Raising the Level of Your Supply Chain Performance...Sources: MAP –FHWA Freight Analysis...

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Raising the Level of Your Supply Chain Performance Pat Kinne GENERAL DIRECTOR INTERNATIONAL MARKETING BNSF Railway Intermodal

Transcript of Raising the Level of Your Supply Chain Performance...Sources: MAP –FHWA Freight Analysis...

Page 1: Raising the Level of Your Supply Chain Performance...Sources: MAP –FHWA Freight Analysis Framework, version 3.4, October 2013 and INRIX 2011 2040 Projections By 2030, traffic congestion

Raising the Level of Your Supply Chain

Performance

Pat KinneGENERAL DIRECTOR INTERNATIONAL

MARKETING

BNSF Railway Intermodal

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Read GDP GrowthThe U.S. economy in Q1 grew at 1.2% q/q, the weakest growth in 3 years. Slowdown tied to temporary factors likely to give way to a rebound in coming months.

2.1% 1.2%-0.3% -2.8% 2.5% 1.6% 2.2% 1.7% -1.2% 4.0% 5.0% 2.3% 2.0% 2.6% 2.0% 0.9% 0.8% 1.4% 3.5%

-8-7-6-5-4-3-2-101234567

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Fixed Investment Government ExpendituresImports ExportsInventories Consumption

Net GDP

Source: U.S. Dept. of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis, May 26, 2017

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CONSUMER CONFIDENCEMay 2017

(Conference Board)Recession

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Consumer SectorConsumer confidence jumped to highest level in 16 years in March, declining some in April/May, but still relatively high

(The Conference Board Total Index, 1985 SA =100)

Source: Conference Board, May 30, 2017

Recession

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Agricultural SectorBNSF saw record volumes in 2016

75,00085,00095,000

105,000115,000125,000135,000145,000155,000165,000175,000

Q10

8Q

208

Q30

8Q

408

Q10

9Q

209

Q30

9Q

409

Q11

0Q

210

Q31

0Q

410

Q11

1Q

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Q31

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ALL TIME RECORD

170KBNSF RAILWAY GRAIN SHIPMENTS

(Units, Thru Q1 2017)

Source: AAR

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Big Picture U.S. Class Is

Intermodal/Automotive

53%Industrial Products

25%

Coal 14%

Agricultural Products

8%

2016 UNITS HANDLED BY U.S. CLASS I RAILROADS

Source: AAR CS-54 data

4,945

3,863 3,683

2,758

455

BNSF NS UP CSXT KCS

2016 INTERMODAL VOLUMES HANDLED BY U.S. CLASS I RAILROADS (THOUSANDS)

Source: AAR

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• Population Growth = Increased Demand

• Compensation Challenges

• Stresses of Job• Burden of Meeting

Increasing Regulations

Current Motor Carrier Climate: Driver Shortages

Source: FTR; Copyright 2017 by FTR (www.FTRintel.com)

-350,000

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.Q4

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2016

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DRIVER SHORTAGE (-)/ SURPLUS (+)2011.Q4 TO 2018.Q4 – CURRENT QUARTER: 2015.Q4

Driver Shortage/Surplus Forecast#Of Drivers

-Surplus-

-Shortage-

-169,498

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Current Motor Carrier Climate:Highway Congestion

Sources: MAP – FHWA Freight Analysis Framework, version 3.4, October 2013 and INRIX

2011 2040 Projections

By 2030, traffic congestion will rob the U.S. economy of $186B

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Big Picture Import Volume

2016 IMPORT VOLUME

Page 9: Raising the Level of Your Supply Chain Performance...Sources: MAP –FHWA Freight Analysis Framework, version 3.4, October 2013 and INRIX 2011 2040 Projections By 2030, traffic congestion

12%

9%

5%

11%

4%3%

2002-2008 2009-2014 2015-2020P

AVERAGE Y/Y GROWTH IN OCEAN CONTAINER SUPPLY AND DEMAND

Supply

Demand

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Current Ocean Carrier Climate: Vessel Supply Outpacing Global Container Demand

Sources: Maersk, Danish Shipping Finance, BCG, Alphaliner

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The Intermodal Leader

• Length of Network: 32,500 miles• U.S. States in Network: 28• Canadian Provinces in Network: 3• Ports Served: 40• Intermodal Hubs: 25• Length of Track at Intermodal Hubs: 250 miles• Service Schedules: 450+

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The Fastest Intermodal Service in the Industry

*Source: AAR data through April 30, 2017

BNSF INTERMODAL VELOCITY VS. OTHER U.S. CLASS I RAILROADS

BNSF is 12% faster (MPH) than other U.S. Class I weighted average

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MPH

Week

BNSF Average U.S. Class I Railroad Weighted Avgerage

2016 2017

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International Intermodal Service

Shanghai

Source: ProLogis

Seattle/Tacoma

Oakland

LA/Long Beach Dallas/Fort Worth Savannah

Charleston

Norfolk

New YorkChicago

25

2613

Vancouver

Atlanta

25

Toronto

MemphisKansas City

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New OrleansHouston

Denver

Transit continues to favor West Coast ports.

Port of Entry

BNSF Intermodal Facility

Consumer Market (250 miles)

Ocean Transit Days

Rail Transit Days (5 days or less)

Rail Transit Days (8 days)

Ocean Transit Days (East Coast)

Ocean Transit Days (West Coast)

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US CONTAINERIZED AG EXPORTS

West Coast East Coast Gulf Coast

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U.S. West Coast Advantage Remains

Source: PIERS DATA

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BNSF’s Match-to-Market Program

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BNSF’s Empty Repositioning Programs

Empty Surplus

Empty Surplus

Empty Surplus

Empty Surplus

Exports

Export Location

Empty Surplus

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$1.9 $2.1 $2.0$2.6

$3.1$3.8

$3.4 $3.4 $3.3$2.7

$3.6 $3.6$4.0

$5.5$5.8

$3.9$3.4

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Replacement Capital Expansion PTC Locomotive Equipment

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Investing to Serve Our Customers

CAPITAL SPENDING OVER THE YEARSIn Billions

Page 17: Raising the Level of Your Supply Chain Performance...Sources: MAP –FHWA Freight Analysis Framework, version 3.4, October 2013 and INRIX 2011 2040 Projections By 2030, traffic congestion

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Southern Transcon Projects

Clovis SubDOUBLE-TRACK

Pecos River Bridge

DOUBLE-TRACKSibley Bridge

DOUBLE-TRACK

Panhandle SubDOUBLE-TRACK

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Enhancing Capacity: Northern CorridorCapital Expansion and Maintenance Investment

Capital Investment 2013-2016

$5B+1,000 miles of CTC

+135 miles of double-track

16 new sidings added

16 sidings extended

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Innovating the Process to Provide Connectivity

ISP / ETN / RAILPASS CONNECT TO IMPROVE YOUR EXPERIENCE

Accurate ETAs

Run Time Tables (BASE)

Manage Exceptions

Communication

ISPBCO Connectivity Future EnhancementsETA / ETNBNSF RailPass BNSF RailPass

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