Regulations Barrier or Protection?€¦ · How do we understand the world? CRITICAL FUTURES...
Transcript of Regulations Barrier or Protection?€¦ · How do we understand the world? CRITICAL FUTURES...
![Page 1: Regulations Barrier or Protection?€¦ · How do we understand the world? CRITICAL FUTURES FORECASTING Three branches of futures studies • Relativism • Alternatives ... • Legal](https://reader033.fdocuments.in/reader033/viewer/2022052019/60325cbf4483fe266a574d22/html5/thumbnails/1.jpg)
RegulationsBarrier or Protection?
Bogi Eliasen
![Page 2: Regulations Barrier or Protection?€¦ · How do we understand the world? CRITICAL FUTURES FORECASTING Three branches of futures studies • Relativism • Alternatives ... • Legal](https://reader033.fdocuments.in/reader033/viewer/2022052019/60325cbf4483fe266a574d22/html5/thumbnails/2.jpg)
![Page 3: Regulations Barrier or Protection?€¦ · How do we understand the world? CRITICAL FUTURES FORECASTING Three branches of futures studies • Relativism • Alternatives ... • Legal](https://reader033.fdocuments.in/reader033/viewer/2022052019/60325cbf4483fe266a574d22/html5/thumbnails/3.jpg)
![Page 4: Regulations Barrier or Protection?€¦ · How do we understand the world? CRITICAL FUTURES FORECASTING Three branches of futures studies • Relativism • Alternatives ... • Legal](https://reader033.fdocuments.in/reader033/viewer/2022052019/60325cbf4483fe266a574d22/html5/thumbnails/4.jpg)
![Page 5: Regulations Barrier or Protection?€¦ · How do we understand the world? CRITICAL FUTURES FORECASTING Three branches of futures studies • Relativism • Alternatives ... • Legal](https://reader033.fdocuments.in/reader033/viewer/2022052019/60325cbf4483fe266a574d22/html5/thumbnails/5.jpg)
![Page 6: Regulations Barrier or Protection?€¦ · How do we understand the world? CRITICAL FUTURES FORECASTING Three branches of futures studies • Relativism • Alternatives ... • Legal](https://reader033.fdocuments.in/reader033/viewer/2022052019/60325cbf4483fe266a574d22/html5/thumbnails/6.jpg)
![Page 7: Regulations Barrier or Protection?€¦ · How do we understand the world? CRITICAL FUTURES FORECASTING Three branches of futures studies • Relativism • Alternatives ... • Legal](https://reader033.fdocuments.in/reader033/viewer/2022052019/60325cbf4483fe266a574d22/html5/thumbnails/7.jpg)
![Page 8: Regulations Barrier or Protection?€¦ · How do we understand the world? CRITICAL FUTURES FORECASTING Three branches of futures studies • Relativism • Alternatives ... • Legal](https://reader033.fdocuments.in/reader033/viewer/2022052019/60325cbf4483fe266a574d22/html5/thumbnails/8.jpg)
![Page 9: Regulations Barrier or Protection?€¦ · How do we understand the world? CRITICAL FUTURES FORECASTING Three branches of futures studies • Relativism • Alternatives ... • Legal](https://reader033.fdocuments.in/reader033/viewer/2022052019/60325cbf4483fe266a574d22/html5/thumbnails/9.jpg)
FUTURES STUDIES
POSSIBLEWhat might happen?
PROBABLEWhat will likely happen?
PREFERABLEWhat do we want to happen?
EXPLORATIVE PREDICTIVE NORMATIVE
How do we understand the world?
CRITICALFUTURES
FORECASTING
Three branches of futures studies
• Relativism• Alternatives• Chaos theory• Network society• Future knowledge
• Empiricism• Linear• Determinism• Experts• Current knowledge
• Post-structuralism• Agency• Complex adaptive systems• Participatory action• Value judgments
Key Principles:
![Page 10: Regulations Barrier or Protection?€¦ · How do we understand the world? CRITICAL FUTURES FORECASTING Three branches of futures studies • Relativism • Alternatives ... • Legal](https://reader033.fdocuments.in/reader033/viewer/2022052019/60325cbf4483fe266a574d22/html5/thumbnails/10.jpg)
Future perspectives
Current perspectives
“Seeing is believing”
Pastperspectives
“The good old days”
Futureperspectives
“Bring the change”
Challenge:- How do we align everybody?
