R1102019 Appendix B Summary of DRA Analysis of Late-Filed ...

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DRA/tcr Page 1 of 7 APPENDIX B Summary of DRA Analysis of Late-Filed ALJ Exhibits A. Estimation of hydrotest costs used to calculate disallowances for pipe replacement projects 1. The PD uses an overly simplistic estimate of hydrotest costs to adjust pipe replacement project costs Late filed exhibits show that the PD used a constant value of $95.8 per foot for hydrotesting to determine the disallowance for pipe replacement projects, 1 regardless of whether the disallowed test project is 3 feet or 3,000 feet long. 2 The PD does not describe how the “estimated cost of pressure testing” should be calculated, but DRA determined that the $95.8 value is PG&E’s estimated total cost for all hydrotests, less a correction for removed AFUDC, $396.1 million, divided by the total length of hydrotests proposed by PG&E, 783.3 miles. 3 This method provides a very different value from the “average cost per foot of PG&E’s hydrotest projects”, which is $289.78, and the median cost per foot for the 165 hydrotest projects, $149.23. 4 As discussed below, these differences illustrate the significant inaccuracies generated if any single estimate for the hydrotest cost per foot is applied indiscriminately to all replacement projects. This section describes why the PD is inconsistent with the explicit and implied goals to have PG&E shareholders pay for costs caused by PG&E mismanagement, and ratepayers pay where they receive an incremental benefit for new pipe. 5 As a preliminary point, it should be clear that the adjustment of replacement costs should be consistent with the costs adopted for hydrotesting elsewhere in the PD. If the Commission adopts PG&E’s hydrotest costs as reasonable, despite evidence provided by DRA to the contrary, it must use the same cost estimates when adjusting pipe replacement costs. 2. Hydrotest costs per foot are inversely proportional to project or test section length, and are much higher than $95.8 for “short” pipes The first point supporting an alternative estimation method is that PG&E’s testimony showed that hydrotest costs per foot vary widely, from $47 to $2,646 per foot, 6 and DRA explained that this is a direct result of PG&E’s inflated and unsupported fixed hydrotest costs, 1 Italics are used throughout this Attachment to focus on important differences, such as “program” vs. “project” data, and “hydrotest” length vs. “replacement” project length. 2 Late filed exhibit ALJ-1, Table 2, heading for the ninth column from the left. 3 Late filed exhibit ALJ-1, Table 3. Total value of “Gross project cost…. with AFUDC removed” divided by “Total Project Footage”. These summations, which should be shown in Line 168 of the table, were calculated by DRA. 4 The average developed by PG&E and used in the PD considers PG&E’s hydrotest program as a whole, and obtains an average price at the program level ($396.1 million/783.3 miles/5,280 feet per mile). There is no median value of the program level because there is only one hydrotest program proposed. Statistics can also be calculated at the project level, as was done in the cited data above. In this case, the cost per foot for each project is calculated, and average and median statistics can be calculated on the 165 project level costs per foot. 5 PD, p.62. 6 Exhibit 9, p.3-42. F I L E D 11-16-12 04:59 PM

Transcript of R1102019 Appendix B Summary of DRA Analysis of Late-Filed ...

DRA/tcr Page 1 of 7

APPENDIX B

Summary of DRA Analysis of Late-Filed ALJ Exhibits

A. Estimation of hydrotest costs used to calculate disallowances for pipe replacement projects

1. The PD uses an overly simplistic estimate of hydrotest costs to adjust pipe replacement project costs

Late filed exhibits show that the PD used a constant value of $95.8 per foot for hydrotesting to determine the disallowance for pipe replacement projects,1 regardless of whether the disallowed test project is 3 feet or 3,000 feet long.2 The PD does not describe how the “estimated cost of pressure testing” should be calculated, but DRA determined that the $95.8 value is PG&E’s estimated total cost for all hydrotests, less a correction for removed AFUDC, $396.1 million, divided by the total length of hydrotests proposed by PG&E, 783.3 miles.3 This method provides a very different value from the “average cost per foot of PG&E’s hydrotest projects”, which is $289.78, and the median cost per foot for the 165 hydrotest projects, $149.23.4 As discussed below, these differences illustrate the significant inaccuracies generated if any single estimate for the hydrotest cost per foot is applied indiscriminately to all replacement projects.

This section describes why the PD is inconsistent with the explicit and implied goals to have PG&E shareholders pay for costs caused by PG&E mismanagement, and ratepayers pay where they receive an incremental benefit for new pipe.5

As a preliminary point, it should be clear that the adjustment of replacement costs should be consistent with the costs adopted for hydrotesting elsewhere in the PD. If the Commission adopts PG&E’s hydrotest costs as reasonable, despite evidence provided by DRA to the contrary, it must use the same cost estimates when adjusting pipe replacement costs.

