Rapid Results with Evidence Based Kernels in North Carolina
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Transcript of Rapid Results with Evidence Based Kernels in North Carolina
Rapid
Using Evidence Base Kernels for Prevention, Intervention and Treatment
by Dennis D. Embry, Ph.D. • PAXIS Institute • April 13, 2011
1Thursday, April 14, 2011
How many of you know a regular American family with a child with…
a mental, emotional or behavioral disorder?
Like ADHD or behavior
problems?
Like learning or developmental
disorder?
Like a more serious mental
illness like bipolar or suicidal actions?
Like a serious addictions problem?
2Thursday, April 14, 2011
How many here think it is acceptable that at least every other American child will be affected by MEB’s before age 18?
This happens for every social class in America…Among your family, your child’s classmates, your neighbors, at church, and at work…every family.
3Thursday, April 14, 2011
Key messages about mental, emotional & behavioral disorders…
MEB’s are preventable.
Break-even for MEB prevention
is one year.
MEB prevention improves US
business.
Effective MEB prevention
helps national security.
MEB prevention helps US global
success.
MEB prevention balances budgets.
MEB prevention saves Social Security & Medicare.
MEB prevention heals past inequities.
4Thursday, April 14, 2011
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Preapared by PAXIS Institute, Tucson, AZ Copyright© 2009. For educational and policy use only For more info, contact PAXIS at 520-299-6770
Estimates Possible Benefits of Universal GBG Implementation in First Grade by State
Select State:36
9,222,414 Estimated Total Population 2006
138,336 Estimated No. of 1st Graders in 2006
100 100% 138,336 Estimated 1st Graders Reached
20 100% $8,701Average Cost Per Student Per Year
Estimated Current
Population Prevalence of Problem or Behavior
Adjust for Impact of the Good Behavior Game on Problem
Prevalence After
Universal 1st Grade Delivery
Adjust for Average Cost of
Problem Per Child Per Year
Adjusted Average Annual Cost of
Problem Per Child
Average Annual Total Cost of the Problem
Behavior With NOT DOING
GBG
Estimated Per Year Costs
SAVINGS for Percent of 1st
Graders Reached 100%
Child, Adolescent & Adult Problems
Total daily disruptions in state before GBG 4,565,095 70000.00% 1,369,528 $1.0 $0.01 $8,217,171 $5,752,020
ADHD 3rd Grade 2 7.00% 3000.00% 3.00% $750 $7,262,651 $4,150,086
Oppositional Defiance 3rd Grade 3 5.00% 2700.00% 2.30% $900 $6,225,129 $3,361,570
Adolescent Conduct Disorder 4 14.00% 5600.00% 8.40% $1,400 $27,113,897 $10,845,559
Special Education 1st-Grade 12 5 7.00% 2200.00% 4.80% 500.00% $435 $4,212,822 $1,324,030
Adult Criminal Behavior 6 12.00% 1200.00% 10.80% 45000.00% $4,500 $74,701,553 $7,470,155
Serious Adult Drug Addictions 7 20.00% 800.00% 12.00% 4900.00% $490 $13,556,949 $5,422,779
Teen/Adult Suicidal Ideations 8 14.00% 7000% 7.00% $992 $7,684,853 $3,842,427
$148,975,025
$62.00
Esimtated Cost of Implementing the Good Behavior Game Per Classroom $1,550
Cost per 1st Grade Cohort Based on Percentage of Students Reached: $8,576,845
Return on Investment
Net Profit at Start of 2nd Grade Per 1st Grade Cohort: $931,003 11%
Net Profit at 6th Grade Per 1st Grade Cohort: $32,517,918 379%
Net Profit at 12th Grade Per 1st Grade Cohort: $110,701,906 1291%
Net Profit at the 29th Year of Life Per 1st Grade Cohort: $247,316,107 2884%
Note: Over a Decade of 1st Grade Cohorts Getting GBG, these numbers would be x10:
References:1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Adust to reflect average cost per student for education compared to national average
Adjust for Percent of 1st Graders Protected by Good Behavior Game in the State
Total Minimum Estimated Child, Adolescent and Adult Morbibity Costs for Each First Grade Cohort if Nothing is Done New Each Year:
This is less than cost of most childhood disease vaccines.
Move slider left if think will less be effective
Move slider right if think
problem costs more
(or per each disruption)
Esimtated Cost of the Good Behavior Game Per First Grader as Behavioral Vaccine (this includes local staff, materials, incentives, training, technical support, and overhead)
Kellam S, Brown CH, Poduska J, Ialongo N, Wang W, Toyinbo P, et al. Effects of a universal classroom behavior management program in first and second grades on young adult behavioral, psychiatric, and social outcomes,. Drug & Alcohol Dependence 2008(Special Issue):24.
Wilcox HC, Kellam S, Brown CH, Poduska J, Ialongo N, Wang W, et al. The impact of two universal randomized first- and second-grade classroom interventions on young adult suicide ideation and attempts. Drug & Alcohol Dependence 2008(Special Issue):14.
