Record Global Supplies for Wheat and Rice · Ukraine has established a wheat grain export quota for...
Transcript of Record Global Supplies for Wheat and Rice · Ukraine has established a wheat grain export quota for...
United States Department of Agriculture Foreign Agricultural Service
Grain: World Markets and Trade
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April 2020
Record Global Supplies for Wheat and Rice In the wake of COVID-19, concerns have emerged over food security. Some countries have placed trade-restrictive measures, while others have issued tenders for more purchases. Consequently, prices have rallied for both wheat and rice, even though global supplies are at record levels and the share of stocks to consumption is historically high. Wheat: Global wheat production is estimated at a record high in 2019/20. Major producers such as China, the European Union, India, Russia, and the United States have produced at levels that are more than sufficient to meet rising global demand. Furthermore, wheat harvests in major producing countries in the Northern Hemisphere are only a few months away. Wheat ending stocks are also projected at a record with China holding about half of global stocks. Furthermore, India, the world’s third-largest producer, has ending stocks projected at a 7-year high on several consecutive years of bumper crops. The top eight global wheat exporters1 hold about 20 percent of global stocks. Although these exporter ending stocks are projected to tighten in 2019/20, they are at sufficient levels to support forecast trade. Rice: Although several regions’ production levels are down year-over-year, a bumper 2019/20 global rice harvest is still expected, with production just around half a percent lower from the prior year record. Southeast Asian production is down on the effects of drought in the region, particularly in Thailand and Vietnam. China’s production was down slightly, but the government has been encouraging the early planting of rice for the 2020/21 crop. Western Hemisphere production is lower primarily due to the reduced U.S. crop last summer. Partially offsetting these declines is a larger crop in India, the second-largest producer. Even with lower production, overall supplies are up from the prior year because of record carryin stocks. Stocks are particularly high in China and India, both major exporters. Despite the current tumultuous market and some production declines in Southeast Asia, 2019/20 ending stocks are still forecast 3 percent higher than 2018/19 ending stocks. Although some trade-restrictive measures have been put in place, global wheat and rice supplies are at record levels and are large enough to meet global demand.
1 Major Exporters: Argentina, Australia, Canada, the European Union, Kazakhstan, Russia, Ukraine, and the United States.
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TABLE OF CONTENTS
World Markets and Trade: Commodities and Data
WHEAT ....................................................................................................... 3
RICE ........................................................................................................... 9
COARSE GRAINS .................................................................................... 13
ENDNOTES .............................................................................................. 17
DATA TABLES ......................................................................................... 20
The Foreign Agricultural Service (FAS) updates its production, supply and distribution (PSD) database for cotton, oilseeds, and grains at 12:00 p.m. on the day the World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) report is released. This circular is released by 12:15 p.m. To download the tables in the publication, go to Production, Supply and Distribution Database (PSD Online): scroll down to Reports, and then click Grains.
FAS Reports and Databases: Current World Markets and Trade and World Agricultural Production Reports Archived World Markets and Trade and World Agricultural Production Reports Production, Supply and Distribution Database (PSD Online) Global Agricultural Trade System (U.S. Exports and Imports) Export Sales Report Global Agricultural Information Network (Agricultural Attaché Reports) Other USDA Reports: World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) Economic Research Service National Agricultural Statistics Service
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 2 April 2020Global Market Analysis
WHEAT
WHEAT PRICES Domestic: Prices for most U.S. wheat classes were up during the month of March, supported by strong domestic demand and large Hard Red Winter (HRW) sales to China. With the continued spread of COVID-19, consumers stocked up on wheat products, providing a boost to nearby wheat prices. HRW soared $18/ton to $240. Soft Red Winter (SRW) jumped $10/ton to $249 as supplies remain extremely tight. By the end of the month, HRW and SRW prices had eased back slightly from the highs reached several days earlier. Hard Red Spring (HRS) increased $6/ton to $262. On the other hand, Soft White Winter (SWW) declined $1/ton to $232, pressured by a weakening pace of export sales.
OVERVIEW FOR 2019/20 Global production is virtually unchanged, while global consumption is lowered mainly on reduced food, seed, and industrial (FSI) use in India as well as decreased feed and residual use in China and the European Union. Global trade is slightly lower with smaller imports for Japan, Brazil, and Uzbekistan. Higher exports for the European Union are expected to offset reduced shipments from Russia. U.S. exports are lowered slightly, and the projected U.S. season-average farm price is raised $0.05 per bushel to $4.60.
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U.S. Daily FOB Export Bids
HRW SRW SWW HRS
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 3 April 2020Global Market Analysis
Global: All major exporter prices rose during the month of March, underpinned by rumors of potential market scarcity. Discussions surrounding potential export restrictions and stockpiling by importers supported prices. Russia’s prices jumped based on tightening domestic availability and expectations of upcoming export restrictions; however, gains were capped by a weakening ruble. EU prices spiked even further with strong demand continuing. U.S. HRW skyrocketed, diminishing its competitiveness with Russia and the EU. Canada’s prices increased only slightly, now reaching parity with HRW after holding a premium for several months. Canada’s transportation bottlenecks are starting to lessen which could encourage a stronger pace of shipments in subsequent months. Argentina and Australia saw their prices rise even further with seasonally tightening supplies.
Month Ending Argentina Australia Russia EU US Canada
January $240 $282 $228 $217 $230 $248
February $245 $266 $214 $209 $222 $238
March $248 $277 $224 $223 $240 $240 Month Ending Prices for Major Wheat Exporters Source: IGC *Note on FOB prices: Argentina- 12.0%, up river; Australia- average of APW; Fremantle, Newcastle, and Port Adelaide; Russia - Black Sea- milling; EU- France grade 1, Rouen; US- HRW 11.5% Gulf; Canada- CWRS (13.5%), Vancouver
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Argentina Australia Russia Canada EU United States
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 4 April 2020Global Market Analysis
MARKET FEATURE
Impacts of COVID-19 Export Restrictions on Wheat Trade
As concerns grow for the global pandemic, COVID-19, food security and supplies of staple food grains have become a global focus. Despite sufficient global supplies and the upcoming harvest season (discussed on the cover), several key exporters have put in place various forms of trade restrictions in order to increase domestic food security. In particular, Russia, Ukraine, and Kazakhstan have each imposed export restrictions for wheat (among other commodities) for the months of April to June 2020, creating near-term regional and global supply concerns. Export Restrictions: Russia has an export quota that limits its total grain exports to countries outside of the Eurasian Economic Union2 (EAEU) to a total of 7 million tons for wheat, corn, barley, and rye through June 2020. Russia has exported over 28 million tons of wheat to date3 and is expected to export about 5 million tons during the quota period. With corn, barley, and rye exports projected at approximately 2 million tons during this period, total projected grain exports will not exceed the established quota. Ukraine has established a wheat grain export quota for the current trade year of 20.2 million tons. To date3, Ukraine has exported approximately 18 million tons of wheat. USDA’s forecast of 20.5 million tons, which includes wheat flour, leaves approximately 2.5 million tons for exports in the remaining 3 months of the year. Kazakhstan had initially established an export ban on wheat flour but quickly cancelled the ban and imposed a monthly export quota. Beginning this month, Kazakhstan will allow a maximum monthly quota of 200,000 tons of wheat and 70,000 tons of wheat flour for export. Despite these export restrictions, USDA’s forecasts for Ukraine and Kazakhstan remain unchanged due to faster-than-average pace of exports during the first 3 quarters of 2019/20 which are offset by slower-than-anticipated export volumes during the final quarter. Russia’s exports are lowered on slower pace
2 EAEU members: Armenia, Belarus, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Russia 3 Trade year to date: June 2019 to March 2020, February and March 2020 are estimated.
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Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 5 April 2020Global Market Analysis
over recent months and reduced trade anticipated in the fourth quarter. Conversely, EU wheat has become price competitive with ample supplies leading to a massive surge in exports to date. The European Union is expected to continue its higher-than-average exports in the final quarter, on par with Russia as the top global wheat exporter. Optimism for the end of its 3-year drought has another major supplier, Australia, dipping into its stocks with greater-than-anticipated exports. Impacts on Major Import Markets
Russia and Ukraine are major exporters to price-sensitive markets such as Indonesia, Egypt, Bangladesh, and Turkey, which are easily able to shift to other suppliers. Indonesia, the world’s second-largest importer, has diversified its suppliers and can easily shift imports to a variety of other exporters such as Australia, which was historically its largest supplier. Egypt, the largest wheat importer globally, sources most of its supplies from Russia and Ukraine, but also imports from the European Union when prices are competitive. Similarly, Bangladesh imports mostly from Russia and Ukraine but also sources from a variety of other exporters, such as the United States and Canada. Turkey is also a major importer of Russian wheat. Its exuberant import pace during the first 3 quarters has boosted its stocks and fueled its flour exports (see next article for details). As a landlocked country, Kazakhstan has become a major supplier to the region, particularly to Uzbekistan, Afghanistan, and Tajikistan, which rely heavily on Kazakh wheat and wheat flour. With Kazakhstan’s monthly export volume restricted to 200,000 tons in wheat (grain) and 70,000 tons in flour, these markets could face a potential shortage and will have to look to nearby suppliers such as Turkey for flour and the European Union for wheat. Imports for Uzbekistan and Tajikistan are revised down on slower pace to date and potential trade restrictions imposed by Kazakhstan. Regulations Evolving: Amidst the rapidly evolving global situation, COVID-19 has created a global concern for domestic food security and pricing surges. However, current global supplies of wheat and wheat products are more than ample with larger, competitively priced EU shipments offsetting Russia’s reduced exports.
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Turkey
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Major Importer SourceJul 2019 to Jan 2020
Russia
Ukraine
Canada
EU
U.S.
Other
Uzbekistan38%
Afghanistan22%
Tajikistan16%
Russia8%
Others16%
Kazakhstan Export Markets
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 6 April 2020Global Market Analysis
Turkey’s Wheat Imports Skyrocketing Amid Growing Demand, Smaller Crop
Turkey’s wheat imports are projected to surge by more than 60 percent in 2019/20 to a record 10.5 million tons. More than 75 percent of this projection is already accounted for by trade data complete for June-February. Robust imports are driven by stronger consumption, tighter domestic supplies, and changes in government policy. In recent years, demand in Turkey has trended higher with the presence of a large number of Syrian refugees who are highly reliant on basic staples such as bread. Furthermore, with negative GDP growth recently (pre-COVID) and purchasing power reduced, consumption of staples such as bread and pasta is rising. Coupled with lower domestic production, that growth in demand created a surge in imports. Turkey is also a major exporter of flour and pasta with export demand record-large this year. Its Inward Processing Regime (IPR) allows for the importation of wheat duty-free if it is to be processed and re-exported. With import policies guided by downstream export demand, it is typical for Turkey’s imports to mirror its exports, in terms of total wheat-equivalent volume. For 2019/20, however, Turkey’s imports are expected to greatly exceed exports because of active purchasing by Turkey’s grain board (known as TMO). TMO reduced its domestic procurement when market prices rose due to a smaller crop and the depreciation of the Turkish lira. To contain prices, TMO has imported several million tons of wheat duty-free. Even with stronger domestic use and exports, Turkey is still expected to maintain an elevated level of stocks this year due to the aggressive pace of TMO’s imports.4
4 For more information, see the Turkey Grain and Feed Annual report located here.
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TRADE CHANGES IN 2019/20 (1,000 MT) Country Attribute Previous Current Change Reason
Australia Exports 8200 8,500 300 Fast pace of exports
European Union Exports 32,000 33,500 1,500 Strong trade to date; reduced competition from Russia
Russia Exports 35,000 33,500 -1,500 Slow export pace; April to June 2020 export restrictions
United States Exports 27,500 27,100 -400 Slowing pace of export sales
Brazil Imports 7,300 7,100 -200 Domestic demand reduced in light of high prices (weak domestic currency)5
Japan Imports 5,900 5,600 -300 Reduced domestic demand
Morocco Imports 4,800 5,100 300 Expectations of brisk demand in light of a smaller expected upcoming (2020/21) crop6
Uzbekistan Imports 3,000 2,700 -300 Slow trade to date; Kazakhstan export restrictions7
5 For more information, see the Brazil Grain and Feed Annual report: https://www.fas.usda.gov/data/brazil-grain-and-feed-annual-6 6 For more information, see the Morocco Grain and Feed Annual report: https://www.fas.usda.gov/data/morocco-grain-and-feed-annual-3 7 Kazakhstan exports remain unchanged due to faster-than-average pace of exports in the first 3 quarters of 2019/20 which are offset by the April-June 2020 export restriction.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 8 April 2020Global Market Analysis
RICE
RICE PRICES Global: Since the March WASDE, Thai 100B quotes rose sharply to $582/ton, reflecting concerns about exportable supplies amid drought. These are the highest quotes in 7 years. Vietnam has banned its exports, but its most recent quote increased to $435/ton. Meanwhile, Indian quotes were most recently at $352/ton, though the country’s current lockdown status has made it challenging to export and reportedly very little is moving at the ports. Pakistani quotes spiked to $418/ton showing the combined impacts of lockdowns and logistical challenges. U.S. quotes have also risen to the highest level in 7 years, $660/ton on increasingly tight supplies both domestically and globally. Uruguayan quotes have remained at $515/ton as South American harvests are beginning.