2. Hydrotest costs per foot are inversely proportional to project or test section length, and are much higher than $95.8 for “short” pipes

The first point supporting an alternative estimation method is that PG&E’s testimony showed that hydrotest costs per foot vary widely, from $47 to $2,646 per foot, 6 and DRA explained that this is a direct result of PG&E’s inflated and unsupported fixed hydrotest costs,

1 Italics are used throughout this Attachment to focus on important differences, such as “program” vs. “project” data, and “hydrotest” length vs. “replacement” project length. 2 Late filed exhibit ALJ-1, Table 2, heading for the ninth column from the left. 3 Late filed exhibit ALJ-1, Table 3. Total value of “Gross project cost…. with AFUDC removed” divided by “Total Project Footage”. These summations, which should be shown in Line 168 of the table, were calculated by DRA. 4 The average developed by PG&E and used in the PD considers PG&E’s hydrotest program as a whole, and obtains an average price at the program level ($396.1 million/783.3 miles/5,280 feet per mile). There is no median value of the program level because there is only one hydrotest program proposed. Statistics can also be calculated at the project level, as was done in the cited data above. In this case, the cost per foot for each project is calculated, and average and median statistics can be calculated on the 165 project level costs per foot. 5 PD, p.62. 6 Exhibit 9, p.3-42.

F I L E D11-16-1204:59 PM

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For example, PG&E’s proposed cost for replacement project L-301G, the 3 foot long project mentioned previously, was $105,000.19 The PD proposes a de minimus disallowance of $ $287.40 (3 ft x $95.8/ft),20 while the more accurate method proposed herein would disallow $53,683 (3 ft x $17,894/ft). The more accurate method proposed by DRA still leaves ratepayers funding $51,317 for the new pipe.

B. Illustrations of Errors in PD cost allocation

Below is an example of pipe segment data for line (Route) L-220, duplicated from DRA testimony:21

This table shows the data used by PG&E and DRA to allocate costs between PG&E

shareholders and ratepayers.22 Column S shows that the three bottom segments were originally included in PG&E’s hydrotest project L-220 TEST, and DRA confirmed that these three segments are still planned for hydrotest at ratepayer expense per the PD.

Data for segment 140, row 15, illustrates one of the types of cost allocation errors raised by DRA: segment tested after 1955 without complete test records. Test records were not found for all 1,199 feet of this segment (Partial Mileage in Column P) which was tested after 1955 (Column L). This data indicates that segment 140 was likely hydrotested when segment 139.5 was replaced in 1962 (Row 14), which was after GO112 was adopted. The record in this proceeding supports that this test was originally funded by ratepayers, and that it should not be charged again because PG&E cannot account find complete test records.

Examples of the remaining cost allocation errors are noted below, and can be seen in DRA’s workpapers supporting these comments:

1. Segments missing installation date charged to ratepayers: Project DFM-0141-01TEST,

segment 180.23

19 Exhibit 8, PG&E workpapers supporting Chapter 3, p.WP3-232. 20 Late filed exhibit ALJ-1, Table 2, line 74, column titled “cost of disallowed footage equivalent hydro (ave test $98.5/ft).” 21 Exhibit 144, Figure 5, p.33. Column S data from Figure 6, p. 38. 22 This table doesn’t show the footage per segment which is actually used to allocate costs for the segment between PG&E shareholders and ratepayers. 23 DRA Hydrotest Workpaper, Scenario 1. “Calculations” tab, Row 1008 shows that the PD charges this segment to ratepayers, even though line 1008 of the “Input Data” tab shows the installation date is missing.

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2. Segment installed after 1955 with missing MAOP Validation status charged to ratepayers: Project L-138, Segment 114. 24

3. Segment installed after 1955 with “partial” MAOP Validation status charged to ratepayers: Project L-300B, segment 427. This 3.73 mile long, 34” diameter segment was installed in 1957, and tested in 1965, after GO 112 was in place.25

The above examples are all for hydrotest projects, but similar examples exist for

replacement projects. DRA opening testimony provided a summary of the overall scope of these issues.26

24 DRA Hydrotest Workpaper, Scenario 1. “Calculations” tab, Row 417 shows that the PD charges this segment to ratepayers, even though line 417 of the “Input Data” tab shows the MAOP validation field (Column L) is blank. DRA’s understanding of the PD’s cost allocation logic is that this 2,580 foot segment was incorrectly allocated to ratepayers based on a “Test_Pressure” of 1,468 [psi] (Column O). 25 DRA Hydrotest Workpaper, Scenario 1. “Calculations” tab, Row 3155 shows that the PD charges this segment to ratepayers, even though line 3155 of the “Input Data” tab shows “Partial Mileage” for MAOP status (Column L) and a 1965 Test Date. 26 Ex. 144, p.83.