Real Estate Market Update for Brea California

8/9/2019 Real Estate Market Update for Brea California

1/14

Current prices for homes on the mark

Trends in priciCurrent levels of supply and dema

Value metri

market updat

Adam Brett - Eric Urba

BRE

Sunday August 15, 20

Report for the week

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2/14

Adam Brett - Eric Urban | www.RealtorAdam.com | 714.496.8116

The median single family home price

in BREA this week is $500,000. The 173

homes have been on the market for

an average of 107 days.

THIS WEEK

Most Expensive Listing

Least Expensive Listing

Median List Price

Average List Price

Real-Time Market Profile Trend

Total Inventory

$ 500,000

$ 558,515

$ 1,595,000

$ 245,000

173

107Average Days on Market

Asking Price per Square Foot $ 265

10Absorbed This Week*

Percent of Properties with Price Decrease 38 %

Percent Relisted (reset DOM) 4 %

Percent Flip (price increased) 6 %

City Overview BREA

Less than 4,500 sq ft

Altos Research Value Statistics

Market Action Index

Median Number of Bedrooms

Median Number of Bathrooms

Median House Size (sq ft)

Median Lot Size

Median Age

2,029

3.8

2.0

33

14Cold! Buyer's Market

Altos Research calculates the Market Action Index which measures available supplyrelative to the current level of demand. Index value above 30 indicates conditions favorthe seller. See the section below for full details.

Inventory and days-on-market are

climbing, while the Market Action Indehas been flat recently. The trends point

to a weakening market.

To get a tightly targeted understanding

of homes in the market, we break eachlocale into quartiles. Each quartile is

25% of the homes listed.

QUARTILES

Characteristics per Quartile

Last Month's Trend Last Quarter's Trend

Trend Key

No Clear Monthly/Quarterly Trend

Bed BathMed.Sqft.

Med.Age Inven. New

Ab-sorbedMed. Lot SizeMedian PriceQuart

Avg.DoM

*Metric "Absorbed this Week" covers properties sold and those taken off the market for other reasons.Since sales sometimes take months to close, it is impossible to discern in real-time exactly which propertiessold.

Most expensive 25% of homes3,000 4.0 2.5 8 43 1 3Less than

4,500 sq ft$ 709,9001 107

Upper-middle 25% of homes2,207 4.0 2.5 31 43 2 4Less than

4,500 sq ft$ 575,0002 94

Lower-middle 25% of homes1,662 3.0 2.0 45 43 3 2Less than

4,500 sq ft$ 470,0003 123

Least expensive 25% of homes1,288 3.0 1.8 42 44 2 1Less than

4,500 sq ft$ 374,0004 107

We'll refer to the quartiles in the trend

graphs below.

Adam Brett - Eric Urban Market Update for BREA


3/14


PRICE

Again this week we see a downward

notch for prices. Pricing has been weak

in recent weeks and versus their

absolute-high levels. The Market Action

Index is a good leading indicator for the

durability of this trend.

QUARTILE PRICES

Prices in most of the market have

stabilized recently. Only Quartile 4

shows any price increases in the last

few weeks. Often this condition happen

in markets where demand has fallen

(for example, due to micro-location

variables) but supply is still relatively

short. Buyers are focusing on the lowes

price homes in the area.

Often, we find insights by watching

pricing trends within the quartile

segments.



4/14


The market plateau is seen across the

price and value. The price per square

foot and median list price have both

been reasonably stagnant. Watch the

Market Action Index for persistent

changes as a leading indicator beforethe market moves from these levels.

PRICE AND VALUE

INVENTORY

Inventory has been climbing lately.

Note that rising inventory alone does

not signal a weakening market. Look to

the Market Action Index and Days on

Market trends to gauge whether buyer

interest is keeping up with available

supply.



5/14


The BREA market is currently quite

strongly in the Buyer's Market zone

(below 30). The 90-day Market Action

Index stands at 14. With several month

of inventory available at the current

sales rate, buyers should find ample

choice.

The market has shown some evidence o

slowing recently. Both prices and

inventory levels are relatively

unchanged in recent weeks. Watch the

Market Action Index for changes as itcan be a leading indicator for price

changes.

The Market Action Index (MAI) illustrates the balance between supply and demand using a

statistical function of the current rate of sale versus current inventory.

An MAI value greater than 30 typically indicates a Seller's Market (a.k.a. "Hot Market")because demand is high enough to quickly gobble up available supply. A hot market willtypically cause prices to rise. MAI values below 30 indicate a "Buyer's Market" (a.k.a. "ColdMarket") where the inventory of already-listed homes is sufficient to last several months atthe current rate of sales. A cold market will typically cause prices to fall.

MARKET ACTION INDEXResidential house prices are a function of supply and demand, and market conditions can becharacterized by analyzing those factors. Watch this index for sustained changes: if the indexfalls into the Buyers Market zone for a long period, prices are likely in for a downwardcorrection.

Not surprisingly given the overall

Market Action Index, all quartiles are in

the Buyer's Market zone with several

months of inventory given the current

rate of demand for homes in the

quartile. Watch the quartile for change

before the overall market shifts. Often

one end of the market (e.g. the low end)

will improve and signal a strengtheningmarket before the whole group changes

The quartiles can help you answer the question, "How hot is the market for homes in my pricerange?"