Tingstrom DH, Sterling-Turner HE, Wilczynski SM. The Good Behavior Game: 1969-2002. Behavior Modification 2006;30:225-53.
van Lier PAC, Muthen BO, van der Sar RM, Crijnen AAM. Preventing Disruptive Behavior in Elementary Schoolchildren: Impact of a Universal Classroom-Based Intervention. Journal of Consulting & Clinical Psychology 2004;72(3):467-78.
Ibid.
Ialongo N, Poduska J, Werthamer L, Kellam S. The distal impact of two first-grade preventive interventions on conduct problems and disorder in early adolescence. Journal of Emotional & Behavioral Disorders 2001;9(3):146-60.
Bradshaw CP, Zmuda JH, Kellam S, Ialongo N. Longitudinal Impact of Two Universal Preventive Interventions in First Grade on Educational Outcomes in High School. Journal of Educational Psychology 2009;101(4):926-37.
Petras H, Kellam S, Brown CH, Muthen B, Ialongo N, Poduska J. Developmental epidemiological courses leading to antisocial personality disorder and violent and criminal behavior: Effects by young adulthood of a universal preventive intervention in first- and second-grade classrooms. Drug & Alcohol Dependence 2008(Special Issue):15
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North CarolinaIf every cohort of first-graders receives the Good Behavior Game just in first grade, the good people of North Carolina will save$250 million for each group of kids when they are young adults.
Over the next 10 years, that’s $2.5 billion.
The cost? $62 per first grader.
6Thursday, April 14, 2011
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9Thursday, April 14, 2011
Local NGO: Prevention for
Everyone* (prenatal thru age 21)
Center for Medicaid Services(Medicaid Administrative Match)
Example Enabling Regulations
Preventive services (Act, 42 C.F.R. 440.130 (c), 2004)
Rehabilitative services (Act, 42 C.F.R. 440.130 (d), 2004)
Medical Services under the Individuals with Disabilities Education Act
(IDEA, 2004)
Early and Periodic Screening, Diagnostic, and Treatments
Services
Health Insurers
Local/Regional Media
State Health Authority
Local Health Authority
National Media
Suppliers of Evidence-Based Prevention
Products or Tech. Asst.Tribal Governments
FQHC & Lookalikes
Dept. of Defense
School Personnel
Private Providers
Agency Providers
Local Prevention Scoreboard
Local, State and
National Professional
Groups
Local Gov'ts
County Extension
Universities & Comm. Colleges
Consumer Prevention Products (Retail & Online)
Property/Auto & Life Insurers
Health Care Reform Act
Private Scientific Orgs
*Can be existing entities (e.g., DFC's, non-profits)
Americorps,Teacher Corps
Voluntary & Faith Groups
Social Media
United Way and/or Community Foundations
Family Foundations
Business Donors/ Sponsors
National Foundations
Private Donors
State/local agency grants
Other Federal Funds
And “Good News…”
These types of prevention strategies can be sustained and grow because of laws and regulations…
If we collectively act for the future of all our children’s futures here in this room.
10Thursday, April 14, 2011
Consumer approach to prevention
Car seatsBike helmetsSafety gatesElectric socket coversBUT WHAT ABOUT…
DepressionADHDSuicideSubstance abuseObesity
Prevention Store
11Thursday, April 14, 2011
But at the new North Carolina prevention store
Prevention StoreOmega 3 @ $70 a year to prevent multiple mental, emotional and behavioral illnessesDialogic storybooks to prevent behavior problems @ $86 per yearGood Behavior Game for Teachers @ $54 per child per year to prevent mental/health emotional problemsFamilies United @ $4 per child per year to prevent conduct disorders, suicide, ATOD
12Thursday, April 14, 2011
13Thursday, April 14, 2011
Conduct Disorders
Depression
Homicide & Suicide
Addictions
Aggression
Obesity
Self harm
Oppositional/ ADHD
ANXIETY
14Thursday, April 14, 2011
Nearly 75 percent of the nation's 17- to 24-year-olds are ineligible for service
• Medical/physical problems, 35 percent.
• Illegal drug use, 18 percent.
• Mental Category V (the lowest 10 percent of the population), 9 percent.
• Too many dependents under age 18, 6 percent.
• Criminal record, 5 percent.
Army Times, Nov 5, 2009 • www.missionreadiness.org/PAEE0609.pd
15Thursday, April 14, 2011
The US has 75 million children and teens.
40.4 million are on psychotropic medications Wall Street Journal, 12-28-2010
16Thursday, April 14, 2011
2009:Institute of Medicine Report provides a concise review of the prevention of mental, emotional, and behavioral disorders.
17Thursday, April 14, 2011
America’s rate of mental, emotional and behavioral
disorders is about twice that of the United Kingdom which is twice that of many other
rich democracies.
18Thursday, April 14, 2011
Silo busting ideas in prevention science
ADHD ODD Depression Obesity Injury Control
19Thursday, April 14, 2011
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23Thursday, April 14, 2011
What message do we need to promote?
