RAIL BALTICA’S STRATEGIC BENEFIT TO FINNISH INDUSTRY · Warehousing & VAS Liquid handling Road &...
Transcript of RAIL BALTICA’S STRATEGIC BENEFIT TO FINNISH INDUSTRY · Warehousing & VAS Liquid handling Road &...
Part-financed by the European Union (European Regional Development Fund)
RAIL BALTICA’S STRATEGIC BENEFIT TO FINNISH INDUSTRY
Ulla Tapaninen
Ph.D., Expert in International Logistics City of Helsinki
Part-financed by the European Union (European Regional Development Fund)
• Baltic Sea in 2010
• Finnish foreign trade
– Eastern European countries
• Benefits
– Security of supply
– Transit traffic income
– Costs, environment
CONTENTS
2 Ulla Tapaninen, 4.4.2012, Tartu
Part-financed by the European Union (European Regional Development Fund)
BALTIC SEA TRAFFIC 2010 (GROWTH 09/10)
Source: Baltic Port List 2010, http://www.balticportlist.com/
3 Ulla Tapaninen, 4.4.2012, Tartu
Source: Baltic Transport Outlook 2030 intermediate report
+27% +42%
+4%
+22%
+18%
+49% +22%
+24%
+30% +28%
FORECAST PORT VOLUME GROWTH PER COUNTRY 20102030 (INTERNATIONAL CARGO)
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BALTIC SEA PORTS 2010
Source: Baltic Port List 2010, http://www.balticportlist.com
5 Ulla Tapaninen, 4.4.2012, Tartu
Source: Baltic Port List 2010, http://www.balticportlist.com
BALTIC SEA PORTS 2010
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FLIGHT PASSENGERS FROM HELSINKI
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Source:
Finavia,
2012
Part-financed by the European Union (European Regional Development Fund)
• Baltic Sea in 2010
• Finnish foreign trade
– Eastern European countries
• Benefits
– Security of supply
– Transit traffic income
– Costs, environment
CONTENTS
8 Ulla Tapaninen, 4.4.2012, Tartu
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Part-financed by the European Union (European Regional Development Fund)
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FINNISH IMPORT AND EXPORT 2011
Source: Finnish Customs 2012
Sea
82 %
Inland waterway
0 %
Rail 9 %
Road
4 %
Air 0
%
Post 0 %
Other 5 %
Import (t)
Sea
88 %
Inland waterway
1 %
Rail 3 %
Road
8 %
Air 0 %
Post 0 % Other
0 %
Export (t)
Total 61 810 000 tons Total 44 840 000 tons
13 Ulla Tapaninen, 4.4.2012, Tartu
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TRANSPORT TO EASTERN EUROPE/ASIA
Source: Finnish Customs 2012
14 Ulla Tapaninen, 4.4.2012, Tartu
Part-financed by the European Union (European Regional Development Fund)
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Part-financed by the European Union (European Regional Development Fund)
• Baltic Sea in 2010
• Finnish foreign trade
– Eastern European countries
• Benefits
– Security of supply
– Transit traffic income
– Costs, environment
CONTENTS
16 Ulla Tapaninen, 4.4.2012, Tartu
Part-financed by the European Union (European Regional Development Fund)
DEPENDENCY OF IMPORT/EXPORT
Ulla Tapaninen, 4.4.2012, Tartu 17
Industry How long production can be carried out after a disruption
Energy production Coal: 3 months (reserves by law 3 months)
Oil production: 2−3 days (production process is then forced to put down), reserve
stocks of critical products (corresponding the amount of imports for 90 days)
Food supply & food exports Grain imports & exports: several months (can be stored )
Meat: 2−3 weeks (with special arrangements)
Animal feeds: 2−3 weeks (with special arrangements; if there is a breakdown etc.
at a factory, it will have an immediate impact)
Malt: several months (can be stored)
Milk products: 2−3 days
Other food products: from 2−3 days (perishable products) to 2−3 weeks (based on
the products)
Chemical industry Approximately 2 weeks (with special arrangements); 2−9 days
Pharmaceuticals & healthcare
supplies
Mandatory reserves by law industry & importers (3, 6 & 10 months) of critical
supplies, hospitals (3−6 month stocks)
Other supplies: 3 weeks to 2 months (products that are not mandatory to be kept
in stocks by law)
Forestry 12 hours−2 days
Metals and miming Depending on the product: from a few weeks to 2−3 months
Technology industry 2−3 days
Source:
Yliskylä
& al.
