Real Estate Highlights - eurochamvn.eventbank.com · Da Nang & Quang Nam Second-home Villa Supply...
Transcript of Real Estate Highlights - eurochamvn.eventbank.com · Da Nang & Quang Nam Second-home Villa Supply...
International arrivals, 2016
Vietnam outperformed other regional destinations with a 26% increase YoY.
International arrivals by cities, 2016
Da Nang appeals to both domestic and international tourists with high growth rate up to over 30%
Supply
Stock: ~91.500 m²
Grade A: 7% Grade B: 51% Grade C: 42%
Performance
Avg. occupancy: 87%
Avg. gross rent: US$10.2/m2/mth
o Grade A: US$17.5/m²/mth
o Grade B: US$10.1/m2/mth
o Grade C: US$9.6/m2/mth
Outlook
2018: 1 projects, ~3,000 m²
2019: 1 projects, ~5,700 m²
Onwards: 9 projects, ~48,200 m²
Indochina Riverside
Da Nang Office
4
Vietin Bank Tower
World Economic Forum
55th up 5 places from last year
up 20 places in 5 years
Higher education and training also advanced (84th),
"the country's growth is nonetheless projected to remain robust from strong exports".
…boost its competitiveness by closing gaps in innovation and sophistication factors…
Source: Global Competitiveness Index2017-2018 edition, International Monetary Fund; World Economic Outlook Database (April 2017)
• F.I.R.E employment: 570,000 jobs
60% are in HCMC and Ha Noi
1.1% of total employment v. Philippines
(1.7%), Thailand (2%), Malaysia (3%)
Future growth potential
• F.I.R.E employment will double in
the next 5 year to catch up?
CBD demand: 40,000 m2 pa
Employment growth 2012-2016
Finance & Insurance 4.6% pa
Real Estate 8.1% pa
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Demand Drivers - FIRE
F.I.R.E sector (% total employment), 2016
Viet Nam F.I.R.E employment
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
Malaysia Indonesia Thailand Philipines Viet Nam
Source: Statistics Offices in Surveyed Countries
0
100
200
300
400
500
Q1/2012 Q1/2013 Q1/2014 Q1/2015 Q1/2016 Q1/2017
Source: GSO
Tho
usa
nd
job
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Finance Real estate
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Demand Drivers - Banks
# Banks, 2017
Many local banks: Ha Noi (22), HCMC (13)
11 foreign and JV and 52 representative offices
Banks in trophy CBD towers: HCMC (2) & Ha Noi (4)
Strong future demand…
0
10
20
30
40
50
Viet Nam Phillipines Thailand Malaysia
Ban
ks
Source: Savills Research & Consultancy; Various sources
Local Foreign
• CAGR 25% pa in 2015-2020 (Viet Nam insurance market development
strategy - MoF)
• Low penetration and a promising market
• More than 40 players and increasing demand for high-end office
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Demand Drivers - Insurance
Insurance Premium Penetration, 2016
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
Thailand Malaysia Indonesia Philippines Viet Nam
Source: Swiss Re Sigma 2017
% G
DP
Non-life Life
Market players, 2017
0
50
100
150
Indonesia Philippines Thailand Viet Nam Malaysia
pla
yers
Sources: Global Counsel, 2016
Life Non-life
• Registered ICT FDI booming
from 2016
• Tech firms lead net new space
absorption with big deals
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Demand Drivers - ICT
Registered ICT FDI
Viet Nam ICT employment
0
100
200
300
400
2013 2014 2015 2016 8M 2017
Source: Savills Research & Consultancy
US
$ m
illi
on
200
250
300
350
400
Q1/2013 Q1/2014 Q1/2015 Q1/2016 Q1/2017
Source: Savills Research & Consultancy
Th
ou
san
d p
eo
ple
Start ups
Vietnam = highly fertile SME environment.
Massive SMEs ~50% workforce
Office Start Ups = ownership and 1st mover advantage.
HCMC
$18B Registered capital - 85% YoY
(Vietnam ~ $40B)
30,500 new enterprises - 13% YoY
95% domestic
78% Services and Commerce
Office Trends
18m sodas pa.
4 levels, no lifts.
HUMANISTIC.
Walk and talk. People, Place, Planet
4 levels, $5B cost.
9,000 trees, egalitarian.
$5B cost, 15n development.
50,000 workers.
Corporate costs:
80% people,
10% real estate,
10% technology
Shared public space to promote community.
Design for refurbishment and to orientate towards supply chain.
Shared Workspace
• Lend Lease = 40% of current tenant base.
• Naked = 30% of workforce by 2030.
• However Shared workspace = 2 to 3 x utilization, + added value services; café, hotel etc.
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PROJECT HILTON DA NANG DIAMOND TOWER
Address 50 Bach Dang, Hai Chau dist. 58 Bach Dang, Hai Chau dist.
