Regional Technical Dialogues on intended nationally determined contributions to the 2015

agreement under the UNFCCC

Bonn, Germany 10 June 2014

Yamil Bonduki

United Nations Development Programme

UNFCCC Context

COP 17 (2011) – Durban

• To launch a process to develop a protocol, another legal instrument, or an agreed outcome with legal force under the Convention applicable to all Parties, through the ADP

COP 18 (2012) – Doha

• ADP to consider elements for a draft negotiating text no later than COP 20 (2014 -- Peru), with a view to making a negotiating text available before May 2015

COP 19 (2013) – Warsaw

• Invite all Parties to initiate or intensify domestic preparations for INDCs

• Request developed country Parties, the operating entities of the financial mechanism, and any other organizations to provide support for INDCs as early as possible in 2014

Context of the Regional Technical Dialogues

• Carried out by UNDP in collaboration with UNFCCC • Responds to COP-19 request for support to the preparation of

the INDCs

• Funding from: Austria, Belgium, European Union, France, Germany, Norway, UK, and US

• Series of regional workshops to initiate dialogues on the INDCs: • Latin America and Caribbean: 28-30 April, Bogota, Colombia • Africa: 14-16 May, Accra, Ghana • Asia-Pacific and Eastern Europe: 9-11 July, Hanoi, Vietnam

Scene-setting: LAC and African context – results of UNDP survey (1)

• Total respondents from the two regions = 34 • 21 respondents from Africa, 13 from LAC • 14 respondents from LDCs, of those 5 have started preparations

Yes 41%

No 59%

Has your government started preparations toward communicating its INDCs?

Scene-setting: LAC and African context – results of UNDP survey (2)

For those countries that have already initiated the process: What is the general vision of your government as to what its INDCs should be?

• Linked directly to national sustainable development vision and plans

• Promotes mitigation action and climate resilience and reflects support

• Based on scientific basis, equity

• Reflect diversity of development conditions and circumstances

• Respondents from 3 countries specifically mentioned targets

Scene-setting: LAC and African context – results of UNDP survey (2)

Approach to be used in those countries that have NOT initiated the contributions process

• Stakeholder consultations/use of national CC committees (7)

• Build on what is already ongoing in-country (6)

• Wait to further understand the process (4)

• Capacity building (2)

• Begin with national approval of legislation on CC (1)

Scene-setting: LAC and African context – results of UNDP survey (3)

Main challenges anticipated in preparing contributions:

• Lack of understanding on what should be included in the INDCs, as well as the implications (legal and economic)

• Need to engage stakeholders: • Convince high-level policy makers to prioritize climate change and take

action => link to national development plans • Educate and involve the private sector and investors

• Lack of finance and support to undertake consultations and technical analysis

• Technical challenges • Lack of Data • Lack of modeling expertise

• Lack of finance for implementing contributions

• Time left for preparing the contributions

Objectives of the INDCs Technical Dialogues

• Discuss technical elements, institutional context, and consultation processes for the preparation of the contributions

• Share experiences and best practices in areas related to the contributions, and identify potential solutions to challenges

• Identify key issues related to the underlying technical basis required to prepare robust, realistic and achievable contributions

• Identify follow-up actions and support required to reach domestic agreement on the contributions

A valuable opportunity to discuss the “what” and “how” of the contributions outside the negotiation process

Participation level

• Africa Dialogue: 69 participants

• Country representatives from 30 African countries, 6 developed countries and EU

• Representatives from 12 institutions/initiatives that provide support to the region

• LAC Dialogue: 90 participants

• Country representatives from 23 LAC countries, 5 from developed countries and EU

• Representatives from 12 institutions/initiatives that provide support to the region

General Takeaways from Dialogues

• INDCs will cover a broad range of topics

• Two degree goal is important, but national priorities and analysis will determined the contribution type and magnitude.

• Recognize different capacities and capabilities and timelines. • More analysis on mitigation potential, cost analysis, co-benefits.

• For most countries adaptation is the priority . • Adaptation needs are hard to quantify and implementation of

adaptation is hard to evaluate. Need to define metrics. • More discussions are needed on how to reflect adaptation.

• Countries will need support for implementing their contributions,

to varying degrees. • How to reflect this in the INDCs?

General Takeaways from Dialogues (2)

• Developing countries have a lot of experience and information to base their contributions on, including NCs, national inventories, CDM, NAMAs, NAPAs, NAPs, LEDS, national development policies, sectorial polices and efforts, etc.

• Contributions must be linked to development, green growth, increased resilience. But also must respond to science and be fair, equitable and transparent.

• Political buy-in and process matters. Not easy, but critical to success.

• Technical analysis will be a challenge for many, but work is underway in many countries.

• Time is scarce and initiation/preparation process would need thorough consultations to ensure the necessary institutional support .

• Need support for preparation (technical, process) and also for implementation. Some want/need guidance from process and other sources.

Next Steps

• Draft meeting report form LAC Dialogue prepared and circulated with participants. Africa Dialogue report under preparation.

• Asia-Pacific & Eastern Europe Technical Dialogue to be held on 9-11 July in Hanoi, Vietnam

• Participants’ ideas for future work: • A second round of regional technical dialogues for countries to continue

sharing experiences, with a deeper focus on specific topics and more time for discussions

• Preparation of a manual to support countries that are seeking advice on how to go about the process of preparing their INCDs

• Mapping of support available for the preparation of INDCs • Support for high-level political meetings to increase awareness of INDCs

Available support

• UNDP Dialogues in INDCs to facilitate share of experiences,

identify gaps and priorities areas of work, and identify support needs

• Financial support by GEF and bilateral initiatives for the preparation of INDCs

• A large number of support initiatives that can provide inputs to the preparation of INDCs in both process and content (UNDP LECB Programme, UNEP, WB, GIZ, CCAP, EU, MAPS, LEDS GP, others)