Regional Watch Asia Pacific – Established Markets FOR BROKERS International Markets Market...

Regional Watch Asia Pacific – Established Markets

FOR BROKERS

International Markets

Market Intelligence

January 2010

Broker Version

Disclaimer

Regional Dashboard

Clic

k to

navig

ate Australia

New ZealandCurrently only available for Managing Agents in password-protected Regional Watch

Hong KongCurrently only available for Managing Agents in password-protected Regional Watch

Disclaimer

Liability46%

Motor 1%

Misc8%

MAT10%

Property35%

Market Intelligence data based on: Australian Prudential Regulatory Authority General Insurance Bulletin, Australian Securities and Investments Committee, Deloitte, Global Edge, Global Opportunities, Insurance Council of Australia (ICA), Lloyd’s crystal, PricewaterhouseCoopers, Xchanging. DWP = direct written premiums. GWP = gross written premium (includes reinsurance). Claims ratio = claims as % of DWP earned from 2005 to 2008.

click for detailed information

click for basic information

Australia: Country DashboardIN

SU

RA

NC

E

OVERVIEW

SIZE: 13th worldwide (UK ranks 3rd)

TOP 5 INSURERS: Vero, QBE Australia, Insurance Australia, Allianz Australia, Insurance Manufacturers Australia – write 50% of total DWP

KEY CLASSES: Motor with high claims ratio (90%), property and liability with medium claims ratio (65% and 50%, respectively)

REINSURANCE: USD 1.1bn (2008)

PENETRATION: ~ 2.4%

NON-LIFE DWP 2008 USD 21.3BN

DWP SIZE IN USD BN AND DWP GROWTH

Motor, 38%

MAT, 3%

Liability, 18%

Property, 30%

Misc, 12%17.5

20.1 21.3

0

5

10

15

20

25

2006 2007 2008

0%

1%

2%

3%

4%

5%

Lloyd’s

NON-LIFE GWP 2008 USD 998M

OVERVIEW

SIZE: 4th for Lloyd’s (UK ranks 2nd)

TOP 5 MAs: write 20% of non-life GWP

KEY CLASSES: liability and property

REINSURANCE: USD 180mn (2008)

PENETRATION: ~ 4.5%

STATUS: direct (re)insurance licence with certain exemptions: www.lloyds.com/crystal

TYPE 3 OFFICE: www.lloyds.com/australia

GWP SIZE IN USD BN AND DWP GROWTH

Liability49%

Motor 2%

Misc2%MAT

11%

Property36%

998

869772

0

200

400

600

800

1000

2006 2007 20080%

5%

10%

15%

Back To > Regional DashboardEC

ON

OM

Y

OVERVIEW

GDP SIZE : 14th worldwide (UK ranks 6th)

EASE OF DOING BUSINESS: 9th worldwide

GLOBAL COMPETITIVNESS: 18th worldwide

STRENGTHS: the Australian economy is open, internationally competitive and export-oriented

CHALLENGES: affected by the financial crisis, private individuals are expected to be very cautious when making new purchases

GDP 2008 USD 891BN

GDP SIZE IN USD BN AND GDP GROWTH

891910856

0

200

400

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800

1000

2006 2007 2008

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%Agriculture3%

Industry27%

Services70%

regu

lati

on

s

COMPULSORY CLASSES: aircraft liability, builders warranty, workers compensation, 3rd party motor, maritime oil pollution liability, satellite launch operators liability, professional indemnity for financial services licensees

REGULATOR OF INSURERS www.apra.gov.au

REGULATOR OF INTERMEDIARIES www.asic.gov.au

DIS

TR

IBU

TIO

N Commercial lines are broker dominated. The top 5 brokers by brokerage income are Marsh, Aon, Jardine Lloyd Thompson, Willis and OAMPS.

catastrophesHighly susceptible to hail, storms, flooding and bushfires.

