Rede Neural Artificial Ensemble aplicada à estimativa de radiação solar

8/17/2019 Rede Neural Artificial Ensemble aplicada à estimativa de radiação solar

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MAPEAMENTO DARADIAÇÃO SOLAR NOSEAU USANDO UMAAVANÇADA REDE NEURAL

ARTIFICIAL ENSEMBLEMOHAMMAD H. ALOBAIDI, PRASHANTH R. MARPU, SENIORMEMBER, IEEE,

TAHA B. M. J. OUARDA, MEMBER, IEEE, AND HOSNI GHEDIRA

ÍNGRID HELOISA DA SILVA ALVES

UNIVERSIDADE FEDERAL RURAL DO SEMI-ÁRIDOPROGRAMA DE PÓS-GRADUAÇÃO EM SISTEMAS DECOMUNICAÇÃO E AUTOMAÇÃOINTELIGÊNCIA ARTIFICIAL


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SUMÁRIO• INTRODUÇÃO

• DADOS

• ABORDAGEM PROPOSTA

• CONFIGURAÇÃO EXPERIMENTAL

• RESULTADOS E DISCUSSÕES

• CONCLUSÃO

• REFERÊNCIAS


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INTRODUÇÃO• R!"#$% &%'( )'%*'

• R!"#$% !"+& (!"#$%!"(/

• I((!"012" )'%*' 3%("4%1'

5IGH6• !1&"!! ! 1()" &%'(

"12"!1 7%( 1"!! ! 87%18 !(8"1! &7(+92",8!"! 8 :;8


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INTRODUÇÃO• I((!"012" !"( 1%(8' - L" ! L8*(-

B%)(• IDN =

• (7(&1 2%1&1 &%'(, :;821("2"!!/

• K 8&& ! (/• K &7&&( 7"2 %' ! 8%&+(

2&1!% %' 1#$% ! IDN.

•


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INTRODUÇÃO• A& '"#& ! (2(&%& &%'(& 7(2"&%&

&$% 12&&("& 7( "'"4#$% 2"1 !

&%'#& *& ! 1()" &%'(/

• E8*%( 13 3"!% 8 2(&21 "1(&&8 7'"2#& ! 21%'%)" &%'( 1%&E8"(!%& Á(*& U1"!%& 5EAU6, 3 8 !K2"()"%1' 1% *12% ! !!%& ! 1()" &%'(12&&("%& 7( 2%1!4"( & !2"&& 7(+(%& !&1%'"81%&.


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INTRODUÇÃO• M!"#& &%'(& ((&(&/

• M7& &%'(& !("!%& ! "8)1& ! &K'"

8 87% ('/• S7"11"1) E1312! V"&"*' 1! I1+((! I8)(

5SEVIRI6 *%(!% !%& &K'"& )%&2"%1("%& !M%& ! S)1! G(#$% 5MSG6, M%& ,+%(12 "1+%(8#& &%*( (!"#$% &%'( 1 ()"$%EAU !&! % 1% ! .

• E& (*'3% 8 2%8% %*Q"% 8'3%(( % '&&%'( !&1%'( 8%!'%& )1('"4!& 7(%!48 87& &%'(& 7(2"&%& 1 ()"$% !

EAU.


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INTRODUÇÃO• V("%& 8%!'%& +9&"2%& 879("2%& +%(8

7(%7%&%& 7( "1)(( "8)1& ! &K'"&

)%&2"%1("%& 7( &"8" ! (!"#$%&%'( 1 &7(+92" ! ((.

• R!& N("& A("2""& *&!& 1% 1&8*'5RNAE6 8 &"!% "'"4!& 8 ("%& &!%&

8 8%!')8 !% 8*"1 &%* 8 8'3%(!&8713% 272"!! ! )1('"4#$%.

