Record full-year earnings - DBS

34
Disclaimer: The information contained in this document is intended only for use during the presentation and should not be disseminated or distributed to parties outside the presentation. DBS Bank accepts no liability whatsoever with respect to the use of this document or its contents. Record full-year earnings DBS Group Holdings 4Q 2019 financial results February 13, 2020

Transcript of Record full-year earnings - DBS

Page 1: Record full-year earnings - DBS

Disclaimer: The information contained in this document is intended only for use during the presentation and should not be disseminated or distributed to parties outside the presentation.

DBS Bank accepts no liability whatsoever with respect to the use of this document or its contents.

Record full-year earnings

DBS Group Holdings

4Q 2019 financial results

February 13, 2020

Page 2: Record full-year earnings - DBS

Highlights

2

Full-year earnings up 14% to record $6.39 billion

▪ Total income increases 10% to $14.5 billion from broad-based business momentum

▪ Cost-income ratio improves one percentage point to 43%

▪ ROE rises from 12.1% a year ago to a record 13.2%

Fourth-quarter earnings up 14% from year ago to $1.51 billion

▪ Total income up 7% to $3.46 billion from loan growth and a double-digit improvement in fee income

▪ Fee income up 17% to $741 million led by wealth management and investment banking fees

Balance sheet remains strong

▪ Non-performing assets stable from previous quarter, NPL rate unchanged at 1.5%, fourth-quarter

specific allowances of 21 basis points of loans in line with recent quarters

▪ CET-1 at 14.1%, LCR at 139%, NSFR at 110%

Quarterly dividend per share rises from 30 cents to 33 cents

▪ Full-year 2019 payout at $1.23

▪ Barring unforeseen circumstances, annualised payout going forward rises to $1.32

Page 3: Record full-year earnings - DBS

5,625 6,391

670 272 419 7 460 142

FY18Net profit

Net interestincome

Feeincome

Other income Expenses Netallowances

Tax andothers

FY19Net profit

Full-year net profit up 14% on year

33

(S$m) FY19 YoY %

Total income 14,544 10

Expenses 6,258 8

Profit before allowances 8,286 12

Allowances 703 (1)

Net profit 6,391 14

negative

positiveImpact on earnings:

+7%+10% +8%+29%

record

record

record

▪ Record total income underpinned by non-trade

corporate loan growth, higher net interest

margin, record fee income and stronger

trading income

▪ Positive jaw results in one-percentage-point

improvement in cost-income ratio to 43%

▪ SP stable at 20 basis points of loans

Page 4: Record full-year earnings - DBS

1,319 1,508

96 106 14 83 99 11

4Q18Net profit

Net interestincome

Feeincome

Other income Expenses Netallowances

Tax andothers

4Q19Net profit

4Q net profit rises 14% on year

44

+4%+17% +7%+5%

negative

positiveImpact on earnings:

▪ Total income up 7% from loan and fee income

growth

▪ Fee income up 17% led by wealth management

and investment banking

▪ Total allowances decline from lower SP and

higher GP write-back

(S$m) 4Q19 YoY %

Total income 3,461 7

Expenses 1,600 7

Profit before allowances 1,861 7

Allowances 122 (40)

Net profit 1,508 14

Page 5: Record full-year earnings - DBS

(S$m) 4Q19 QoQ %

Total income 3,461 (9)

Expenses 1,600 (1)

Profit before allowances 1,861 (16)

Allowances 122 (52)

Net profit 1,508 (7)

1,629 1,508

14 132 95

34 73 255

3Q19Net profit

Net interestincome

Feeincome

Other income Expenses Netallowances

Tax andothers

4Q19Net profit

4Q net profit 7% lower on quarter

55

-1% -9%

-1%-46%

negative

positiveImpact on earnings:

▪ Total income down 9% due to seasonally-lower

non-interest income and a decline in net interest

margin from lower interest rates

▪ Net interest income stable as lower net interest

margin offset by broad-based loan growth

▪ Total allowances decline due to GP write-back

Page 6: Record full-year earnings - DBS

2.002.05 2.08 2.10

2.15 2.18 2.152.09

2.062.15

Net interest margin down 4bp on quarter from lower interest

rates

6

8,955 9,625

FY18 FY19

2,128 2,224

2,273 2,330 2,310

2,429 2,460 2,426

1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 4Q18 1Q19 2Q19 3Q19 4Q19

1.85 1.89

Net interest

income (S$m)