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Weekly FOB Long Grain Rice Export Quotes: Last 12 Months
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OVERVIEW FOR 2019/20 Global rice production is reduced further this month particularly on smaller crops in Burma, Cambodia, Vietnam, Thailand, and the Philippines. Global trade is also cut on reduced demand from Saudi Arabia and Nigeria. Exports are lowered based on bans placed by Vietnam and Cambodia, and an export quota established by Burma.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 9 April 2020Global Market Analysis
MARKET FEATURE
Rice Trade Contracting Amid Exporter Restrictions Global rice exports are forecast to
decline nearly 2 percent to less than 43
million tons in 2020, the lowest in 4
years. This is largely due to export
restrictions recently announced by
some Southeast Asian countries and
the impact of lockdown policies in
numerous countries amid the COVID-
19 pandemic.
Most notable among the rice export
bans is Vietnam, the third-largest
global exporter since 2013. The Prime
Minister has banned exports, despite
requests by exporters and domestic
industry to remove or lessen the restrictions. The industry has expressed concern that restricting
exports could lead to lower domestic prices and reduced the incentive for producing rice in upcoming
crop cycles during this year.
Cambodia has also implemented a ban on the export of paddy and non-fragrant white rice, though
fragrant rice exports are still allowed. The bulk of Cambodia’s paddy exports are to neighboring Vietnam
and Thailand. China and the European Union are key import markets for its fragrant and white rice.
India Thailand Vietnam Pakistan ChinaUnitedStates
Burma Cambodia
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2020 10.5 7.5 6.3 4.4 3.4 3.2 2.2 0.9
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Meanwhile, Burma, the seventh-largest exporter, has not officially banned exports but the issuance of
new export licenses has been suspended. It has implemented an export quota at 100,000 tons per
month, less than half of the average export volume last year.
The second-largest exporter, Thailand, has fewer exportable supplies this year amid a drought that
resulted in a much smaller dry season crop, so its 2020 exports are forecast to be slightly lower than last
year. It has not placed any official restrictions, but its export prices have escalated to 7-year highs as
other Southeast Asian suppliers have imposed bans.
Even as Southeast Asian exports are forecast to drop, other regions are expected to benefit in this
environment. The top exporter, India, is forecast to produce a bumper crop in 2019/20 and its record
high stocks are more than three times the desired buffer levels. In fact, its record supplies could help
supply the world amid Southeast Asian exporters’ constraints. However, logistical challenges due to its
lockdown are expected to lead to reduced monthly trade in the near term. In addition, China has ample
supplies, has emerged as a large exporter at very competitive prices, and is expected to gain additional
market share this year. Exports from the United States are also expected to be up this year with a larger
crop forecast this summer based on the recent Prospective Plantings report.
While lower trade is largely exporter-driven, import demand has also been disrupted by the COVID-19
pandemic. For instance, Saudi Arabia has prohibited pilgrims from visiting its religious sites, which is
expected to lead to a decline in import demand.
In response to the trade restrictions in Southeast Asia, prices have escalated for those that are still
suppliers. Because only 9 percent of global rice production is traded in international markets, the
reduction in the number of suppliers has an immediate impact on prices, leaving importers with fewer
options from which to source. The higher prices are expected to reduce purchases from price-sensitive
markets, particularly in Sub-Saharan Africa. The global situation is dynamic because of the pandemic,
with policies rapidly changing and prices shifting in response.
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Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 11 April 2020Global Market Analysis
TRADE CHANGES IN 2020 (1,000 MT)
Country Attribute Previous Current Change Reason
Cote d’Ivoire Imports
1,450
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Cuba Imports 600 500 -100 Disruption of trade with Vietnam
Nigeria Imports 1,500
1,200 -300 Higher international prices and more limited purchasing power
Saudi Arabia Imports 1,450
1,100 -350 Fewer foreign visitors to religious sites and fewer public gatherings
Senegal Imports 1,050 950 -100 Higher international prices and challenges to logistics
Burma Exports 2,700 2,200 -500
Smaller crop, establishment of an export quota, and suspension of new export licenses
Cambodia Exports 1,400 900 -500 Export ban on paddy and white milled rice amid reduced production
Vietnam Exports 7,000 6,300 -700 Lower exportable supplies and implementation of export ban
Note: Ethiopia has been added to the database, beginning in 2015/16.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 12 April 2020Global Market Analysis
COARSE GRAINS
CORN PRICES Global: Since the March WASDE, U.S. bids are down noticeably by $17/ton to $160 as gasoline and ethanol demand have plummeted under COVID-19 containment measures, though prices inched up until the March 31 NASS release of Prospective Plantings and Grain Stocks. Despite riding along with U.S. bids over the last several weeks, Argentine bids are down $3/ton to $169 and Black Sea bids are up $2/ton to $180, both ending the period little changed. Brazilian bids remain seasonally unavailable.
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OVERVIEW FOR 2019/20 Global corn production is forecast up with larger crops in the European Union and Belarus more than offsetting reductions for Indonesia and Laos. Global trade is up marginally from last month with higher imports for Indonesia, South Korea, and Turkey. Exports for Argentina and the European Union are higher, more than offsetting a reduction for Russia. The U.S. season-average farm price is down $0.20 to $3.60 per bushel.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 13 April 2020Global Market Analysis
MARKET FEATURES U.S. Corn Exports to South Korea Plummet in First Half of 2019/20
South Korea is a top five destination for U.S. corn exports. However, accumulated exports through Week 30 of MY 2019/20 (Sep – Aug) are the second lowest in the last 20 years, even lower than the drought-affected 2012/13 year. The one-two punch of a difficult U.S. planting and harvesting year coupled with greater South American corn availability at lower prices has become a familiar story by now, but the effects are particularly noticeable here. South Korean data tells a similar story: of the 5.2 million tons of corn imported between October 2019 and February 2020, less than 1 percent was of U.S. origin. Exportable corn supplies from South America are seasonally tight, opening a small window for U.S. corn sales. The U.S. share of South Korea’s corn imports could improve in the second half of the marketing year as price-sensitive buyers in South Korea would turn to competitively priced feed grains. Currently, U.S. corn is very price competitive (see Selected Export Bids on the prior page) as COVID-19 containment measures in the United States have curtailed gasoline and ethanol demand. Additional corn demand is also expected from reduced feed-quality wheat imports as wheat prices have risen over the past month.
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South Africa Corn Exports to Rebound in 2019/20
South Africa corn exports are forecast at more than double last year’s level supported by abundant supplies and strong demand in neighboring countries. The depreciation of the rand, which has lost about 30 percent in value against the U.S. dollar since January, could further stimulate sales to both nearby and other countries in the global market. Continued favorable conditions throughout the growing season have sharply boosted prospects for the crop. The production forecast at 16.0 million tons will be the second largest on record, if realized. The price movement also reflects anticipation of abundant supplies in the domestic market. Yellow corn prices have dropped 18 percent ($34/ton) since January to $160/ton8, the lowest since July 2018, while the decline for white corn has been modest due to relatively tight nearby stocks. Typically, a little over half of the crop grown in the country is white corn, predominately used for food. South Africa has been the perennial supplier of white corn to neighboring countries. Prospects for exports appear bright as corn crops in neighboring countries, mainly Angola, Botswana, Eswatini, Zambia, and Zimbabwe, suffer from persistent drought. Yellow corn, used mostly for feed, has reached markets in Asia and Latin America in those occasional years when exportable supplies were abundant.
