Recap of Panels 2B, 3, 4A, 4B Ms. Cynthia Nelson, OFCM Mr. Gary Nelson, MITRETEK Mr. Floyd Hauth,...

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Recap of Panels 2B, 3, 4A, 4B Ms. Cynthia Nelson, OFCM Mr. Gary Nelson, MITRETEK Mr. Floyd Hauth, OFCM (STC) Mr. Donald Carver, OFCM

Transcript of Recap of Panels 2B, 3, 4A, 4B Ms. Cynthia Nelson, OFCM Mr. Gary Nelson, MITRETEK Mr. Floyd Hauth,...

Page 1: Recap of Panels 2B, 3, 4A, 4B Ms. Cynthia Nelson, OFCM Mr. Gary Nelson, MITRETEK Mr. Floyd Hauth, OFCM (STC) Mr. Donald Carver, OFCM.

Recap of Panels 2B, 3, 4A, 4BRecap of Panels 2B, 3, 4A, 4B

Ms. Cynthia Nelson, OFCMMr. Gary Nelson, MITRETEK

Mr. Floyd Hauth, OFCM (STC)Mr. Donald Carver, OFCM

Page 2: Recap of Panels 2B, 3, 4A, 4B Ms. Cynthia Nelson, OFCM Mr. Gary Nelson, MITRETEK Mr. Floyd Hauth, OFCM (STC) Mr. Donald Carver, OFCM.

Weather Information for Surface Transportation

Weather Information for Surface Transportation

Panel 2B

Commercial Capabilities, Services

and

Initiatives

Page 3: Recap of Panels 2B, 3, 4A, 4B Ms. Cynthia Nelson, OFCM Mr. Gary Nelson, MITRETEK Mr. Floyd Hauth, OFCM (STC) Mr. Donald Carver, OFCM.

Panel 2B MembershipPanel 2B Membership

Moderator: Ms. Sandy Thompson; NWA TV Committee

Rapporteur: Col (sel) David Smarsh, DOD-USAFMs. Cynthia Nelson, OFCM

Panelists: Dr. Greg Forbes, The Weather ChannelMs. Maria Pirone, Commercial Weather

ServicesAssociation / Weather Services,

Inc.Mr. Mike Smith, Weather Data, Inc.Mr. Edwin Bowers, Smart Routes

SystemMr. Rip Coleman, SONALYSTS

Page 4: Recap of Panels 2B, 3, 4A, 4B Ms. Cynthia Nelson, OFCM Mr. Gary Nelson, MITRETEK Mr. Floyd Hauth, OFCM (STC) Mr. Donald Carver, OFCM.

Panel 2B - Key ResultsPanel 2B - Key Results

• Public/Private Partnership is critical to successful progression from infancy to full operational capability for all entities

• The traveling public should continue to have access to free weather information and they expect to see pinpoint forecast in the future

Page 5: Recap of Panels 2B, 3, 4A, 4B Ms. Cynthia Nelson, OFCM Mr. Gary Nelson, MITRETEK Mr. Floyd Hauth, OFCM (STC) Mr. Donald Carver, OFCM.

Panel 2B - Key ResultsPanel 2B - Key Results

• DOTs need pinpoint forecast and decision-making tools that directly utilize weather information and roadway conditions to recommend actions

• Science of weather will rise to expectations and needs of customers– Mesoscale models still need improvement to address

surface transportation– Require good high-resolution weather observations– Need human forecaster interpretations and sanity check

Page 6: Recap of Panels 2B, 3, 4A, 4B Ms. Cynthia Nelson, OFCM Mr. Gary Nelson, MITRETEK Mr. Floyd Hauth, OFCM (STC) Mr. Donald Carver, OFCM.

Panel 2B - Key ResultsPanel 2B - Key Results

• Education of all sides (user and providers) is important for the successful development and use of surface transportation weather products

• Key is to take data and make useful information out of it– Users need relevant information to make decisions– Standardize formats for all data services and

communications – Centralized collection / quality control of data

Page 7: Recap of Panels 2B, 3, 4A, 4B Ms. Cynthia Nelson, OFCM Mr. Gary Nelson, MITRETEK Mr. Floyd Hauth, OFCM (STC) Mr. Donald Carver, OFCM.