Other10%

Direct9%

Broker81%

BREAKDOWN OF COMMERCIAL LINES 2008

Disclaimer

http://www.lloyds.com/crystal

http://www.lloyds.com/australia

http://www.apra.gov.au/

http://www.asic.gov.au/

AUSTRALIA: regulators

asi

c

All brokers must either hold an AFS (Australian Financial Services) licence issued by ASIC (Australian Securities

and Investments Commission) or become an authorised representative of a separate licencee.

To obtain a licence, the applicant must meet the general obligations set out by ASIC. These obligations pertain to

responsibilities in the areas of compliance, internal systems, people and resources. ASIC monitors a licencee’s

compliance, internal systems and people through surveillance checks and its financial resources by setting a

minimum solvency margin and requiring annual financial reporting.

ap

ra

APRA (Australian Prudential Regulation Authority) is responsible for the prudential regulation of insurers in

Australia. APRA’s supervisory objectives are met by maintaining a regulatory framework within which insurers

must operate and by setting solvency, capital adequacy and financial reporting requirements.

For more information on regulators visit the PricewaterhouseCoopers Australian website, the APRA website and the ASIC website.

Australia: CatastrophesA

ust

ralia

majo

r ca

t events

19

94

-20

09

AUSTRALIAN NATURAL DISASTERS 1994 – 2009

NSW

Q

V

NT

SAWA

USD 86mn

USD 54mn

1994 - Bushfires

1996 - Hailstorms - Singleton

1996 - Hailstorms - Armidale and Tamworth

1999 - Hailstorms - Sydney

2001 - Bushfires - Sydney

2003 - Bushfires - Canberra

2005 - Hail, storm and winds

2007 - East coast storm and flood event

2007 - Severe Hailstorm - Sydney

2008 - Flooding - North Coast

1998 - Floods

1998 - Hailstorms - Brisbane

1998 - Cyclone Sid and floods

2005 - Hailstorms - Gold Coast

2006 - Tropical cyclone Larry

2008 - Flash flooding - Mackay

2003 - Hail, storm - Melbourne

2006 - Crop damage - Goulburn Valley

USD 60mn

USD 55mn

USD 47mn

USD 277mn

USD 292mn

1994 - Bushfires










1998 - Floods








USD 55mn

USD 60mn

1994 - Bushfires










1998 - Floods








USD 58mn

USD 49mn

USD 103mn

USD 1351mn

USD 40mn

USD 243mn

USD 168mn

USD 1156mn

USD 172mn

USD 13mn

1994 - Bushfires










1998 - Floods








Australia has seen a range of natural disasters over the last 15 years, with the 1999 hailstorms in Sydney still

ranking as Australia’s most expensive natural disaster and estimated to have cost insurers USD 1bn. Natural

disasters tend to cause most damage in NSW and Q. In the last 15 years, bushfires have caused approximately

USD 340m worth of damage in NSW alone. Storm related events such as cyclones and flooding have lead to

approximately USD 1.8bn worth of damage, with the majority of events located in north-eastern Australia (Q and

NT). Hailstorms were responsible for approximately 2.1bn worth of damage, with the majority of events located in

south-eastern Australia (NSW and V).

Bushfires Storm related events Hailstorms

NSW = New South Wales, NT = Northern Territory, Q = Queensland,

SA = Southern Australia, V = Victoria, WA = Western Australia

Back To > Country Dashboard

Disclaimer

For more information on the tort law reform read ‘Tort law reform throughout Australia’ by Minter Ellison. Insurance trends obtained from APRA and Pricewaterhouse Coopers Australian website.

Australia: insurance market (1 of 2)Back To > Country Dashboard

Tort

law

refo

rms

Driven by concerns over rising insurance premiums and the reported unavailability of liability insurance, the

Australian government decided to review its tort law in late 2002. In 2003 all territories legislated to both narrow

the scope of potential liability and reduce the damages that may be awarded. The ultimate objective was to

confine insurers’ exposure so that they could deliver more affordable insurance products to consumers.

