Rapid Automotive Innovation

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    The automotive sector is currently seeing one of its

    greatest innovative changes since its inception as the

    major manufacturers capitalise on the technological

    advancement in driver aids and autonomous systems.

    How is this innovation being harnessed to have a

    positive impact on the safety of our road users?

     A Tale of Two Theories: Driver assistance vs Autonomy

    Initially there were two schools of thought on how the

    experience of driving would change given the rapidintegration of technology. Much of the automotive

    industry looked to driver aids, or tools that augment

    the driving experience to help make driving safer.

    During the 1990’s Formula 1 proved an incredible

    development environment for new technology and

    brought us advancements including ABS and Traction

    Control. Whilst this development progressed, some

    industry experts felt the future of transportation was

    autonomous cars, thereby removing the weakest link

     – the human.

    Over the past few years we have seen a convergence

    of these schools of thought, as manufacturers begin

    to integrate systems, thereby moving from disparate

    independent driver aids, to integrated computer

    systems and closer to autonomous transportation.

    In order to accelerate the development of these

    systems, fundamental changes have been made to

    how cars operate, and whilst not always popular

    amongst driving purists, this has enabled computer

    focussed automotive innovation to accelerate.

    Firstly, the automatic gearbox has become the

    primary transmission choice. If a computer is going to

    control several aspects of the car, including speed, it

    must be able to change gear as the engine revolutions

    demand. This is not possible with a manual gearbox,

    hence many of the major automotive companies have

    shifted to an ‘automatic first’ philosophy, with some

    declaring particular models will no longer be supplied

    with a manual gearbox.

    Fly-by-wire throttle has replaced regular mechanical

    and fluid based systems, and electric power assisted

    steering has replaced hydraulic power steering.

    With these changes, manufacturers have been able to

    use computers to control throttle, braking, steering,

    and gears, and made incredible leaps forward in

    automotive innovation and driving aids.

    Computer Driving Aids (Augmented Systems)

    The most common driver aids developed by major

    manufacturers so far have included:

    Automatic Emergency Braking - appearing on more

    vehicles all the time, and designed to stop the all too

    common rear-ending when traffic snarls up. The

    Computer monitors traffic speed ahead and applies

    the brakes as needed.

    Adaptive Cruise Control - introduced within the past

    few years, building upon established cruise control

    functionality, but using radar to monitor and maintain

    the gap between your car and the one in front.

    Active Lane Assistance - alerts the driver if they stray

    outside of the lane they are travelling in, and in more

    advanced cases will steer the car back into the centre

    of the lane.

    These systems are all driving aids designed to enhance

    or protect the driver. So how does this differ to

    autonomous cars and the systems they use?

    Rapid Automotive Innovation The Journey Towards Self Driving Cars 

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     Autonomous Cars – Systems Integration

    Autonomous cars are all about integrating disparate

    driver aids to allow the computers in the vehicle to

    make decisions without human intervention.

    Whilst we often read about Tesla with their Autopilot

    System, Audi’s Piloted Driving, BMW Connected Drive,

    and Volvo’s Drive Me, in actual fact nearly all major

    marques are working on these systems right now.

    With manufacturers around the globe working at pace

    to develop these systems, there needs to be a set ofparameters that promotes continuity and a coherent

    motoring world. Coincidently over 100 years ago the

    same scenario was faced during the inception of the

    automotive industry as car companies sprang up

    across the world – and so in 1905 The Society of

    Automotive Engineers was formed. The SAE began

    work defining standards to be adhered to by the

    automotive industry, and still operate in this capacity.

    SAE International Standard J3016

    The SAE have defined a standard outlining different

    levels of autonomy and the split of responsibility.

    Level 0 is not really an autonomous level, but more a

    baseline indicating no driver aided systems beyond

    familiar ABS and mechanical systems.

    Level 1 defines ‘Driver Assistance’ being where the

    systems of the vehicle are responsible for certain

    actions during operation. Automatic Emergency

    Braking is a good example here. The systems monitor

    particular parameters, and makes conscious decisionsbased on data gathered to protect the occupants and

    road users. In the case of AEB, it controls the brakes.

    Level 2 sees ‘Partial Automation’, where two systems

    combine to further enhance the driver’s assistance, or

    protect in dangerous situations. This could be

    Adaptive Cruise Control and Lane Centring.

    Level 3 is classified by SAE as ‘Conditional

    Automation’, and is where the computers are mostly

    responsible for the vehicle under particular

    parameters, with the human only intervening where

    the systems run into difficulty. For example, on a

    motorway where the driving conditions are a

    constant, the Level 3 systems can take control of

    throttle, braking, and steering to drive the car. If the

    system can no longer perform any of these tasks,

    control is relinquished to the human.

