Radical innovation 17 may10
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Transcript of Radical innovation 17 may10
@jus%nspra* www.sandboxsavant.com
justin spratt – radical innovation – 17th of May
Already almost a 70% fall since launch of Seacom
justin spratt – radical innovation – 17th of May
The Last Mile
Interna%onal Backhaul
DSL FTTx
WiMax LTE
Last Hop
National Backhaul
justin spratt – radical innovation – 17th of May
African Cables
justin spratt – radical innovation – 17th of May
1.1 million mobile broadband subscribers
14Mbps compliant towers – this can go to circa 40Mbps before LTE is needed
justin spratt – radical innovation – 17th of May
justin spratt – radical innovation – 17th of May
“Even if developed countries recover completely in 2010, emerging economies will account for 70 -‐ 75% of the growth in global output ‘for the foreseeable future”
New York Times
justin spratt – radical innovation – 17th of May
“China’s growth as an economic superpower is increasingly correlated with that of Africa, on which it now relies for 25% of its oil imports, reports the”
Financial Mail
justin spratt – radical innovation – 17th of May
justin spratt – radical innovation – 17th of May
The demand on networks crazy AT&T’s network is broken because of it
justin spratt – radical innovation – 17th of May
Why use paper %cke%ng?
Mobile will increasingly replace the need for printed %ckets
justin spratt – radical innovation – 17th of May
justin spratt – radical innovation – 17th of May
Facebook and Twi*er are paragon examples
onsite applica%ons = old school
justin spratt – radical innovation – 17th of May
Stra\or: “South Africa is at high risk of a cold war with Angola”
Logic is that Angola’s oil wealth is now tapped and it is significant
Also, Angola increasingly appears a Chinese proxy
justin spratt – RMB: think bigger justin spratt – radical innovation – 17th of May
Reinven%ng Fire
justin spratt – RMB: think bigger justin spratt – radical innovation – 17th of May
global warming aside, price of oil is will increase &
big food chain was built on $30 a
barrel of oil not $130
justin spratt – radical innovation – 17th of May
Mass produc%on of content Repor%ng done by bots
Editorials will be the only paid for content
justin spratt – RMB: think bigger justin spratt – radical innovation – 17th of May
Credit Crisis: Overcapacity and abundance fallen?
“With cost of distribu%on relentlessly driving towards zero, Chris Anderson, has once again iden%fied the next big thing” Schmidt, on Anderson’s book “Free”
justin spratt – RMB: think bigger justin spratt – radical innovation – 17th of May
“people are increasingly neglec%ng their voicemails,” explains Streicher
Study by Sprint: people under the age of 30 are 4 %mes more likely to respond to an SMS within minutes than a voicemail
Over 30, twice as likely
Consumers op%ng for voice-‐to-‐text messages.
justin spratt – radical innovation – 17th of May
justin spratt – radical innovation – 17th of May
“check-in” – earn points – become the “mayor”
justin spratt – radical innovation – 17th of May
justin spratt – radical innovation – 17th of May
Mobile Phones & Broadband
justin spratt – radical innovation – 17th of May
justin spratt – radical innovation – 17th of May
Predic%ons
• Voice declines as % of total coms
• Instant messaging increases
• Applications drive markets, not voice
justin spratt – radical innovation – 17th of May
Applica%ons
justin spratt – broadband summit justin spratt – radical innovation – 17th of May
Communica%ons Tools
Communica%ons tools don't get socially interes%ng un%l they get technologically boring
Clay Shirky, “Here Comes Everybody”
justin spratt – radical innovation – 17th of May
justin spratt – radical innovation – 17th of May
justin spratt – radical innovation – 17th of May
Ques%ons
The Entrepreneur
A zealot with an almost annoying passion for their business…. They are good at selling. They believe living frugally is spiritual and necessary. Understanding highly technical ideas as well as the bigger picture is something they are good at. They are not usually analy%cal. They don’t mind that each day is con%nually different, despite the chao%c nature of such. They know that money ma*ers, but don’t spend too much %me worrying about their personal bank account – that doesn’t help sell the product…. They are comfortable with these personifica%ons, even reveling in them and the fact that it makes them an outsider and “strange”. They deplore rules, even when the rules make sense. Nothing is ever accepted knowledge un%l they have put it to the test. They are almost impossible to manage and are ojen deemed self-‐centered. The la*er is just zeal misunderstood. Considera%on is for people with jobs and they, ajer all, are changing the world for the be*er, so you need to get out the way.
h*p://memeburn.com/2010/04/10-‐lessons-‐for-‐founders/
justin spratt – radical innovation – 17th of May
justin spratt – radical innovation – 17th of May
Ques%ons
Pesa = Swahili for Money
6.5 million users
Pay bills, withdraw cash and transfer money
justin spratt – heavy chef – 2nd of February justin spratt – RMB: think bigger
Ques%ons