Rapid Transit and Surrey's needs - Part 5: What Surrey really needs

7/29/2019 Rapid Transit and Surrey's needs - Part 5: What Surrey really needs

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Slow transit doesnt make people

live slower lives. Instead, it makes

people use their cars because thosebecome the only way to access thecity quickly

Jarrett WalkerPublic Transit Planning Consultant, author of Human Transit


3/18

The Surrey LRT conceptvideo looks stunning andbeautiful, but misleads.Where is the congestionSurrey will be facing?


4/18

The Solution isbigger than LRT

Much bigger solution is needed for Surrey

SkyTrain expansion is needed on all 3 proposed corrconsistent area-wide modal shift to meet goals

Above: two proposals being worked on by Better Surr


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SkyTrain expansion is needed on all 3 potential corrconsistent area-wide modal shift to meet goals

Above: conceptual image of SkyTrain in Fraser Highw


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SkyTrain expansion will require more infrastructure & affvisual concerns must be put aside in favour of addressin

Above: conceptual image of median SkyTrain station fro


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SkyTrain isbetter transit

SkyTrain(grade-separated

Full grade segrebetter reliabilit

Current SkyTrathan 96% on-t

Higher speed (

Higher capacit

potential to debeyond 2041

Better off-peafrequencies du

Light Rail Transit(at-grade rail transit)

At-grade running meansinterfacing with other vehicles,pedestrians; risky environmentmay compromise reliability

All at-grade transit governed byspeed of road (50-60km/h)

Accidents blocking track causefull disruption (i.e. accident atKGB & 88th will cause an LRTclosure until cleared)

Higher cost may lead to lower off-peak operating frequencies

Sources: Final Analysis PDF page 342-344,


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SkyTrain attractsmore riders ontotransit

New transit trips with LRT5a

(LRT on Fraser Highway + BRT)Alternative has total dailyridership of178,000 in 2041

4250 passengers peak load onFraser Highway

Just 12,500 new daily transittrips across region

Just 1.4 billion vehicle kmtravelled reduction to 2041

New transit trips w

(RRT on Fraser HigAlternative has toridership of202,0

6600 passengersFraser Highway

24,500 new daily

across region2.4 billion vehicletravelled reducti

SkyTrain attracts 2x as many new tra


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Canada Line SkyTrOpened in August 2009

Original projectiodaily ridership of 1and 141,000 by 20

Summer 2011 ride136,000 daily (weboardings)

Averaged growth68000 riders year

Portland MAX LRT 85kmOpened 1986, 1998, 2001, 2004, 2009

MAX LRT lines have often notgenerated ridership meetingprojections

Total MAX system ridership in2011 was recorded at 132,500daily (weekday boardings)

Averaged growth rate: approx.5100 riders yearly

Sources: TransLink media releases

TriMet ridership data (Portland)

Canada Line has more riders in 3 yea

entire MAX LRT system has in 26 y


10/18


Canada Lineridership vs. projections

42500

22200

0

5000

10000

15000

20000

25000

30000

35000

40000

45000

Average week

Projected ridership by 1990

Actual ridership by 1990 (4



Portland MAX LRridership vs. p

100000

141000 136259

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

140000

160000

Average weekday boardings

Projected ridership by 2013 (4 years of operation)

Projected ridership by 2021 (12 years of operation)

Actual ridership by 2011 (2 years of operation)

Sources: TransLink media releases

TriMet ridership data (Portland)Report by Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering at Portland State University


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SkyTrain riderscare abouttravel times

2011 Canada Linfound trip speemost liked aspe

Trip speed garnlikes than next-(system cleanlinalmost 3x

Survey found mfrequency ridersvalued frequenc

Survey found ovwas least liked aCanada Line (i.eimportant to rid

Source: Satisfaction with Canada Line and Connecting Buses survey by TransLink & NRG Research Group


12/18

LRT vs SkyTrainridership projections

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000

King George Blvd to

Newton

Fraser Highway

2041 forecast peak load(passengers per hour per direction)

Bus Rapid Transit Light Rail Transit SkyTrain

Average ridershSkyTrain over L53% on both co

Indicates commridership estimaused, can be ext

other corridors

Sources: Final Analysis PDF page 171


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LRT vs SkyTrainridership projections

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

14000

16000

18000

Passengers per hour per direction during peak

2041 forecast peak load(passengers per hour per direction)

Bus Rapid Transit on all corridors (BRT1)

LRT to Langley only + BRT

SkyTrain to Langley only + BRT

Light Rail Transit on all corridors (LRT1)

SkyTrain on all corridors (estimate)

Peak hour load shigher with SkyTcorridors versuscorridors or anyarrangement

More passengertransit = more tr

share = less peocloser to modal

Sources: Final Analysis PDF page 171


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LRT vs SkyTrainbenefits

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

BRT network LRT to Langley+ BRT

Full LRTnetwork

SkyTrain toLangley + BRT

Millions

Life-cycle cost returns of alternatives

Travel Time Savings Other Travel Benefits

Auto Operating Cost Savinsg Collission Cost Savings

Fare revenue GHG emissions

Travel time

for SkyTraiBRT exceeother BRT

SkyTrain togenerates the cost reLangley + B

SkyTrain gtravel timeas LRT

Sources: Final Analysis PDF pages 349-369


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LRT vs SkyTrainbenefits

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

Full LRT network SkyTrain to Langley+ BRT

SkyTrain on allcorridors (estimate)

Millions

Life-cycle cost returns of alternatives

Travel Time Savings Other Travel Benefits

Auto Operating Cost Savinsg Collission Cost Savings

Fare revenue GHG Emission reductions

SkyTrain ocould genein benefits

Benefits wall corridorthan 3x a fu

1.46x the c

SkyTrain toBRT

Sources: Final Analysis PDF pages 349-369


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SkyTrain willget morepeople out of

their cars

Reduction in amvehicles enterinbetween 1996-2coincides with aSkyTrain expanthis period

2011 Canada Linfound 45% of reformerly comm(single-occupan

Sources: Vancouver Transportation Plan Update

Satisfaction with Canada Line and Connecting Buses survey by TransLink & NRG Research Group


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SkyTrain canshape growth

More than $8

developmentRichmond witthrough Canad

Strict coordinato control groSkyTrain line

Innovative an

coordinated ldirects develoseveral chara


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How to makeSkyTrain amore feasible

option

Discussing this can help address concerns about cost

Potential ways to address cost issue could include: separate liinfrastructure but shorter (3-car?) trains and stations (Better

side-running (to avoid median utility relocation), alternate aliCentral-Guildford), over-street stations without mezzanines, parking lots (i.e. at Willowbrook), funding participation from d

Potential ways to address visual issue could include: shorter tover-street stations without mezzanines, build stations over pWillowbrook), guideway profile/construction method (i.e. ExpLine), integration tactics as with Canada Line in Richmond

Rapid Transit and Surrey's needs - Part 5: What Surrey really needs

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