• U8 !%& 8"%(& !&%& K &1&"*"'"!! !&8!"#& "1!"21!% 18/


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INTRODUÇÃO• E"&& ' &)(" &( *%(!)8 ! !2#$%

! 8&2( ! 18, !&1%'"!% 7%( H%2"1)

', 7( 2'&&"2( 2! 7">' 8 8 8%81%&7292% 7( % !&1%'"81% ! 8%!'%&&7(!%& 7( 2%1!"#& ! 1*'%&"!! '"(& ! 11&.

• N& (*'3%, % %*Q"% +%" 8'3%(( %&

(&'!%& ! E"&& ', 7(%7%1!% ("(&1&8*' 8"& )1('"4!& 7( 8%!')8! (!"#$% &%'(.


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DADOS• D!%& ("& ((&&

• N& &!% +%(8 8!"!%&

IGH, IDN IDH 1% ((1% 88"& ! 2"12% &#& 1% EAU +%(8 7(K-7(%2&&!%& "'"4!%& 2%8% &9!& !%&"&8.

• E&&& 8!"#& (8 ('"4&

"'"41!% 7"(18(% 2%8&7%( ! &%8*(81%(%"% 5RSP6, LICOR LI-RSI, .

INPE, .


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DADOS• D!%& ("& ((&(&

• D"&("*"#$% &72"' !& 2"12% &#& !

8!"#$% ! ((.


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DADOS• D!%& ("& ((&(&

• D"&("*"#$% &72"' !& 2"12% &#& !

8!"#$% ! ((.


12/59

DADOS• D!%& ("& ((&(&

• O& !!%& ! ("181% &$% %("1!%& !&

8!"#& ! &#& , 7( % 1% ! %& !!%& ! & &$% %("1!%& 7("( !&8!"#& ! &#& 7( % 1% ! W.I&% 7(8" '"!( % 8%!'% ! +%(8"1!71!1.

• T1% %& !!%& ! ("181% 1% %& ! &&$% !""!"!%& 8 2%8 11& &8 11&&1!% 8&2( ! 18.


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DADOS• D!%& ("& ((&(&

• L%2'"4#$% ! &#& 81( 272"!!

! )1('"4#$% !% 8%!'%/• D& &#& ! & +%(12( 8 '"#$%

8"& 2%1' '"( % 8%!'% % '%1)% !'%2"& &72"'81 "1!71!1&/

• T("181% 2%8 !!%& ! & 2%8

!!%& ! W '"( % 8%!'% &%*( ("#$%87%('.


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DADOS• SK'"& !!%& ! 7%&"#$% !% &%'

• A& 1(!& !% &"&8 &$% %*"!& 7("( ! 7%&"#$% !% &%' 7("( !%& !!%& !"("!%& 2%8 % &% !% "1&(81%

SEVIRI *%(!% !% &K'" MSG 5M%& 6.• D4 (""& ! 1(! &$% "!1"2!& 7( % 8%!'% !

()(&&$%/ & 1(!& 2%8 *& 8 &K'"& &$% %& '%(&! 87(( ! *("'3% !% SEVIRI/

• A& (""& ! 1(! *&!%& 7%&"#$% !% &%' &$%•

01)'% &%'( ! 41" 6/(• 87% &%'(/

• 18(% !% !"/

• C%((#$% ! >21("2"!!/

• A& "8)1& &$% !"("!& 2! 8"1%&. O& 7(08(%&('2"%1!%& 2%8 7%&"#$% !% &%' &$% 2'2'!%& 2! &.


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ABORDAGEM PROPOSTA• U8 2%1Q1% ! RNA *&! 8 1&8*' K

"'"4! 7( &"8( ('#$% +12"%1'

1( (""& >7'"2"& ! !&"1% !%&!%.

I!1"2(1(!& &9!&7( 2!2%1!"#$% !

18 8 2!>7("81%

I!1"2( % 7(K-7(%2&&81% &(( !%8%!'% 1&8*'

I!1"2( % "8%8%!'% RNA1&8*' (K&! '"!#$% !%

7(%2&&%

A7'"2( & (27((&"8"& 7(2! &9!

C%1&("( 8%!'%RNA 1&8*')1('"4!% (27((&"8"& 7(2! ("' !