Group

Excluding TM

Net interest

margin (%)

1.83 1.85 1.86 1.87 1.88 1.91 1.90

1.86

Page 7: Record full-year earnings - DBS

44

202

114

362

As at Dec 19 4Q18 1Q19 2Q19 3Q19 4Q19

Loans grow 2% on quarter from broad-based growth

7

In constant-currency terms

▪ Gross loans up $7bn or 2%

on quarter from broad-

based growth

▪ Housing loans rise

moderately after declining

for three quarters

▪ Overall loans up $15bn or

4% on year, led by non-

trade corporate loan growth

7

Constant-currency change

+4

Others

+0

+3

+5

Gross loans

+7

Trade

Other

IBG

CBG /

WM

(S$bn)

+

Page 8: Record full-year earnings - DBS

345 347 350 353 358 394 395 391 400 404

46 46 54 58 57

Ample liquidity with LCR at 139%

8

Loans Other

funding

Deposits

440 441 445

8

458(S$bn) 461

Dec-18 Mar-19 Jun-19 Sep-19 Dec-19

Ratios (%)

LDR 88 88 90 88 89

LCR 138 137 137 131 139

NSFR 109 111 109 110 110

Other funding comprises senior medium term notes, commercial papers, negotiable certificates of deposit, other debt securities and covered bonds

Page 9: Record full-year earnings - DBS

720 760

714 790

390 407

1,141

1,290

128

213 154

114 3,247

3,574

FY18 FY19

178 178 178 186 188 182 190 200

156 171 185 202 189 198 202 201

99 91 110 90 108 98 117 84

331 300 292 218

315 332357

286

38 39 2229

2256

55

8049 38 36 31

29 30

30

25851

817 823 756

851 896

951

1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 4Q18 1Q19 2Q19 3Q19 4Q19

4Q gross fee income up 16% on year, led by wealth management

and investment banking

99Gross fee income

Transaction services

Wealth management

Loan-related

Cards

Investment banking

Brokerage

(S$m)

876

Page 10: Record full-year earnings - DBS

613 635 668 697 646 672 741 685

785 783 813 804 852 874 873 915

1,398 1,418 1,481 1,501 1,498 1,546

1,614 1,600

1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 4Q18 1Q19 2Q19 3Q19 4Q19

42

44 44

46

42 42 42

46

Full-year cost-income ratio improves to 43%

10

44

43 Cost / income

(%)

Other

expenses

Staff

expenses

(S$m)

2,613 2,744

3,1853,514

5,798 6,258

FY18 FY19

Page 11: Record full-year earnings - DBS

Full-year CBG / WM income and earnings rise to new highs

11

▪ Total income up 11% from broad-

based growth led by deposit and

investment product income

▪ Wealth Management segment

income rises 16% to $3.08 billion

▪ AUM increases 11% to $245 billion

▪ Market share maintained for SGD

savings deposits at 53% and

Singapore housing loans at 31%

(S$m) FY19 FY18 YoY %

Total income 6,299 5,653 11

Retail 3,219 2,992 8

Wealth Management 3,080 2,661 16

Loans and deposits 3,729 3,316 12

Investment products 1,714 1,517 13

Cards 795 774 3

Others 61 46 33

Expenses 3,280 3,031 8

Profit before allowances 3,019 2,622 15

AUM (S$bn) 245 220 11

SGD savings (S$bn) 116 115 1

Page 12: Record full-year earnings - DBS

Full-year IBG income up 5% led by cash management

▪ Total income growth of 5% led by

cash management

▪ Assets rise 6% from loan growth,

GTS deposits flat from reduction in

higher-cost accounts

12

(S$m) FY19 FY18 YoY %

Total income 6,073 5,760 5

Corporate 3,943 3,746 5

SME 2,130 2,014 6

Loans 2,677 2,614 2

Trade 666 719 (7)

Cash / SFS 1,955 1,708 14

Treasury 601 602 (0)

Investment banking 174 117 48

Expenses 2,015 1,839 10

Profit before allowances 4,058 3,921 3

Assets (S$bn) 278 263 6

GTS deposits (S$bn) 140 142 (1)

Page 13: Record full-year earnings - DBS

6 8 9 (8) (3)

6 13 12

33 (59)

6 (54)

18 89

29 60

249 107

224 92

293 202

290147

323

312

303

257

312 332

342

288

572

419

527

349

605 534

632

435

1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 4Q18 1Q19 2Q19 3Q19 4Q19

4 7

Full-year TM income increases 39%, customer income up 7%

13

TM

Customer

(S$m)

YoY (%)

Customer

Treasury customer income is included under IBG/CBG segment income.