24Thursday, April 14, 2011
Reaching the faithful
๏Tell stories of how faith-based groups can use proven prevention strategies
๏ Pastor Smith uses Triple P to counsel his parishioners having common problems with their children. “It’s very easy for me to relate Triple P strategies to Scripture.”
๏ St. John’s uses the Good Behavior Game. “The Game helps us not only with behavior and academics, but also helping students understand how early Christians had to cooperate.”
25Thursday, April 14, 2011
Reaching businesses๏Give examples of immediate benefits to
productivity. “Having workplace Triple P has reduced our employees having to take time off for dealing with problems of their children.”
๏Link business competition. “Other rich democracies have extensive universal prevention, and those countries have more viable small business sector than the US.”
๏Link to major cost of business, such as depression is now major cause of disability.
26Thursday, April 14, 2011
Reaching the Tribes
๏Link key cultural wisdom to proven science of prevention, such as:
๏ the use of omega-3 was discovered by the Arctic peoples
๏ the Good Behavior Game mimics common traditional practices of assuring cooperation among children
Like the Inuksuk, traditional practices often
point to the right way
27Thursday, April 14, 2011
Reach to the political right๏Universal access to prevention enables individual
responsibility; rationing limits it.
๏Use the metaphor of accepted prevention practices like universal inoculations of childhood diseases or car safety seats.
๏Link to balancing budgets, national security and global competition.
28Thursday, April 14, 2011
CEPR An International Comparison of Small Business Employment !"8
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#FIGURE 3 Manufacturing, Employment in Enterprises with fewer than 500 Employees, 2001
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Key message by showing global competion
All of these other rich democracies have nearly
universal access to prevention for MEBs, compared to the rationing
model in the US.
Having “fitter” employees allows these countries to have higher paying manufacturing jobs and
compete globally.
29Thursday, April 14, 2011
America’s retired 4-start generals find…
Nearly 75 percent of the nation's 17- to 24-year-olds are ineligible for service
• Medical/physical problems, 35 percent.
• Illegal drug use, 18 percent.
• Mental Category V (the lowest 10 percent of the population), 9 percent.
• Too many dependents under age 18, 6 percent.
• Criminal record, 5 percent.
Army Times, Nov 5, 2009 • www.missionreadiness.org/PAEE0609.pd
Explain universal prevention in terms of national security
30Thursday, April 14, 2011
Reach to the political left๏Explain universal prevention as remedying
historic disparities such as:
๏Good Behavior Game increases high-school graduation and college entry rates and reduces lifetime incarceration rates of inner city kids.
๏Omega-3 improves IQ and reduces effects of poverty on children lives
31Thursday, April 14, 2011
5-Year Olds
65-Year Olds
Who are lessand less able…
Who are livinglonger though get
progressively sicker…
Requiring more wealth transfer
But elders voting to stop funds to kids
Explain how prevention for our kids protects elders
32Thursday, April 14, 2011
Reach to the center๏Emphasize that MEB’s affect every family, every
school, every neighborhood, and every business.
๏Example: “How many of you know a reasonably OK middle class or upper class family with a child or teen with a mental illness, learning disability or addictions problem?”
33Thursday, April 14, 2011
Reach state legislators, county & city leaders
๏Show how prevention for everyone will help balance the local budget and keep it balanced over time—use example estimators.
๏Show data how universal access to prevention will help the jurisdiction specifically
๏Share such data with advocates for local emotional impact
34Thursday, April 14, 2011
Key message for every group
In every communication say…
๏Mental, emotional and behavioral disorders are preventable like most childhood diseases and childhood injuries.
๏MEB’s harm and kill more children, youth and young adults than any childhood diseases, and the prevention of MEB’s is less expensive than childhood medical vaccines.
“Mental illness is preventable, just like many childhood diseases,tra!c injuries or even addictionsare preventable.”
“Yes, it is preventable. Read all about it, in the ‘09 IOM Report on the Prevention of Mental, Emotional, & Behavioral Disorders. We’ve been conditioned to think these were just manageable…”
O'Connell, M. E., T. Boat, et al., Eds. (2009). Preventing Mental, Emotional, and Behavioral Disorders Among Young People: Progress and Possibilities. . Committee on the Prevention of Mental Disorders and Substance Abuse Among Children, Youth and Young Adults: Research Advances and Promising Interventions. Washington, DC, Institute of Medicine; National Research Council.
TO READ THE IOM REPORT, GO TO: http://bit.ly/IOMPREV
35Thursday, April 14, 2011
36Thursday, April 14, 2011
Hypothesis: Evolutionary “inflammatory” processes
Redness, rubor, a response of body tissues to injury or irritation; characterized by pain and swelling and redness and heat.