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- MYTODO ENSEMBLE• P( 7("&$% ! &K("& 87%("&, %&

8'3%(& (&'!%& &$% %*"!%& 7'

2%8*"1#$% ! !"+(1& 8%!'%& !7("&$% % "1K& ! &'#$% !' 7(&1 8'3%( !&8713% "1!""!'. A2%8*"1#$% ! &72"'"&& K 2%132"! 1

'"(( 2%8% M"1 ! C%8"/• D""!"( 2%1"&(/

• D 2%(!% 2%8 && 7("1297"%, 8 (+2%872"%1' 2%87'> K (&%'"! !""!"1!%-8 8 18(% ! (+& 2%872"%1"& &"87'&

1$% 2%8*"11!% & &%'#& !&& (+&.


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- MYTODO ENSEMBLE• Ensemble K 2%8*"1#$% !& &9!& ! !%"&

% 8"& 2%87%11&, %& "& (&%'8 %

%' ! 8 !(8"1! (+ ! +%(8"&%'!, 8& 1$% 12&&("81"1!71!1.

• P%!8 &( "'"4!%& 8 7(1!"4!%

&7("&"%1!% % 8 7(1!"4!% 1$%-&7("&"%1!%.


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- MYTODO ENSEMBLE

• U8 !%& ("&"%& +1!81"& 7( %&2&&% % "'"4( ensemble K %&

2%87%11& )1('"48 ! +%(8!"+(1. N$% +4 &1"!% 2%8*"1( 8%!'%& !%8 %& 8&8%& 7(%2!"81%& 3"7&& 7( &%'#$% ! 8 7(%*'8.


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- MYTODO ENSEMBLE

• E7& 1% 7(%Q% ! 8 1&8*'


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- MYTODO ENSEMBLE

• E7& 1% 7(%Q% ! 8 1&8*'• Etapa de geração de componentes

• N% 2&% ! RNA& 2%8% 2%87%11& !% ensemble,3 ("& +%(8& ! 1( '21#( !"(&"!!.D1( '&, 7%!8%& 2"( & &)"1&

• I1"2"'"4#$% '(" !%& 7&%& !& 2%1>& !2! RNA/

• V("#$% ! ("( ! RNA/• V("#$% !% ')%("8% ! ("181%/

• R-8%&()8 !%& !!%&/

• E1&8*' 3(%)1"%.


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- MYTODO ENSEMBLE

• E7& 1% 7(%Q% ! 8 1&8*'• Etapa de combinação de componentes

• D7%"& ! )(!%& ("1!%& %& 2%87%11&,(& ( 2%8% '& &($% 2%8*"1!%& 7(7(%!4"( 8 (&7%& 1"2 7("( !& (&7%&&"1!""!"&.

• MK!" &"87'&

• MK!" 7%1!(!• V%% &"87'&


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- MYTODO ENSEMBLE

• E7& 1% 7(%Q% ! 8 1&8*'• Etapa de seleção de componentes

• A &'#$% 7%! &( 2%1&"!(! 2%8% 8 7! (181% !% ensemble 7( 8'3%(( %!&8713%/ U8 4 )(!%& %& 2%87%11&,3 7%&&"*"'"!! ! 18 %!%& 2%1("*87( % !&8713% )'%*' !% ensemble, %

"1!"2!% &(" "!1"2( &&& 2%87%11& !&2(-'%& !% ensemble 1'.


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ABORDAGEM PROPOSTA

• P(K-7(%2&&81%• Z D!%& &$% %*"!%& ! 2%(!% 2%8

87(( ! *("'3% !& "8)1&/• Z E1(!& %("1!& !% &K'" (1&+%(8!&

8 (!"012"&/• E1(!& '"1(&/

• E1(!& 1$%-'"1(& T(1&+%(8#$% B%> C%>/


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ABORDAGEM PROPOSTA

• P(K-7(%2&&81%


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ABORDAGEM PROPOSTA

• M%!%'%)" !%!