8 Wholesale prices at Randfontein; GIEWS FPMA tool, Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations
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Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 15 April 2020Global Market Analysis
TRADE CHANGES IN 2019/20 (1,000 MT)
Country Commodity Attribute Previous Current Change Reason
Algeria Corn Imports 4,500 4,700 200 Large purchases from Argentina and Ukraine
Argentina Corn Exports 34,500 35,000 500 Strong shipments for the Jan-Mar period
China Sorghum Imports 1,300 2,700 1,400 Strong U.S. sales and shipments
Cuba Corn Imports 700 500 -200 Slow pace of trade
European Union Corn Exports 2,900 3,600 700 Fast pace of trade
Indonesia Corn Imports 800 1,000 200 Smaller crop
Jordan Barley Imports 900 300 -600 Limited purchases from Russia to date
Mexico Corn Imports 17,500 17,300 -200 Slow pace of trade
Russia Barley Exports 4,600 4,100 -500 Planned export
restrictions; slow trade Corn Exports 4,700 4,200 -500
South Korea Corn Imports 10,800 11,400 600 Offset lower wheat feeding
Taiwan Corn Imports 4,300 4,000 -300 Moderated feed demand; larger prior year stocks
Tunisia Barley Imports 500 300 -200 Slow pace to date
Turkey Corn Imports 3,000 3,500 500 Large sales based on the EU surveillance data
United States Sorghum Exports 3,400 4,700 1,300 Sales and shipments to date
Vietnam Corn Imports 11,500 11,100 -400 Weak Feb/Mar imports
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 16 April 2020Global Market Analysis
ENDNOTES
REGIONAL TABLES North America: Canada, Mexico, the United States Central America: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, Panama Caribbean: Anguilla, Antigua and Barbuda, Aruba, Bahamas, Barbados, Bermuda, British Virgin Islands, Cayman Islands, Cuba, Dominica, Dominican Republic, French West Indies, Grenada, Guadeloupe, Haiti, Jamaica and Dep, Leeward-Windward Islands, Martinique, Montserrat, Netherlands Antilles, Puerto Rico, Kitts and Nevis, St. Lucia, St. Vincent and the Grenadines, Trinidad and Tobago, Turks and Caicos Islands, U.S. Virgin Islands South America: Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Falkland Islands (Islas Malvinas), French Guiana, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela EU: includes countries in the customs union, including the UK (Austria, Belgium/Luxembourg, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czech Republic, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Ireland, Italy, Latvia, Lithuania, Malta, Netherlands, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, United Kingdom) Other Europe: Albania, Azores, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Former Yugoslavia, Gibraltar, Iceland, Macedonia, Montenegro, Norway, Serbia, Switzerland Former Soviet Union: Armenia, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Georgia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Moldova, Russia, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Ukraine, Uzbekistan Middle East: Bahrain, Iran, Iraq, Israel, Jordan, Kuwait, Lebanon, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Syria, Turkey, United Arab Emirates, Yemen North Africa: Algeria, Egypt, Libya, Morocco, Tunisia Sub-Saharan Africa: all African countries except North Africa East Asia: China, Hong Kong, Japan, South Korea, North Korea, Macau, Mongolia, Taiwan South Asia: Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Bhutan, India, Nepal, Pakistan, Sri Lanka, Maldives Southeast Asia: Brunei, Burma, Cambodia, Indonesia, Laos, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, Vietnam Oceania: Australia, Fiji, New Zealand, Papua New Guinea
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 17 April 2020Global Market Analysis
OTHER NOTES Local Marketing Years (LMY): LMY refers to the 12-month period at the onset of the main harvest, when the crop is marketed (i.e., consumed, traded, or stored). The year first listed begins a country's LMY for that commodity (2019/20 starts in 2019); except for summer grains in certain Southern Hemisphere countries and for rice in selected countries, where the second year begins the LMY (2019/20 starts in 2020). Key exporter LMY’s are:
Wheat Corn Barley Sorghum
Argentina (Dec/Nov) Argentina (Mar/Feb) Australia (Nov/Oct) Argentina (Mar/Feb)
Australia (Oct/Sep) Brazil (Mar/Feb) Canada (Aug/Jul) Australia (Mar/Feb)
Canada (Aug/Jul) Russia (Oct/Sep) European Union (Jul/Jun) United States (Sep/Aug)
China (Jul/Jun) South Africa (May/Apr) Kazakhstan (Jul/Jun)
European Union (Jul/Jun) Ukraine (Oct/Sep) Russia (Jul/Jun)
India (Apr/Mar) United States (Sep/Aug) Ukraine (Jul/Jun)
Kazakhstan (Sep/Aug) United States (Jun/May)
Russia (Jul/Jun)
Turkey (Jun/May)
Ukraine (Jul/Jun)
United States (Jun/May)
For a complete list of local marketing years, please see the FAS website (https://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/): go to Reports, Reference Data, and then Data Availability. Stocks: Unless otherwise stated, stock data are based on an aggregate of differing local marketing years and should not be construed as representing world stock levels at a fixed point in time. Consumption: World totals for consumption reflect total utilization, including food, seed, industrial, feed, and waste; as well as differences in local marketing year imports and local marketing year exports. Consumption statistics for regions and individual countries, however, reflect food, seed, industrial, feed, and waste only. Trade: All PSD tables are balanced on the different local marketing years. All trade tables contain Trade Year (TY) data which puts all countries on a uniform, 12-month period for analytical comparisons: wheat is July/June; coarse grains, corn, barley, sorghum, oats, and rye are Oct/Sept; and rice is calendar year. EU Consolidation: The trade figures starting from 1999/00 represent the European Union (EU27 plus UK) and exclude all intra-trade. For the years 1960/61 through 1998/99, figures are the EU-15 and also exclude all intra-trade. EU-15 member states' data for grains are no longer maintained in the official USDA database. Data for the individual NMS-10, plus Bulgaria, Romania, and Croatia, exists only prior to 1999/00. Statistics: (1) Wheat trade statistics include wheat, flour, and selected pasta products on a grain equivalent basis. (2) Rice trade statistics include rough, brown, milled, and broken on a milled equivalent basis. (3) Coarse grains statistics include corn, barley, sorghum, oats, rye, millet, and mixed grains but exclude trade in barley malt, millet, and mixed grains.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 18 April 2020Global Market Analysis
Unaccounted: This term includes grain in transit, reporting discrepancies in some countries, and trade to countries outside the USDA database. The Global Commodity Analysis Division, Global Market Analysis, Foreign Agricultural Service, USDA, Washington, DC 20250, prepared this publication. Information is gathered from official statistics of foreign governments and other foreign source materials, reports of U.S. agricultural attachés and Foreign Service officers, office research, and related information. Further information may be obtained by writing the Division or telephoning (202) 720-3448. Note: For further details on world grain production, please see World Agricultural Production April 2020. This publication is available in its entirety on the Internet via the Foreign Agricultural Service Home Page. The address is: http://www.fas.usda.gov
Andrew Sowell (202) 720-0262 [email protected] Wheat Jennifer Boun (202) 690-2208 [email protected] Wheat Rachel Trego (202) 720-1073 [email protected] Wheat/Rice Jane Luxner (202) 720-8252 [email protected] Rice Yoonhee Macke (202) 690-4199 [email protected] Coarse Grains Kevin Min (202) 720-0626 [email protected] Coarse Grains Jenny Morgan (202) 720-1743 [email protected] Coarse Grains
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 19 April 2020Global Market Analysis
DATA TABLES
Page Intentionally Left Blank
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 20 April 2020Global Market Analysis
All Grain Summary Comparison
Million Metric Tons
Marketing Year
Wheat Rice, Milled Corn
2019/202018/192017/182019/202018/192017/182019/202018/192017/18
Production
United States (Jun-May) 47.4 51.3 52.3 5.7 7.1 5.9 371.1 364.3 347.8
Other 715.5 680.2 712.2 489.2 492.0 490.2 709.0 759.3 765.2
World Total 762.9 731.5 764.5 494.9 499.1 496.1 1,080.1 1,123.6 1,113.0
Domestic Consumption
United States (Jun-May) 29.3 30.0 31.3 4.3 4.6 4.2 314.0 310.5 308.4
Other 711.2 704.0 716.0 477.7 481.2 485.0 778.1 815.8 825.5
World Total 740.5 734.0 747.3 482.0 485.8 489.2 1,092.1 1,126.3 1,133.9
Ending Stocks
United States (Jun-May) 29.9 29.4 26.4 0.9 1.4 0.9 54.4 56.4 53.1
Other 253.8 248.7 266.4 161.6 174.3 180.7 287.2 264.5 250.1
World Total 283.7 278.1 292.8 162.5 175.7 181.6 341.6 320.9 303.2
TY Imports
United States (Jun-May) 4.4 3.5 2.9 0.9 1.0 1.0 0.8 0.8 1.2
Other 175.7 167.5 177.3 45.2 40.5 39.9 148.2 163.5 168.6
World Total 180.1 171.0 180.2 46.1 41.5 40.9 149.0 164.3 169.8
TY Exports
United States (Jun-May) 23.2 26.1 27.1 2.8 3.1 3.2 63.7 49.2 47.0
Other 160.8 149.3 156.4 44.9 40.4 39.6 89.1 122.7 127.1
World Total 184.0 175.4 183.5 47.7 43.5 42.8 152.8 171.9 174.1
Note: Consumption in this table has not been adjusted for differences in marketing year imports and
exports and therefore differs from global totals shown elsewhere.Marketing years for U.S. grains are:
Wheat (Jun-May), Rice (Aug-Jul), Corn (Sep-Aug).'Marketing Year' column is germane for U.S. wheat
only.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 21 April 2020Global Market Analysis
World Wheat, Flour, and Products Trade
July/June Year, Thousand Metric Tons
2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20
Mar
2019/20
Apr
none
TY Exports
13,50013,50012,68014,00012,2758,750 Argentina
8,5008,2009,83515,51222,06115,780 Australia
23,00023,00024,47622,01920,29722,099 Canada
1,0001,1001,0061,004748729 China
33,50032,00023,31023,38327,43934,760 European Union
6,0006,0008,7808,5197,2577,413 Kazakhstan
1,1001,1005261,1471,1191,568 Mexico
33,50035,00035,83841,43127,81525,546 Russia
6,8006,8006,2156,2186,1775,605 Turkey
20,50020,50016,01917,77518,10717,431 Ukraine
9,0069,40610,6189,7669,82310,246 Others
156,406156,606149,303160,774153,118149,927 Subtotal
27,10027,50026,06923,22629,31821,817 United States
183,506184,106175,372184,000182,436171,744 World Total
none
TY Imports
3,0003,0003,7003,3002,7002,700 Afghanistan
6,5006,5007,5158,1728,4148,153 Algeria
6,5006,5005,1006,4725,5564,720 Bangladesh
7,1007,3007,4426,7027,7885,922 Brazil
4,0004,0003,1453,9374,4103,476 China
