REGIONAL SPECTRAL MODELS Saji Mohandas National Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasting.

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REGIONAL SPECTRAL MODELS Saji Mohandas National Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasting
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Transcript of REGIONAL SPECTRAL MODELS Saji Mohandas National Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasting.

Page 1: REGIONAL SPECTRAL MODELS Saji Mohandas National Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasting.

REGIONAL SPECTRAL MODELS

Saji Mohandas

National Centre for Medium Range

Weather Forecasting

Page 2: REGIONAL SPECTRAL MODELS Saji Mohandas National Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasting.

NCMRWF, Dept. Of Sc & Tech., Govt. of India |--------------------------------------------------------------Research Computer&Network Application |GSM RSM Eta MM5 WAVE

Page 3: REGIONAL SPECTRAL MODELS Saji Mohandas National Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasting.

Regional Spectral Modeling: Issues

• Usual orthogonal basis functions do not satisfy a given time-dependent lateral boundary conditions

Solutions for lateral boundary: Assume cyclic (HIRLAM) Assume zero (Tatsumi, 1986)Non-zero boundary causes serious difficulties

when semi-implicit scheme is used

Page 4: REGIONAL SPECTRAL MODELS Saji Mohandas National Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasting.

Types of basis functions used

• Double Fourier series

• Chebyshev series

• Fourier series with cyclic boundary conditions

• Harmonic- sine series

Page 5: REGIONAL SPECTRAL MODELS Saji Mohandas National Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasting.

Double Fourier series

F cos kx cos ly F cos kx sin ly F sin kx cos ly F sin kx sin ly

where x = x/Lx, y = y/Ly

k,l - wave numbers

Lx, Ly – domain lengths

Page 6: REGIONAL SPECTRAL MODELS Saji Mohandas National Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasting.

• For alias free truncations I > (3K + 5)/2 + 1 J > (3L + 5)/2 + 1Truncation: Ellipticalk2 + (Lx/Ly)2 l2 K2 ork2 +(I-1)2/(J-1)2 l2 K2

Page 7: REGIONAL SPECTRAL MODELS Saji Mohandas National Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasting.

Perturbation method

• To predict the small scale details while retaining the large scale (Hoyer, 1987; Juang and Kanamitsu, 1994)

• Perturbation = Regional field – Base field• Ap = A – Ag• Base field is the coarse grid model forecasts which

is run prior to RSM• Perturbation is converted to wave space for time

integration

Page 8: REGIONAL SPECTRAL MODELS Saji Mohandas National Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasting.

Perturbation method uses information from the coarse grid model over the entire model domain while the conventional method includes the external information only through the lateral boundaries

Page 9: REGIONAL SPECTRAL MODELS Saji Mohandas National Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasting.

Perturbation method...

• Perturbation field satisfies the wall boundary conditions

• Nesting with the coarse grid model is done such that the perturbation smoothly approaches zero at the lateral boundary (Blending)

• Lateral boundary relaxation following Tatsumi (1986)

Page 10: REGIONAL SPECTRAL MODELS Saji Mohandas National Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasting.

Perturbation method …

• Spectral transformation only for the perturbations

• Nonlinear physics computations are done in physical space on the full regional field

• Same structure and physics for both the models

• Semi-implicit time integration in wave space on perturbations

Page 11: REGIONAL SPECTRAL MODELS Saji Mohandas National Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasting.

Perturbation method …• Amplitude of perturbations tend to be small -

suitable for climatic simulations• Lateral boundary relaxation cleaner and natural for

perturbations• Easy to apply semi-implicit scheme• Diffusion can be applied to perturbations• Disadvantage: difficulty in converting physics

Page 12: REGIONAL SPECTRAL MODELS Saji Mohandas National Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasting.

u*1( i ,j) =∑∑U1(m,n) . Cn cos(n∏j/J) . Sm sin(m∏i/I)

v*1( i ,j) =∑∑ V1(m,n) . Cn sin(n∏j/J) . Sm cos(m∏i/I)

T1( i ,j) =∑∑T1 (m,n) . Cn cos(n∏j/J) . Sm cos(m∏i/I)

Q1( i ,j) =∑∑ Q1(m,n) . Cn cos(n∏j/J) . Sm cos(m∏i/I)

q1( i ,j) =∑∑q1 (m,n) . Cn cos(n∏j/J) . Sm cos(m∏i/I)

u*=u/m,v*=v/m(Cm,Sm)=(Cn,Sn)=(1,0) if m,n=0Cm=-Sm=Cn=-Sn=2 if m,n 0

Page 13: REGIONAL SPECTRAL MODELS Saji Mohandas National Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasting.