MARKET ACTION QUARTILES



6/14


DAYS ON MARKET (DOM)

The properties have been on the

market for an average of 107 days. Half

of the listings have come newly on the

market in the past 77 or so days.

DOM PER QUARTILE

It is not uncommon for the higher

priced homes in an area to take longer

to sell than those in the lower

quartiles.



7/14


92823Neighborhood DetailBREA



Median List Price

Average List Price


Total Inventory

$ 677,500

$ 655,302

$ 995,000

$ 410,000

28



4Absorbed This Week


in BREA 92823 this week is $677,500.

THIS WEEK




Median Lot Size

Median Age

2,354

4.0

2.5

8Altos Research Value Statistics


Market Action Index 9Cold! Buyer's Market


climbing, while the Market Action Inde

has been flat recently. The trends point


PRICE

We continue to see prices in this zip

code hovering around these current

levels, even though they bumped up a

bit this week. Look for a persistent up-shift in the Market Action Index before

we see prices move significantly from

here.



8/14


PRICE PER QUARTILE

In the quartile market segments, we see

price for this zip code in general with

price stagnation in recent weeks.

Quartile 4 is down, while the rest of the

market is basically flat. Look to the

Market Action Index to determine if thiplateau is the stage for a prolonged

price decline.

QUARTILESCharacteristics per Quartile

Bed BathMed. SqftMed.Age Inven. New


Avg.DoM


4,500 sq ft$ 830,0001 132


4,500 sq ft$ 735,0002 144


4,500 sq ft$ 589,9993 127


4,500 sq ft$ 450,0004 115

While prices have been basically flat,

the price per square foot has been

heading downward. While not a sign of

broad strength in a market, larger

homes are coming more available and

buyers are tending to get more home

for their money.

PRICE AND VALUE



9/14


INVENTORY

Inventory has been steady around thes

levels in recent weeks with 28 propertie

currently available.

The BREA 92823 is quite strongly in the

Buyer's Market zone. The 90-day

Market Action Index stands at 9. With

several months of inventory availableat the current sales rate, buyers should

find ample choice.

MARKET ACTION INDEX


Not surprisingly, all quartiles are in theBuyer's Market zone with several


levels of demand. Watch the quartiles

for changes before the overall market

shifts.



10/14


11/14


92821Neighborhood DetailBREA



Median List Price

Average List Price


Total Inventory

$ 496,900

$ 541,561

$ 1,595,000

$ 245,000

144



6Absorbed This Week


in BREA 92821 this week is $496,900.

THIS WEEK




Median Lot Size

Median Age

1,997

3.7

2.0

34Altos Research Value Statistics


Market Action Index 14Cold! Buyer's Market


climbing, while the Market Action Inde

has been flat recently. The trends point


PRICE

Prices in this zip code have been on a

downward trend recently and this

week, while essentially flat, doesn't

break us out of that cycle.

1Adam Brett - Eric Urban Market Update for BREA


12/14


PRICE PER QUARTILE

In the quartile market segments, we see

prices in this zip code have settled at a

price plateau across the board. Prices in

all four quartiles are basically mixed.

Look for a persistent shift (up or down)

in the Market Action Index before pricemove from these current levels.

QUARTILESCharacteristics per Quartile

Bed BathMed. SqftMed.Age Inven. New


Avg.DoM


4,500 sq ft$ 679,0001 87


4,500 sq ft$ 549,9002 102


4,500 sq ft$ 452,5003 114


4,500 sq ft$ 357,0004 112

Despite recently falling prices, the price

per square foot has stayed reasonably

flat. This implies that there's a portion

of the market being priced at a

premium. You can investigate this

condition in the quartile details.

PRICE AND VALUE



13/14


INVENTORY

Inventory has been falling in recent

weeks with 144 properties available this

week. Note that declining inventory

alone does not signal a strengthening

market. Look to the Market Action

Index to gauge whether buyer interestis falling with the available supply.

The BREA 92821 is quite strongly in the

Buyer's Market zone. The 90-day

Market Action Index stands at 14. With

several months of inventory availableat the current sales rate, buyers should

find ample choice.

MARKET ACTION INDEX


Not surprisingly, all quartiles are in theBuyer's Market zone with several


levels of demand. Watch the quartiles

for changes before the overall market

shifts.



14/14


DAYS ON MARKETThe properties have been on the marke

for an average of 103 days. Half of the

listings have come newly on the market

in the past 66 or so days. Watch the 90-

day DOM trend for signals of a changin

market.

DAYS ON MARKET

It is not uncommon for

the higher priced homes in an area

(Quartiles 1 and 2) to take longer to

sell than those in the lower quartiles.

About Altos Research CorporationAltos Research Corp. reports real-time analysis of the residential real estate market in local markets acrossthe country. All information contained herein is based on properties currently listed for sale and available

publicly. When evaluating a particular property, make sure you use comparable sales data in addition tothe market trend information available in this report. The data presented in this report is accurate to thebest of our knowledge, but cannot be guaranteed as such. Use this report as one input in the real estatedecision making process, but do not rely on it for accuracy. Nothing in this report or any other AltosResearch publication is a recommendation to buy or to sell real estate. We recommend you work with alicensed real estate agent or broker.

Altos Research LLC Copyright 2005-2010. All Rights Reserved www.altosresearch.com
http://www.altosresearch.com/http://www.altosresearch.com/

Real Estate Market Update for Brea California

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