![Page 11: Regulations Barrier or Protection?€¦ · How do we understand the world? CRITICAL FUTURES FORECASTING Three branches of futures studies • Relativism • Alternatives ... • Legal](https://reader033.fdocuments.in/reader033/viewer/2022052019/60325cbf4483fe266a574d22/html5/thumbnails/11.jpg)
Megatrends influencing the future
Transactional environment
Contextualenvironment
Megatrends
• Social• Technology• Economic • Environmental• Political • Legal• Ethical
Opportunities
Threats
2026
![Page 12: Regulations Barrier or Protection?€¦ · How do we understand the world? CRITICAL FUTURES FORECASTING Three branches of futures studies • Relativism • Alternatives ... • Legal](https://reader033.fdocuments.in/reader033/viewer/2022052019/60325cbf4483fe266a574d22/html5/thumbnails/12.jpg)
MegatrendsNetwork society
Sustainability
Knowledge society
Immaterialization
Democratization
Acceleration and complexity
Technologic development
Economic growth
Demographic development
Focus on health
Polarization
Globalization
Commercialization
Individualization
![Page 13: Regulations Barrier or Protection?€¦ · How do we understand the world? CRITICAL FUTURES FORECASTING Three branches of futures studies • Relativism • Alternatives ... • Legal](https://reader033.fdocuments.in/reader033/viewer/2022052019/60325cbf4483fe266a574d22/html5/thumbnails/13.jpg)
![Page 14: Regulations Barrier or Protection?€¦ · How do we understand the world? CRITICAL FUTURES FORECASTING Three branches of futures studies • Relativism • Alternatives ... • Legal](https://reader033.fdocuments.in/reader033/viewer/2022052019/60325cbf4483fe266a574d22/html5/thumbnails/14.jpg)
Source: OECD Health Data 2013 and CIFS forecast
![Page 15: Regulations Barrier or Protection?€¦ · How do we understand the world? CRITICAL FUTURES FORECASTING Three branches of futures studies • Relativism • Alternatives ... • Legal](https://reader033.fdocuments.in/reader033/viewer/2022052019/60325cbf4483fe266a574d22/html5/thumbnails/15.jpg)
![Page 16: Regulations Barrier or Protection?€¦ · How do we understand the world? CRITICAL FUTURES FORECASTING Three branches of futures studies • Relativism • Alternatives ... • Legal](https://reader033.fdocuments.in/reader033/viewer/2022052019/60325cbf4483fe266a574d22/html5/thumbnails/16.jpg)
![Page 17: Regulations Barrier or Protection?€¦ · How do we understand the world? CRITICAL FUTURES FORECASTING Three branches of futures studies • Relativism • Alternatives ... • Legal](https://reader033.fdocuments.in/reader033/viewer/2022052019/60325cbf4483fe266a574d22/html5/thumbnails/17.jpg)
![Page 18: Regulations Barrier or Protection?€¦ · How do we understand the world? CRITICAL FUTURES FORECASTING Three branches of futures studies • Relativism • Alternatives ... • Legal](https://reader033.fdocuments.in/reader033/viewer/2022052019/60325cbf4483fe266a574d22/html5/thumbnails/18.jpg)
Network Society
![Page 19: Regulations Barrier or Protection?€¦ · How do we understand the world? CRITICAL FUTURES FORECASTING Three branches of futures studies • Relativism • Alternatives ... • Legal](https://reader033.fdocuments.in/reader033/viewer/2022052019/60325cbf4483fe266a574d22/html5/thumbnails/19.jpg)
Wearables and self-monitoring
![Page 20: Regulations Barrier or Protection?€¦ · How do we understand the world? CRITICAL FUTURES FORECASTING Three branches of futures studies • Relativism • Alternatives ... • Legal](https://reader033.fdocuments.in/reader033/viewer/2022052019/60325cbf4483fe266a574d22/html5/thumbnails/20.jpg)
Individualization
![Page 21: Regulations Barrier or Protection?€¦ · How do we understand the world? CRITICAL FUTURES FORECASTING Three branches of futures studies • Relativism • Alternatives ... • Legal](https://reader033.fdocuments.in/reader033/viewer/2022052019/60325cbf4483fe266a574d22/html5/thumbnails/21.jpg)
Drugs for every need – healthy or ill?