. E&2%'3 2%1!"#$% ! 18 51*'!% % &8 11&6.. P( 2%1!"#$% ! 18 &2%'3"!%, !(8"1( % 2%((&7%1!1 7(

IDH IDN. U8 2%1Q1% ! !!%& ! ("181% 8 2%1Q1% !!!%& ! & 7( 2! 8 !& (""& ! (!"#$% &%'( 1("%(&.

. P( % IDH, )(( %& (8%&(& 2%((&7%1!1& 5% &*-8%&(&6 %&88*(%& "1!""!"& !% 8%!'% 1&8*'. D4 (""& ! 1(! 8 ("' ! &9! 5IDH6 &$% "'"4!%&.

. V'"!( % 8%!'% 1&8*' !(8"1( &(( "8 !%& 88*(%&"1!""!"& "'"41!% %& !!%& ! ("1%.

. T("1( % 8%!'% &1!% %& !!%& ! ("181% ('( %& (&'!%&!%& &&.

. P( % IDN, (7" %& 7&&%& 6 6 51% &9! K 7(%+1!"!!7"2 %'6.

. E&"8 IDN &1!% 56.

. U8 4 &"8"& ! IDH IDN &$% )(!%&, &"8( IGH &1!%56.


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ABORDAGEM PROPOSTA

• M%!'% &*1&8*'• RNA 1&8*'

•

U8 28! ! 1(!, !& 28!& %2'& 828! ! &9!/

• O 18(% ! 1(1"%& 1 28! ! 1(! K ")'% 18(% ! (""& ! 1(!, ! 8&8 +%(81 28! ! &9!.

• O 18(% ! 1(1"%& &2%1!"!%& K 2(2("4!% 7%(8 7(%2!"81% ! '"!#$% 2(4!/

• F1#$% 1-&")8%"! 1%& 1(1"%& &2%1!"!%& +1#$% ! (1&+(12" '"1( 1 28! ! &9!.


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ABORDAGEM PROPOSTA

• M%!'% &*1&8*'• A')%("8% ! ("181% )(!"1 2%1Q)!%

&2'%1!% ! MOLLER 5WW6 5SCG6/• V1)8 2%1()12" 8"& (7"!/

• E" *&2 1"!"81&"%1' 2! "(#$%"'"41!% 8 *%(!)8 !L1*()M((!/

• C("K("% ! 7(! 7(2%2 K 2%1&"!(!% 2'"*(!% 1 +& ! ("181% !% 8%!'%/

• Y >!% % '%( !% 813% ! 1&8*' .


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ABORDAGEM PROPOSTA

• A')%("8% ! (8%&()8• S 8 2%1Q1% ! 8%&( ! 813% N &

!"&7%19' 7( % 7(%2&&% ! ("181%, %813% ! &*-8%&( ! 7("8"( +& K!1"!% 2%8%

• %1! K % 813% &*-8%&( ! 7("8"( +&.

•


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ABORDAGEM PROPOSTA

• A')%("8% ! (8%&()8• O 813% ! &*8%&( ! &)1! +& K

%*"!% (K& ! (%2 ! "1+%(8#& 1( %!%&%& &*8%&(& ! 7("8"( +& &1!% 87(08(% ! 2%1(%' ! 8"&(, 8 ! '"8"( 1"!! ! 8"&( ! "1+%(8#& 8 2!&*8%&(. O 813% ! &*8%&( !&)1! +& K, 1$%, 2'2'!% 2%8%


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ABORDAGEM PROPOSTA

• A')%("8% ! (8%&()8• R4$% ! 8"&(

• K % 18(% ! %*&(#& 7( 2%87("'3( ! Q-

K&"8 &*8%&(/• K % 813% ! Q-K&"8 &*8%&( ! 7("8"( +&/

• D &( 2%1"!% 1( .

•


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ABORDAGEM PROPOSTA

• A')%("8% ! (8%&()8• E8 (&8%, & (8%&(& &$% )(!%& 2%8% &

&).• 6 E&2%'3 % 813% !% 1&8*' .

• 6 E&2%'3 % '%( !% (4$% ! 3%8%)1"!! 8.