Excitation, excitement, fervor, fervour the state of being emotionally aroused and worked up
Inflaming arousal to violent emotion
Firing, ignition, kindling, lighting
the act of setting on fire or catching fire
37Thursday, April 14, 2011
Human Infectious/Biological Threats Human Predatory Threats
Evolutionary Adaptive Responses(Simplified)
Intra-GroupAffiliation (Anti-Inflammatory) Out-Group
Aggress. (Inflammatory)
Threat Attributional Bias (Inflammatory)
Tit-for-Tat Beh. Bias (Inflammatory)
Intra-GroupCooperation (Anti-Inflammatory)
Evolutionary Adaptive Responses(Simplified)
GeneralizedInflammatoryResponse
LocalizedInflammatory
Response
Anti-Inflammatory Regulators
Mood Modulators
Reward Delay
Modulators
Stress Modulators
Puberty/Sex Modulators
Neuro-Hormones
Modern culture commonly produces multiple evolutionary mismatches triggering multiple inflammatory responses.
38Thursday, April 14, 2011
Evolutionary Pathof a Child’s Life
KPath
RPath
Probability of long-life and reproductive success
Probability of short-life and doubtful reproductive success
R-Path can be triggered by evolutionary mismatch in social
or physical environment.
39Thursday, April 14, 2011
Conduct Disorders
Depression
Homicide & Suicide
Addictions
Aggression
Obesity
Self harm
Oppositional/ ADHD
ANXIETY
R PATH = Risky behaviors or health40Thursday, April 14, 2011
MoodStability
AttentionRewardDelay
ExecutiveFunction
BehavioralCompetencies
MotorSkills
Immune-Healing
FunctionsMulti-Inflammatory Threat Reaction
Physiological ReinforcementAntecedents Verbal Relations
Major Ecologic Causes of the Dual Inflammatory Threats to Children & Youth
Mental IllnessSubstance
AbuseViolence
WorkProblems
Obesity, etc
CancerEarlySex
SchoolFailure
STD’s SpecialEd
41Thursday, April 14, 2011
Cultural Trend:Sleep Deprivation
IOM Report (IOM, page 212)
42Thursday, April 14, 2011
Parental Monitoring and Parental Networking
(IOM, page 168, 171, 189)
43Thursday, April 14, 2011
Peer, Family, & Cultural Rewards for NOT breaking rules
IOM Report (page 165, 170,171, 181)
44Thursday, April 14, 2011
What are the social rewards for these behaviors?
Billy Good Billy Bad
45Thursday, April 14, 2011
Constant (k) affected by physiology (e.g., diet, perceived stress and threats, exercise, medications, substance abuse) and genes
Rate influenced by:
•Reinforcements•Antecedents•Relational-frames
Rate influenced by:
•Reinforcement•Antecedents•Relational-frames
46Thursday, April 14, 2011
Diet change in essential “brain food”
IOM Report (page 211-2)
47Thursday, April 14, 2011
Data on “Brain Food”: Omega-3 deficiency
48Thursday, April 14, 2011
Successful human neonates born with 60-day supply of
omega-3 in subcutaneous fat from
mother’s diet
NeonatesIn the Rife Valley, the
human brain evolution the result of eating
fish high in omega-3 not savannah animals
EvolutionAmerican infants have been getting steadily
less omega-3 (n3) and more pro-inflammatory omega-6 (n6) in breast
milk
Breast Milk
Almost all adolescent risky behaviors have
now been documented to be related to low n3 and high n6 in US diet change in last 50 years
“Risky” Beh. & Mismatch
Theory
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Hibbeln et al. (2006). Healthy intakes of n-3 and n-6 fatty acids: estimations
considering worldwide diversity.
See Ailhaud et al. (2006).Temporal changes in dietary fats: Role of n6
polyunsaturated fatty acids in excessive adipose tissue
development and relationship to obesity
49Thursday, April 14, 2011
Syndemic = reverse of synergies
50Thursday, April 14, 2011
If we just hit the problem harder…
51Thursday, April 14, 2011
52Thursday, April 14, 2011
53Thursday, April 14, 2011
Reduce Omega 3 Brain Deficiency in baby’s brain
54Thursday, April 14, 2011
Reduce Omega 3 Brain Deficiency in baby’s brain
55Thursday, April 14, 2011
The benefits to the baby and society
Maternal seafood consumption in pregnancy
C
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25
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35
Prosocial Suboptimal
Social Development Suboptimal
Verbal Suboptimal
Fine Motor Skills Suboptimal
Maternal seafood consumption in pregnancy
None 0–340 gper week
>340 gper week
56Thursday, April 14, 2011
Why not reproduce the rapid results in North Carolina to prevent multiple mental, emotional and behavioural
It costs about $70 per person per year.
57Thursday, April 14, 2011
0
Time to First Suicide A1empt (days)
0
200 400 600 800
Survival Probability
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1.0
High DHA (n=16)
Low DHA (n=17)
(median split of plasma phospholipid % fa1y acids)
InpatientDischarge
Suble&e, Hibbeln et al Am J Psychiatry 2006;163: 1100-‐1102
58Thursday, April 14, 2011
The same universal works for high risk youth…
0%
6%
12%
18%
24%
30%
PsychosisOmega-3 Placeo
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4.9%
Per
cent
age
with
Psy
chos
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t 12
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ths
Amminger, G. P., M. R. Schafer, et al. (2010). "Long-Chain {omega}-3 Fatty Acids for Indicated Prevention of Psychotic Disorders: A Randomized, Placebo-Controlled Trial." Arch Gen Psychiatry 67(2): 146-154.