1 in 5 of Nature’s readers admit having used drugs to improve mental ability
![Page 22: Regulations Barrier or Protection?€¦ · How do we understand the world? CRITICAL FUTURES FORECASTING Three branches of futures studies • Relativism • Alternatives ... • Legal](https://reader033.fdocuments.in/reader033/viewer/2022052019/60325cbf4483fe266a574d22/html5/thumbnails/22.jpg)
Commercialization
![Page 23: Regulations Barrier or Protection?€¦ · How do we understand the world? CRITICAL FUTURES FORECASTING Three branches of futures studies • Relativism • Alternatives ... • Legal](https://reader033.fdocuments.in/reader033/viewer/2022052019/60325cbf4483fe266a574d22/html5/thumbnails/23.jpg)
Digitalization
![Page 24: Regulations Barrier or Protection?€¦ · How do we understand the world? CRITICAL FUTURES FORECASTING Three branches of futures studies • Relativism • Alternatives ... • Legal](https://reader033.fdocuments.in/reader033/viewer/2022052019/60325cbf4483fe266a574d22/html5/thumbnails/24.jpg)
![Page 25: Regulations Barrier or Protection?€¦ · How do we understand the world? CRITICAL FUTURES FORECASTING Three branches of futures studies • Relativism • Alternatives ... • Legal](https://reader033.fdocuments.in/reader033/viewer/2022052019/60325cbf4483fe266a574d22/html5/thumbnails/25.jpg)
![Page 26: Regulations Barrier or Protection?€¦ · How do we understand the world? CRITICAL FUTURES FORECASTING Three branches of futures studies • Relativism • Alternatives ... • Legal](https://reader033.fdocuments.in/reader033/viewer/2022052019/60325cbf4483fe266a574d22/html5/thumbnails/26.jpg)
![Page 27: Regulations Barrier or Protection?€¦ · How do we understand the world? CRITICAL FUTURES FORECASTING Three branches of futures studies • Relativism • Alternatives ... • Legal](https://reader033.fdocuments.in/reader033/viewer/2022052019/60325cbf4483fe266a574d22/html5/thumbnails/27.jpg)
Sundheds, data & deling
![Page 28: Regulations Barrier or Protection?€¦ · How do we understand the world? CRITICAL FUTURES FORECASTING Three branches of futures studies • Relativism • Alternatives ... • Legal](https://reader033.fdocuments.in/reader033/viewer/2022052019/60325cbf4483fe266a574d22/html5/thumbnails/28.jpg)
Immaterialization
![Page 29: Regulations Barrier or Protection?€¦ · How do we understand the world? CRITICAL FUTURES FORECASTING Three branches of futures studies • Relativism • Alternatives ... • Legal](https://reader033.fdocuments.in/reader033/viewer/2022052019/60325cbf4483fe266a574d22/html5/thumbnails/29.jpg)
![Page 30: Regulations Barrier or Protection?€¦ · How do we understand the world? CRITICAL FUTURES FORECASTING Three branches of futures studies • Relativism • Alternatives ... • Legal](https://reader033.fdocuments.in/reader033/viewer/2022052019/60325cbf4483fe266a574d22/html5/thumbnails/30.jpg)
![Page 31: Regulations Barrier or Protection?€¦ · How do we understand the world? CRITICAL FUTURES FORECASTING Three branches of futures studies • Relativism • Alternatives ... • Legal](https://reader033.fdocuments.in/reader033/viewer/2022052019/60325cbf4483fe266a574d22/html5/thumbnails/31.jpg)
Globalization
![Page 32: Regulations Barrier or Protection?€¦ · How do we understand the world? CRITICAL FUTURES FORECASTING Three branches of futures studies • Relativism • Alternatives ... • Legal](https://reader033.fdocuments.in/reader033/viewer/2022052019/60325cbf4483fe266a574d22/html5/thumbnails/32.jpg)
![Page 33: Regulations Barrier or Protection?€¦ · How do we understand the world? CRITICAL FUTURES FORECASTING Three branches of futures studies • Relativism • Alternatives ... • Legal](https://reader033.fdocuments.in/reader033/viewer/2022052019/60325cbf4483fe266a574d22/html5/thumbnails/33.jpg)
![Page 34: Regulations Barrier or Protection?€¦ · How do we understand the world? CRITICAL FUTURES FORECASTING Three branches of futures studies • Relativism • Alternatives ... • Legal](https://reader033.fdocuments.in/reader033/viewer/2022052019/60325cbf4483fe266a574d22/html5/thumbnails/34.jpg)
![Page 35: Regulations Barrier or Protection?€¦ · How do we understand the world? CRITICAL FUTURES FORECASTING Three branches of futures studies • Relativism • Alternatives ... • Legal](https://reader033.fdocuments.in/reader033/viewer/2022052019/60325cbf4483fe266a574d22/html5/thumbnails/35.jpg)