2,0002,0001,7031,9572,1102,032 Colombia
12,50012,50012,34712,40711,17511,925 Egypt
4,8004,8005,7625,8245,2996,928 European Union
11,00011,00010,93410,76310,19010,045 Indonesia
2,5002,5003,9154,1582,4742,248 Iraq
5,6005,9005,7265,8765,9115,715 Japan
2,3002,3002,0002,1581,7741,634 Kenya
4,1004,1003,9084,2694,6674,420 Korea, South
5,2005,2004,8615,2455,3704,805 Mexico
5,1004,8003,7243,6725,3444,496 Morocco
5,1005,1004,5855,1624,9724,410 Nigeria
2,1002,1002,1092,0301,9611,879 Peru
7,3007,3007,5466,0595,7084,919 Philippines
3,2003,2002,8983,4493,7162,931 Saudi Arabia
2,6002,6002,2222,5802,4582,022 Sudan
3,3003,3002,8993,1734,0644,691 Thailand
10,50010,5006,4945,9164,5533,979 Turkey
2,7003,0002,8373,1192,5962,662 Uzbekistan
3,5003,5003,1494,7095,5353,069 Vietnam
3,8003,8003,6753,0103,2783,332 Yemen
50,98350,95647,25251,59454,41351,826 Others
177,283177,756167,448175,713176,436164,939 Subtotal
3,3233,4504,4213,9122,7073,750 Unaccounted
2,9002,9003,5034,3753,2933,055 United States
183,506184,106175,372184,000182,436171,744 World Total
TY=Trade Year, see Endnotes.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 22 April 2020Global Market Analysis
World Wheat Production, Consumption, and Stocks
Local Marketing Years, Thousand Metric Tons
2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20
Mar
2019/20
Apr
none
Production
19,50019,50019,50018,50018,40011,300 Argentina
15,20015,20017,29820,94131,81922,275 Australia
5,2005,2005,4284,2646,7305,540 Brazil
32,35032,35032,20130,37732,14027,647 Canada
133,590133,590131,430134,334133,271132,639 China
8,7708,7708,4508,4508,1008,100 Egypt
154,000154,000136,863151,125145,369160,480 European Union
103,600103,60099,87098,51087,00086,527 India
16,80016,80014,50014,00014,50014,500 Iran
11,45211,45213,94714,80214,98513,748 Kazakhstan
25,60025,60025,10026,60025,63325,086 Pakistan
73,61073,61071,68585,16772,52961,044 Russia
18,00018,00019,00021,00017,25019,500 Turkey
29,17129,00025,05726,98126,79127,274 Ukraine
6,8006,8006,0006,9416,9406,965 Uzbekistan
58,56258,76353,82553,51251,98759,402 Others
712,205712,235680,154715,504693,444682,027 Subtotal
52,25852,25851,30647,38062,83256,117 United States
764,463764,493731,460762,884756,276738,144 World Total
none
Total Consumption
10,85010,85010,75010,45010,35010,250 Algeria
12,10012,10012,10012,00012,20011,100 Brazil
9,9009,9008,9719,02910,6717,987 Canada
126,000128,000125,000121,000119,000117,500 China
20,40020,40020,10019,80019,40019,200 Egypt
125,500126,500122,700130,400128,000129,850 European Union
96,11298,00095,62995,67797,23488,548 India
10,70010,70010,60010,60010,0009,100 Indonesia
16,40016,40016,10015,90016,25016,100 Iran
10,80010,80010,70010,50010,2009,800 Morocco
25,40025,40025,30025,00024,50024,400 Pakistan
40,00039,50040,50043,00040,00037,000 Russia
19,70019,70018,80018,50017,40018,000 Turkey
9,1008,9008,8009,80010,30012,200 Ukraine
9,5009,6009,6009,7009,3009,350 Uzbekistan
173,547173,662168,371169,939167,907160,763 Others
718,481723,220707,026712,732706,579684,012 Subtotal
31,29931,70630,02429,25031,86531,943 United States
749,780754,926737,050741,982738,444715,955 World Total
none
Ending Stocks
5,9905,9906,0406,7326,9315,178 Canada
150,355148,255139,765131,196114,92996,996 China
10,30010,30010,50013,88510,71915,490 European Union
24,00022,11216,99213,2309,80014,540 India
6,1566,1366,2368,06610,41611,166 Iran
8,4047,4047,81912,02610,8235,604 Russia
5,8545,8543,8543,6381,2893,100 Turkey
55,32555,50757,50565,00765,74766,327 Others
266,384261,558248,711253,780230,654218,401 Subtotal
26,39625,58029,38629,90732,13126,552 United States
292,780287,138278,097283,687262,785244,953 World Total
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 23 April 2020Global Market Analysis
Regional Wheat Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks
Thousand Metric Tons
2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19
Mar
2019/20
Apr
2019/20
TY Imports none
8,370 North America 9,169 10,071 8,842 8,600 8,600
1,832 Central America 1,995 1,910 1,928 2,005 2,030
13,419 South America 16,277 15,325 14,925 15,430 15,330
6,928 European Union - 28 5,299 5,824 5,762 4,800 4,800
1,896 Other Europe 2,047 1,931 1,905 1,800 1,800
7,166 Former Soviet Union - 12 7,035 7,862 7,828 8,060 7,610
24,141 Middle East 22,814 25,163 24,529 28,105 28,125
27,866 North Africa 28,426 27,441 26,949 26,900 27,250
22,874 Sub-Saharan Africa 22,264 25,312 22,496 26,195 26,280
16,225 East Asia 17,356 16,599 15,087 16,425 16,025
8,823 South Asia 15,564 11,931 9,959 10,621 10,618
25,307 Southeast Asia 28,219 27,255 27,381 27,935 27,935
3,147 Others 3,264 3,464 3,360 3,780 3,780
167,994 Total 179,729 180,088 170,951 180,656 180,183
Production none
87,475 North America 98,837 81,251 86,507 87,823 87,823
21,584 South America 28,737 26,202 28,804 28,551 28,421
160,480 European Union - 28 145,369 151,125 136,863 154,000 154,000
4,324 Other Europe 4,737 4,005 4,510 4,445 4,445
117,674 Former Soviet Union - 12 130,047 142,307 124,017 130,082 130,253
42,406 Middle East 38,814 41,560 39,365 45,480 45,480
19,987 North Africa 13,958 19,245 21,000 18,470 18,399
7,694 Sub-Saharan Africa 7,743 7,718 8,296 7,718 7,718
133,972 East Asia 134,738 135,645 132,823 135,007 135,007
119,660 South Asia 120,837 132,344 131,476 137,206 137,206
22,689 Oceania 32,278 21,346 17,668 15,610 15,610
199 Others 181 136 131 101 101
738,144 Total 756,276 762,884 731,460 764,493 764,463
Domestic Consumption none
46,930 North America 50,436 45,979 46,495 49,106 48,699
27,715 South America 28,575 29,018 28,810 29,325 29,365
129,850 European Union - 28 128,000 130,400 122,700 126,500 125,500
4,920 Other Europe 5,035 5,010 5,235 5,270 5,370
77,415 Former Soviet Union - 12 78,185 81,290 76,800 76,550 77,050
58,427 Middle East 58,517 59,955 60,139 62,880 62,880
43,666 North Africa 44,550 45,225 46,150 46,750 46,780
29,237 Sub-Saharan Africa 29,712 32,067 30,672 32,605 32,955
130,782 East Asia 132,915 134,351 138,031 141,120 138,570
129,112 South Asia 139,258 138,139 138,450 141,327 139,439
22,955 Southeast Asia 26,725 26,385 26,325 26,675 26,675
8,500 Oceania 8,835 8,905 10,600 10,165 10,165
3,582 Others 3,834 3,821 3,638 3,845 3,860
713,091 Total 734,577 740,545 734,045 752,118 747,308
Ending Stocks none
32,390 North America 39,938 37,407 36,029 31,988 32,804
3,956 South America 4,678 4,093 4,854 4,667 4,474
15,490 European Union - 28 10,719 13,885 10,500 10,300 10,300
1,632 Other Europe 2,002 1,945 1,924 2,044 2,079
16,982 Former Soviet Union - 12 21,438 21,177 15,209 14,301 15,022
22,614 Middle East 19,587 19,401 16,112 19,247 19,242
16,848 North Africa 14,277 14,864 15,471 13,106 13,355
3,930 Sub-Saharan Africa 3,100 3,503 2,653 3,081 2,741
100,357 East Asia 118,154 134,351 142,508 150,910 153,260
20,826 South Asia 16,529 21,114 21,534 26,947 29,129
5,379 Southeast Asia 5,920 5,694 5,662 5,882 5,902
4,133 Oceania 6,005 5,856 5,230 4,255 4,055
416 Others 438 397 411 410 417
244,953 Total 262,785 283,687 278,097 287,138 292,780
NOTES: Regional definitions appear on last page of this circular. Imports are reported on a trade year basis. All other data are
reported using local marketing years.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 24 April 2020Global Market Analysis
World Rice Trade
January/December Year, Thousand Metric Tons
2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20
Mar
2019/20
Apr
none
TY Exports
330330388375391527 Argentina
5005009531,245594641 Brazil
2,2002,7002,7002,7503,3501,300 Burma
9001,4001,3501,3001,1501,050 Cambodia
3,4003,4002,7202,0591,173368 China
1001002050100200 Egypt
300300292308372270 European Union
510510496414455431 Guyana
10,50010,5009,79011,79112,57310,062 India
4,4004,4004,6003,9133,6474,100 Pakistan
600600689653538556 Paraguay
115125111113109145 South Africa
7,5007,5007,56211,05611,6159,867 Thailand
800800816799982996 Uruguay
6,3007,0006,5816,5906,4885,088 Vietnam
1,1151,1201,3081,4801,2691,291 Others
39,57041,28540,37644,89644,80636,892 Subtotal
3,2253,2253,1352,7803,3493,343 United States
42,79544,51043,51147,67648,15540,235 World Total
none
TY Imports
600600550625550450 Benin
850900691537758786 Brazil
620620600550500420 Burkina
650650600650600500 Cameroon
2,3002,3002,6004,5005,9004,600 China
1,3501,4501,4001,5001,3501,300 Cote d'Ivoire
2,2002,2002,1591,9221,9901,816 European Union
900950900830650700 Ghana
650650510865600650 Guinea
1,0001,0006002,3503501,050 Indonesia
1,0501,0501,2001,2501,4001,100 Iran
1,1501,1501,2201,2001,060930 Iraq
685685678670678685 Japan
625700575600625500 Kenya
550550297377412313 Korea, South
1,0001,0001,000800900823 Malaysia
785785730776913731 Mexico
650650620550710625 Mozambique
800800600700535530 Nepal
1,2001,5001,8002,1002,5002,100 Nigeria
2,5002,5002,9002,5001,200800 Philippines
1,1001,4501,4251,2901,1951,260 Saudi Arabia
9501,0501,0001,1001,100980 Senegal
1,0001,0509661,0711,054958 South Africa
875925850775700670 United Arab Emirates
13,78813,49814,07815,05216,07811,893 Others
39,82840,66340,54945,14044,30837,170 Subtotal
1,9422,8221,9811,6203,0602,298 Unaccounted
1,0251,025981916787767 United States
42,79544,51043,51147,67648,15540,235 World Total
TY=Trade Year, see Endnotes. Note about dates: 2017/18 is calendar year 2018, 2016/17 is calendar year 2017, and so on.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 25 April 2020Global Market Analysis
World Rice Production, Consumption, and Stocks
Local Marketing Years, Thousand Metric Tons
2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20
Mar
2019/20
Apr
none
Milled Production
35,85035,85034,90932,65034,57834,500 Bangladesh
7,1407,1407,1408,2048,3837,210 Brazil
12,70013,30013,20013,20012,65012,160 Burma
5,2005,6885,7425,5545,2564,931 Cambodia
146,730146,730148,490148,873147,766148,499 China
4,3004,3002,8004,3004,8004,000 Egypt
118,000118,000116,480112,760109,698104,408 India
36,50036,50036,70037,00036,85836,200 Indonesia
7,6117,8007,6577,7877,9297,876 Japan
3,7443,7443,8683,9724,1974,327 Korea, South
4,9004,9004,7884,7254,5363,941 Nigeria
7,5007,5007,3007,5006,8496,802 Pakistan
11,40012,00011,73212,23511,68611,008 Philippines
18,00018,50020,34020,57719,20015,800 Thailand
27,36928,30027,34427,65727,40027,584 Vietnam
43,27343,19343,47342,26942,18141,452 Others
490,217493,445491,963489,263483,967470,698 Subtotal
5,8645,8647,1075,6597,1176,131 United States
496,081499,309499,070494,922491,084476,829 World Total
none
Consumption and Residual
35,80035,80035,40035,20035,00035,100 Bangladesh
7,4507,5007,4507,7507,8507,900 Brazil
10,45010,55010,25010,20010,00010,400 Burma
4,3004,3004,3004,2004,0003,900 Cambodia
142,930142,930142,720142,509141,761141,028 China
4,3504,3504,1504,2004,3003,900 Egypt
102,300102,00099,16098,66995,83893,451 India