2011
SECURITY OF SUPPLY
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Source:
Yliskylä
& al.
2011
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TRANSIT TRAFFIC FIN-RUSSIA
Ulla Tapaninen, 4.4.2012, Tartu 20
M ton
Total
Import
Export
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010
Source:
Finnish
Transport
Agency,
2011
Part-financed by the European Union (European Regional Development Fund)
INCOME OF FINNISH TRANSIT TRAFFIC
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Sea traffic
Ports
Stevedoring
Haulage
Warehousing & VAS
Liquid handling
Road & rail
AirSource:
Finnish
Ministry of
Transport,
2011
21 Ulla Tapaninen, 4.4.2012, Tartu
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ENVIRONMENTAL BENEFITS
TK1 1 302 km
TK2 1 428 km
TK3 1 243 km
TK4 2 217 km
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Part-financed by the European Union (European Regional Development Fund)
SULPHUR CONTENT OF THE FUEL Global
1.1.2012 4,5 % > 3,5%
1.1.2020 0,5 % (at latest 2025)
SECA
1.7.2010 1,5 % > 1 %
1.1.2015 0,1 %
Ports
0.1 %-S in EU ports and inland waterways from 2010
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SECA - AREA
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Part-financed by the European Union (European Regional Development Fund)
EFFECT OF FUEL SULPHUR % ON FREIGHT LEVEL
Cargo / suphur
%
1,0% 0,5 % 0,1%
Container 4 - 13 % 8 – 18 % 44 – 51 %
Paper roll 3 – 10 % 6 – 14 % 35 – 40 %
Truck 3 – 10 % 6 – 14 % 35 – 41 %
Passenger car 3 – 10 % 6 – 14 % 35 – 41 %
Oil 3 – 8 % 5 – 11 % 28 – 32 %
Bulk 4 – 11 % 7 – 15 % 39 – 44 %
Timber 3 – 10 % 6 – 14 % 35 – 40 %
Steel 3 – 10 % 6 – 14 % 35 – 40 %
Source:
Finnish
Ministry of
Transportation
2009
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Part-financed by the European Union (European Regional Development Fund)
EXTRA COST FOR FINNISH INDUSTRY Industry Export Import Total Extra cost €
Agriculture 0,0 % 0,7 % 0,41 % 1 763 994
Forestry 0,0 % 0,0 % 0,00 % 382
Mining 4,7 % 0,0 % 2,02 % 8 668 913
Construction 0,9 % 8,1 % 5,02 % 21 581 213
Pulp and paper 51,5 % 9,5 % 27,64 % 118 890 562
Metal 9,1 % 18,4 % 14,36 % 61 776 307
Technology 0,4 % 0,4 % 0,43 % 1 838 810
Chemistry 24,1 % 6,8 % 14,22 % 61 169 232
Food 3,1 % 2,1 % 2,51 % 10 812 674
Other industry 3,7 % 2,3 % 2,89 % 12 416 636
Retail 2,3 % 6,9 % 4,92 % 21 153 124
Other services 0,2 % 44,9 % 25,58 % 110 023 494
TOTAL 100 % 100 % 100 % 430 095 340
Source:
Finnish
Ministry of
Transportation
2009
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Part-financed by the European Union (European Regional Development Fund)
Source: IMO,
2009
GLOBAL CO2 EMISSION
Elecricity and Heat
34,97 %
Other
15,28 %
Other Energy Industries
4,60 %
Manufacturing and
construction
18,18 %
Road transport
21,28 %
Rail transport
0,50 % Int. Shipping
2,70 % Dom. Shipping
0,60 %
Int. Aviation
1,90 %
• Share of shipping is expected to grow up to 12 – 18% in 2050
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Part-financed by the European Union (European Regional Development Fund)
THANK YOU
28 Ulla Tapaninen, 4.4.2012, Tartu