![Page 36: Regulations Barrier or Protection?€¦ · How do we understand the world? CRITICAL FUTURES FORECASTING Three branches of futures studies • Relativism • Alternatives ... • Legal](https://reader033.fdocuments.in/reader033/viewer/2022052019/60325cbf4483fe266a574d22/html5/thumbnails/36.jpg)
![Page 37: Regulations Barrier or Protection?€¦ · How do we understand the world? CRITICAL FUTURES FORECASTING Three branches of futures studies • Relativism • Alternatives ... • Legal](https://reader033.fdocuments.in/reader033/viewer/2022052019/60325cbf4483fe266a574d22/html5/thumbnails/37.jpg)
![Page 38: Regulations Barrier or Protection?€¦ · How do we understand the world? CRITICAL FUTURES FORECASTING Three branches of futures studies • Relativism • Alternatives ... • Legal](https://reader033.fdocuments.in/reader033/viewer/2022052019/60325cbf4483fe266a574d22/html5/thumbnails/38.jpg)
Benefits of personal health approach
• Diagnose disease more accurately
• Select optimal therapies and target medicineand dosages more precisely
• Increase safety, reduce adverse drug reactions
• Detect onset of disease at the earliest moments
• Shift emphasis in medicine from reaction toprevention
• Increase the efficiency of the health system by improving quality, accessibility and affordability
![Page 39: Regulations Barrier or Protection?€¦ · How do we understand the world? CRITICAL FUTURES FORECASTING Three branches of futures studies • Relativism • Alternatives ... • Legal](https://reader033.fdocuments.in/reader033/viewer/2022052019/60325cbf4483fe266a574d22/html5/thumbnails/39.jpg)
Precicion Medicine Initiative
![Page 40: Regulations Barrier or Protection?€¦ · How do we understand the world? CRITICAL FUTURES FORECASTING Three branches of futures studies • Relativism • Alternatives ... • Legal](https://reader033.fdocuments.in/reader033/viewer/2022052019/60325cbf4483fe266a574d22/html5/thumbnails/40.jpg)
The New Billion and Health
![Page 41: Regulations Barrier or Protection?€¦ · How do we understand the world? CRITICAL FUTURES FORECASTING Three branches of futures studies • Relativism • Alternatives ... • Legal](https://reader033.fdocuments.in/reader033/viewer/2022052019/60325cbf4483fe266a574d22/html5/thumbnails/41.jpg)
Parties
Citizen Society Academia
Health System Public System Business
![Page 42: Regulations Barrier or Protection?€¦ · How do we understand the world? CRITICAL FUTURES FORECASTING Three branches of futures studies • Relativism • Alternatives ... • Legal](https://reader033.fdocuments.in/reader033/viewer/2022052019/60325cbf4483fe266a574d22/html5/thumbnails/42.jpg)
National & Global Frames
Health Privacy Sharing Collectivity vs. Individuality
Big Data Jurisdiction Democratization Access, Control, Ownership
![Page 43: Regulations Barrier or Protection?€¦ · How do we understand the world? CRITICAL FUTURES FORECASTING Three branches of futures studies • Relativism • Alternatives ... • Legal](https://reader033.fdocuments.in/reader033/viewer/2022052019/60325cbf4483fe266a574d22/html5/thumbnails/43.jpg)
![Page 44: Regulations Barrier or Protection?€¦ · How do we understand the world? CRITICAL FUTURES FORECASTING Three branches of futures studies • Relativism • Alternatives ... • Legal](https://reader033.fdocuments.in/reader033/viewer/2022052019/60325cbf4483fe266a574d22/html5/thumbnails/44.jpg)
Business movements
![Page 45: Regulations Barrier or Protection?€¦ · How do we understand the world? CRITICAL FUTURES FORECASTING Three branches of futures studies • Relativism • Alternatives ... • Legal](https://reader033.fdocuments.in/reader033/viewer/2022052019/60325cbf4483fe266a574d22/html5/thumbnails/45.jpg)
Early detection – the Grail Vision
![Page 46: Regulations Barrier or Protection?€¦ · How do we understand the world? CRITICAL FUTURES FORECASTING Three branches of futures studies • Relativism • Alternatives ... • Legal](https://reader033.fdocuments.in/reader033/viewer/2022052019/60325cbf4483fe266a574d22/html5/thumbnails/46.jpg)
![Page 47: Regulations Barrier or Protection?€¦ · How do we understand the world? CRITICAL FUTURES FORECASTING Three branches of futures studies • Relativism • Alternatives ... • Legal](https://reader033.fdocuments.in/reader033/viewer/2022052019/60325cbf4483fe266a574d22/html5/thumbnails/47.jpg)
Health 3.0
• Bill Bunting, EMC
![Page 48: Regulations Barrier or Protection?€¦ · How do we understand the world? CRITICAL FUTURES FORECASTING Three branches of futures studies • Relativism • Alternatives ... • Legal](https://reader033.fdocuments.in/reader033/viewer/2022052019/60325cbf4483fe266a574d22/html5/thumbnails/48.jpg)