Panel 3

Technical Risks

and

Challenges

Weather Information for Surface Transportation

Weather Information for Surface Transportation

Page 8: Recap of Panels 2B, 3, 4A, 4B Ms. Cynthia Nelson, OFCM Mr. Gary Nelson, MITRETEK Mr. Floyd Hauth, OFCM (STC) Mr. Donald Carver, OFCM.

Panel 3 MembershipPanel 3 Membership

Moderator: Mr. Kenneth Kobetsky, AASHTO

Rapporteur: Mr. Michael Neyland, OFCM (STC)Mr. Gary Nelson, MITRETEK

Panelists: Prof. Leon Osborne, University of North Dakota

Mr. Bill Mahoney, National Center forAtmospheric Research

Dr. Paul Jovanis, Pennsylvania State University

Mr. Bradley Skarpness, Battelle

Page 9: Recap of Panels 2B, 3, 4A, 4B Ms. Cynthia Nelson, OFCM Mr. Gary Nelson, MITRETEK Mr. Floyd Hauth, OFCM (STC) Mr. Donald Carver, OFCM.

Key Discussion Results - Leon OsborneKey Discussion Results - Leon Osborne

• DSSs have made dramatic evolution last 5 years--impacts of internet– Risks: Limits to numerical weather

prediction• Recognize limits• Use human oversight = human in the loop

for tailoring and sanity check

Page 10: Recap of Panels 2B, 3, 4A, 4B Ms. Cynthia Nelson, OFCM Mr. Gary Nelson, MITRETEK Mr. Floyd Hauth, OFCM (STC) Mr. Donald Carver, OFCM.

Key Discussion Results - Leon OsborneKey Discussion Results - Leon Osborne

– Risks: One size does NOT fit all applications• Tailoring• Effective data exchange (standards)

– Initiative: Increase awareness across disciplines of transportation and meteorology

– Initiative: Parallel R&D in meteorology and transportation

Page 11: Recap of Panels 2B, 3, 4A, 4B Ms. Cynthia Nelson, OFCM Mr. Gary Nelson, MITRETEK Mr. Floyd Hauth, OFCM (STC) Mr. Donald Carver, OFCM.

Key Discussion Results - Bill Mahoney

• Four major areas:– Weather diagnosis and forecast

• Need “misoscale” - meters > km horizontal / 2 m vertical domain

– Weather data acquisition• National access (standards, roles)• Collect all observational data

Page 12: Recap of Panels 2B, 3, 4A, 4B Ms. Cynthia Nelson, OFCM Mr. Gary Nelson, MITRETEK Mr. Floyd Hauth, OFCM (STC) Mr. Donald Carver, OFCM.

Key Discussion Results - Bill Mahoney

– Decision Support Systems• User community is diverse• Must respond to bottom-up need to

be accepted by users• Evolutionary change to work process

– Long-term, multi-faceted R&D must be established

Page 13: Recap of Panels 2B, 3, 4A, 4B Ms. Cynthia Nelson, OFCM Mr. Gary Nelson, MITRETEK Mr. Floyd Hauth, OFCM (STC) Mr. Donald Carver, OFCM.

Key Discussion Results - Paul Jovanis

• Problem: NOT in sync with state ITS architecture

• Successful collaboration– Trusted / familiar investigator– College and research center support

• Challenge: cultural differences in meteorology and transportation disciplines

Page 14: Recap of Panels 2B, 3, 4A, 4B Ms. Cynthia Nelson, OFCM Mr. Gary Nelson, MITRETEK Mr. Floyd Hauth, OFCM (STC) Mr. Donald Carver, OFCM.

Key Discussion Results - Brad Skarpness• Four evaluations• Objectives:

– Added value from new information– Measure change in behavior– Impact on transportation performance

• Problems:– Market penetration limited in new ITS– Measuring crash impact, needs long study

period

Page 15: Recap of Panels 2B, 3, 4A, 4B Ms. Cynthia Nelson, OFCM Mr. Gary Nelson, MITRETEK Mr. Floyd Hauth, OFCM (STC) Mr. Donald Carver, OFCM.

