Rapport_Presidoscopie_vague 9

Vague 9 - avril 2012

Présidoscopie

Présidoscopie– Ipsos / Logica Business Consulting pour Le Monde, le CEVIPOF, la Fondapol et la Fondation Jean Jaurès / Avril 2012 – Vague 9

Nobody’s Unpredictable

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Présidoscopie– Ipsos / Logica Business Consulting pour Le Monde, le CEVIPOF, la Fondapol et la Fondation Jean Jaurès/ Avril 2012 – Vague 9

Rappels méthodologiques

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Résultats du 1er tour de l’élection présidentielle – France entière

Question : Si le premier tour de l’élection présidentielle avait lieu dimanche prochain, quel serait le candidat pour lequel il y aurait le plus de chance que vous votiez, si vous aviez au premier tour le choix entre les candidats suivants ?

Base : inscrits, certains d’aller voter, exprimés

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Les changeurs en ce qui concerne : ! Jean-Luc Mélenchon

! François Hollande ! Eva Joly

! François Bayrou

! Nicolas Sarkozy

! Marine Le Pen

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Les changeurs - Jean-Luc Mélenchon

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Les changeurs - François Hollande

Evolution liée à des transferts de vote entre François Hollande et

d’autres candidats

Evolution liée au niveau de mobilisation des électeurs

(Sont-ils plus ou moins )!7(.0$+ d’aller voter ?)

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J8+&-(.(+##?!7#(*&7#=CRK#

Les changeurs - Eva Joly

Evolution liée à des transferts de vote entre Eva Joly et d’autres

candidats

Evolution liée au niveau de mobilisation des électeurs

(Sont-ils plus ou V'%-$ certains d’aller voter ?)

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Les changeurs - François Bayrou

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Les changeurs - Nicolas Sarkozy

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Les changeurs - Marine le Pen

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Présidoscopie– Ipsos / Logica Business Consulting pour Le Monde, le CEVIPOF, la Fondapol et la Fondation Jean Jaurès / Avril 2012 – Vague 9


Annexes ! Rappel des résultats des neuf dernières vagues

36

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La popularité des candidats

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L’image détaillée des 6 principaux candidats



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Question : Si F. Hollande est élu président de la République, pensez-vous que dans les années suivantes, la situation de la France…

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Rapport_Presidoscopie_vague 9

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