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8/13/2019 Rakuten Institute of Technology - Envision a future: Third Reality
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Rakuten Institute of TechnologyEnvision a future
Third Reality
Director Masaya Mori 2007/10/02
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We will meet…
Interaction, Fusion, Collaboration
(to be described…)
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Could you give me your time?
• Please make yourself at beach.
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Today’s topic
• In the near future, the way of service and business
centering Web.
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Abstract
• Reality will be one of the most important topics in the near future.• Reality hasn’t been cared about well although important.
• It was not appropriate as the subject in Mathematics and Science.
• However, users are getting power and creating new Reality, and societyand system must take some strategic measures for that influence.
• 3 big changes
• Interaction: Web is evolving more and more.• Fusion: Users and Reality are evolving more than Web.
• Collaboration: All Relations are changing into Co-Creation style.
• Net business and Real business
• Company and Users
• Reality not existing before is emerging via 3 big changes.
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What’s Next?
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Reality
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• What’s Next?– Web3.0, Ubiquitous, Ambient, SensorNet– Virtual Reality, Metadata Network, Terrestrial Internet– New various applications, systems and businesses will
emerge from now on.
• In the future, however, what should be focused ashigh priority matter is “Reality” in any domains suchas Academic, Technology, Service and Business.
We should focus on “Reality”.
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What is “Reality?”
• Feeling– Actual feeling, actual societal experience– Utility in Economics
• World– where people live
• Value, lifestyle, communication, community
– Different between teenager and adult• How is a world where user lives? How does user feel?
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Virtual Reality?
• Users feel another Reality different from Real World.
• Virtual Reality is one of “Reality.”
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History, Religion
• Either shows world and gives feeling.
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Playing
• Children also have Reality.
– Playing at keeping house– Fairy tale
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Feature
• Invisible, Semantic
– No hyperlinks between books• Share Group / Share level
– Private, Family, Community, Society
• Social system– Economy, Culture, Common sense
• Open End
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Users create Reality.
• Users always create new Reality continuously.– Communication (Ex. Emoticon)– Community & Complement (Ex. Comic market, Costume Play)– Combination (Ex. Socks & Starch)– Augmentation (Ex. Sports watching)
Relieved (^o^;Sad (T_T;
00 00 15
TW
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‘Beyond’ is the essence.
• Users go beyond.
• Reality is created beyond existing frameworks.
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Why “Reality?”
• “Reality” is visceral all around us.– Reality made influence on the business and the society strongly.
• Ex. Heian Era’s Dream Interpretation in Japan.– However, Reality wasn’t cared about well.– The difference between Realities may make big conflicts.
• We should know about “Reality” more.– No Reality, No business/life/future.– Reality always is created continuously.
• What’s Next Reality?
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3 Steps, 3 Layers
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3 Steps
1st : Real World Reality
2nd: Net World Reality– ex. Virtual World / Net Community– ex. Web2.0
3rd: Real & Net World Reality– Technology combines Real & Net.
– After Web2.0
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3 Layers
• Interaction : Web will evolve more and more than in the now.
• Fusion : User and Reality will evolve more than Web.• Collaboration : Relation between Real & Net will change to collaboration.
Interaction, Fusion, Collaboration
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First, the changes of Technology
ExtensionOrganic IntelligenceOnline
nter ction
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Extension
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Web is extending.
• Contact points are increasing.
• Other isolated IP networks will be linked with Web insome way.
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Net use explosion
• Pervasion with…
– Interfaces, Devices– Sensors, Camera, Broadcast– Desktop/web application
• AIR, Silverlight
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Net unconscious use
• Wireless
– Nicon COOLPIX S7c, Fon, iPhone– Digital Pen & Paper– Powercast
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Easy devices to access Net
• Tangible devices
– Tablet PC– Digital Pen & Paper– Touch Panel, Microsoft Surface– Game Machine, Information Appliance
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Collaborative Panel & Microsoft Surface TM
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Cross media TV Portal
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Setamaru Tokyo Ubiquitous Plan GINZA
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And, to Seamless
• System supports Seamless.
– Not Multi-device, but Cross-device– Device Autochange• FMC, CompanyN’s Mobile, Car / Person-navigation• Rakuten Messenger
– User Free Access• ThinClient (SunRay)
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And, to Silent interaction
• Pervasion + Wireless + Seamless = Silence
• Ex. RFID– ‘Much silence makes a powerful noise’ African proverb
• Silence means “beyond the border between Real andNet.”