• 6 G(( & (8%&(& ! 7("8"( +&'%("81 ! 2%(!% 2%8 56.

• 6 G(( & (8%&(& ! &)1! +& ! +%(8'(" ! 2%(!% 2%8 56.


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ABORDAGEM PROPOSTA

• TK21"2& 1&8*' ! "1)(#$%• [(% K21"2& ! "1)(#$% E1&8*' &$%

&!& 1& &!% ! 2&% &9&"2 8K!", &9&"2 8!"1, +((81& ! ()(&&$%'"1( !%& 891"8%& !(!%& %(!"1("%& 5M[O6, +((81 ! 8%1)8 (%*& '"1(.


33/59

ABORDAGEM PROPOSTA

• TK21"2& 1&8*' ! "1)(#$%• E&9&"2 8K!"

•Y &)("!% % &% ! &9&"2 8K!" 7( "1&")(& & &"8"& !%& 88*(%& !% 1&8*'&)8 8 !"&("*"#$% 1%(8' 8 %(1% !% '%(! ("'-'% ('.


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ABORDAGEM PROPOSTA

• TK21"2& 1&8*' ! "1)(#$%• E&9&"2 8!"1

•E&"8"& !%& &*1&8*'

• I)1%( "1\12" !& &"8"& !"&2(71&/


35/59

ABORDAGEM PROPOSTA

• TK21"2& 1&8*' ! "1)(#$%• F1#$% ! ()(&&$% '"1(

•

7'"2! 1& &"8"& !% &*8%!'% 7( 7(%!4"(8 &"8" !% 1&8*'/

• U"'"4 891"8%& !(!%& %(!"1("%& 5M[O6

• O1! B% BQ &$% %& 2%2"1& ! ()(&&$%'"1(& !&2%132"!%&, %*"!%& "'"41!% *%(!)8 M[O.

• A'"( % !&8713% ! 2%8*"1!%(& '"1(&/

• C%8*"1( & &"8"& ! %!%& %& &*8%!'%& 88 &"8" 1&8*'.


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ABORDAGEM PROPOSTA

• TK21"2& 1&8*' ! "1)(#$%• AQ& (%*&% ! &"8"& !%& &*8%!'%&

•A K21"2 ! 8%1)8 (%*& (( 8 Q&2%1&1, *8 2%8% 8 +1#$% ! 7&)8,(K& !%& "& 8 %( (&"!' K 2'2'!% '"4!%& ! +%(8 "("/

• F%" "'"4!% % 8K%!% ! ()(&&$% (%*&"87'81!% 1% &%+]( MATLAB. E& K21"2

2'2' &9! 1&8*' ! !& &"8"&&*1&8*' ! &)"1 +%(8

•

= *"& (%*&%


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ABORDAGEM PROPOSTA

• A*%(!)8 )1('"4!• O (8% 1&8*' )1('"4!% !1

2%1"1#$% !% (81% 2%8 & &"8"&7(%1"1& ! !"+(1& 8%!'%& ! 1&8*'/

• N& &)"%, ("%& 8%!'%& 1&8*' 138 !8%1&(!% 8 *%8 !&8713% 12%1)(#$% ! '"!#$% &$% &2%'3"!%& & &&

&"8"& &$% 2%8*"1!& "'"41!% 8&9&"2 8!"1 !& &"8"&.


38/59

ABORDAGEM PROPOSTA

• A*%(!)8 )1('"4!

M%!'%)'%*'

M%!'%)'%*'

M%!'%

)1('"4!%C%8*"1!%(


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ABORDAGEM PROPOSTA

• V'"!#$% 2("K("%& ! '"#$%• A K21"2 ! '"!#$% 2(4! K "'"4! 7( 2%87((

%& !&8713%& ('"%& 7( ("& &((& !&*8%!'%&, K21"2& ! "1)(#$%, (4& !3%8%)1"!! % '%1)% !% IDH (""& ! IDN/

• IGH 1$% &%+(( '"!#$% 7%( K % (&'!% !2%8*"1#$% ! &"8"& ! !%"& 8%!'%& '"!!%&/

• !1"#$% ! '"!#$% 2(4! ("7' K ('"4!, %1!