It is included in this chart for a complete product view

TM(21)

39

672932

1,195

1,274

1,867

2,206

FY18 FY19

Page 14: Record full-year earnings - DBS

14

Full-year Hong Kong constant-currency earnings up 11%

+9%+7% +4%+20%

Constant-currency change and excluding property gain YoY%:

Excluding property gain (S$m) FY19 YoY%Constant-

currency YoY%

Total income 2,929 10 9

Expenses 1,109 5 4

Profit before allowances 1,820 14 13

Allowances 102 42 40

Net profit 1,428 12 11

▪ Total income up 9% to new high from

loan growth, higher NIM, growth in

cash management, bancassurance

and loan-related fees

▪ Positive jaw results in 11% increase

in net profit to new high of $1.43

billion

record

record

record

negative

positiveImpact on earnings:

1,276 1,428

182 50 42 4 53 34 39

FY18Net profit

Net interestincome

Feeincome

Otherincome

Expenses SP GP Tax andothers

FY19Net profit

Page 15: Record full-year earnings - DBS

NPL ratio stable at 1.5%

15

(S$m) 4Q18 1Q19 2Q19 3Q19 4Q19

NPAs at start of period 5,902 5,684 5,648 5,821 5,944

IBG and others (217) (51) 171 46 (50)

New NPAs 280 109 277 367 575

Upgrades, settlements and recoveries (318) (139) (82) (95) (206)

Write-offs (179) (21) (24) (226) (419)

CBG / WM (8) 41 9 (7) (20)

Translation 7 (26) (7) 84 (101)

NPAs at end of period 5,684 5,648 5,821 5,944 5,773

NPL ratio (%) 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5

Page 16: Record full-year earnings - DBS

4Q SP for loans stable at 21 bp

16

(S$m) 4Q18 1Q19 2Q19 3Q19 4Q19

IBG and others 158 87 142 140 127

Add charges for 187 102 154 164 165

New NPLs 102 22 49 82 65

Existing NPLs 85 80 105 82 100

Subtract charges for 29 15 12 24 38

Upgrades 0 0 0 0 1

Settlements 9 9 9 18 32

Recoveries 20 6 3 6 5

CBG / WM 60 43 48 50 61

SP charges for loans 218 130 190 190 188

Other credit exposures 11 43 3 7 11

Total SP charges 229 173 193 197 199

SP / loans (bp) 25 15 22 21 21

Page 17: Record full-year earnings - DBS

Total decline in GP of $83m includes FX translation of $6m (grey bar) taken through reserves

2,594 2,511

77

292 404

2,886 2,915

Sep 19 Dec 19

Moderate decline in GP on quarter

17

(S$m)

ECL

RLAR

$77 million write-

back through P&L

RLAR is regulatory loss allowance reserves

Page 18: Record full-year earnings - DBS

Strong CET-1 and leverage ratios

Common Equity Tier 1

Tier 2

(%)

18

Additional Tier 1

RWA (S$bn) 290 297 302 306 304

Leverage ratio (%) 7.1 7.3 6.9 7.0 7.0

13.9 14.1 13.6 13.8 14.1

1.2 1.1 0.9 0.9 0.9

1.8 1.8 1.7 1.7 1.7

16.9 17.0 16.2 16.4 16.7

Dec-18 Mar-19 Jun-19 Sep-19 Dec-19

Page 19: Record full-year earnings - DBS

19

Quarterly dividend up 10% to 33 cents

30 33

60

30

30

60

60

30

50

30

33

2016 2017 2018 2019

(S¢ per share)

Final

Interim

Quarterly

Special

2Q

1Q

3Q

4Q

Page 20: Record full-year earnings - DBS

In summary – record full-year earnings

20

Record performance from broad-based business momentum despite external

headwinds

Full-year ROE at new high of 13.2%, reflecting improved profitability and

quality of franchise

Will weather uncertainties with nimble execution supported by strong balance

sheet with ample capital and liquidity

Page 21: Record full-year earnings - DBS

Disclaimer: The information contained in this document is intended only for use during the presentation and should not be disseminated or distributed to parties outside the presentation.

