Real World Appraisal
Transcript of Real World Appraisal
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Real World Appraisal Appraisals, Agents & the Real World
Quick PresentationLuxury Home Market
Robert C Oglesby, SRA, AI-RRS
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AGENDAThe licensee will identify the ethical standards and behavior requirements for the licensed and certified appraiser: understand
the required processes for residential transactions regarding valuations working within Federal and institutional guidelines; gain knowledge on how to assist with the valuation process and inform their clients.
Uniform Appraisal Dataset, Sales Grid Refresher
1 2Neighborhood / Competitive Market for the Subject
2
Selection of Comparables3
Comparable Properties: Case Studies
4Apply Adjustments to Comparable Properties
5
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7 8 9
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Common Challenges
1. Knowing the competitive market2. Knowledge of local building cost3. Understanding major elements of comparison 4. Interviewing market participants. 5. Land values
Common challenges for appraisers
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UNIFORM APPRAISAL DATASET &SALES GRID REFRESHER
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A. Condition, Quality Ratings Review
B. FNMAs Collateral Underwriter
C. Sample Sales Grid
D. USPAP refresher
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Condition, Quality Ratings Review
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Sample Sales Grid
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Design(https://www.architecturaldesigns.com/)
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Plans/Specs & PermitsMeasuring Techniques: ANSI & American Standard
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NEIGHBORHOOD/COMPETITIVE MARKET FOR SUBJECT
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A. Identify Neighborhood
B. Neighborhood Life Cycle
C. Supply & Demand, Market Conditions
D. Highest & Best Use
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Identify Neighborhood &Competitive Market
The appraiser must know the significant attributes for the subject property; generally, they are tied to location. Since we cannot move real estate, the property’s surroundings are either an asset or a determent and cannot be changed (by the owner of the subject).
How to determine the market area of the subject, usually within the neighborhood (but may expand outside neighborhood).
Neighborhood
• Generally an area of complimentary land uses
• These land uses generally function to support the neighborhood
• Contain many land uses that function together
Market Area
• A geographic or locational depiction of a specific category of real estate, may be within the neighborhood or may expand outside the neighborhood
• Where similar properties compete within the mind of the potential buyer
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Neighborhood Life CycleThe life of a neighborhood is often cyclical and is affected by many factors
Growth Stability Decline Revitalization
• Expansion
• Declining
vacancy
• Maybe short-
lived or last for
years
• Growth
continues as the
neighborhood is
perceived as
good value.
• Growth may stop,
demand for new
construction
diminishes,
supply is
restrained due to
cost, etc.
• Activity is usually
heavy
• No longer
profitable to
build, when other
neighborhoods
have become
better values or
fully developed.
• Absence of
growth or decline
• May last for a
period of time
• Homes are being
maintained, but
aging.
• Begins when a
neighborhood
can no longer
compete with a
comparable
neighborhood
• Maintenance cost
maybe too high,
due to age, etc.
• For sale signs
more frequent
• More turnover
• Tenancy
occupancy may
increase
• Properties may
fail to attract
buyers
• Decline ends,
period of renewal
begins.
• Declining values
end
• Changes in
preferences and
community
• Redevelopment
occurs
• Properties are
updated to
current trends
• Economic growth
may fuel
revitalization
• Gentrification
may occur
Source: Appraising Residential Properties 4th Edition
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SELECTION OF COMPARABLES
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A. Elements of Comparison
B. Highest & Best Use, Bracketing
C. Verification
D. Principle of Substitution
E. Agency Guidelines
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Elements of ComparisonDefinition
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Elements of comparison are characteristics of properties and transactions that cause real estate prices to vary and have the largest affect on value. They aid in explaining the variances in prices paid for real property. It is the appraiser’s responsibility to determine what the elements of comparison are for a specific appraisal assignment.
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Elements of ComparisonWorksheet Completed
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Elements of Comparison
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Important Steps, before we dive deeper with elements of comparison.
Highest & Best Use
Comparable properties must support the subject’s highest & best use, as it assists in
delineation of the market area for the subject and its buyer and desired use.
Bracketing
A process in which an appraiser determines a probable range of values for a property by applying qualitative techniques of comparative analysis to a group of comparable sales. The comparable selection may be divided into two groups:
• Superior to the subject • Inferior to the subject• The adjusted sale prices reflected by these two groups limit the probable range of
values for the subject and identify a bracket in which the final value opinion will fall. The most comparable sales will typically fall near the middle of the range.
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Elements of ComparisonThe Big 3-4 Elements of Comparison
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Discussion on the elements of comparison that have the greatest impact on price?
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Principle of Substitution
“The appraisal principle that states that when several similar or commensurate commodities, goods or services are available, the one with the lowest price will attract the greatest demand and widest distribution. This is the primary principle upon which the cost and sales comparison approaches are based.
Property values tend to be set by the price of acquiring an equally desirable substitute property. The Principle of Substitution recognizes that buyers and sellers of real property have options, i.e., other properties are available for similar uses.”