    Level 3 is where things start to get interesting, and the

    level most manufactures are currently testing.

    Systems from Audi, Tesla, BMW and Volvo, are all

    competent Level 3 systems, and in actuality the are

    now working on taking these to Level 4.

    Level 4 or ‘High Automation’ is where the systems

    have full responsibility. The driver enters the

    destination into the navigation system, and the car

    performs all of the driving. The human is not expected

    to perform any driving during the trip.

    Level 5 or ‘Full Automation’ is seen by some as a

    contentious level. Here the computer can consciously

    make the decision to override a human’s attempt to

    take control of a situation if it determines the action

    will be dangerous for the vehicle occupants or other

    road users.

     Achieving Autonomy

    When we talk about levels of autonomy, the mind

    tries to comprehend what this actually means, and

    how the systems integrate to achieve ‘self-driving’. 

    In order to build an autonomous car capable of Level

    3 and above we need to combine a wide range of

    sensors that allow detection and response to changing

    traffic conditions. All manufacturers follow the same

    basic principles by combining different sensor types to

    perform the detailed analysis required.

    Volvo have combined several of these systems in their

    Drive Me solution, and will perform real-world testing

    in Gothenburg in 2017.

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    An overview of the sensors employed can be seen in

    their video here (Timestamp 0:24). 

    Hurdles to Autonomy

    Inevitably there are obstacles to overcome in order to

    achieve level 3 or level 4 vehicle autonomy.

    For starters the general condition of many of the road

    networks across the globe is poor. Pot holes, missingroad markings, faded lines, there are many issues with

    our roads that may cause computers momentary

    lapses in capability, and hence decision making.

    Insurance and liability – Who is accountable for an

    accident in a world filled with self-driving cars, or

    more complicatedly, in a world where both

    autonomous and manual cars exist? This has been

    widely discussed, although from a liability perspective

    Volvo have now stepped forward and released a

    statement declaring:

    “Volvo will accept full liability whenever one of its cars

    are in autonomous mode”. 

    This appears an incredible commitment, but makes a

    lot of sense. From an accountability perspective we

    will know whether the computer or the human was in

    control of the vehicle at the time of the incident. With

    all cars contributing to a knowledgebase of situational

    awareness, the expertise of the computer drivers will

    develop and improve over time.

    Legislation – This is where the SAE provide a good

    foundation and continual development of standards

    and processes. A car travelling between countries will

    need to be capable of handling changes in law, local

    signage, language comprehension, road markings, and

    culturally accepted driving behaviour. The vehicles will

    need to be able to understand particular nuances of

    operating within each country they visit.

    The biggest obstacle unfortunately is human nature – It will take a long time for us to accept and relinquish

    control of the vehicle. There have been several video

    reports on the autonomous cars, and in many cases

    the reporters admitted to an inability to take their

    eyes off the road for long periods of time, or to move

    their hands away from the steering wheel.

    It is precisely this hurdle that has caused some

    industry experts to propose Level 3 is skipped to get

    to Level 4 and 5. The fear is that Level 3 cars will allow

    humans to intervene and make decisions the car could

    have made better. What we may see is a hybrid of

    Level 3 and 4 where the cars operate at high levels of

    autonomy, but not initially on all roads or conditions.

     Autonomous Car Testing in the Real World

    From a market perspective, Boston Consulting Group

    have assessed the market for driverless cars and all it

    entails, and believe it could be worth around $42

    billion by 2025. Leading up to this date, there will be

    many tests performed, and details to be worked out.

    In October 2015 Daimler tested self-driving trucks in

    Germany with great success.

    Volvo  just completed a 125-mile multi-vehicle convoy

    where the lead car was driven, with the chase vehicles

    following autonomously connected over wireless link.

    The UK have announced a ten truck convoy will be

    tested on the M6 during 2016. The lead truck will bedriven, with the remaining nine in self-drive mode.

    In 2017 Volvo will hand over one hundred

    autonomous cars to families in Gothenburg for a long

    term test.

    Integrated Systems in Operation

    Perhaps you have AEB, adaptive cruise control, or lane

    centring on your current car, but it is rare we witness

    what happens when these systems are integrated?

    Hyundai used a test road in the Mojave Desert and sixHyundai Genesis cars to demonstrate this premise.

    You can watch the full video here. 

    Imagine how many rear-end shunts this could

    prevent, and the reduction in insurance claims. Now

    think about the number of cyclists and pedestrians

    avoided. This technology has the potential to

    dramatically reduce the number of injuries and

    fatalities on our roads, and at the exponential rate

    manufacturers are making progress, we will hopefully

    see these benefits in the very near future.

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