59Thursday, April 14, 2011
Other rapid results to consider…
Rapid
60Thursday, April 14, 2011
Young children
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Early stories and reading
62Thursday, April 14, 2011
Why not distribute specially constructed books for parents with young children…
Reduce dangerous, impulsive, disturbing behavior quickly?
Increase social-competence quickly?
Improve school readiness quickly?
Embry, D. D. and L. Peters (1985). A three-city evaluation of the diffusion of a pedestrian-safety injury control intervention. R. S. Division, New Zealand Ministry of Transport, Wellington, NZ.
63Thursday, April 14, 2011
Peer-to-Peer Notes
Positive Home Notes
Social Competence Violence
PeaceBuilders School-Community Reinforcement Study
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Promote the Triple P (Positive Parenting Program)
65Thursday, April 14, 2011
10
12
13
15
16
Rat
es p
er 1
,000
Chi
ldre
n (0
-8 Y
ears
)
Substantiated Child Maltreatment
Control Counties
Triple P Counties
Pre Post
Prinz et al., 2009, Prevention Science
Two Years Later
66Thursday, April 14, 2011
Child Abuse Hospital Injuries
1.30
1.43
1.55
1.68
1.80
Rat
es p
er 1
,000
Chi
ldre
n (0
-8 Y
ears
)
Control Counties
Triple P Counties
Pre PostTwo Years Later
Prinz et al., 2009, Prevention Science
67Thursday, April 14, 2011
Child Out-of-Home Placements
3.00
3.38
3.75
4.13
4.50
Rat
es p
er 1
,000
Chi
ldre
n (0
-8 Y
ears
) Control Counties
Triple P Counties
Pre PostTwo Years Later
Prinz et al., 2009, Prevention Science
68Thursday, April 14, 2011
Classrooms
Muriel Saunders
69Thursday, April 14, 2011
Key findings in the first 50 studies of the GBG
๏This was the first widely replicated scientific demonstration that disturbing, disruptive, destructive and inattentive behaviors of children from preschool through secondary education could be reliably reduced by individual teachers using a simple recipe for a 3x daily behavioral vaccine.
ONLY
C linical C hild and Family P sychology R eview, Vol. 5, N o. 4, D ecember 2002 ( C 2002)
T he G ood B ehavior G ame: A B est P ractice C andidateas a U niversal B ehavioral V accine
D ennis D . E mbry1
A “ behavioral vaccine” provides an inoculation against morbidity or mortality, impactingphys-ical, mental, or behavior disorders. A n historical example of a behavioral vaccine is antiseptichand washing to reduce childbed fever. I n current society, issues with high levels of morbidity,such as substance abuse, delinquency, youth violence, and other behavioral disorders (multi-problems) , cry out for a low-cost, widespread strategy as simple as antiseptic hand washing.C ongruent research findings from longitudinal studies, twin studies, and other investigationssuggest that a possibility might exist for a behavioral vaccine for multiproblem behavior. Asimple behavioral strategy called the G ood B ehavior G ame (G B G ) , which reinforces inhibi-tion in a group context of elementary school, has substantial previous research to considerits use as a behavioral vaccine. T he G B G is not a curriculum but rather a simple behavioralprocedure from applied behavior analysis. A pproximately 20 independent replications of theG B G across different grade levels, different types of students, different settings, and somewith long-term follow-up show strong, consistent impact on impulsive, disruptive behaviorsof children and teens as well as reductions in substance use or serious antisocial behaviors.T he G B G , named as a “ best practice” for the prevention of substance abuse or violent be-havior by a number of federal agencies, is unique because it is the only practice implementedby individual teachers that is documented to have long-term effects. Presently, the G B G isonly used in a small number of settings. H owever, near universal use of the G B G , in majorpolitical jurisdictions during the elementary years, could substantially reduce the incidence ofsubstance use, antisocial behavior, and other adverse developmental or social consequencesat a very modest cost, with very positive cost-effectiveness ratios.
K E Y WO R D S: substance abuse prevention; violence prevention; public policy; best practice.
I N T R O D U C T I O N
A behavioral vaccine is a simple, scientificallyproven routine or practice put into widespread dailyuse that reduces morbidity and mortality. A powerfulexample comes from an epidemic that occurred 150years ago.
D uring the nineteenth century, women died inchildbirth at alarming rates in E urope and the U nitedStates. U p to 25% of women who delivered their ba-bies in hospitals died from childbed fever (puerperalsepsis) , discovered later to be caused by Streptococcuspyogenes bacteria.
1PA X I S I nstitute, PO B ox 68494, Tucson, A rizona 85737; e-mail:[email protected].