37,80037,80038,10038,10037,80037,850 Indonesia
8,3008,4008,4008,6008,7308,806 Japan
4,1004,4504,5724,7464,4354,212 Korea, South
4,2804,2804,3603,9804,0103,353 Nepal
6,5006,8007,0006,9006,7006,400 Nigeria
14,40014,40014,10013,25012,90012,900 Philippines
11,50011,70011,50011,00012,0009,100 Thailand
21,50021,50021,20021,50022,00022,500 Vietnam
69,05169,09868,54466,91165,76163,284 Others
485,965488,101481,325477,984479,354465,938 Subtotal
4,2244,2244,5654,2984,2303,590 United States
490,189492,325485,890482,282483,584469,528 World Total
none
Ending Stocks
1,5111,5111,4051,5008541,205 Bangladesh
118,000118,000115,000109,00098,50088,000 China
35,00035,00029,50022,60020,55018,400 India
3,0593,0593,3614,1632,9153,509 Indonesia
1,9721,9712,0462,2232,4102,552 Japan
3,1203,7203,5202,2882,0032,117 Philippines
3,7873,7874,5373,0094,2388,403 Thailand
14,21714,30214,91816,81516,95916,730 Others
180,666181,350174,287161,598148,429140,916 Subtotal
9379531,4249331,4621,475 United States
181,603182,303175,711162,531149,891142,391 World Total
Note: All data are reported on a milled basis.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 26 April 2020Global Market Analysis
Regional Rice Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks
Thousand Metric Tons
2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19
Mar
2019/20
Apr
2019/20
TY Imports none
1,854 North America 2,056 2,075 2,132 2,235 2,235
1,102 Caribbean 1,146 1,068 1,076 1,257 1,162
2,015 South America 1,900 1,967 1,981 2,124 2,094
138 Other Europe 124 111 119 130 130
457 Former Soviet Union - 12 538 551 544 542 512
5,686 Middle East 6,219 6,432 6,616 6,540 6,085
483 North Africa 459 598 1,007 550 550
12,483 Sub-Saharan Africa 14,684 14,985 14,055 14,155 13,930
6,097 East Asia 7,486 6,015 4,202 4,185 4,185
945 South Asia 4,057 2,635 964 1,160 1,160
3,911 Southeast Asia 3,666 6,797 5,821 5,570 5,570
1,816 European Union 1,990 1,922 2,159 2,200 2,200
37,937 Total 45,095 46,056 41,530 41,688 40,853
Production none
6,287 North America 7,292 5,842 7,297 6,039 6,039
851 Caribbean 989 932 937 918 908
15,763 South America 16,790 16,834 15,760 15,463 15,560
2,050 European Union - 28 2,087 2,030 1,977 1,968 1,985
1,257 Former Soviet Union - 12 1,259 1,225 1,275 1,341 1,341
2,160 Middle East 2,549 2,743 2,623 2,903 2,903
4,044 North Africa 4,837 4,340 2,844 4,339 4,339
16,283 Sub-Saharan Africa 17,557 17,510 18,697 18,783 18,874
163,729 East Asia 162,710 163,567 162,556 160,770 160,581
152,133 South Asia 156,871 158,688 165,779 167,977 167,977
111,409 Southeast Asia 116,821 120,044 118,564 118,164 114,945
476,829 Total 491,084 494,922 499,070 499,309 496,081
Domestic Consumption none
4,817 North America 5,499 5,576 5,890 5,559 5,559
1,276 Central America 1,295 1,301 1,314 1,358 1,348
1,989 Caribbean 2,072 1,950 2,056 2,095 2,040
14,990 South America 14,894 15,024 14,892 14,873 14,905
3,550 European Union - 28 3,600 3,700 3,800 3,900 3,900
1,474 Former Soviet Union - 12 1,521 1,571 1,561 1,608 1,628
8,352 Middle East 8,654 9,087 9,285 9,575 9,135
4,279 North Africa 4,724 4,620 4,521 4,739 4,739
28,570 Sub-Saharan Africa 30,926 31,671 33,091 32,852 32,958
157,483 East Asia 158,111 158,948 158,719 158,810 158,360
138,570 South Asia 141,556 144,599 145,657 148,837 149,137
101,770 Southeast Asia 103,895 103,424 104,477 105,376 105,026
467,674 Total 477,315 482,013 485,771 490,082 489,235
Ending Stocks none
1,602 North America 1,634 1,084 1,563 1,117 1,101
318 Central America 339 264 292 249 256
277 Caribbean 330 363 373 393 393
1,781 South America 2,047 2,047 1,576 1,578 1,409
1,183 European Union - 28 1,188 1,176 1,201 1,150 1,186
1,082 Middle East 1,129 1,129 1,012 955 940
924 North Africa 1,426 1,563 999 1,049 1,049
2,814 Sub-Saharan Africa 3,216 3,135 2,867 2,428 2,313
92,626 East Asia 103,262 113,388 118,794 121,430 121,925
21,576 South Asia 23,171 25,840 32,345 37,716 37,716
17,959 Southeast Asia 11,774 12,189 14,491 14,021 13,098
77 Oceania 208 217 41 35 35
142,391 Total 149,891 162,531 175,711 182,303 181,603
NOTES: Regional definitions appear on last page of this circular. Imports are reported on a trade year basis. All other data are
reported using local marketing years.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 27 April 2020Global Market Analysis
World Coarse Grain Trade
October/September Year, Thousand Metric Tons
2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20
Mar
2019/20
Apr
none
TY Exports
38,00537,50536,07627,06426,10525,291 Argentina
4,3504,3504,0497,15610,2586,389 Australia
39,01039,01038,84625,12119,79735,415 Brazil
5,3505,3505,8055,7535,0424,693 Canada
10,5279,8279,8067,8288,19210,979 European Union
2,5152,5152,5741,4851,7602,663 Paraguay
8,4009,4357,40211,3799,2588,465 Russia
2,2412,2612,9068782,4491,594 Serbia
2,5102,5101,1902,3681,820775 South Africa
36,84036,84034,87421,39226,86821,456 Ukraine
7,4267,5778,35710,0148,8818,365 Others
157,174157,180151,885120,438120,430126,085 Subtotal
51,86550,55051,80468,64461,82259,178 United States
209,039207,730203,689189,082182,252185,263 World Total
none
TY Imports
4,8204,6205,2844,4924,5335,224 Algeria
1,4001,4001,3581,1451,1861,036 Bangladesh
2,2502,2501,7971,5273,1772,123 Brazil
1,5721,5622,6721,8377781,106 Canada
2,6702,7202,3902,0001,5801,721 Chile
16,40015,00010,54016,42516,05517,499 China
6,6056,6056,3945,5825,0414,824 Colombia
1,5001,5001,5361,3291,2941,351 Dominican Republic
9,9209,9209,5689,5418,7958,795 Egypt
21,73021,73026,66419,32315,63314,490 European Union
1,4001,4001,2241,0919511,027 Guatemala
13,00013,00012,20011,60010,0008,300 Iran
2,3402,3401,8982,1451,9401,509 Israel
17,72017,77017,72617,56317,00017,073 Japan
1,4501,4502591,0411,146258 Kenya
11,51010,91010,96410,1929,30810,213 Korea, South
4,0004,0003,6743,6453,5314,122 Malaysia
18,25518,40017,46516,39615,28314,827 Mexico
4,0024,0023,0292,6482,6323,182 Morocco
4,1604,1603,8023,4583,4383,083 Peru
11,51011,5109,36811,69211,82513,992 Saudi Arabia
4,0854,3854,6104,5134,2674,781 Taiwan
1,4001,6001,4181,6351,7451,713 Tunisia
4,3053,7053,2543,3131,712714 Turkey
11,25011,65011,1339,5778,6618,179 Vietnam
21,36221,65121,00119,02723,06124,858 Others
200,616199,240191,228182,737174,572176,000 Subtotal
5,1725,0899,8373,4194,2665,282 Unaccounted
3,2513,4012,6242,9263,4143,981 United States
209,039207,730203,689189,082182,252185,263 World Total
TY=Trade Year, see Endnotes.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 28 April 2020Global Market Analysis
World Coarse Grains Production, Consumption, and Stocks
Local Marketing Years, Thousand Metric Tons
2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20
Mar
2019/20
Apr
none
Production
56,75456,75459,22339,32048,56938,436 Argentina
10,56110,56110,93412,19117,26712,550 Australia
104,349104,349104,33485,058101,57568,649 Brazil
28,55528,55526,20326,24326,62325,769 Canada
268,195268,195264,512265,719269,895271,076 China
17,00017,00016,70016,68015,64115,731 Ethiopia
160,671159,040148,107152,104152,829152,665 European Union
45,43345,43343,20746,94343,46638,698 India
11,90012,70012,00011,90010,90010,500 Indonesia
30,40930,60033,39933,19133,26232,378 Mexico
19,90019,90019,91918,85920,65719,052 Nigeria
40,49540,49534,99841,71540,76537,427 Russia
16,52816,52812,41713,55218,1178,658 South Africa
14,45114,45113,25112,27110,77614,181 Turkey
46,54546,43044,50334,07139,21733,387 Ukraine
170,834170,568174,759167,338167,226157,550 Others
1,042,5801,041,5591,018,466977,1551,016,785936,707 Subtotal
361,188361,188377,905384,387402,607367,007 United States
1,403,7681,402,7471,396,3711,361,5421,419,3921,303,714 World Total
none
Domestic Consumption
19,29419,29418,34117,61316,04414,218 Argentina
71,00271,00270,98367,18164,03259,823 Brazil
23,85523,85524,14623,20021,97120,909 Canada
295,550294,250287,370282,598274,640249,620 China
17,75817,75817,13616,77916,02715,803 Egypt
17,12517,02516,77516,60315,64215,715 Ethiopia
169,470168,470168,570162,370160,840157,150 European Union
45,32045,62044,57144,76942,37540,201 India
17,82017,82016,52015,82014,52014,020 Iran
18,03118,07117,89317,61517,25217,258 Japan
50,99551,14050,50548,41046,84544,715 Mexico
20,20020,20020,16919,55020,30318,990 Nigeria
31,08730,38727,36731,01532,07529,715 Russia
18,26117,96116,45115,23112,89114,021 Turkey
15,00015,55014,33313,77713,15012,279 Vietnam
270,688271,140266,370261,663259,826250,647 Others
1,098,6991,097,1481,096,4501,051,7051,054,993957,850 Subtotal
319,758326,242323,045324,407327,519312,598 United States
1,418,4571,423,3901,419,4951,376,1121,382,5121,270,448 World Total
none
Ending Stocks
4,6744,9183,7143,5046,6983,268 Argentina
4,7874,7875,5509,67214,4927,010 Brazil
4,2644,2543,3424,5675,5624,971 Canada
199,577199,477210,592222,978223,494212,295 China
15,95716,10413,45316,33215,11415,651 European Union
2,8323,0235,7636,1815,9995,835 Mexico
3,0133,0132,1632,9093,9421,323 South Africa
41,89440,33943,06847,17848,34150,465 Others
276,998275,915287,645313,321323,642300,818 Subtotal
56,42951,41560,47157,91962,16848,112 United States
333,427327,330348,116371,240385,810348,930 World Total
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 29 April 2020Global Market Analysis
Regional Coarse Grains Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks
Thousand Metric Tons
2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19
Mar
2019/20
Apr
2019/20
TY Imports none
19,914 North America 19,475 21,159 22,761 23,363 23,078
3,938 Central America 3,799 4,001 4,352 4,550 4,600
2,597 Caribbean 2,659 2,446 2,379 2,640 2,440
13,855 South America 15,087 14,830 15,578 17,100 17,050
14,490 European Union - 28 15,633 19,323 26,664 21,730 21,730
546 Former Soviet Union - 12 827 700 1,025 861 836
29,735 Middle East 30,541 33,556 31,434 35,616 35,666
20,819 North Africa 19,468 19,246 20,876 21,392 21,392
6,057 Sub-Saharan Africa 6,667 3,223 3,419 5,426 5,516
49,600 East Asia 46,723 48,740 43,903 48,115 49,765
15,395 Southeast Asia 14,169 15,529 17,838 18,255 18,180
3,035 Others 2,938 2,910 3,623 3,593 3,614
179,981 Total 177,986 185,663 193,852 202,641 203,867
Production none
425,154 North America 462,492 443,821 437,507 420,343 420,152
122,022 South America 164,208 138,829 177,832 175,279 175,212
152,665 European Union - 28 152,829 152,104 148,107 159,040 160,671
9,294 Other Europe 11,535 7,245 10,322 10,384 10,384
82,805 Former Soviet Union - 12 92,882 88,898 93,508 100,823 101,288
21,738 Middle East 19,047 19,400 19,565 24,183 24,183
12,269 North Africa 9,163 11,463 13,257 11,534 11,707
103,781 Sub-Saharan Africa 121,034 118,783 121,413 118,783 118,783
273,808 East Asia 272,535 268,381 267,226 270,927 270,927
50,626 South Asia 56,497 59,976 56,696 59,855 59,855
32,045 Southeast Asia 34,197 34,945 34,658 35,723 34,733