From Feel Good to Do Good
Source:
• Precision & personalising
• Health system – not a disease system
• Preventive approach necessarily means working with healthy individuals
• Combining clinic & research
• Health systems will demand real health output as part of contracts of therapy, medication
![Page 49: Regulations Barrier or Protection?€¦ · How do we understand the world? CRITICAL FUTURES FORECASTING Three branches of futures studies • Relativism • Alternatives ... • Legal](https://reader033.fdocuments.in/reader033/viewer/2022052019/60325cbf4483fe266a574d22/html5/thumbnails/49.jpg)
Internationale Organisationer
UNESCO - International Declaration on Human Genetic Data 2003
UN Human Rights (OHCHR) Res 71 2001
European Council Oviedo 1997
UN: Universal Declaration on the Human Genome and Human Rights 1997/98
![Page 50: Regulations Barrier or Protection?€¦ · How do we understand the world? CRITICAL FUTURES FORECASTING Three branches of futures studies • Relativism • Alternatives ... • Legal](https://reader033.fdocuments.in/reader033/viewer/2022052019/60325cbf4483fe266a574d22/html5/thumbnails/50.jpg)
![Page 51: Regulations Barrier or Protection?€¦ · How do we understand the world? CRITICAL FUTURES FORECASTING Three branches of futures studies • Relativism • Alternatives ... • Legal](https://reader033.fdocuments.in/reader033/viewer/2022052019/60325cbf4483fe266a574d22/html5/thumbnails/51.jpg)
The Citizen Biobank
Source:
• Patient organizations pooling information:
• PatientsLikeMe and Crohnology.com
• Wearables, devices & telemedicine: continous inflow of real time data
• Providing information for better health
![Page 52: Regulations Barrier or Protection?€¦ · How do we understand the world? CRITICAL FUTURES FORECASTING Three branches of futures studies • Relativism • Alternatives ... • Legal](https://reader033.fdocuments.in/reader033/viewer/2022052019/60325cbf4483fe266a574d22/html5/thumbnails/52.jpg)
Health & Wellbeing
Source:
• Precision & personalising
• Health system – not a disease system
• Preventive approach necessarily means working with healthy individuals
• Combining clinic & research
• Health systems will demand real health output as part of contracts of therapy, medication
• Safety & Security
![Page 53: Regulations Barrier or Protection?€¦ · How do we understand the world? CRITICAL FUTURES FORECASTING Three branches of futures studies • Relativism • Alternatives ... • Legal](https://reader033.fdocuments.in/reader033/viewer/2022052019/60325cbf4483fe266a574d22/html5/thumbnails/53.jpg)
Patient VS Citizen
Source:
• Patient is in a clinical context – and possible a research context
• Today healhty people might be in research
• Future is blurring health and illness
• Preventive approach is health initiative before clinic
• Sequencing healthy people enables preventive health
• How can we understand health if we only look at disease?
![Page 54: Regulations Barrier or Protection?€¦ · How do we understand the world? CRITICAL FUTURES FORECASTING Three branches of futures studies • Relativism • Alternatives ... • Legal](https://reader033.fdocuments.in/reader033/viewer/2022052019/60325cbf4483fe266a574d22/html5/thumbnails/54.jpg)
Data in the Wilderness
Source:
![Page 55: Regulations Barrier or Protection?€¦ · How do we understand the world? CRITICAL FUTURES FORECASTING Three branches of futures studies • Relativism • Alternatives ... • Legal](https://reader033.fdocuments.in/reader033/viewer/2022052019/60325cbf4483fe266a574d22/html5/thumbnails/55.jpg)
Discussions
![Page 56: Regulations Barrier or Protection?€¦ · How do we understand the world? CRITICAL FUTURES FORECASTING Three branches of futures studies • Relativism • Alternatives ... • Legal](https://reader033.fdocuments.in/reader033/viewer/2022052019/60325cbf4483fe266a574d22/html5/thumbnails/56.jpg)
![Page 57: Regulations Barrier or Protection?€¦ · How do we understand the world? CRITICAL FUTURES FORECASTING Three branches of futures studies • Relativism • Alternatives ... • Legal](https://reader033.fdocuments.in/reader033/viewer/2022052019/60325cbf4483fe266a574d22/html5/thumbnails/57.jpg)
Needed Discussion
Source:
To know or not to know?- Return of results and
the right to know- Dynamic consent
• Protection VS Usability• Preparing the individual• Anonymity?• Insurance and
unintended use
• Genomic data is health data – alsoin use
• Not deterministic• Vulnerable? • Stigmatizing
?
?