I n the late 1840s, D r I gnaz Semmelweis worked inthe maternity wards of a V ienna hospital. B y metic-ulous observation, he discovered that the mortalityrate in a delivery room staffed by medical studentswas up to three times higher than in a second deliv-ery room staffed by midwives. Semmelweis postulatedthat the students might be carrying the infection fromtheir dissections to mothers giving birth. H e tested thehypothesis by having doctors and medical studentswash their hands with a chlorinated solution beforeexamining women in labor. T he mortality rate in hismaternity wards eventually dropped to less than 1% .Washing of hands with antiseptic solution—a behav-ioral vaccine—now saves millions of lives every year.Today, the C enters of D isease C ontrol and Prevention(C D C ) web site states, “ [A ntiseptic] hand washing is
273
1096-4037/02/1200-0273/0 C 2002 Plenum Publishing C orporation
pages 273-297
Embry, D. D. (2002). The Good Behavior Game: a best practice candidate as a universal behavioral vaccine. Clinical Child &
Family Psychology Review, 5(4), 273-297.
70Thursday, April 14, 2011
High Implementationof PAX (Good Behavior) Game
No or Low Implementationof PAX (Good Behavior) Game
Behavior Tracking Results in Baltimore 150+ classrooms
No or Low Implementationof PAX (Good Behavior) Game
17 per/hr X 5.5 class hours X 30
students = 2,805 disruptions
per school day per classroom
6 per/hr X 5.5 class hours X 30
students = 990 disruptions per school day per classroom
71Thursday, April 14, 2011
PAX IntroducedThe distracLons per hour decreased by 56% with the introducLon of the PAX environment of PAX language and several PAX kernels.
PAX GBG PlayedDisrupLons per hour decreased an addiLonal 30% aQer learning to play PAX GBG .
PAX GBG decreased distracLon in classrooms by an average of 86% aQer only one month
Baseline DisrupIons Six 1st-‐grade classrooms averaged 136 per hour before coaching
2011 Replication in rural Tennessee by coaches trained just like you…
72Thursday, April 14, 2011
Johns Hopkins Centre for Prevention and Early
Intervention๏ Five longitudinal studies of the effects of the Good
Behavior Game now being studied
๏ All involve random assignment of teachers in schools and schools to use or not use GBG
๏ Here are data from Cohort 1 and 2 studies showing effects 20 years later, after just getting GBG in 1st grade ONLY
73Thursday, April 14, 2011
3 GBG games a day in just first grade during your normal teaching…
๏Reduces disturbing, disruptive and destructive behaviors by 75%
๏Prevents ADHD and other mental illnesses-without medication or therapy
๏Prevents lifetime crime, violence and drug addiction
๏ Increases high-school graduation & college entry
74Thursday, April 14, 2011
Timeline of benefits from PAX GBG
Age of Child Benefits
1st Grade 75% reduction in disturbing, disruptive and destructive behavior; 25% increase academic achievement--especially in reading if played well
3rd Grade 43% reduction in ADHD diagnoses; 33% reduction in Oppositional Defiant Disorder; 30%+ reduction special services needs;
6th grade 50%+ reduction in conduct disorders; 25% to 50% reduction tobacco use; major reduction in bullying behaviors
8th Grade 75%r reduction in serious drug use and engagement in delinquent acts
12th Grade Major increase in high-school graduation; lower utilization of special services
Early 20’s Increase in college entry; Major reductions drug use; reductions in prison time
Age 29 Lifetime reduction in violent crime, suicide, psychiatric diagnoses, and lifetime addictions
75Thursday, April 14, 2011
Adolescents
76Thursday, April 14, 2011
Why not invite families to promise clear rules about alcohol, tobacco & drugs if…It produces a 23% reduction binge drinking and 27% reduction delinquency rates among 7th graders in 2 years and this has been adopted nationally by Sweden and being adopted by the State of Tennessee?
Koutakis, N., H. Stattin, et al. (2008). "Reducing youth alcohol drinking through a parent-targeted intervention: the Orebro Prevention Program." Addiction 103(10): 1629-1637.
PS. Effect sizes were 0.35 for drunkenness and 0.38 for delinquency.
77Thursday, April 14, 2011
78Thursday, April 14, 2011
What is Families Together?
A set of simple, proven, and powerful tools to protect all our children from the leading causes of lifetime suffering, illness, disability and death—securing all our futures.
79Thursday, April 14, 2011
What do Families Together do?
Increase Family Positive Monitoring. Parental & family clarity and commitment to their child about risky or disturbing behaviors such as not using alcohol, tobacco and drugs (ATOD) and about that child’s friends’ not using of alcohol, tobacco and drugs.
The type of monitoring changes by age of child.
80Thursday, April 14, 2011
What do Families Together do?
Reward Not Using or Breaking Rules. Family recognition and reinforcement of children and teens doing the right thing (e.g., not using ATOD or not engaging in deviant or risky behaviors.
The rewards and recognition increase intrinsic motivation to do the right thing, and cost little or no money
The rewards and recognition create perceived warmth by children from parents and family.