13,242 Oceania 17,884 12,700 11,526 11,184 11,184
4,265 Others 5,089 4,997 4,754 4,689 4,689
1,303,714 Total 1,419,392 1,361,542 1,396,371 1,402,747 1,403,768
Domestic Consumption none
378,222 North America 396,335 396,017 397,696 401,237 394,608
98,447 South America 104,336 110,691 115,270 117,155 116,940
157,150 European Union - 28 160,840 162,370 168,570 168,470 169,470
8,575 Other Europe 9,050 7,890 8,230 8,558 8,579
53,602 Former Soviet Union - 12 56,506 54,641 50,520 52,985 54,002
51,831 Middle East 51,015 53,349 52,988 58,516 58,326
31,981 North Africa 31,040 31,665 32,607 33,565 33,765
108,904 Sub-Saharan Africa 118,342 118,890 123,694 122,325 122,445
283,996 East Asia 308,094 317,252 323,274 330,494 331,954
53,847 South Asia 56,578 60,415 60,109 62,220 61,940
43,988 Southeast Asia 45,679 47,457 48,353 50,988 50,083
6,435 Oceania 6,760 6,482 7,644 7,116 7,116
10,704 Others 11,377 11,482 11,590 12,156 11,986
1,287,682 Total 1,355,952 1,378,601 1,400,545 1,425,785 1,421,214
Ending Stocks none
58,918 North America 73,729 68,667 69,576 58,692 63,525
13,619 South America 24,304 16,675 11,683 12,098 11,930
15,651 European Union - 28 15,114 16,332 13,453 16,104 15,957
963 Other Europe 1,713 886 958 1,267 1,268
6,353 Former Soviet Union - 12 6,934 5,935 5,465 5,614 6,104
9,156 Middle East 6,232 6,701 5,238 6,291 6,571
5,982 North Africa 3,715 3,321 3,798 3,429 3,402
10,488 Sub-Saharan Africa 13,988 13,426 12,184 10,418 10,338
216,657 East Asia 227,633 227,470 215,250 203,596 203,928
3,101 South Asia 4,185 4,981 3,367 3,029 3,349
5,183 Southeast Asia 4,107 3,135 3,475 3,475 3,718
1,619 Oceania 2,746 2,391 2,420 2,360 2,360
1,240 Others 1,410 1,320 1,249 957 977
348,930 Total 385,810 371,240 348,116 327,330 333,427
NOTES: Regional definitions appear on last page of this circular. Imports are reported on a trade year basis. All other data are
reported using local marketing years.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 30 April 2020Global Market Analysis
World Corn Trade
October/September Year, Thousand Metric Tons
2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20
Mar
2019/20
Apr
none
TY Exports
35,00034,50032,87924,19822,95121,679 Argentina
39,00039,00038,80725,11619,79435,382 Brazil
1,3001,4001,5001,4001,5001,050 Burma
9009001,7191,9731,5441,767 Canada
3,6002,9003,6291,7492,1891,953 European Union
2,5002,5002,5591,4761,7572,662 Paraguay
4,2004,7002,7705,5325,5894,691 Russia
2,2002,2002,8368192,4141,560 Serbia
2,5002,5001,1832,3611,816759 South Africa
32,00032,00030,32118,03621,33416,595 Ukraine
3,9073,9074,4866,4735,7546,079 Others
127,107126,507122,68989,13386,64294,177 Subtotal
47,00047,00049,19463,66855,61851,056 United States
174,107173,507171,883152,801142,260145,233 World Total
none
TY Imports
4,7004,5004,8164,0463,9894,329 Algeria
1,4001,4001,3581,1451,1811,036 Bangladesh
1,5001,5001,1899432,4391,566 Brazil
1,5001,5002,6231,767686958 Canada
2,6002,6002,2921,8931,4841,539 Chile
7,0007,0004,4833,4562,4643,174 China
6,2006,2006,0485,2014,7544,458 Colombia
1,5001,5001,5361,3291,2941,351 Dominican Republic
9,9009,9009,3679,4648,7738,722 Egypt
21,00021,00025,20918,46514,97314,008 European Union
1,4001,4001,2241,0919511,027 Guatemala
10,00010,0009,0008,9007,8006,600 Iran
2,0002,0001,6111,8611,5391,156 Israel
16,00016,00016,04715,66815,16915,204 Japan
1,3001,3001509001,000200 Kenya
11,40010,80010,85610,0189,22010,121 Korea, South
4,0004,0003,6743,6453,5314,122 Malaysia
17,30017,50016,65816,12914,61413,957 Mexico
3,0003,0002,7282,2832,2212,224 Morocco
4,0004,0003,6943,4023,2692,985 Peru
4,0004,0003,6623,9833,4213,583 Saudi Arabia
4,0004,3004,5084,4104,1634,656 Taiwan
1,1001,1009319611,2441,017 Tunisia
3,5003,0002,9322,7151,421567 Turkey
11,10011,50011,0009,4008,5008,100 Vietnam
17,16516,97515,94215,13117,88019,748 Others
168,565167,975163,538148,206137,980136,408 Subtotal
4,3424,2327,5483,7572,8297,043 Unaccounted
1,2001,3007978381,4511,782 United States
174,107173,507171,883152,801142,260145,233 World Total
TY=Trade Year, see Endnotes.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 31 April 2020Global Market Analysis
World Corn Production, Consumption, and Stocks
Local Marketing Years, Thousand Metric Tons
2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20
Mar
2019/20
Apr
none
Production
50,00050,00051,00032,00041,00029,500 Argentina
101,000101,000101,00082,00098,50067,000 Brazil
13,40013,40013,88514,09513,88913,680 Canada
260,770260,770257,330259,071263,613264,992 China
8,4008,4008,3508,4007,8477,882 Ethiopia
66,63165,00064,36262,00761,88458,748 European Union
28,50028,50027,71528,75325,90022,567 India
11,90012,70012,00011,90010,90010,500 Indonesia
25,00025,00027,60027,56927,57525,971 Mexico
11,00011,00011,00010,42011,54810,562 Nigeria
8,1008,1007,6088,0848,0876,966 Philippines
14,27514,27511,41513,20115,30513,168 Russia
6,7506,7507,0004,0007,6006,000 Serbia
16,00016,00011,82413,10417,5518,214 South Africa
35,88735,80035,80524,11527,96923,333 Ukraine
107,627107,529111,492110,274103,894100,513 Others
765,240764,224759,386708,993743,062669,596 Subtotal
347,782347,782364,262371,096384,778345,506 United States
1,113,0221,112,0061,123,6481,080,0891,127,8401,015,102 World Total
none
Total Consumption
15,00015,00013,80012,40011,2009,300 Argentina
67,00067,00067,00063,50060,50057,500 Brazil
13,90013,90015,15813,98512,94912,029 Canada
279,000279,000274,000263,000255,000229,000 China
16,70016,70016,20015,90015,10014,850 Egypt
83,50082,50088,00076,50074,00073,500 European Union
28,40028,70028,50026,70024,90023,550 India
13,00013,40012,90012,40012,30012,100 Indonesia
11,40011,40010,3009,8009,3008,800 Iran
16,10016,10016,00015,60015,20015,200 Japan
11,40010,90010,94710,0009,43510,123 Korea, South
44,50044,50044,10042,50040,40037,300 Mexico
11,40011,40011,30011,10011,40010,600 Nigeria
12,60012,60012,00012,23012,66310,970 South Africa
14,85015,40014,20013,60013,00012,200 Vietnam
186,769186,179181,466178,947171,703165,790 Others
822,420821,893833,831776,470774,040683,740 Subtotal
308,371313,578310,472313,981313,828298,845 United States
1,130,7911,135,4711,144,3031,090,4511,087,868982,585 World Total
none
Ending Stocks
3,8734,1172,3682,4075,2731,448 Argentina
4,3904,3905,1909,28014,0196,769 Brazil
2,0802,0801,9802,4172,5742,450 Canada
199,069199,069210,319222,525223,017212,017 China
8,2938,4407,7629,8207,5976,929 European Union
2,1892,3895,0895,6495,4095,159 Mexico
2,7262,7261,8262,6723,6951,096 South Africa
27,40426,06329,99632,45832,12031,994 Others
250,024249,274264,530287,228293,704267,862 Subtotal
53,14748,06756,41054,36758,25344,123 United States
303,171297,341320,940341,595351,957311,985 World Total
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 32 April 2020Global Market Analysis
Regional Corn Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks
Thousand Metric Tons
2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19
Mar
2019/20
Apr
2019/20
TY Imports none
16,697 North America 16,751 18,734 20,078 20,300 20,000
3,938 Central America 3,799 4,001 4,352 4,550 4,600
12,462 South America 13,719 13,567 14,317 15,555 15,555
14,008 European Union - 28 14,973 18,465 25,209 21,000 21,000
356 Former Soviet Union - 12 367 440 588 450 450
14,890 Middle East 16,944 20,417 19,824 22,150 22,700
16,873 North Africa 16,906 17,246 18,531 19,100 19,300
5,408 Sub-Saharan Africa 5,902 2,416 2,694 4,503 4,573
33,189 East Asia 31,109 33,599 35,957 38,150 38,450
15,281 Southeast Asia 13,968 15,183 17,463 17,785 17,585
2,597 Caribbean 2,657 2,446 2,377 2,640 2,440
2,491 Others 2,336 2,530 2,945 3,092 3,112
138,190 Total 139,431 149,044 164,335 169,275 169,765
Production none
385,157 North America 426,242 412,760 405,747 386,182 386,182
108,879 South America 150,860 125,744 163,661 162,536 162,474
58,748 European Union - 28 61,884 62,007 64,362 65,000 66,631
7,447 Other Europe 9,452 5,376 8,663 8,370 8,370
40,267 Former Soviet Union - 12 48,035 42,257 53,119 55,331 55,768
7,789 Middle East 7,283 7,028 7,457 8,012 8,012
6,096 North Africa 6,130 6,523 6,951 6,521 6,521
63,836 Sub-Saharan Africa 75,025 76,337 74,340 74,727 74,727
267,431 East Asia 265,949 261,417 259,739 263,177 263,177
33,218 South Asia 37,764 40,797 40,286 41,821 41,821
3,336 Central America 3,911 3,878 3,598 3,563 3,563
31,750 Southeast Asia 33,907 34,655 34,368 35,433 34,443
1,148 Others 1,398 1,310 1,357 1,333 1,333
1,015,102 Total 1,127,840 1,080,089 1,123,648 1,112,006 1,113,022
Domestic Consumption none
348,174 North America 367,177 370,466 369,730 371,978 366,771
87,971 South America 92,928 98,348 103,626 105,630 105,470
73,500 European Union - 28 74,000 76,500 88,000 82,500 83,500
6,542 Other Europe 6,947 5,857 6,300 6,460 6,460
19,637 Former Soviet Union - 12 20,716 19,217 19,922 18,933 19,683
23,522 Middle East 24,513 27,036 27,243 29,840 30,150
22,990 North Africa 23,290 24,400 24,600 26,000 26,200
68,187 Sub-Saharan Africa 72,597 75,298 76,509 77,071 77,091
260,967 East Asia 286,087 295,227 307,673 312,950 313,150
35,634 South Asia 37,897 41,226 43,079 44,155 43,875
43,584 Southeast Asia 45,197 46,827 47,689 50,230 49,200
7,180 Central America 7,540 7,830 8,070 8,330 8,360
3,769 Others 3,989 3,911 3,902 4,180 3,980
1,001,657 Total 1,062,878 1,092,143 1,126,343 1,138,257 1,133,890
Ending Stocks none
51,732 North America 66,236 62,433 63,479 52,536 57,416
11,256 South America 22,066 14,827 9,626 10,518 10,340
6,929 European Union - 28 7,597 9,820 7,762 8,440 8,293
849 Other Europe 1,464 689 775 1,038 1,038
2,688 Former Soviet Union - 12 3,172 2,585 2,593 2,244 2,463
2,729 Middle East 2,325 2,675 2,543 2,675 2,915
2,988 North Africa 2,555 2,462 2,505 2,116 2,116
7,967 Sub-Saharan Africa 11,019 11,224 9,656 8,415 8,415
215,956 East Asia 226,775 226,575 214,572 202,796 203,029
2,388 South Asia 3,149 3,767 2,627 2,063 2,383
5,177 Southeast Asia 4,096 3,124 3,464 3,464 3,707
889 Central America 1,056 1,060 988 756 776
437 Others 447 354 350 280 280
311,985 Total 351,957 341,595 320,940 297,341 303,171
NOTES: Regional definitions appear on last page of this circular. Imports are reported on a trade year basis. All other data are
reported using local marketing years.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 33 April 2020Global Market Analysis
World Barley Trade
October/September Year, Thousand Metric Tons
2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20
Mar
2019/20
Apr
none
TY Exports
2,8002,8003,0012,5372,6962,836 Argentina
4,0004,0003,6666,0889,1925,401 Australia
2,5002,5002,2691,8681,8091,147 Canada
6,6006,6005,8775,8575,6838,644 European Union
1,7001,7001,7621,411821776 Kazakhstan
6060538514859 Moldova
4,1004,6004,3205,6613,6263,735 Russia
406067573333 Serbia
4,7004,7004,4073,1885,3374,673 Ukraine
100100621211142 Uruguay