Developer Bach Dang JSC Alphanam Group
Expected grade A B
Status Fitting out Foundation
Estimated completion year 2018 2019
NLA (m²) 3,000 5,700
Images
Da Nang Office Supply Outlook
Da Nang Hotel
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InterContinental Da Nang Sun Peninsula Resort
Pullman Da Nang Beach Resort
Supply
Total supply ~ 10,000 rooms
13 five-star 23 four-star 56 three-star
Performance
Avg. occupancy 76% ARR US$110/room/night
o 5-star Occupancy 87% ARR US$227/room/night
o 4-star Occupancy 79% ARR US$69/room/night
o 3-star Occupancy 63% ARR US$25/room/night
Outlook
2018 onwards: 52 projects
o 19 five-star 13 four-star
o Ngu Hanh Son 20 projects
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Da Nang Hotel Supply Outlook
PROJECT HILTON DA NANG DIAMOND TOWER IBIS STYLE DA NANG
Address 50 Bach Dang, Hai Chau dist. 58 Bach Dang, Hai Chau
dist. 84-88 Bach Dang, Hai Chau dist.
Developer Bach Dang JSC Alphanam Group Novaland
Operator Hilton Marriot Accor
Expected grade 5-star 5-star 3-star
Status Fitting out Foundation Under construction
Estimated completion
year 2018 2019 2019
No. of rooms 223 288 N/A
Image
Da Nang & Quang Nam Second-home Villa
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Supply
19 projects (947 dwellings) 8 projects sold out
o Ngu Hanh Son (12 projects) Son Tra (3
projects)
o Dien Ban (2 projects) Hoi An (2 projects)
8 projects sold out
Performance
Avg. absorption 77%
Price 1,200-3,000 USD/m2 for fully-furnished villa
Outlook
Da Nang: 12 projects (~800 dwellings)
Quang Nam: 10 projects (~500 dwellings)
International operators: Shilla, Rosewood
The Ocean Estates
Vinpearl Hoi An Resort and Villas
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Da Nang & Quang Nam Second-home Villa Supply Outlook
PROJECT SHILLA STAY RESORT VANESEA FIELD NAM O RESORT
Location Dien Ban, Quang Nam Dien Ban, Quang Nam Lien Chieu, Da Nang
Developer Thanh Cong E&C MBLand & Tonkin Property Trung Thuy Group
Operator Shilla Stay Pan Pacific N/A
Scale (ha) 5 8 37
Status Under construction Planning Planning
No. of villas 35 70 N/A
Image
The Ocean Estate
• 33 Resort Villas
• 3-5 bedrooms
• Land Area: 929 - 1,303 sq m
• Construction Area: 570 -740 sq m
• 5 star amenities: Restaurant, Beach Club &
Bistro, outdoor playground, swimming pool, spa,
bar, golf course
• Developer : VinaCapital
• Selling Price: From VND 21,100,000,000
(approx. US$ 930,000)
• Handover condition: Unfurnished
• Handover: 12/2017
Banyan Tree Residence Lang Co
• 82 Hill Villas
• 1-3 bedrooms
• Land Area: 724 – 4,541 sq m
• Construction Area: 260 sq m
• 5 star amenities: Restaurant, beach club, spa,
gym, outdoor playground, golf court, swimming
pool, tennis court
• Developer : Banyan Tree Holdings Limited
• Selling Price: From VND 29,088,000,000
(approx. US$ 1,280,000)
• Handover condition: Fully furnished and
equipped
• Handover: Ongoing since 2012
InterContinental Da Nang Sun Peninsula Residences
• 30 Resort Villas
• 2-3 bedrooms
• Land Area: 1,037 - 1,541 sq m
• Construction Area: 589 - 728 sq m
• 5 star amenities: Restaurant, spa, gym,
swimming pool, MICE facilities
• Developer : Sun Group
• Selling Price: From VND 65,700,000,000
(approx. US$ 2,950,000)
• Handover condition: Fully furnished and
equipped
• Handover: Ongoing since 2016
FDI Overview
US$ 480.56 million US$ 619.72 million 76,493
Turnover of FDI enterprises operating in IPs Export turnover Employees
US$ 87.85 million US$ 513.45 million
Tax contribution Import turnover
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
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HCMC Da Nang Hai Phong Ha Noi
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 9M/2017
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$ m
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$ m
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Total investment capital No. of projects
Pro
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FDI projects in IPs by country Annual registered FDI by city
- +
Da Nang Industrial Parks
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CURRENT FUTURE
% h
a
Land area Occupancy
0 50 100 150 200 250
Firm
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FDI enterprises Total enterprises
Da Nang IPs FDI firms in Da Nang IPs
Expanded Hoa Khanh
Lien Chieu
Da Nang
Seafood Services
Hoa Cam
Hoa Khanh