Warranties@U
the with automobile ) there 1s not the
of the EPA for solar energy system
Consumers for an automobile are to compare the EPA
estimates of miles per for various models@ While the State of
California has established the framework for comparing solar collector
the TIPSE program, collectors only says lit-
tle about of , the overall system in a given household@ Stan-
dard estimates, verified a neutral , of the amount 'of energy
that be solar system are not ava11able@
, the issue of consumer for of solar
systems in California. is obscured a between the
solar and the Public Commission over the length of
warranties @ This controversy, which arose after a Commission staff
in 1977 recommended a five-year , is really a smokescreen
for more serious issues of s , and cost~ The contro-
versy is perh~ps set forth most in the staff's recommended util-
solar program for 1979,25 and in the reply to an earlier draft of
this from Yudelson, Director of the Solareal Office 6
Yudelson's letter 21, 1979) to CPUC Chairman Bryson stated:
n ~ @ @'We to the proposed. five-year warranty especially if
it is to include full labor costs ~ e @ @ A five-year warranty is not
any consumer record and would be bur-
densome to small companies
In stmlmary ~ efforts in the
solar energy
and sectors to promote
a distinct lack of awareness of the
needed to stimulate a developing technology 6
Because of the focus on solar system costs and means of
the first-cost barrier, California state has
tax credits and financial incentives~ Yet. many con-
S1Jmers still have about the and performance of
solar energy systems@ The State may be a pol-
an solar energy if its financial incentives for consumers encourage
into the market of manufacturers or
installers@ The lesson here is that incentives for
of solar must be balanced efforts to consumer confi-
dence and reliable system The absence of a well thought
out program of , contractor and
control, enforcement~ and information dissemination to
consumers remains a to the of solar energy,
both in California and elsewhere in the
This to add a neW' to the economist's view that
consumers are resistant to what appear to be rational
economic on the use energy@ This may be a reflection
of the that, those decisions are at the level of
Consumers, on the other hand, may be
based on a assessment of the of the solar
energy and the of now available on the
market @ As Mr e A@ E@ Davis commented in the Assembly hearings cited
earlier:
nIf the truth would be know, the rational consumer would probably wait a few years for the cost to come down, the quality ofthe hardware to build up~ and the price of natural gas to risebefore he would install a system on an exi~ting home that nowhas a natural gas water heater@e •• "
CONCLUSION:
CONSUMER PROTECTION PLUS EVALUATION EQUALS EFFECTIVENESS
In a letter commenting on proposed regulations governing the federal
Residential Conservation Service program~26 the head of the California
Public Utilities Commission's Conservation Branch says that the
real purpose of a list of contractors who provide and
install conservation measures should be to consumers assuring
them that the listed contractors would: provide reasonable bids, use
materials, and high-quality installation and
know of @ The contractors referred PG&E to its customers generally
very well relative to our concerns for consumer
This accolade was the result of a comprehensive program of consumer
Vb~~~~~AV'U, which includes standards, criteria for contrac-
tor and ~ and a. thorough program of inspection and
to resolve consumer
All residential conservation programs must be approached with the
same for control and consumer information
and The Booz-Allen , Utility-Sponsored Home Insulation
__~ 27 identified control as the essential final phase to
such programs, and noted the comment of the Southern California Gas
~mnpaln'V~ from an evaluation of its own in$u1ation
control is critical@
~ that
conservation that to have consumers
measures with which are not familiar must be
transfer~ Just as the first
circuits had in
manufacture to com:merci..a.l so
new conservation must insure that the
ion alld insullation of conservation devices are not
a decline in to esti-
new
viewed as
turers of
the
the firms
mates or
This can be careful attention to the fac-
tors necessary for successful : an number of trained
installation technicians, use of materials in that
have been certified tea wherever ~ and
tions @ f' there must be itlstitutional mechanisms in that
assure manufacturers ~ distributors and
:tnstallers for an.y In the , we
summarize some of the means control and consumer pro-
tection can be assured for of conservation
to
is better 1nforma-
include
of cCfnserva ticl1
ID.ethods can
a,ccelerate the
'''''>'''''''''''9~_.c.".""",.tanldablJ2 staridards fOI" home iKlsulation and solar energy
on what to look for in energy-
conservation and i.,nfomation on and
which can assist consumers who may have
insulation or conservation or renewable
fA. seciCH.ld a.fmed at marlufacturers and :tnstallers rather than
the consumer~ is standards for and services0 Exam-
are the standards set the Consumer Product Commission for
insulat:ton and co:rroStion ~ as well as the of the
Federal Trade Commission on insulation advert and of thermal
1 4 22
effectiveness@
A third is the contrac. tor and
procedures, with effective performance-oriented criteria and
incentives for compliance@ These be in form of civil or crim-
inal , exclusion from some of the market (in the form of
contractor ), denial of tax credit for systems fa1-
below certain standards, and for warranties@
systems@ This is a more
term the rewards may well be worth the
effective in the area. of home
_6~j~_~~_~~U~'_' the of defective installations
to less than 5 after random
The average cost of an is about
A fourth option is
VV~~A~'~) but in the
cost@ has
In PG&E's
was reduced from about 25
were instituted@
1 per home~26
, the actual of installed energy conservation
devices and renewable resource systems, needs to be monitored@ The
results of such programs need to be disseminated to
consumers in order to consumer confidence and commitments to
and
A number of
consumer and
control measures discussed above* These include: federal agen
cies, such as the Federal Trade Commission and Consumer
state energy such as the California Energy
Resources Conservation and Commission as well as state util-
local such as license
and (in the case of or criminal violations) the dis-
trict R S utilities (in connection with Residential Con-
serva tiol1 Service ); and itself, as for the
efforts of the Contractors Association or the CalSeal program
of the California SolsI' Industries Association@
1 4 23
A program to coordinate the actions of so many different organiza-
tions would to their overall effectiveness and keep costs
down ($ For have but may
not of consumers without the public
agencies involved in the problems contractor and
system control ~ , the program has suffered
from a lack of active enforcement$ Once a specific solar heating system
is as for the state tax credit, there is essentially
no in the form of of systems9
The Role of Research and Evaluation$ At the of this arti-
cle it was that consumer and evaluation of conser
vation programs are interrelated ~ Utilities should not be afraid to
sort out devices and programs from poor ones, to the news
about the former and terminate the latter$ State Public com-
missions must do their self-evaluation by
utilities.~ and then reward rather than those t.hat
, and ) conservation programs that are less than
It may be well, before new or innovative programs,
to an initial demonstration in which can be
discovered and corrected to full-scale
In add! tion, because the of conserv8 tiol'! programs and
renewable energy resources are intensive, it is necessary to
validate the field effectiveness of and systems to
ensure that societal resources are allocated After all,
the economic rationale for in conservation and renewable
energy resources is the in future energy from reduced
fuel use~;. Careful of investments in
conservation and renewable resources basis for
societal investment in these and for full public
of their benefits~
furt.her and include:
o Means of reducing the costs of monitoring hardware.