Since the implementation of the tort law reforms, the Australian Competition and Consumer Commission has

reported a drop both in claims brought forward by plaintiffs and the average liability premium charged by

insurers. Notwithstanding the increased affordability of liability cover, the tort law reforms have incurred some

criticism as they are now less plaintiff friendly. Whilst some minor changes may hence be expected, there is

however very little prospect that tort law will revert back to its pre-2003 status.

INSU

RA

NC

E T

REN

D 1

99

6-2

00

8

Between 1996 and 2001 Australian non-life DWP suffered a period of slow decline before two key factors in

2001 sparked a significant growth. The first factor were the events of 9/11, which led to a reduction in world-

wide reinsurance capacity. The second factor was the collapse of HIH Insurance, at the time Australia’s second

largest insurer, which led to a reduction in local insurance capacity. The average annual growth rate from 2001

to 2003 was strong at approximately 25%. Since 2004 however, the non-life insurance market has been

softening due to stiff competition between insurers and recent tort law reforms.

INSURANCE PROFITABILITY 1996 – 2008

Underwriting Expense Ratio Claims Ratio Combined Ratio

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

120%

96 98 00 02 04 06 08

The underwriting expense ratio has remained fairly

stable over the last 13 years at approximately 30%.

The claims ratio was stable at approximately 80%

between 1996 and 2000. Between 2001 and 2006

however, it plummeted to approximately 55%. Since

2006, it has been on the rise, back towards its pre

2000 value of approximately 80%. The dip in claims

ratio observed between 2001 and 2006 coincides with

the period of strong DWP growth mentioned above.

The combined ratio closely follows the pattern set by

the claims ratio and was below 100% only between

2002 and 2007.

Disclaimer

Australia: insurance market (2 of 2)

Market Intelligence data based on information from the APRA and ICA websites.

Key c

lass

es

KEY CLASSES in the Australian Insurance Market are motor, property and liability, accounting for approximately

85% of total non-life DWP over the last four years (2005-2008). The size of the liability class (on average 20% of

total non-life DWP over the last four years) reflects the sophisticated nature of the Australian non-life insurance

market.

MOTOR is divided into third party liability and comprehensive. Liability policies provide unlimited indemnity in

respect of bodily injury or death. Recent tort law reforms have reduced premium levels for third party liability

policies. For information on class size, growth and claims ratio...

PROPERTY is divided with an approximate 50/50 premium split between household and commercial. Whilst

household rates are stable and the market is fairly profitable, commercial rates have been driven down by an

absence of large fire losses to the point where the market is barely profitable. For information on class size,

growth and claims ratio...

LIABILITY includes public, product and D&O liability and professional indemnity. Following the tort law reforms,

liability became a more profitable class, although this in turn lead to fresh capacity entering the market and a

reduction in premium rates. For information on class size, growth and claims ratio...

Regio

nal analy

sis

Australia has 7 territories: New South Wales (NSW), Northern Territory (NT),

Queensland (Q), Southern Australia (SA), Tasmania (T), Victoria (V) and Western

Australia (WA).

Key territories in terms of DWP are NSW, Q and V, which together account for

approximately 80% of total DWP.

The following slide provides detailed information on classes of business by region.

Information is given on DWP by region, DWP growth by region and claims ratio by

region for the five business classes.

REGIONAL DWP BREAKDOWN 2008

NSW 39%

NT 1%Q 19%

WA 11%

V 22%

T 2%SA 6%


Disclaimer

Market Intelligence data based on APRA General Insurance Bulletin. * NSW = New South Wales and Australian Capital Territory, NT = Northern Territory, Q = Queensland, SA = Southern Australia, T = Tasmania, V = Victoria, WA = Western Australia

Australia: Class of Business by Region*Back To > Country Dashboard

PR

OPER

TY

DWP 2008 USD 6.3BN

DWP GROWTH 2006-2008 CLAIMS RATIOS 2005-2008 80% of property DWP was written in NSW, Q and V in 2008;NT has demonstrated strong GWP growth; compared to Australian property average over last 4 yrs; Q exhibits a high claims ratio whilst NT exhibits a low claims ratio-5%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