The Appraisal Institute. The Appraisal of Real Estate, 13th Edition. Chicago, 2008
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COMPARABLE PROPERTIES CASE STUDIES
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A. Custom Home
B. Premium View
C. Unique Design, Features
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Custom Home
• 4,820 square feet
• Prairie/ Two Level
• Very Good quality
of construction
Q2
• Gated/HOA
neighborhood
• 12,500 square feet
lot size
• High-level finishes
• 2 car + RV garage
• Condition Good
C2
• Neutral views
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Elements of ComparisonReference for Case Studies
Car Storage
10-20% GLA Design
Quality of
Construction
Location
4
3 3
1
2
Lot Utility Principle of
Substitution
5
Market segments can place varying levels of importance on the Elements of Comparison.
What is important in one market may not be as important in another.
Elements of Comparison
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Premium View
• 5,000 square feet
• Low Country/
Three Level
• Very Good quality
of construction
Q2
• Fully Remodeled,
Interior & Exterior
• 10,000 square feet
lot size
• Mid-level finishes
• 2 car garage
• Condition Good
C2
• Golf & Water View
• Possible Rental
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Elements of ComparisonReference for Case Studies
Quality/Condition
GLA?
Design
Bedroom &
Bath Count
Location
2
3
4
1
4View
Principle of
Substitution
1
Market segments can place varying levels of importance on the Elements of Comparison.
What is important in one market may not be as important in another.
Elements of Comparison
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APPLY ADJUSTMENTS to COMPARABLE PROPERTIES
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A. Rationale, Support
B. Credible Techniques
C. Paired-Sales aka Sales Comparison Approach to Value
D. Depreciated Cost aka Cost Approach to Value
E. Income Capilization Approach
F. Market Participant Interviews
G. Sample Statistical Models
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Rationale, Support
Appraisers are asked to support their adjustments by lenders, lawyers, relocation companies and
other common clients of residential appraisal reports. The appraiser must provide sufficient
information to enable the client and intended users to understand the rationale of the opinions
and conclusions, including reconciliation of the data.
Before employing a credible technique to support an adjustment, the appraiser must summarize
the rationale for an adjustment (or lack of an adjustment). A reasonable theory to study, would a
predominant buyer pay $1 more for an improvement versus an equal substitute does not have?
Examples:
1. An appraiser does not adjust for an improvement. The report should contain a summary the
improvement is not a benefit in the subject’s competitive market for the following reasons.
2. An adjustment is applied for an inground pool. Buyers pay a premium in the subject’s
competitive market, due to weather, where pools are used through a majority of the year.
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Credible Techniques
1. Paired-Sales aka Sales Comparison Approach
2. Depreciated Cost aka Cost Approach
3. Income Capitalization Approach
4. Market Participant Interviews
5. Statistical Models
WHAT ARE THEY? THE NEXT 5 SLIDES WILL ANSWER THIS QUESTION
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Paired-SalesQualitative & Quantitative Adjustments
Match Paired Analysis
Paired-Sales Extraction
This is the adjustment technique preferred, by most appraisers. The basic premise of this analysis for extracting an adjustment requires the appraiser to find data with and without a feature, and then isolate the difference in price due to the feature by comparing gross prices.
This technique is easy to understand and use, but the data is sometimes difficult to obtain, especially in areas where it’s hard to find three sales, let alone matched data sets to support an adjustment.
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Paired-Sales
A quantitative technique used to identify and measure
adjustments to the sale prices or rents of comparable properties; to
apply this technique, sales or rental data on nearly identical properties are analyzed
to isolate a single characteristic's effect on value or rent.Source: The Dictionary of Real Estate Appraisal – 6thEdition
Qualitative & Quantitative Adjustments
Match Paired Analysis
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Depreciated Cost
Depreciated cost – this technique is based on the premise that buyers use of cost of construction as a basis for adding or subtracting value for a particular item. A typical buyer might think they want a pool, but the house they like does not have one. So, they consider buying the house and adding a pool. Does cost always equal market? No.
Cost is generally the highest form of value the market may allow and its an estimate of fact.
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Extracting Cost From MarketQualitative & Quantitative Adjustments
Match Paired Analysis
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Market Participant Interview(buyer, broker, builder, etc.)
In a lot of cases, it sets the rationale if a particular item has an affect on price. The appraiser can interview buyers, real estate brokers, property managers, builders, attorneys, other real estate professionals that are active in the market, but not involved in the current appraisal.
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Statistical Model• Extremely important.
• The appraiser must understand the data and the procedures of the model they are using. Using a model as a basis for an adjustment, has risk if you don’t know the data. Does the model support all of the items or elements that affect price?
• Discussion
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Market Conditions Adjustment
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Sales Comparison ApproachReconciliation and Opinion of Market Value
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A. Quality of Data
B. Weighting of Comparable Properties
C. Range of Adjusted Values, Variance
D. Sales Comparison Approach to Value
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Determine an Opinion of Value
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Determine an Opinion of Value
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SOMETHNG TO
SHARE TAB
A place to include a note
to the appraiser or an
observation not included
in the other tabs.
Robert C Oglesby, SRA, AI-RRS
Suggested Information & Reading