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Check Point
• Time is properly?
• And… hopefully you will not be sleepy from next page.
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Organic Intelligence
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System Powered for Huge Data
• System can control more and more huge various data.
• Computing Power– Petabyte storage, Quadcore, Network band– Grid, P2P
• Data Processing Power– Parallel crawling & processing
– Aggregation & Data mining• Dynamic Automation
– Feedback, dynamic interaction– Highly automation
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Web is getting sensors as Eye and Ear.
• Web is Extended by Sensors and more.– Web is no longer a set of documents contents hyperlinked.
– More kinds of data will be linked with Web.• Sensor Network, Sensor Information System
– Digital, Network, Ambience
• Web extended– Sensor Net 2.0
• Tokyo-Amesh– Recognition Technology, Metadata service
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Everything Sensor
• Devices and Interfaces are also networked.
• Every contact point (interface) is sensor.– Also Music Player, WebAPI
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New Intelligence is coming.
• All via sensors will be data and organized in multilevel.• We call that Organic Intelligence
– New clue of data– Beyond Collective Intelligence
• Hugh raw information itself can be Insight.– Cf. Google Suggest, Google Translate– Discover difference producing difference– Reality integrated from fragmented information
• How will we create Organic Intelligence DB ?
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Features
• Space– Mapped to Space
• Time– Real time, Dynamic Update– Stored in Archive
• Any activity is logged.– Lead to Prediction
• Optimization– Promote Personalization & Optimization
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Rain mapped
• Tokyo-Amesh– http://tokyo-ame.jwa.or.jp/
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Work resource linked to business
• Location Value
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Optimized Agriculture
• Pickberry Vineyard by Accenture
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Optimized Delivery and Maintenance
• Metro St. Louis
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Approach
• Smart signal technology
J1708 Data
Weather Data
Non-IntrusiveMonitoring
Earlier
Warning
IncreasedVisibility
forPlanning
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Personalized Insurance
• TripSense
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Personalized Agent
• Personalized Agent– Auto transaction program in stock market.– Agent system handles flood of information.
• Summary Interface– Aggregate information
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Any Online
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Any Online - Always connected
• Anytime, Anywhere, Anything, Anyone– Ex. Printer is always on-line.– Everyone has mobile phone with GPS service.– Ambient Findability
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Blogject
• Blog + Object
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Remote health care
• Lifeshirt by VivoMetrics
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Project BlackBox
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no longer only in Real world
• We can touch Real World via Net.
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As if…
• The whole world is on line.
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JV2020 Battlefield
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So…
Reality Interaction
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As if…
• Human Interface
• Reality Interface• Reality Interaction
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Nobody wants definitely
• But pervaded in progress.
• RFID attached to Number plate– US. French. Singapore– Japan (experiment by using TAXI)
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Participatory Reality
• More people are linked regardless of digital literacy.– Even baby is connected.
• Social Longtail– Most of people participating net will not use PC/mobile well.
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And…
• As technology changes, larger paradigm shift begins.
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That is…
Fusion Not Real, Not Net
Third Existence
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View
• What does pilot see?
• Augmented
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Augmented Virtual World
• The WORLD / Blude Bird Journey – Benny K.– Google Maps + Virtual Bird + Blog Parts
• Drecom
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Identification
• Printer
• Mixi, offline meeting with handle name• Multiple-ID– Net : Mail, Blog, Mixi, Messenger– Real : Mobile, Credit Card
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Experience
• Dining Blog
• Sports watching– Nintendo DS
• Densha-Otoko
00 00 15
TW
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Place
• Residence
• Workplace– Call center
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TV
• CM
• Webpisode
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Redefinition
• Money & Point system• Exchange-system will produce New Economy.• Business, Market and Economy would be redefined.
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Creativity
• Machinema = Machine + Chinema
P li i
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Politics
• YouTube, Second Life• Not just Virtual World
I lli
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Intelligence
• IME– User can write more characters.
• Wikipedia
I
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Fusion
Real and Net are fused.
It means…
A d
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Reality not existing before is Created.