NSW 40%V 24%

WA 9%

Q 18%T 2% SA 7%

NT 0% 0%

50%

100%

150%

200%

NSW NT Q SA T V WANSW NT Q SA T V WA

LIA

BIL

ITY

DWP 2008 USD 3.9BN

DWP GROWTH 2006-2008 CLAIMS RATIOS 2005-2008 75% of liability DWP was written in NSW, V and WA in 2008;GWP growth largely on the decrease or negative; erratic claims ratios; the claims ratio for Q and V are below Australian liability average over last 4 yrs

WA 23%

V 18%

Q 12%

NSW 37%

NT 2%SA 5%

T 3% -10%

0%

10%

20%

0%

25%

50%

75%

100%


MA

T

DWP 2008 USD 0.56BN

DWP GROWTH 2006-2008 CLAIMS RATIOS 2005-200870% of MAT DWP was written in NSW, Q and V in 2008;GWP growth largely small or negative; claims ratio for SA, T and WA are below Australian MAT average over last 4 yrs

V 17% NSW 46%

WA 10%

Q 17%

T 2% SA 6%

NT 2% -20%

-10%

0%

10%

20%

30%

0%

25%

50%

75%

100%


MIS

CELL

AN

EO

US DWP 2008

USD 2.4BNDWP GROWTH 2006-2008 CLAIMS RATIOS 2005-2008

V 27%

Q 21%

NSW 32%

WA 9%

T 2%SA 8%

NT 1%-20%

-10%

0%

10%

20%

30%

0%

25%

50%

75%

100%

80% of miscellaneous DWP was written in NSW, Q and V in 2008; other than in NT and SA, DWP is largely on the decrease; claims ratio for NT, SA and WA are below the Australian miscellaneous average over the last 4 yrs


MO

TO

R

DWP 2008 USD 8.0BN

DWP GROWTH 2006-2008 CLAIMS RATIOS 2005-2008 85% of motor DWP was written in NSW, Q and V in 2008; DWP growth has been positive in Q, SA and T but erratic in NSW and WA; claims ratio for Q, T and WA are below Australian motor average over the last 4 yrs

NSW NT Q SA T V WA

V 20%

Q 23%

NSW 44%

WA 7%

T 1% SA 5%

NT 0%-5%

0%

5%

10%

NSW NT Q SA T V WA0%

50%

100%

150%

200%

CLA

SS

OV

ER

VIE

W DWP 2008 USD 21.3BN

DWP GROWTH 2006-2008 CLAIMS RATIOS 2005-2008

-20%

-10%

0%

10%

20%

Motor, property and liability account for 85% of DWP in 2008; claims ratios have been steadily increasing from an average of 60% in 2005 to 80% in 2008; the claims ratio for liability and MAT are below the Australian average over the last 4 yrs.

Motor, 38%

MAT, 3%

Liability, 18%

Property, 30%

Misc, 12%

0%

40%

80%

120%

Disclaimer

Market Intelligence data based on information from Lloyd’s Xchanging and Lloyd’s coverholder directory.


Australia: Lloyd’s Position L

LOYD

’S T

REN

D 2

00

1-2

00

8

Lloyd’s non-life GWP growth in Australia was very strong between 2001 and 2003 at approximately 25%, before

slowing down in 2004. Since 2004, the average annual growth has been approximately 5%. This trend closely

follows that exhibited by the Australian DWP over the same period.

The graph on the right illustrates how the different classes have been fairing, as a percentage of total non-life

GWP written by Lloyd’s, from 2001. In the last 8 years, the proportion of total GWP written in property and liability

(Lloyd’s 2 key classes) has been on the rise, whilst the proportion of total GWP written in MAT, motor and

miscellaneous has been on the decrease. Motor and miscellaneous in particular have practically disappeared.