Step by step computational procedure

1. Run global model. Ag(n,m) at all times

2. Analysis over regional domain At(x,y)

3. Ag(n,m) ==> Spher. trans. ==> Ag(x,y)

4. Ar(x,y)=At(x,y) - Ag (x,y)

5. Ar(x,y) ==>Fourier trans. ==> Ar(k,l)Now Ar(k,l) satisfies zero b.c.

6. Ar(k,l) ==>Fourier trans. ==> Ar(x,y)

Page 14: REGIONAL SPECTRAL MODELS Saji Mohandas National Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasting.

7. Ag(m,n) ==> Spher. trans.==>Ag(x,y)Ag(m,n) ==>Spectral trans. ==>Ag(x,y)/ xAg(m,n) ==>Spectral trans. ==>Ag(x,y)/ y

8. At(x,y) = Ag(x,y) + Ar(x,y)At(x,y)/ x = Ag(x,y)/ x + Ar(x,y)/ xAt(x,y)/ y = Ag(x,y)/ y + Ar(x,y)/ y

9. Compute full model tendencies At(x,y)/ tNote that this is non zero at the boundaries

Page 15: REGIONAL SPECTRAL MODELS Saji Mohandas National Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasting.

10. Get perturbation tendencyAr(x,y)/t = At(x,y)/ t - Ag(x,y)/t

11. Convert to spectral spaceAr(x,y)/t =>Fourier trans.=>Ar(k,l)/t(Now At(k,l)/ t satisfies boundary cond.)

12. Advance Ar(k,l) in time Ar(k,l)t+t = Ar(k,l)t-t + Ar/ t 2t

Go back to step 6.

Page 16: REGIONAL SPECTRAL MODELS Saji Mohandas National Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasting.

Lateral Boundary relaxation

t

A

= F – μ (A

t1 – At

g

1)

μ =

1 ( in seconds)

= 1 - max I

ii |0| , J

jj |0| n I,J – half grid points i0,j0- central grid point n=15 Blending for perturbation tendencies is given by t

A

1

= α (Fd - t

Ag

) + α Fm

Fd – dynamics tendency Fm – phyisics tendency

Page 17: REGIONAL SPECTRAL MODELS Saji Mohandas National Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasting.

• Implicit diffusion

• A local diffusion to diffuse areas of strong wind

• Asselin time filter

• Provision for Digital Filter Initialisation

• High resolution orography (interpolated from US Navy data)

• Semi-implicit adjustment for physics

Page 18: REGIONAL SPECTRAL MODELS Saji Mohandas National Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasting.

RSM at NCMRWF• Basis functions: Double sine-cosine series

• Res: 50Km (Hor) 18 (Vert)

• Wave num: 54 (Zon) 47 (Mer)

• Domain:3N-39N, 56-103E (97X84 grid points)

• Time step: 300 sec

• Nesting period: 6 hour

• Forecast period: 5 days

Page 19: REGIONAL SPECTRAL MODELS Saji Mohandas National Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasting.

• Initial condition: Global model analysis interpolated to regional domain

• Boundary condition: Global model forecasts

• Lateral boundary relaxation: Tatsumi (1986)

• Physics: Same as the improved version of NCEP GSM (Kanamitsu, 1989; Kanamitsu et.al., 1991)

• Only difference is the deep convective scheme (Kuo replaced by SAS)

• Called Version 0

Page 20: REGIONAL SPECTRAL MODELS Saji Mohandas National Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasting.

Physics package

• Diagnostic clouds that interact with radiation.

• Deep convective parameterization.

• Large scale condensation based on saturation.

• Vertical diffusion based on static stability and wind shear.

• Long and Short wave radiation (called every one hour).

Page 21: REGIONAL SPECTRAL MODELS Saji Mohandas National Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasting.

Physics package….