377859293452 Others
26,63727,19825,54326,79329,49027,398 Subtotal
130115101102125161 United States
26,76727,31325,64426,89529,61527,559 World Total
none
TY Imports
175175210541137 Belarus
750750608584737551 Brazil
6,5006,5005,1818,1448,1045,869 China
350350341324286301 Colombia
500500553231447315 European Union
2002002588932567 India
3,0003,0003,2002,7002,2001,700 Iran
300300236234376319 Israel
1,2001,2001,1581,2531,1971,154 Japan
300900928788759902 Jordan
400400474521569511 Kuwait
200200156199262132 Lebanon
6506508884381,0841,324 Libya
1,0001,000299363407958 Morocco
1501501085616998 Peru
7,5007,5005,7007,7008,40010,400 Saudi Arabia
4253002061472119 Thailand
300500487674501696 Tunisia
800700322598291146 Turkey
400400476263501668 United Arab Emirates
1,0151,0251,6061,3911,8061,944 Others
26,11526,70023,39526,75128,55528,081 Subtotal
5024632,115-26843-874 Unaccounted
150150134170217352 United States
26,76727,31325,64426,89529,61527,559 World Total
TY=Trade Year, see Endnotes.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 34 April 2020Global Market Analysis
World Barley Production, Consumption, and Stocks
Local Marketing Years, Thousand Metric Tons
2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20
Mar
2019/20
Apr
none
Production
2,0002,0501,9509681,0001,300 Algeria
3,8003,8005,0603,7403,3004,940 Argentina
8,8008,8008,3109,25413,5068,993 Australia
1,4001,4009441,4201,2531,849 Belarus
10,40010,4008,3807,8918,8398,257 Canada
2,3002,3002,2002,0322,0252,047 Ethiopia
62,75062,75055,94758,65459,86662,095 European Union
1,6331,6331,7811,7471,4381,613 India
3,6003,6002,8003,1003,7243,200 Iran
1,6001,6007809751,5501,550 Iraq
3,8303,8303,9713,3053,2312,675 Kazakhstan
19,93919,93916,73720,21117,54717,083 Russia
2,0002,000400777720637 Syria
7,9007,9007,0006,4004,7507,400 Turkey
9,5289,5007,6048,6959,8748,751 Ukraine
10,69910,47611,55710,82810,05612,317 Others
152,179151,978135,421139,997142,679144,707 Subtotal
3,6923,6923,3433,1194,3534,750 United States
155,871155,670138,764143,116147,032149,457 World Total
none
Total Consumption
2,1002,1002,0001,8502,0502,150 Algeria
4,7004,7004,5003,7003,5003,300 Australia
1,5751,5751,1501,4501,4001,850 Belarus
7,4307,4306,5006,7996,7606,960 Canada
7,4007,4006,2009,3009,2007,500 China
2,3252,3252,2252,2252,0251,990 Ethiopia
55,30055,30051,60054,00055,10051,400 European Union
1,9001,9001,9001,9501,6501,520 India
6,4006,4006,2006,0005,2005,200 Iran
2,2002,2002,1502,1502,2002,000 Kazakhstan
2,4002,4002,9002,8002,4003,200 Morocco
15,30015,00012,20014,50014,70013,700 Russia
7,4257,4257,0258,5259,82510,225 Saudi Arabia
8,5008,5007,5006,7005,5006,900 Turkey
4,7004,7004,1004,5004,9004,300 Ukraine
19,20319,57317,53616,88618,66518,648 Others
148,845148,869136,750142,722146,065142,901 Subtotal
3,7233,7233,5373,4664,3754,408 United States
152,568152,592140,287146,188150,440147,309 World Total
none
Ending Stocks
8909407905178771,291 Algeria
1,9991,9991,8991,7761,8841,068 Australia
1,4071,3978771,2502,1201,523 Canada
5,6655,6654,2154,6275,4215,924 European Union
1,2291,029640750839729 Russia
1,3991,3991,3141,8292,3444,059 Saudi Arabia
1,2431,2151,1101,1491,2371,609 Ukraine
5,4395,3705,1355,4325,4217,441 Others
19,27119,01415,98017,33020,14323,644 Subtotal
1,8961,9181,8842,0572,3162,223 United States
21,16720,93217,86419,38722,45925,867 World Total
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 35 April 2020Global Market Analysis
Regional Barley Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks
Thousand Metric Tons
2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19
Mar
2019/20
Apr
2019/20
TY Imports none
615 North America 293 227 254 300 315
1,133 South America 1,277 1,082 1,167 1,330 1,330
315 European Union - 28 447 231 553 500 500
81 Other Europe 124 80 175 98 98
162 Former Soviet Union - 12 442 229 395 390 365
14,798 Middle East 13,563 13,077 11,552 13,410 12,910
3,914 North Africa 2,542 1,990 2,342 2,270 2,070
40 Sub-Saharan Africa 112 49 28 50 50
7,136 East Asia 9,413 9,499 6,441 7,810 7,810
134 South Asia 346 114 269 217 217
7 Oceania 31 19 14 25 25
28,433 Total 28,772 26,921 23,529 26,850 26,265
Production none
13,742 North America 14,170 12,015 12,719 15,102 15,102
5,925 South America 4,714 4,815 6,492 5,254 5,254
62,095 European Union - 28 59,866 58,654 55,947 62,750 62,750
1,258 Other Europe 1,451 1,290 1,253 1,407 1,407
32,491 Former Soviet Union - 12 34,077 35,540 31,199 36,642 36,670
12,880 Middle East 10,831 11,333 11,061 15,183 15,183
5,266 North Africa 2,156 4,041 5,378 4,108 4,281
2,549 Sub-Saharan Africa 2,562 2,537 2,822 2,835 2,835
1,700 East Asia 1,492 1,397 1,258 1,221 1,221
2,121 South Asia 1,843 1,942 1,945 1,988 1,988
9,430 Oceania 13,870 9,552 8,690 9,180 9,180
149,457 Total 147,032 143,116 138,764 155,670 155,871
Domestic Consumption none
12,293 North America 12,085 11,275 11,087 12,353 12,353
3,523 South America 3,467 3,742 3,995 4,027 4,027
51,400 European Union - 28 55,100 54,000 51,600 55,300 55,300
1,373 Other Europe 1,451 1,354 1,343 1,398 1,418
23,861 Former Soviet Union - 12 25,367 24,569 21,654 25,524 25,799
27,160 Middle East 25,523 25,226 24,637 27,627 27,127
8,053 North Africa 6,847 6,359 7,076 6,638 6,638
2,565 Sub-Saharan Africa 2,615 2,755 2,762 2,925 2,925
9,082 East Asia 10,846 10,934 7,767 9,035 9,045
2,093 South Asia 2,078 2,213 2,078 2,274 2,274
3,750 Oceania 3,900 4,050 4,885 5,100 5,100
145,251 Total 149,450 146,801 139,223 152,651 152,581
Ending Stocks none
4,132 North America 4,851 3,722 3,123 3,687 3,680
1,128 South America 835 696 1,098 705 705
5,924 European Union - 28 5,421 4,627 4,215 5,665 5,665
79 Other Europe 167 135 133 178 179
2,971 Former Soviet Union - 12 2,954 2,558 2,404 2,853 3,081
6,392 Middle East 3,887 3,996 2,665 3,591 3,631
2,945 North Africa 1,106 802 1,236 1,256 1,229
436 Sub-Saharan Africa 488 308 375 315 315
445 East Asia 504 466 398 384 384
275 South Asia 293 253 269 245 245
1,140 Oceania 1,942 1,813 1,937 2,042 2,042
25,867 Total 22,459 19,387 17,864 20,932 21,167
NOTES: Regional definitions appear on last page of this circular. Imports are reported on a trade year basis. All other data are
reported using local marketing years.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 36 April 2020Global Market Analysis
World Sorghum Trade
October/September Year, Thousand Metric Tons
2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20
Mar
2019/20
Apr
none
TY Exports
200200196329457772 Argentina
404091449542717 Australia
404049433423 China
757575757575 Ethiopia
5050531232474 India
10010010010010050 Nigeria
10010093123164119 Ukraine
9999196306311133 Others
7047048531,5481,7071,963 Subtotal
4,7003,4002,4794,8396,0317,918 United States
5,4044,1043,3326,3877,7389,881 World Total
none
TY Imports
50100467354134 Chile
2,7001,3006524,4365,2098,284 China
5050056064 Colombia
200200666486194119 European Union
450500452577561649 Japan
15015010914114654 Kenya
70070059698548661 Mexico
505059278283 South Africa
150150261483619 South Sudan
200200160150120200 Sudan
459439509513364596 Others
5,1593,8393,2756,7057,31410,863 Subtotal
24426456-369380-1,080 Unaccounted
111514498 United States
5,4044,1043,3326,3877,7389,881 World Total
TY=Trade Year, see Endnotes.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 37 April 2020Global Market Analysis
World Sorghum Production, Consumption, and Stocks
Local Marketing Years, Thousand Metric Tons
2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20
Mar
2019/20
Apr
none
Production
2,5002,5002,5003,0003,4003,375 Argentina
8718717801,023557802 Bolivia
2,1002,1002,1772,1361,8651,032 Brazil
1,8001,8001,9301,3661,6631,436 Burkina
1,2001,2001,2001,3521,3391,217 Cameroon
950950988946991835 Chad
3,6003,6003,4502,4652,2352,203 China
5,2005,2005,1505,1704,7524,766 Ethiopia
820820737660632674 European Union
4,4004,4003,4754,8034,5684,238 India
1,3001,3001,4701,4241,3941,527 Mali
4,3004,5004,7004,5454,6385,587 Mexico
1,9001,9002,1001,9451,8081,918 Niger
6,9006,9006,8006,9397,5567,005 Nigeria
4,0004,0004,9533,7436,4662,744 Sudan
6,7416,7447,8457,5717,2327,981 Others
48,58248,78550,25549,08851,09647,340 Subtotal
8,6738,6739,2719,19212,19915,158 United States
57,25557,45859,52658,28063,29562,498 World Total
none
Total Consumption
2,4002,4002,4003,2002,9002,900 Argentina
2,1002,1002,2002,1001,7001,150 Brazil
1,8001,8001,8001,4001,6401,465 Burkina
1,2251,2251,2251,3671,3691,232 Cameroon
1,0001,0001,0001,000950850 Chad
6,0004,7004,1006,9007,40010,500 China
5,2005,1005,1005,0004,7004,700 Ethiopia
1,0201,0201,520970790800 European Union
4,3004,3003,5504,6004,5004,600 India
1,4001,4001,5001,4501,4001,500 Mali
5,0505,2505,1004,7005,3006,300 Mexico
2,0502,0502,1001,8502,0002,000 Niger
6,8006,8006,7506,9507,3506,905 Nigeria
850850685800760830 South Sudan
4,4504,4504,9004,4005,9503,100 Sudan
7,9098,0148,8478,4187,5748,445 Others
53,79752,75252,60354,74856,64656,947 Subtotal
4,6995,9696,1894,1196,2836,130 United States
58,49658,72158,79258,86762,92963,077 World Total
none
Ending Stocks
457457557653889952 Argentina
18918919425021551 Brazil
31821858105147137 China
630710665670569576 Ethiopia
198198148274196151 India
259259309113172286 Mexico
294294549386993557 Sudan
1,1381,1371,5201,5471,4391,464 Others
3,4833,4624,0003,9984,6204,174 Subtotal
8938931,617885850930 United States
4,3764,3555,6174,8835,4705,104 World Total
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 38 April 2020Global Market Analysis
Regional Sorghum Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks
Thousand Metric Tons
2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19
Mar
2019/20
Apr
2019/20
TY Imports none
759 North America 592 149 597 701 701
212 South America 60 135 53 175 125
119 European Union - 28 194 486 666 200 200
0 Other Europe 0 0 0 0 0
34 Middle East 30 41 43 31 31
1 North Africa 5 1 0 0 0
578 Sub-Saharan Africa 629 719 674 833 853
9,011 East Asia 5,823 5,139 1,178 1,855 3,205
16 Southeast Asia 19 22 36 20 20
231 Others 6 64 29 25 25
10,961 Total 7,358 6,756 3,276 3,840 5,160
Production none
20,745 North America 16,837 13,737 13,971 13,173 12,973
284 Central America 308 281 272 272 272
123 Caribbean 118 91 106 91 91
5,649 South America 6,150 6,420 5,750 5,712 5,707
674 European Union - 28 632 660 737 820 820
430 Middle East 356 410 440 390 390
755 North Africa 752 754 755 755 755
25,197 Sub-Saharan Africa 29,869 27,013 28,906 27,463 27,463
2,205 East Asia 2,237 2,467 3,452 3,602 3,602
4,399 South Asia 4,717 4,957 3,615 4,540 4,540
55 Southeast Asia 50 50 50 50 50
1,791 Oceania 994 1,257 1,278 400 400
191 Others 275 183 194 190 192
62,498 Total 63,295 58,280 59,526 57,458 57,255
Domestic Consumption none
12,430 North America 11,583 8,819 11,289 11,219 9,749
292 Central America 308 281 275 275 275