CLASS GWP AS % OF TOTAL DWP

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08

LIABILITY

PROPERTY

MAT

MOTOR

MISC

LLOYD’S GWP SIZE (USD M) AND GROWTH

0

200

400

600

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1000

02 03 04 05 06 07 08

-10%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

oth

er

The Lloyd’s market is fairly consolidated, with the top 10 managing agents writing approximately 30% of non-life

GWP and the top 10 brokers placing approximately 40% of non-life GWP (2008).

Lloyd’s operates 114 coverholders in Australia in 2008. The vast majority

(approximately 85%) are located in NSW, Q and V, with half of them in NSW alone.

The regional breakdown of coverholders closely follows that of the Australian DWP.

coverh

old

ers REGIONAL BREAKDOWN 2008WA

9%

V 18%

NT 0%

SA 6%T 0%

Q 18%

NSW 49%

Disclaimer

Australia: Distribution Channelsd

irect

Direct business refers to that placed directly by the insurer through local branches, call centres and the internet.

Over the last decade there has been a strong shift from branch networks to call centres as insurers attempt to cut

costs. The volume of branch business now appears to be stable, with Suncorp Metaway emerging as the main

branch distributor.

Australia has one of the largest internet penetrations in the world. The role of internet in insurance is particularly

strong in the vast interior. Some insurers note however, that the internet is used largely for insurance research

and not insurance purchase.

bro

kers

Brokers are estimated to control around 15% of personal lines business and 80% of commercial lines business.

Overall, they place about half of the total Australian Insurance business every year.

In 2008, driven by the increased cost of remaining competitive, the broking industry saw significant merger and

acquisition activity. The broking industry is also dealing with shifts in consumer behaviour towards the internet

and the impact of telemarketing and contact centres set up directly by insurers.

In 2008 the top five brokers within Australia by income were (in alphabetical order): Aon, Jardine Lloyds

Thompson, Marsh, OAMPS and Willis.

oth

er

Other distribution channels include, for example, bancassurance. There is currently little cross-ownership

between banks and non-life insurance companies in Australia.

overv

iew

PERSONAL LINES COMMERCIAL LINES

Brokers

Other

Direct

Personal and commercial lines differ considerably in their use of distribution channels. The majority of personal

lines business is sold direct (~60%) whilst the majority of commercial lines business is placed by brokers (~80%).

Over the last decade there has been no significant growth of one distribution channel (broker, other or direct) at

the expense of another, both within personal and commercial lines.

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08


Disclaimer

Disclaimer

Please note the information contained in this document is based upon data collected from Xchanging and may be incomplete for some classes of business; for instance a substantial figure, which is missing from the REG 258 data set is comprised of UK Motor, which is not processed by Xchanging.

Gross Premiums: Original and additional inward premiums, plus any amount in respect of administration fees or policy expenses remitted with a premium but before the deduction of outward reinsurance premiums.

Lloyd’s figures are based on gross written premiums based on figures processed by Xchanging by processing year and country of origin.

Country of Origin: denotes the country from where demand for the insurance / reinsurance emanates; i.e. the coverholder or policyholder, irrespective of the country to which the risk is classified for regulatory reporting purposes.

Processing Year: relates to the calendar year in which the premium, additional or return premium is processed by Xchanging, irrespective of the actual underwriting year of account of the risks (which is determined by the inception date of each risk).

Example: A policy holder in the UK insuring a holiday home in France would be classified as a UK risk by Country Of Origin, but French for regulatory reporting purposes. Similarly a risk incepting on 1st December 2007 would be classified at 2007 underwriting year of account but may not be processed by Xchanging until 2008 and so be allocated to the 2008 processing year

Appendix: Lloyd’s Data LimitationsBack To > Regional Dashboard

DisclaimerThis document is intended for general information purposes only. Whilst all care has been taken to ensure the accuracy of the information Lloyd's does not accept any responsibility for any errors or omissions. Lloyd's does not accept any responsibility or liability for any loss to any person acting or refraining from action as a result of, but not limited to, any statement, fact, figure, expression of opinion or belief obtained in this document.

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