DBS Bank accepts no liability whatsoever with respect to the use of this document or its contents.

Supplementary slides

DBS Group Holdings

4Q 2019 financial results

February 13, 2020

Page 22: Record full-year earnings - DBS

Record full-year earnings

22

(S$m) FY19 FY18 YoY %

Net interest income 9,625 8,955 7

Fee income 3,052 2,780 10

Trading income 1,459 1,178 24

Other income 408 270 51

Non-interest income 4,919 4,228 16

Total income 14,544 13,183 10

Staff expenses 3,514 3,185 10

Other expenses 2,744 2,613 5

Expenses 6,258 5,798 8

Profit before allowances 8,286 7,385 12

GP (ECL Stage 1 and 2) (58) (1) NM

SP (ECL Stage 3) 761 711 7

Allowances 703 710 (1)

Net profit 6,391 5,625 14

One-time items 0 (48) NM

Net profit incl. one-time items 6,391 5,577 15

Page 23: Record full-year earnings - DBS

4Q earnings up 14% on year

23

(S$m) 4Q19 4Q18 YoY % 3Q19 QoQ %

Net interest income 2,426 2,330 4 2,460 (1)

Fee income 741 635 17 814 (9)

Trading income 228 229 (0) 431 (47)

Other income 66 51 29 118 (44)

Non-interest income 1,035 915 13 1,363 (24)

Total income 3,461 3,245 7 3,823 (9)

Staff expenses 915 804 14 873 5

Other expenses 685 697 (2) 741 (8)

Expenses 1,600 1,501 7 1,614 (1)

Profit before allowances 1,861 1,744 7 2,209 (16)

GP (ECL Stage 1 and 2) (77) (24) NM 61 NM

SP (ECL Stage 3) 199 229 (13) 193 3

Allowances 122 205 (40) 254 (52)

Net profit 1,508 1,319 14 1,629 (7)

One-time items 0 0 0 0 0

Net profit incl. one-time items 1,508 1,319 14 1,629 (7)

Page 24: Record full-year earnings - DBS

Full-year ROE higher at 13.2%

24

(%) 4Q19 4Q18 3Q19 FY19 FY18

Net interest margin 1.86 1.87 1.90 1.89 1.85

Fee income / total income 21 20 21 21 21

Non-interest income / total income 30 28 36 34 32

Cost / income 46 46 42 43 44

ROE 12.1 11.3 13.4 13.2 12.1

Loan / deposit 89 88 88 89 88

SP / loans (bp) 21 25 21 20 19

NPL ratio 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5

Page 25: Record full-year earnings - DBS

(200)

(100)

0

100

200

300

400

500

Business unit income momentum

25

IBG

CBG / WM

TM

Change over year-ago period

(S$m)

4Q18 2Q191Q19 4Q193Q19

309383

422

300

114

Page 26: Record full-year earnings - DBS

4Q Hong Kong constant-currency earnings up 5% on year

26

(S$m) 4Q19 4Q18 YoY % YoY % 3Q19 QoQ % QoQ %

Net interest income 493 501 (2) (1) 525 (6) (5)

Net fee and commission income 169 148 14 16 175 (3) (1)

Other non-interest income 52 49 6 7 56 (7) (4)

Non-interest income 221 197 12 14 231 (4) (2)

Total income 714 698 2 3 756 (6) (4)

Expenses 282 273 3 4 299 (6) (4)

Profit before allowances 432 425 2 3 457 (5) (4)

GP (ECL Stage 1 and 2) 3 (16) NM NM 49 (94) (93)

SP (ECL Stage 3) 17 47 (64) (66) 10 70 52

Allowances 20 31 (35) (38) 59 (66) (67)

Net profit 339 329 3 5 334 1 4

Net interest margin (%) 1.99 2.06 2.09

Loan growth (%) 5 (0)

Non-trade growth (%) 10 2

Trade growth (%) (23) (13)