Panel 4A

Government Decision Support

Capabilities and Services

Weather Information for Surface Transportation

Weather Information for Surface Transportation

Page 16: Recap of Panels 2B, 3, 4A, 4B Ms. Cynthia Nelson, OFCM Mr. Gary Nelson, MITRETEK Mr. Floyd Hauth, OFCM (STC) Mr. Donald Carver, OFCM.

Panel 4A MembershipPanel 4A Membership

Moderator: Ms. Shelley J. Row, DOT- FHWA

Rapporteur: Mr. Floyd Hauth, OFCM (STC)Dr. Wayne Estabrooks, DOD-USN

Panelists: Mr. Louis Lombardo, NHTSA Mr. Paul Pisano, DOT-FHWAMr. Richard Wagoner, NCARMr. Edward Brigham, DOT-RSPAMr. Jack Requa, WMATAMr. Emil Wolanin, Montgomery

CountyAdvanced Traffic Management

System

Page 17: Recap of Panels 2B, 3, 4A, 4B Ms. Cynthia Nelson, OFCM Mr. Gary Nelson, MITRETEK Mr. Floyd Hauth, OFCM (STC) Mr. Donald Carver, OFCM.

• Improve Transportation operations and outcomes– Advanced DSS applications– Open environmental info systems– National highway infostructure– Dedicated surface transportation research

program

Panel 4A - Key ResultsPanel 4A - Key Results

Vision

Page 18: Recap of Panels 2B, 3, 4A, 4B Ms. Cynthia Nelson, OFCM Mr. Gary Nelson, MITRETEK Mr. Floyd Hauth, OFCM (STC) Mr. Donald Carver, OFCM.

• Federal: manage core R&D and deliver core services

• Private: Tailor info for DSS; value added

• State DOTs: govern direction and focus

• R&D Organizations: free and open access to results of R&D

Suggested Public / Private Roles

Panel 4A - Key ResultsPanel 4A - Key Results

Page 19: Recap of Panels 2B, 3, 4A, 4B Ms. Cynthia Nelson, OFCM Mr. Gary Nelson, MITRETEK Mr. Floyd Hauth, OFCM (STC) Mr. Donald Carver, OFCM.

• Advance strategic goals and avoid duplication

• Specify weather info needs

• Identify new multimodal R&D through partnerships

• Implement multimodal products from R&D through partnerships

Panel 4A - Key ResultsPanel 4A - Key Results

RSPA

Page 20: Recap of Panels 2B, 3, 4A, 4B Ms. Cynthia Nelson, OFCM Mr. Gary Nelson, MITRETEK Mr. Floyd Hauth, OFCM (STC) Mr. Donald Carver, OFCM.

• Catalyst for Federal/Private partnerships– ITWS– USWRP– Remote sensing with NASA

Panel 4A - Key ResultsPanel 4A - Key Results

RSPA

Page 21: Recap of Panels 2B, 3, 4A, 4B Ms. Cynthia Nelson, OFCM Mr. Gary Nelson, MITRETEK Mr. Floyd Hauth, OFCM (STC) Mr. Donald Carver, OFCM.

• User of Weather Services

• Use best info to keep buses and rails running– Many decisions based on weather reports– Need projections for smallest areas

possible + updates

Panel 4A - Key ResultsPanel 4A - Key Results

WMATA

Page 22: Recap of Panels 2B, 3, 4A, 4B Ms. Cynthia Nelson, OFCM Mr. Gary Nelson, MITRETEK Mr. Floyd Hauth, OFCM (STC) Mr. Donald Carver, OFCM.

• Weather effects: Congestion, transit delays, safety, agency resources

• Managing weather impacts– Use all available sources– Plan and prepare– Improve scheduling and deployment

Panel 4A - Key ResultsPanel 4A - Key Results

Montgomery County Advanced Traffic Management System

Page 23: Recap of Panels 2B, 3, 4A, 4B Ms. Cynthia Nelson, OFCM Mr. Gary Nelson, MITRETEK Mr. Floyd Hauth, OFCM (STC) Mr. Donald Carver, OFCM.