& %*&(#& ! 2! 8 !& (& &#& ((&(&!!"2!& % ("181% &$% )(7!%& 8 2!!%*(/

• V'"! 1% % !&8713% ! &(( ! RNA 1% 272"!! ! )1('"4#$% &%*( & &#&"1!71!1&.


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ABORDAGEM PROPOSTA

• V'"!#$% 2("K("%& ! '"#$%• O ((% ('"% ! ("4 !(! ! 8K!" 5RMSE6

*"& ('"%, (&72"81, &$% &!%& 2%8%8!"!& ! !&8713% !% 8%!'% 272"!!! )1('"4#$%. O& !%"& 2("K("%& ! !&8713%&$% 2'2'!%& 2%8% & &)

= "K&"8 %*&(#$% 1% '%2' ! "((!"012" 5RD+H % RD(N6 = &"8" ! %*&(#$% *&! 1% 8%!'% 1&8*'

1 = 18(% ! %*&(#&


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ABORDAGEM PROPOSTA

• V'"!#$% 2("K("%& ! '"#$%• D7%"& ! 12%1(( % 8%!'% ! 1&8*' "!' 7(

2! &9!, %& 8%!'%& ! 1&8*' &$% ("1!%&"'"41!% %!%& %& !!%& !& (& &#& 5!!"2!&7( % ("181%6 &!& 2%1( %& !!%& ! !&%(& &#& 5!!"2!& 7( &&6.

• O & ! !&8713% K '"!% ! 2%(!% 2%8 %&2("K("%& !%!%& 7'%& (*'3%& 1("%(& &%*( &

&!% ! 2&% %1! '& !18 % RMSE ('"%5(RMSE^6 % ((% 8K!"% ('"% 5(MBE6 ((% 8K!"%92"% ('"% 56

8K!" ! ("' ! &9!


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ABORDAGEM PROPOSTA

• V'"!#$% 2("K("%& ! '"#$%• P( % 1&8*' )1('"4!%, & &"8"& ! &

1' 7( 2! 8 !%& !%"& 1&8*' &2%'3"!%& &$%"'"4!& 7( & %*( & &"8"& )1('"4!&, ,8 &)"!, (RMSE^ (MBE &$% 2'2'!& 7( '"#$%/

• U8 4 %& 88*(%& "1!""!"& 8 7(%!% &272"!! ! !&8713% )1('"4#$% &%*( %&

1&8*'& ! '"!#$%, 1$% 3 12&&"!! !>2( % 7(%2!"81% ! '"!#$% 2(4! 7('"( % 8%!'% ! 1&8*' )1('"4!%/

• G-EANN ! 813% +%( &'2"%1!%.


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CONFIGURAÇÃO

EXPERIMENTAL• O %*Q"% !& (*'3% K !&1%'( 8%!'%& 7(

&"8" ! (!"#$% &%'( &1!% !!%& ! &K'"/

• M%!'%& 1&8*' 8 ! &( !&1%'"!%& 7( 2!2%1!"#$% ! 18 7( &"8( IDN IDH/

• M%!'%& RNA &$% &!%& 2%8% 88*(%& !% 1&8*'/

• A K21"2 ! (8%&()8 7(%7%& K "'"4!% 7( %*(!!%& ! ("181% 7( %& 88*(%& !% 1&8*'"1!""!'/

• P( % 7(%2&&% ! &"8" IDN, 7(%+1!"!! 7"2%' K &"8! IDN K 2'2'!% &1!% '" B%)(-L8*(/

• A &(( 1&8*' "!' K !(8"1! &1!%

'"!#$% 2(4!. IGH K 1'81 2'2'! 7("( !&"8"& ! IDH IDN.