o Federal funding for performance monitoring of conservation and
solar equipment.
o Study of how much post.....installation inspection is necessary to
optimize the benefits versus the cost of quality control.
o The use of multi-constituency advisory panels to help strike a
reasonable balance between quality control~ regulations and
results.
o Evaluation of different methods of enforcement: industry self
policing ,. utili ty inspections, and greater roles for government
agencies 0
In addition, in order to evaluate the overall effectiveness of
energy conservation systems, we need research into whether the best
method is intensive of a statistical sample of i.ndividual
installations or of less detailed data,
such as bills, and characteristics, and sur-
veys of consumer behavior before and after of conservation dev-
ices$
needs $
Such efforts may well have s in terms of improved
of energy conservation devices, increased consumer confi
of the energy efficiency improvementsdeuce, and
which this
REFERENCES
I. Public Utilities Code of the State of California, Section 2789
authorizes the PUC to utilities to undertake conservation
programs, including financial incentives on reasonable terms@
2 e "Supply Response to Residential Insulation Retrofit Demand, n reF,Inc0~ June 17, 1977, FEA Contract P-14-77-5438-Q@
3. The investigation was conducted pursuant to Public Utilities Code of
the State of California, Sections 2781-2788 __.....-...ll:._
4 @ California Public
March 7) in Case
Commission Decision No. 88551, dated
e l0032@
S@ Consumer Product Commission)
Amendment to Interim Standard and
1 Federal 39720@
, Prepared
Rule, September 6,
6 Cali.tornla Public Utilities Commission Decision No* 92554, dated
December ,1 in case No w 1
Rule; and
IS, 1980, Federal Register
7* Federal Trade Commission, Trade
of Home
October 17, 1980 9 Federal
8@ TR , PG&E
servation
No@ 59537@
and Conservation Ad
a Con-
9@ Exhibit 59, PG&E No*
o@ Staggers
the third six month Report
Standard for Cellu-
CPSC, to
, 1
of Enforcement Activities on the Interim
lose Insulation~
10. Letter of Susan B@
11~ "Foam-in-place Insulation--the Answer for Older Homes," Popular Sci
~' September 1975, pp~ 104-105, 134@
12. California Energy Commission, Staff Report on Urea Formaldehyde Foam
Insulation, January 8, 1981@
13@ Ibid @
@ 46 Federal Register 8996@
15@ Department of Energy, Proposed alternative amendments to ReS program
to provide minimum standards for or to ban installation of U-F foam
under the ReS program, January 27, 1981, 46 Federal Register 8996@
160 Background Attitude and Awareness Study," Marketing Research
Department~ San Diego Gas and Electric Company, October 1976@
170 the Solar Transition, A Report to the California legisla-
ture in 011 No~ 42, California Public Utilities Commission, January
2, 1980, p @ 51 @
1978@
and Consumer, the Subcommi t tee on
of the Committee on Interstate and
Oommerce~ House of Congress, December
19~ Hot Water 2 the New
,u Solar
Electric System Project: A
March 1 ,pp~ 16-24@
20@ California Resource Conservation and Development Commission,
in California: Residential Thermal (draft)---~
'21@ California Resource Conservation and Development Commission,
Decade of the Sun, Staff 1980@
for California Energy Pol
and E@S@ Davis, March 1977, CEC Contract 5040-
23 e itA of the and of Solar Energy
Application for Essential Uses in the Residential Sector in Califor-
nia, IV B'@ Barkovich and G@ , October 7, 1977 ~
24* "The Future of Solar Energy in California, tv Hearings before the
Assembly Commi ttee on Resources) Land Use ~ and Energy, Palo Al to,
California, November 29, 1977$
25@ The IS-Point Recommended Solar Program for 1979~ California
Public Commission, ties Division~ Energy Conservation
Branch, issued in draft form April 10, 1979, and in final form on
August 17, 1979@
26~ Letter of George Amarol!,
William Bethea, ReS
31, 1979@
, Energy Conservation Branch to J ~
Manager, U@ S @ of Energy)
27@ Exhibit
28@
, CPUC Case No@ 011 No@ 42
227@
and Hamilton,
29@ Wall Street November 2, 1