And…
W ill t
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We will meet…
Interaction, Fusion, Collaboration
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to Collaboration
Fragmentation
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Fragmentation
• Contents– YouTube, Mobile novel
• Communication– Mobile communication, Mixi diary, Twitter
• Business– Work style– Next Market
Resolved vs Restructured
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Resolved vs. Restructured
• Everything is resolved into parts.– Blog parts, WebAPI
• Everything is used as parts for restructure.– Dining experience– SecondLife + YouTube– Bulletin Board Communication (Zenryaku-Prof.)
Parts
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Parts
• Second life is also one of parts for users.
To Collaborative Creation
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To Collaborative Creation
• Real and Net are fused. And Users get power. Or To get Uses’supports is becoming better.
• Relationship changes to co-creation of New Reality all aroundUser Reality.– From “A -> B” to “A B”– Broadcast & Viewer– Supplier & Consumer
• big change of production• Wikinomics
– Application & Users• Not only Company and People• Search Engine changes.• Context-base / interaction
– Real & Net
Mutual Augmented
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Mutual Augmented
• Net -> Real
– To support the Real– Rakuten Travel
• Real -> Net– To support the Net– Rakuten Card encouraging Net shoppoing
• Mutual Augmented– Point System
• Encouraging Real shopping• And encouraging Net shoppoing
Augmented Net
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Augmented Net
• Rakuten Books & FamilyMart
Augmented Real Business
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Augmented Real Business
• Webstar Japan
Interaction Fusion Collaboration
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Interaction, Fusion, Collaboration
• Sony CSL
Next Reality
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Next Reality
• We must consider the importance of Next Reality in abroader context and in every level.– Person, Community, Society– Culture, Economics, Politics
• Holistic approach to Reality is required to understandthat nature, not analytic/assemble approach.
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Business Strategy
Guide
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Guide
For users
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For users
• Easy, Comfortable, Seamless– Sentimental Interface
• Parts provided– WebAPI, SOA– Fun to use, fun to develop
• Acknowledged
• Secure base• Share experience
– Share of Share– Famicom, TV program– Hitoke
For providers
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For providers
• What is the role of each technology seed like in 3 rd Reality world?
• Context-base• Interaction
• Collaboration-support• Online-support
• Automation
• Agile• Low cost• Improve productivity
– User is faster.
Strategies
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Strategies
• Third Reality Eco-system– Synergy, Mutual augmented
• Third Value from Real & Net• Personalization By financial planner
– Open, Collaboration• OSS/Comunity
– Dynamic interaction
– cf. Wikinomics
Application
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• context base, context share– A-Un communication, Community, Share of Share, Hitoke
– Frequency of mail use can be decreasing recently.• interactive approach
– Accept user’s natural response
• supportive, visualize– Life planner
• navigator applications– Car-navi, Nittendo-DS, IME
• Easy
• sentimental interface, RIA– From huge information to Reality
• open, provide parts
Know Reality
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• Reality is invisible.– It is invisible that people who have read Book A are
recommended to read Book B.– Recommendation system can link Book A with Book B.
• How do we reach to invisible reality?
• Know how reality is impacted?– By our business/service/system– How reality is supported?– What parts our business/services/system become of
reality?
• Respect for Users who change Reality.
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Social Issues
Social Issues
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• User’s & Reality evolutions vs. Social Regulations
Security Privacy
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• How do you distinguish?– Family Security vs Husband Privacy
Security
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• Network is open.• Authentication
– Biometrics and Privacy
Monitoring Camera
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• Stereo Camera - Dual Lens
Spatial Tracking
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Privacy
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• Street Display, Google Street View• Users are very sensitive.
– Benetton & Gillette cases, Japanese security company case.– Correct PR: Don’t invoke misinterpretation.– Avoid uncomfortable. Not over personalization.
• Countermeasures– Federation Data Model for privacy– Fake Poisoning, Anti-SEO (Google)
Authority
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• Media Literacy– Blog, CGM: Frank appeal/comment/opinion,
Feeling Share• not correct information
– Reliability Feeling
• Collective Intelligence, OrganicIntelligence– What do you think of the reliability/authority
of aggregated information via sensors
• Blogger, Opinion Leader– Branding
• Personal Blogs can be founded via Search
Engine, and can get brand.
x
Education
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• Privacy & Authority• Third Education is needed.
Others
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• Health, Mental-health• Environment
– greenhouse reduction
And more…
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• Relation between Reality and Brain
We will meet…
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Interaction, Fusion, Collaboration
Q A
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• Do you have any questions or any comments?
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Rakuten Institute of Technology
Masaya Mori ( [email protected] )
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