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RESULTADOS E DISCUSSÕES

• S'#$% ! 7(08(%• V'"!#$% 2(4! ("7', 8 2! !%*(

(7(&1 8 &#$% !"+(1, K "'"4! 7(&'2"%1( &(( 1&8*' "8 7( 2!("' ! !&"1% 2! 2%1!"#$% ! 18.

• D"+(1& 8%!'%& ! 1&8*' +%(8 &!%&7( !"+(1& 18(%& ! 1(1"%& 1& !&

28!& %2'& 91!"2& ! 3%8%)1"!!!"+(1&.

• D&! +& ! '"!#$%, %*"-& &((&!%& 8%!'%& ! 1&8*' 8'3%(& 91!"2 !3%8%)1"!!.


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• S'#$% ! 7(08(%


46/59


• S'#$% ! 7(08(%


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• S'#$% ! 7(08(%• O& (&'!%& ! '"!#$% "1!"2% &((& !

1&8*' 91!"2& ! 3%8%)1"!! +%(8"!"& 7( 2! ("' '% 8 2! 2%1!"#$%! 18 8 2! >7("81%/

• O& 8%!'%& ! 1&8*' "8%& 7( ("'IDH 8 2! 2%1!"#$% ! 18 +%(8

12%1(!%& ( % 8&8% 8K%!% ! "1)(#$%, &9&"2 8!"1.

• O& 8%!'%& ! 1&8*' IDN 7( 2! 2%1!"#$%! 18 +%(8 12%1(!%& 8 2%87("'3( 8&8 K21"2 ! "1)(#$%, +((81 !8%1)8 (%*&.


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• S'#$% ! 7(08(%• E8 2! 2%1!"#$% ! 18, 1&8*'& "!"&

7( 8*%& IDH IDN 2%87("'3(8 % 8&8%18(% ! 1(1"%& %2'%&. N% 2&% ! 2%1!"#$%&8 11&, "!"& IDH IDN 1&8*'& 8 1(1"%& %2'%& 7%( 28! &2%1!"!,11% '& 8 1(1"%& %2'%& 7%(28! &2%1!"! 1 2%1!"#$% 1*'!%/

• A& &"8"& !%& !!%& ! & !%& !%"&8%!'%& +%(8 2%8*"1!& 7( 2("( &&"8"& )1('"4!&.


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50/59


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• R&'!%& !%& &&• O& 8%!'%& '"!!%& ! 1&8*' 1& !&

>7("12"& 8%&((8 ('"81!&8713% 8'3%(!% 1!% 7'"2!% &%*( %&!!%& ! &/


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• R&'!%& !%& &&• A &9&"2 8K!", &9&"2 8!"1,

+((81 ! Q& (%*&% &(" 2%8% "!"&+((81& ! "1)(#$% ! &*1&8*'&.

• E8*%( %& 8%!'%& ! 1&8*' IDH 1%& !%"&>7("81%& %*"(8 8'3%( '%(& ! (RMSE^ (MBE !% %& (&'!%& ! (+(12", >"&"

8 7!($% ! &*&"8#$% 8 8"%( IDH '%(& ! IDN.

• % 18(% ! 1(1"%& &2%1!"!%& 8 %!%& %&2%1Q1%& 7(%7%&%& +%" 81%( !% 1%& 8%!'%&! (+(12" &)("!%&.


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• R&'!%& !%& &&• +%" >7'"2"81 !8%1&(!% K21"2 !

(8%&()8 7(%7%& 7%&&" 1)8.• % >7("81% &!% 1% &)1!% &8

7(%7%(2"%1% %& 8'3%(& (&'!%& 7( %!& &(""&-'%.

• O& 8%!'%& G-EANN +%(8 %*"!%& 7%( 8"% !

"1)(#$% !%& !%"& 8'3%(& 1&8*'& 7( IDH IDN 8 2! 2%1!"#$% ! 18.


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RESULTADOS E DISCUSSÕES• R&'!%& !%& &&

• C%87(#$% !%& !&8713%& 7( %& 8%!'%& ! 1&8*'7(%7%&%& 8%!'%& )1('"4!%& 2%8 %& (&'!%& !*1238( 7( 2! 2&% ! "((!"012" 7( 2! +%(8 !18.