81Thursday, April 14, 2011
What do Families Together do?Reduce Sleep Deprivation. Ensuring a child has good sleep patterns, by reducing access to electronic media before bedtime.
Sleep deprivation is the silent but deadly cause of many behavioral, school and health problems—including addictions.
82Thursday, April 14, 2011
What do Families Together do?
Change Brain Food or Fatty Acid Ratios in Child’s Diet. Increasing children’s “brain food” (omega-3 found in fish oil) protects a child’s basic brain function, brain receptors and brain chemistry from the risk of ATOD as well as other problematic behaviors including depression and aggression.
The main biological factor that has radically changed in the last 20 years, dramatically affecting behavior, mental health and physical health of our children.
83Thursday, April 14, 2011
What do Families Together do?
Increase Parent Networking to Adolescents’ Friends Families. Sharing and communicating the above with five of the parents of one’s child’s friends.
84Thursday, April 14, 2011
Families Together getA Promise Card, as do many people from all walks of life in the community.
A Gift card to access a website, gives them the tools to act—videos, downloads and more.
An explanatory flyer.
The above can have local sponsors on the materials for sustainability.
Families United for all our children, for all our youth, for all our futures…
Every community in America gains, when all our children and youth are…
healthy in body, healthy in mind, healthy in spirit, and healthy in behavior.
When children and youth are healthy in body, mind, spirit, and behavior, families are happier, communities are safer, businesses prosper, and America is more secure and prepared for the future.
Families United is available for every family, helping protect every child and youth from common harms of alcohol, tobacco, and other drugs; shield them from depression and other common ills of modern society; and guard against exposure to dangerous acts of others, violence or injuries. Families United helps every child or youth do better in school and achieve heartfelt goals for the future.
I/we promise learn more about Families United at www.SimpleGifts.com/Families United.I/we promise to share the benefits of Families United to others, who in turn can share the benefits to more people.I/we promise to apply—as appropriate to my/our family—the proven Simple Gifts to protect all our children, our youth, and our futures.
Signed____________________________________________Please print_____________________________________________City______________________State____Zipcode__________Date________
Email______________________________ Check if want email updates Check if want
name posted
Families United
Families UnitedFor Your City/County/Statelease join Families United. Families United is a gift to you, your family, and other families in this community.Together, we can use the Simple Gifts in
Families United to make sure all our children and teens have a better, healthier, safer and more productive lives.To redeem your gift, please…Go to www.SimpleGifts.comClick on the Families United boxScratch off the PIN number on the Simple Gifts card, and enter it with the card number.Make your commitment to support Families United in your community.Browse and use the Simple Gifts for
you and your children or teens.
P
Families Together
Families Together
Families Together
85Thursday, April 14, 2011
Binghamton New York
86Thursday, April 14, 2011
ONLY
C linical C hild and Family P sychology R eview, Vol. 5, N o. 4, D ecember 2002 ( C 2002)
T he G ood B ehavior G ame: A B est P ractice C andidateas a U niversal B ehavioral V accine
D ennis D . E mbry1
A “ behavioral vaccine” provides an inoculation against morbidity or mortality, impactingphys-ical, mental, or behavior disorders. A n historical example of a behavioral vaccine is antiseptichand washing to reduce childbed fever. I n current society, issues with high levels of morbidity,such as substance abuse, delinquency, youth violence, and other behavioral disorders (multi-problems) , cry out for a low-cost, widespread strategy as simple as antiseptic hand washing.C ongruent research findings from longitudinal studies, twin studies, and other investigationssuggest that a possibility might exist for a behavioral vaccine for multiproblem behavior. Asimple behavioral strategy called the G ood B ehavior G ame (G B G ) , which reinforces inhibi-tion in a group context of elementary school, has substantial previous research to considerits use as a behavioral vaccine. T he G B G is not a curriculum but rather a simple behavioral
Evidence-based Kernels: Fundamental Units of BehavioralInfluence
Dennis D. Embry Æ Anthony Biglan
! The Author(s) 2008. This article is published with open access at Springerlink.com
Abstract This paper describes evidence-based kernels,fundamental units of behavioral influence that appear to
underlie effective prevention and treatment for children,
adults, and families. A kernel is a behavior–influenceprocedure shown through experimental analysis to affect a
This paper presents an analysis of fundamental units ofbehavioral influence that underlie effective prevention and
treatment. We call these units kernels. They have two
defining features. First, in experimental analysis,researchers have found them to have a reliable effect on
Clin Child Fam Psychol Rev
DOI 10.1007/s10567-008-0036-x
COMMUNITY-BASEDPREVENTION USING SIMPLE,LOW-COST, EVIDENCE-BASEDKERNELS AND BEHAVIORVACCINESDennis D. EmbryPAXIS Institute
!A paradox exists in community prevention of violence and drugs. Good
A R T I C L E
Embry, D. D. and A. Biglan (2008). "Evidence-Based Kernels: Fundamental Units of Behavioral Influence." Clinical Child & Family Psychology Review 11(3): 75-113.