• Adverse weather + adverse conditions= 28% crashes, 25% injuries, and 19% fatalities

• Factors– Impaired visibility– Decreased stability– Reduced controllability

• U.S. economic costs: $24 billion/year

Panel 4A - Key ResultsPanel 4A - Key Results

U.S. Crashes and Weather Environment

Page 24: Recap of Panels 2B, 3, 4A, 4B Ms. Cynthia Nelson, OFCM Mr. Gary Nelson, MITRETEK Mr. Floyd Hauth, OFCM (STC) Mr. Donald Carver, OFCM.

• Customer/provider interaction critical to improving support to surface transportation systems

Panel 4A - Key ResultsPanel 4A - Key Results

Page 25: Recap of Panels 2B, 3, 4A, 4B Ms. Cynthia Nelson, OFCM Mr. Gary Nelson, MITRETEK Mr. Floyd Hauth, OFCM (STC) Mr. Donald Carver, OFCM.

Panel 4B

Commercial Decision Support

Capabilities and Services

Weather Information for Surface Transportation

Weather Information for Surface Transportation

Page 26: Recap of Panels 2B, 3, 4A, 4B Ms. Cynthia Nelson, OFCM Mr. Gary Nelson, MITRETEK Mr. Floyd Hauth, OFCM (STC) Mr. Donald Carver, OFCM.

Panel 4B MembershipPanel 4B Membership

Moderator: Mr. Todd Glickman, MIT

Rapporteur: Mr. Bradley Rippey, USDAMr. Donald Carver, OFCM (FAA)

Panelists: Dr. Greg Forbes, The Weather Channel

Mr. Lester Yoshida, Surface Systems, Inc.

Mr. Peter Gauer, Montana State University

Mr. Hank Pomeranz, GeoWeather Solutions

Mr. Robert Wright, Planning Systems, Inc.

Page 27: Recap of Panels 2B, 3, 4A, 4B Ms. Cynthia Nelson, OFCM Mr. Gary Nelson, MITRETEK Mr. Floyd Hauth, OFCM (STC) Mr. Donald Carver, OFCM.

Panel 4B - Key ResultsPanel 4B - Key Results

• Via Television– Major Weather Events– Daily Decision Making

• Private Service– Information for Decision Process– Sensors to Differentiate Ice from Water– GIS Based Weather Impact Alerting Systems– More Internet Sites with Decision Information

Panelists Demonstrated CapabilitiesPanelists Demonstrated Capabilities

Page 28: Recap of Panels 2B, 3, 4A, 4B Ms. Cynthia Nelson, OFCM Mr. Gary Nelson, MITRETEK Mr. Floyd Hauth, OFCM (STC) Mr. Donald Carver, OFCM.

Panel 4B - Key ResultsPanel 4B - Key Results

• Research and Demonstration– Modeling Temp/Radiation Budgets– Weather Advice for Fuel Savings

Panelists Demonstrated CapabilitiesCont.

Panelists Demonstrated CapabilitiesCont.

Page 29: Recap of Panels 2B, 3, 4A, 4B Ms. Cynthia Nelson, OFCM Mr. Gary Nelson, MITRETEK Mr. Floyd Hauth, OFCM (STC) Mr. Donald Carver, OFCM.

Panel 4B - Key ResultsPanel 4B - Key Results

• Escalate Provider/User Communications– Specific User Decision Information Needs– Provider Develop Tailored Decision Products

• Integrate Information and Technology– Many Mesonets and Private Observations– Current Collection/Assimilation Capabilities– Use All Avenues for Education

Panel/Plenary DiscussionsPanel/Plenary Discussions

Page 30: Recap of Panels 2B, 3, 4A, 4B Ms. Cynthia Nelson, OFCM Mr. Gary Nelson, MITRETEK Mr. Floyd Hauth, OFCM (STC) Mr. Donald Carver, OFCM.

Panel 4B - Key ResultsPanel 4B - Key Results

• Find Process to Apply Research to User Needs– Need Facilitator to Identify the Needs– Program to Match Resources to Needs

Panel/Plenary Discussions Cont.Panel/Plenary Discussions Cont.

Page 31: Recap of Panels 2B, 3, 4A, 4B Ms. Cynthia Nelson, OFCM Mr. Gary Nelson, MITRETEK Mr. Floyd Hauth, OFCM (STC) Mr. Donald Carver, OFCM.