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• R&'!%& !%& &&• T"& !"&2(7012"& 1( %& '%(& 8!"!%&

&"8!%& 7%!(" &( !"!% %& 7">'& 8'2'&&"2!%&, ((%& ! "1&(81% 5((% 1&8!"#&6, 11& &7(&&, & '"8"#& !%&!!%& ! ("181%.


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CONCLUSÕES

• E& (")% 7(%7 "'"4#$% ! RNA1&8*' 7( &"8( %& 2%87%11& !

"((!"012" &%'(, IDH, IDN, IGH.• O*&(#& 8 !"+(1& 2%1!"#& !

11& 5'"( ! 11& 1*'!%&6, 7(IDH, IDN, IGH, +%(8 2%1&"!(!& 2%8%

!%"& &!%& ! 2&% &7(!%&.• E8 2! &!% ! 2&%, !%"& 8%!'%& RNAE

+%(8 ("1!%&/ 8 8%!'% 7( 7(( IDH %(% 7( 7(!"4( IDN.


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CONCLUSÕES

• A IGH 2%((&7%1!1 K &"8!, 8 2! &!%! 2&%, 2'2'! 7("( ! &"8"& ! IDH IDN.

• U8 &)1!% &"&8 ('"4 (1&+%(8#$%B%>-C%> 8 %!& & (""& !% &!% K7(%7%&% 7( (&%'( %& 7(%*'8& 2%8&7(&"8#$%;&*&"8#$% ! '%(& >(8%&.

• O& (&'!%& !%& 8%!'%& 7(%7%&%& +%(82%87(!%& 2%8 %& (&'!%& !%& 8%!'%& ! 8&!% 1("%( 8 8'3%( 272"!! !!&8713% )1('"4#$% !%& 8%!'%& !7("&$% 7( &% 8 8781% &%'( +%"

%*&(!% 1%& E8"(!%& Á(*& U1"!%&.


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CONCLUSÕES

• E& (*'3% 7%! &( 2%1"1!% '"( 8%!'%&! RNAE "12%(7%(8 % 2%12"% ! 91!"2& )'%*"&! 8"&( )1('"4! 'K8 ! '"( 8%!'%&

RNAE 2%1( !"+(1& 813%& !%& 1&8*'&.E& >71&$% %' ! (8%&()8 7(%7%& 7%!&( "1)(! 1 +& ! ("181% !% 21!"!%RNAE (K& ! "87'81#$% ! 8 ')%("8% !("181% 8"& )(' & 7%! )1('"4( 8"&

!% %& 7(08(%& RNA. A 8%!%'%)" 7%! &(&1!"! 7( & >7("12"& !"2"%1"&, 8 &(""& !% 8%!'% 7%!8 &( "1! (!& (""& >7'1("& !"2"%1"& 7%!8 &("1(%!4"!%& 7( >7'"2( &*&"8" >"&1

1& &"8"& ! ')8& !& (""&-'%.


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REFERÊNCIAS

M%388! H. A'%*"!", P(&313 R. M(7, T3 B. M. J. O(! 1!H%&1" G3!"(. M77"1) %+ 3 S%'( I((!"12 "1 3 UAE U&"1)A!12! A("2"' N(' N]%( E1&8*'. I1 IEEE J%(1' %+S'2! T%7"2& "1 A77'"! E(3 O*&("%1& 1! R8% S1&"1),%'. , 1%. , A)%&% ! . 7.

• V"''1, :. J. P. C%8" ! M"1& 8 P(!"#$% ! SK("& T87%("&. 7. T& - P&-)(!#$% ! F2'!! ! E1)13("E'K("2 ! C%87#$% ! U1"(&"!! E&!' ! C87"1&.

C87"1&, .• H_"1, S"8%1. R!& N("& P("1297"%& 7("2. T(!. P'%

M("1& E1)'. ` !. P%(% A')( B%%81, . W 7.

Rede Neural Artificial Ensemble aplicada à estimativa de radiação solar

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