Reasons and prospects of EU crisis management in the ”Eastern neighbourhood” of the Union...

7
Reasons and prospects of EU crisis management in the ”Eastern neighbourhood” of the Union Eastern neighbourhood”: Eastern neighbourhood”: Strategic regions on the Strategic regions on the Eastern flank of the Union Eastern flank of the Union 1. 1. Black Sea region Black Sea region 2. 2. Southern Caucasus Southern Caucasus Eastern European security Eastern European security perimeter of the Union perimeter of the Union Similarly to the Balkans: a Similarly to the Balkans: a rea of rea of primary European responsibility primary European responsibility for security, democratisation for security, democratisation and stabilisation and stabilisation

Transcript of Reasons and prospects of EU crisis management in the ”Eastern neighbourhood” of the Union...

Page 1: Reasons and prospects of EU crisis management in the ”Eastern neighbourhood” of the Union ”Eastern neighbourhood”: Strategic regions on the Eastern flank.

Reasons and prospects of EU crisis management in the ”Eastern neighbourhood” of the Union

””Eastern neighbourhood”: Strategic regions Eastern neighbourhood”: Strategic regions on the Eastern flank of the Union on the Eastern flank of the Union

1.1. Black Sea regionBlack Sea region2.2. Southern CaucasusSouthern CaucasusEastern European security perimeter of the Eastern European security perimeter of the

UnionUnionSimilarly to the Balkans: aSimilarly to the Balkans: area of primary rea of primary

European responsibility for security, European responsibility for security, democratisation and stabilisationdemocratisation and stabilisation

Page 2: Reasons and prospects of EU crisis management in the ”Eastern neighbourhood” of the Union ”Eastern neighbourhood”: Strategic regions on the Eastern flank.

Reasons and prospects of EU crisis management in the ”Eastern neighbourhood” of the Union

Reasons for EU interests in its Eastern Reasons for EU interests in its Eastern neighbourhoodneighbourhood

1.1. EU MS of the Black seaEU MS of the Black sea

2.2. Turkey as candidateTurkey as candidate

3.3. European external energy securityEuropean external energy security

4.4. Near abroad of both the EU and Near abroad of both the EU and RussiaRussia

Page 3: Reasons and prospects of EU crisis management in the ”Eastern neighbourhood” of the Union ”Eastern neighbourhood”: Strategic regions on the Eastern flank.

Reasons and prospects of EU crisis management in the ”Eastern neighbourhood” of the Union

European Security Strategy (2003): the EU European Security Strategy (2003): the EU ””surrounded by well governed statessurrounded by well governed states” = ” = “European zone of peace and stability”. “European zone of peace and stability”.

Protracted conflicts in the Eastern Protracted conflicts in the Eastern neighbourhood as sustained sources of neighbourhood as sustained sources of insecurity and instability – Transdnistria, insecurity and instability – Transdnistria, South-Ossetia, Abkhazia, Nagorno-South-Ossetia, Abkhazia, Nagorno-KarabahKarabah

Page 4: Reasons and prospects of EU crisis management in the ”Eastern neighbourhood” of the Union ”Eastern neighbourhood”: Strategic regions on the Eastern flank.

Reasons and prospects of EU crisis management in the ”Eastern neighbourhood” of the Union

European method of pacification European method of pacification (absorption + transformation): NOT (absorption + transformation): NOT applicable without the prospect of EU applicable without the prospect of EU membershipmembership

If not through inclusion into the Union, If not through inclusion into the Union, then by means of conflict resolution = then by means of conflict resolution = engagement in crisis management and engagement in crisis management and structural prevention outside the EU structural prevention outside the EU

Page 5: Reasons and prospects of EU crisis management in the ”Eastern neighbourhood” of the Union ”Eastern neighbourhood”: Strategic regions on the Eastern flank.

Reasons and prospects of EU crisis management in the ”Eastern neighbourhood” of the Union

European lessons from the resolution and European lessons from the resolution and supervision of conflict settlements in the supervision of conflict settlements in the Balkans:Balkans:

- mediated and designed settlementsmediated and designed settlements- State- andState- and- Peace-(re)constructionPeace-(re)construction- implementation implementation of agreements of agreements with with

international guaranteesinternational guarantees- peace support operations (security peace support operations (security

assistance and enforcement) assistance and enforcement)

Page 6: Reasons and prospects of EU crisis management in the ”Eastern neighbourhood” of the Union ”Eastern neighbourhood”: Strategic regions on the Eastern flank.

Reasons and prospects of EU crisis management in the ”Eastern neighbourhood” of the Union

““FFrozen” separatist and ethnic conflicts rozen” separatist and ethnic conflicts in in the Eastern neighbouhood of the EU:the Eastern neighbouhood of the EU:

- opportunities for another application of opportunities for another application of the “Balkan recipe” of EU engagementthe “Balkan recipe” of EU engagement

- political, military and policing experience political, military and policing experience of the Unionof the Union

- phased and sustained engagements in the phased and sustained engagements in the BalkansBalkans

Page 7: Reasons and prospects of EU crisis management in the ”Eastern neighbourhood” of the Union ”Eastern neighbourhood”: Strategic regions on the Eastern flank.

Reasons and prospects of EU crisis management in the ”Eastern neighbourhood” of the Union

- ““DDormant” or “frozenormant” or “frozen”” conflicts conflicts in the in the Eastern neighbourhood -Eastern neighbourhood -constructive constructive and complex international and complex international engagements and arrangementsengagements and arrangements

- Full range of available eFull range of available efforts and fforts and means of crisis settlement and post-means of crisis settlement and post-conflict reconstruction by the EU in conflict reconstruction by the EU in concert with NATOconcert with NATO

- New Transatlantic entente?New Transatlantic entente?