Basic understanding of kernels
Embry, D. D. (2004). "Community-Based Prevention Using Simple, Low-Cost, Evidence-Based Kernels and Behavior Vaccines." Journal of Community Psychology 32(5): 575.
Using kernels for population change
Embry, D. D. (2002). "The Good Behavior Game: A Best Practice Candidate as a Universal Behavioral Vaccine." Clinical Child & Family Psychology Review 5(4): 273-297.
Behavioral vaccines for disease control
87Thursday, April 14, 2011
Is the smallest unit of scientifically proven behavioral influence.
• Is indivisible; that is, removing any part makes it inactive.
Produces quick easily measured change that can grow much bigger change over time.
Can be be used alone OR combined with other kernels to create new programs, strategies or policies.
• Are the active ingredients of evidence-based programs
• Can be spread by word-of-mouth, by modeling, by non professionals.
• Can address historic disparities without stigma, in part because they are also found in cultural wisdom.
What is a kernel?
88Thursday, April 14, 2011
Four Types of Kernels
AntecedentKernel
ReinforcementKernel
Relational FrameKernel
PhysiologicalKernel
Happens BEFORE the behavior
Happens AFTER the behavior
Creates verbal relations for the
behavior
Changes biochemistry of
behavior
Embry, D. D., & Biglan, A. (2008). Evidence-Based
Kernels: Fundamental Units of Behavioral Influence. Clinical Child & Family
Psychology Review, 39.
89Thursday, April 14, 2011
What is a behavioural vaccine?It is a simple procedure (a kernel or a recipe of kernels) that, when used repeatedly, reduce morbidity and mortality and/or increase wellbeing or health.
Such behavioural vaccines can become cultural practices.
Embry, D. D. (2004). "Community-Based Prevention Using Simple, Low-Cost, Evidence-Based Kernels and Behavior Vaccines." Journal of Community Psychology 32(5): 575.
90Thursday, April 14, 2011
Using kernels to build population-level change…
Problem
Kernel
KernelBig
Change
ObservedProximal
EffectObservedProximal
Effect
Effect
Effect
ObservedProximal
Effect
Kernel#1
Kernel#2
Kernel#3
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Big changes requires leverage
92Thursday, April 14, 2011
• Reach X Efficacy X Adoption X Implementation X Maintenance = Population level impact
Big changes requires leverage
93Thursday, April 14, 2011
Public-health kernel case study
94Thursday, April 14, 2011
Youth Who Smoked Every Day the Last 30 Days
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
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12.0%
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12.0%
14.0%
16.0%
18.0%
Baseline Reward and Reminder
Wyoming
Wisconsin
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25.0%
30.0%
35.0%
40.0%
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Youth Who Smoked During the Last 30 DaysBaseline Reward and Reminder
Population level example of use of kernels
Youth Who Smoked Every Day the Last 30 Days
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
12.0%
14.0%
16.0%
18.0%
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
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16.0%
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2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
12.0%
14.0%
16.0%
18.0%
Baseline Reward and Reminder
Source: YRBS, US Centers for Disease Control
Wyoming
Wisconsin
United States
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
30.0%
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40.0%
45.0%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
30.0%
35.0%
40.0%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
30.0%
35.0%
40.0%
1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007
Wyoming
Wisconsin
United States
Youth Who Smoked During the Last 30 DaysBaseline Reward and Reminder
Source: YRBS, US Centers for Disease Control
= Trend = Wyoming = Wisconsin =United States
Embry, D. D. and A. Biglan (2009). Reward and Reminder: An Environmental Strategy for Population-Level Prevention. National Registry of Effective Programs and Practices, Substance Abuse and Mental Health Administration.
95Thursday, April 14, 2011
Kernel Logic Model
96Thursday, April 14, 2011
If kernels are so good…
97Thursday, April 14, 2011
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Intervention UniversalTargeted
Kernels lower cost of training, support & change…
Kernels provide robustness, cost-efficiency and community sustainability across syndemics and multi-problem behaviors.
98Thursday, April 14, 2011
Lifespan example of one kernel for prevention, intervention and
treatment
99Thursday, April 14, 2011
“Environmental” Policies and Kernels Examples
Any “environmental policy” must be based on an observable, replicable, simple way of influencing human individually, in dyads, triads or small groups.
Kernels or behavioral vaccines (a recipe of kernels) can be wrapped in an environmental policy.
Examples for today
100Thursday, April 14, 2011
360 Degree Assessment for Policy Prevention Planning Using Kernels
101Thursday, April 14, 2011
102Thursday, April 14, 2011
103Thursday, April 14, 2011
We can spread health, wellbeing and resiliency to every child, youth, family, and community in North Carolina…
104Thursday, April 14, 2011
By our own hands, we can create the gift of our futuresfor our children, our grandchildren,
ourselves, our communities & nation.
105Thursday, April 14, 2011
For more info on this presentation read recent scientific paper…
Text
Free access at:
www.slideshare.net/drdennisembry
106Thursday, April 14, 2011