123 Caribbean 120 91 108 91 91
5,409 South America 5,561 6,628 5,734 5,726 5,671
800 European Union - 28 790 970 1,520 1,020 1,020
508 Middle East 383 447 486 421 421
755 North Africa 752 754 755 755 755
25,830 Sub-Saharan Africa 29,541 27,898 29,046 28,536 28,636
11,233 East Asia 8,017 7,578 4,656 5,257 6,507
4,981 South Asia 4,665 4,817 3,717 4,465 4,465
66 Southeast Asia 71 66 85 68 68
905 Oceania 675 800 1,200 500 500
75 Others 100 75 95 95 95
63,407 Total 62,566 59,224 58,966 58,428 58,253
Ending Stocks none
1,216 North America 1,022 998 1,926 1,152 1,152
17 Central America 17 12 9 6 6
1,095 South America 1,163 1,030 829 750 750
16 European Union - 28 24 132 101 99 99
0 Middle East 0 0 0 0 0
48 North Africa 53 54 54 54 54
2,070 Sub-Saharan Africa 2,453 1,870 2,138 1,668 1,588
192 East Asia 199 184 109 270 369
151 South Asia 196 274 148 198 198
233 Oceania 272 273 241 101 101
66 Others 71 56 62 57 59
5,104 Total 5,470 4,883 5,617 4,355 4,376
NOTES: Regional definitions appear on last page of this circular. Imports are reported on a trade year basis. All other data are
reported using local marketing years.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 39 April 2020Global Market Analysis
World Oats Trade
October/September Year, Thousand Metric Tons
2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20
Mar
2019/20
Apr
none
TY Exports
250250250550455214 Australia
1,8001,8001,6651,6851,5571,667 Canada
304036342726 Chile
125125106128179220 European Union
20202710125 Kazakhstan
75110134341416 Russia
10101171948 Ukraine
1111116511 Others
2,3212,3662,2402,4542,2682,207 Subtotal
303026314437 United States
2,3512,3962,2662,4852,3122,244 World Total
none
TY Imports
2020171131 Algeria
101026300 Belarus
553564 Bosnia and Herzegovina
10109121817 Canada
200200224389278172 China
555111 Colombia
303030392138 Ecuador
5515439 European Union
202021192531 India
505046444950 Japan
252531462321 Korea, South
15010012916811977 Mexico
5050932137 Norway
404023392431 South Africa
505051495441 Switzerland
15151692415 Others
685635723855659545 Subtotal
166114587123167 Unaccounted
1,6501,7001,3981,5431,5301,532 United States
2,3512,3962,2662,4852,3122,244 World Total
TY=Trade Year, see Endnotes.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 40 April 2020Global Market Analysis
World Oats Production, Consumption, and Stocks
Local Marketing Years, Thousand Metric Tons
2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20
Mar
2019/20
Apr
none
Production
110110110110110110 Algeria
330330572492785553 Argentina
9359358881,2272,2661,300 Australia
450450342500390492 Belarus
825825795634828351 Brazil
4,1604,1603,4363,7333,2313,425 Canada
440440385573713533 Chile
625625575550525350 China
7,9207,9207,7158,0588,0447,524 European Union
267267336285335244 Kazakhstan
9990103727185 Mexico
300300144283359286 Norway
4,4204,4204,7155,4484,7504,527 Russia
230230230250225250 Turkey
427430423481510498 Ukraine
302302335279310293 Others
21,84021,83421,10422,97523,45220,821 Subtotal
7717718157209381,298 United States
22,61122,60521,91923,69524,39022,119 World Total
none
Total Consumption
130130111117132141 Algeria
370370550525760550 Argentina
7007007009001,5001,025 Australia
455455375500400500 Belarus
805805775675775345 Brazil
2,1002,1002,0802,0351,8541,620 Canada
375375375575655495 Chile
850850870850710500 China
7,7507,7507,8507,9007,9507,400 European Union
250250315275274245 Kazakhstan
245190255200195190 Mexico
330330250320315296 Norway
4,2004,2004,7005,4004,8004,600 Russia
240240230240240240 Turkey
420430450480450450 Ukraine
526526566533508506 Others
19,84519,84420,52621,66421,71019,195 Subtotal
2,3992,4062,3292,3582,5372,700 United States
22,24422,25022,85524,02224,24721,895 World Total
none
Ending Stocks
129129144196419143 Australia
525237236816 Brazil
687687417784703947 Canada
14514517024115259 China
436436386613637690 European Union
656568757527 Kazakhstan
20517060167147199 Russia
230209229302391275 Others
1,9491,8931,5112,4012,5922,356 Subtotal
478522549595731824 United States
2,4272,4152,0602,9963,3233,180 World Total
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 41 April 2020Global Market Analysis
Regional Oats Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks
Thousand Metric Tons
2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19
Mar
2019/20
Apr
2019/20
TY Imports none
1,626 North America 1,667 1,723 1,536 1,810 1,810
48 South America 31 46 41 40 40
9 European Union - 28 3 4 15 5 5
53 Other Europe 63 76 150 108 108
4 Former Soviet Union - 12 11 3 31 10 10
1 Middle East 0 0 0 5 5
31 North Africa 15 9 3 22 22
31 Sub-Saharan Africa 24 39 23 40 40
243 East Asia 350 479 301 275 275
31 South Asia 25 19 21 20 20
0 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0
2,077 Total 2,189 2,398 2,121 2,335 2,335
Production none
4,808 North America 4,240 4,525 4,354 5,021 5,030
1,478 South America 2,373 1,736 1,810 1,626 1,626
7,524 European Union - 28 8,044 8,058 7,715 7,920 7,920
421 Other Europe 502 426 293 451 451
5,768 Former Soviet Union - 12 5,990 6,719 5,822 5,573 5,570
250 Middle East 225 250 230 230 230
152 North Africa 125 145 173 150 150
38 Sub-Saharan Africa 56 23 33 40 40
351 East Asia 526 551 576 626 626
0 South Asia 0 0 0 0 0
1,329 Oceania 2,309 1,262 913 968 968
22,119 Total 24,390 23,695 21,919 22,605 22,611
Domestic Consumption none
4,510 North America 4,586 4,593 4,664 4,696 4,744
1,453 South America 2,269 1,859 1,796 1,621 1,621
7,400 European Union - 28 7,950 7,900 7,850 7,750 7,750
487 Other Europe 514 519 454 536 536
5,802 Former Soviet Union - 12 5,929 6,660 5,846 5,341 5,331
240 Middle East 240 240 230 240 240
183 North Africa 151 152 176 172 172
72 Sub-Saharan Africa 67 66 65 75 75
571 East Asia 784 940 951 926 926
31 South Asia 25 19 21 20 20
1,054 Oceania 1,540 935 728 730 730
21,803 Total 24,055 23,883 22,781 22,107 22,145
Ending Stocks none
1,775 North America 1,437 1,383 969 1,212 1,172
140 South America 240 122 130 125 135
690 European Union - 28 637 613 386 436 436
35 Other Europe 82 62 50 51 51
298 Former Soviet Union - 12 316 330 177 280 322
21 Middle East 6 16 16 11 11
1 North Africa 1 3 3 3 3
15 Sub-Saharan Africa 28 24 15 20 20
62 East Asia 154 244 170 145 145
0 South Asia 0 0 0 0 0
143 Oceania 422 199 144 132 132
3,180 Total 3,323 2,996 2,060 2,415 2,427
NOTES: Regional definitions appear on last page of this circular. Imports are reported on a trade year basis. All other data are
reported using local marketing years.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 42 April 2020Global Market Analysis
World Rye Trade
October/September Year, Thousand Metric Tons
2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20
Mar
2019/20
Apr
none
TY Exports
000000 Albania
150150152227132112 Canada
20020018792139160 European Union
25251781522923 Russia
303042381421 Ukraine
0011924 Others
405405560510323340 Subtotal
554446 United States
410410564514327346 World Total
none
TY Imports
101092830 Belarus
222200 Canada
25252211371639 European Union
20201521412 Israel
202023212416 Japan
553345 Korea, South
5519542 Norway
5453929 Others
929129722064103 Subtotal
6869-27-309126 Unaccounted
250250294324172217 United States
410410564514327346 World Total
TY=Trade Year, see Endnotes.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 43 April 2020Global Market Analysis
World Rye Production, Consumption, and Stocks
Local Marketing Years, Thousand Metric Tons
2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20
Mar
2019/20
Apr
none
Production
12012087867961 Argentina
650650503670651753 Belarus
330330236342436226 Canada
7,9507,9506,2087,4057,4407,833 European Union
1,4241,4241,9142,5402,5382,084 Russia
320320320320300330 Turkey
339340396510394394 Ukraine
164164122176155186 Others
11,29711,2989,78612,04911,99311,867 Subtotal
270270214260339295 United States
11,56711,56810,00012,30912,33212,162 World Total
none
Total Consumption
12012087867961 Argentina
303030302930 Australia
660660550665700800 Belarus
160160142199180119 Canada
7,4007,4006,5007,7007,6007,900 European Union
272735353337 Kazakhstan
555527542667 Norway
1,4501,4501,7502,5002,4002,150 Russia
320320320320300330 Turkey
305305330480380420 Ukraine
11010910310510091 Others
10,65010,6509,90012,20811,85212,023 Subtotal
566566518483496515 United States
11,21611,21610,41812,69112,34812,538 World Total
none
Ending Stocks
353535614199 Belarus
90906811616551 Canada
8608604856749891,209 European Union
111112 Japan
9090141260291158 Russia
141414141414 Turkey
545549697775 Ukraine
00416124 Others
1,1441,1457971,2111,5901,612 Subtotal
151511151812 United States
1,1591,1608081,2261,6081,624 World Total
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 44 April 2020Global Market Analysis
Regional Rye Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks
Thousand Metric Tons
2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19
Mar
2019/20
Apr
2019/20
TY Imports none
217 North America 172 326 296 252 252
0 South America 0 0 0 0 0
39 European Union - 28 16 137 221 25 25
7 Other Europe 9 8 22 8 9
24 Former Soviet Union - 12 7 28 11 11 11
12 Middle East 4 21 15 20 20
0 Sub-Saharan Africa 0 0 0 0 0
21 East Asia 28 24 26 25 25
0 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0
320 Total 236 544 591 341 342
Production none
521 North America 775 602 450 600 600
69 South America 91 97 100 132 132
7,833 European Union - 28 7,440 7,405 6,208 7,950 7,950
108 Other Europe 70 93 53 96 96
3,268 Former Soviet Union - 12 3,624 3,759 2,836 2,437 2,436
330 Middle East 300 320 320 320 320
3 Sub-Saharan Africa 3 3 3 3 3
0 East Asia 0 0 0 0 0
30 Oceania 29 30 30 30 30
12,162 Total 12,332 12,309 10,000 11,568 11,567
Domestic Consumption none
634 North America 676 682 660 726 726
69 South America 91 97 100 132 132
7,900 European Union - 28 7,600 7,700 6,500 7,400 7,400
113 Other Europe 78 100 73 104 105
3,407 Former Soviet Union - 12 3,513 3,680 2,665 2,442 2,442
342 Middle East 304 341 335 340 340
3 Sub-Saharan Africa 3 3 3 3 3
22 East Asia 29 24 26 25 25
30 Oceania 29 30 30 30 30
12,520 Total 12,323 12,657 10,392 11,202 11,203
Ending Stocks none
63 North America 183 131 79 105 105
0 South America 0 0 0 0 0
1,209 European Union - 28 989 674 485 860 860
0 Other Europe 0 0 0 0 0
336 Former Soviet Union - 12 421 406 229 180 179
14 Middle East 14 14 14 14 14
0 Sub-Saharan Africa 0 0 0 0 0
2 East Asia 1 1 1 1 1
0 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0
1,624 Total 1,608 1,226 808 1,160 1,159
NOTES: Regional definitions appear on last page of this circular. Imports are reported on a trade year basis. All other data are
reported using local marketing years.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 45 April 2020Global Market Analysis