Deposit growth (%) 2 4

Constant-currency terms

Page 27: Record full-year earnings - DBS

Full-year regional profit before allowances little changed on year

27Operations outside of Singapore and Hong Kong

(S$m) FY19 FY18 YoY %

Net interest income 1,473 1,461 1

Non-interest income 956 807 18

Total income 2,429 2,268 7

Expenses 1,511 1,387 9

Profit before allowances 918 881 4

Allowances 376 230 63

Net profit 374 500 (25)

Page 28: Record full-year earnings - DBS

70% 72% 72% 75% 71%

8% 7% 11% 6% 10%22% 21% 17% 19% 19%

1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5

Dec-18 Mar-19 Jun-19 Sep-19 Dec-19

SP / loans (bp) 25 15 22 21 21

Total allowances as % of:

NPA 98 100 100 96 94

Unsecured NPA 178 181 181 181 191

NPL ratio (%)

NPA (S$m)

Not overdue

Within 90 days overdue

More than 90 days overdue

5,7735,684 5,648 5,821

28

5,944

NPL stable, allowance coverage healthy

Page 29: Record full-year earnings - DBS

FVOCI fixed income securities duration remains short

29Time-banding is based on maturity date from reporting date

($m) Dec 19 Sep 19

Government securities 19,748 21,578

Less than 3 years 14,301 16,210

3 to 5 years 1,813 1,826

5 to 10 years 3,438 3,496

More than 10 years 196 46

Supranational, bank and corporate bonds 10,592 10,672

Total 30,340 32,250

FVOCI reserves 88 63

Page 30: Record full-year earnings - DBS

Deposits up 2% on quarter and up 3% on year in constant-

currency terms

30

(S$bn) QoQ (%) YoY (%)

Dec-19 Reported Underlying Reported Underlying

Deposits 404 1 2 3 3

By product

Casa 238 3 4 3 4

Fixed deposits 163 (1) (0) 2 3

Other 3 (12) (11) (22) (21)

By currency

Singapore dollar 163 0 0 2 2

US dollar 141 (0) 3 2 3

HK dollar 37 (0) 2 0 1

Chinese yuan 13 14 14 1 4

Others 51 5 4 8 9

LDR (%) Dec-19 Sep-19 Dec-18

Overall 89 88 88

Singapore dollar 89 88 89

US dollar 77 78 80

Page 31: Record full-year earnings - DBS

527 665

770 663 668 697

632760 795 807

718

2017 2018 2019 1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 4Q18 1Q19 2Q19 3Q19 4Q19

Wealth Management segment

31

Income (S$m)

(S$bn)

AUM

Earning

assets

206 220 245 208 216 220 220 230 234 241 245

253 270 297 256 265 270 270 281 285 293 297

Quarterly average

Comprising Treasures, Treasures Private Client and Private Bank

QoQ

-11%

YoY

+14%

+2%

+1%

+11%

+10%

Page 32: Record full-year earnings - DBS

SME segment

32

428504 532

455 486 525 550 543 539 538 508

2017 2018 2019 1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 4Q18 1Q19 2Q19 3Q19 4Q19

Quarterly average

37 38 37 37 38 39 38 37 37 38 37

53 59 61 52 56 57 59 58 59 60 61

Loans

Deposits

Income (S$m)

QoQ

-6%

YoY

-8%

-3%

+2%

-3%

+3%

(S$bn)

Page 33: Record full-year earnings - DBS

464

610657

523

591647

679 666 676 660626

2017 2018 2019 1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 4Q18 1Q19 2Q19 3Q19 4Q19

Global transaction services

33Assets and deposits at end of period

Quarterly average

50 47 50 50 52 48 47 46 47 47 50

142 142 140 134 137 141 142 133 132 140 140

Trade assets

Deposits

(S$bn)

Cash / SFS

Trade

Income (S$m)

QoQ

-5%

YoY

-8%

+8%

0%

+7%

-1%

Page 34: Record full-year earnings - DBS

Disclaimer: The information contained in this document is intended only for use during the presentation and should not be disseminated or distributed to parties outside the presentation.

DBS Bank accepts no liability whatsoever with respect to the use of this document or its contents.

DBS Group Holdings

4Q 2019 financial results

February 13, 2020

Record full-year earnings