• Shallow convection based on K-profile

• Evaporation of precipitation based on Kessler’s method

• Gravity wave drag

• Horizontal diffusion

• Surface processes (flux computation using similarity theory)

• Two-layer soil hydrology with a simple vegetation effect

Page 22: REGIONAL SPECTRAL MODELS Saji Mohandas National Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasting.

RSM Forecasts – SW Monsoon• Better distribution of rainfall especially

over west coast of peninsula

• Easterly wind bias over North Indian planes

• Southward bias in the track of Monsoon low pressure systems

• Cyclonic bias over the south peninsula off the east coast

Page 23: REGIONAL SPECTRAL MODELS Saji Mohandas National Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasting.

Sensitivity of land surface parameterisation on RSM forecasts

Saji Mohandas

E. N. Rajagopal

National Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasting, New Delhi

Page 24: REGIONAL SPECTRAL MODELS Saji Mohandas National Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasting.

Land surface processes

• One of the most sensitive component of NWP models

• Influence the lower boundary conditions for dynamics and thermodynamics of the atmosphere

• Should be able to provide the adequate feed back mechanism for PBL and other physical processes

Page 25: REGIONAL SPECTRAL MODELS Saji Mohandas National Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasting.

LSP experiments with RSM

• Two types of land surface parameterisation schemes used

• Experiment was conducted for August 2001

• Used T80 global model forecasts as the initial and boundary conditions

• Global surface analysis is used as surface boundary conditions

Page 26: REGIONAL SPECTRAL MODELS Saji Mohandas National Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasting.

LSP schemes used for the study

• LSP1 (with one layer soil moisture) where evapotranspiration is a function of potential evaporation

• LSP2 (with two layer soil moisture) where the evaporation consists of 3 components namely evapotranspiration, evaporation from bare soil and canopy re-evaporation

Page 27: REGIONAL SPECTRAL MODELS Saji Mohandas National Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasting.
Page 28: REGIONAL SPECTRAL MODELS Saji Mohandas National Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasting.
Page 29: REGIONAL SPECTRAL MODELS Saji Mohandas National Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasting.

Day-3 Sys. Error, Wind (M/S), (a)LSP1 & (b)LSP2

Page 30: REGIONAL SPECTRAL MODELS Saji Mohandas National Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasting.

Day-3 Prec. (CM) AUG 2001(a)NCMRWF Anal(1.5X1.5), (b)LSP1 & ©LSP2

Page 31: REGIONAL SPECTRAL MODELS Saji Mohandas National Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasting.
Page 32: REGIONAL SPECTRAL MODELS Saji Mohandas National Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasting.

Soil Moisture M;

M/t = R – E + SnR- prec.E- Evap.

Sn – Snow melt

Skin Temperature Ts;

Cs Ts/t = Rs + Rl + L + H + GCs – Spec. heat

Rs –net SWRl – Net LWL- Latent heatH –Sens. Heat

G- Ground Heat Flux

Page 33: REGIONAL SPECTRAL MODELS Saji Mohandas National Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasting.

Soilm(%)

Stemp(K)

D3 LSP1 D3 LSP2

Page 34: REGIONAL SPECTRAL MODELS Saji Mohandas National Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasting.

NETSWF(W/m**2)

NETLWF(W/M**2)

LSP1 LSP2-LSP1

Page 35: REGIONAL SPECTRAL MODELS Saji Mohandas National Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasting.

Sens-HF(W/m**2)

Late-HF(W/m**2)

Ground-HF(W/m**2)

LSP1 LSP2-LSP1

Page 36: REGIONAL SPECTRAL MODELS Saji Mohandas National Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasting.

Conclusions

• Both versions of LSP schemes produced comparative results showing easterly wind bias over Central India and weakening of Somali current

• Rainfall amount was slightly higher for LSP2• RMSE s were slightly higher for LSP2 at lower

troposphere• The difference is mainly over A.P. region where

the maximum impact on surface energy balance is due to larger evaporation in LSP2 compared to LSP1

Page 37: REGIONAL SPECTRAL MODELS Saji Mohandas National Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasting.

Future plans

• Implementation of new version of NCEP RSM

• Implementation of the regional assimilation and Analysis scheme

• Use of RegCM/RSM at NCMRWF as a platform for carrying out seasonal/climate simulations and impact studies