Quarterly Hogs and Pigs 12/23/2015 - Cornell University · 12/23/2015 · Released December 23,...
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Quarterly Hogs and Pigs ISSN: 1949-1921 Released December 23, 2015, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, United States Department of Agriculture (USDA). United States Hog Inventory Up 1 Percent United States inventory of all hogs and pigs on December 1, 2015 was 68.3 million head. This was up 1 percent from December 1, 2014, and up slightly from September 1, 2015. This is the highest inventory of all hogs and pigs since quarterly United States estimates began in 1988. Breeding inventory, at 6.00 million head, was up 1 percent from last year, and up slightly from the previous quarter. Market hog inventory, at 62.3 million head, was up 1 percent from last year, and up slightly from last quarter. This is the highest market hog inventory since quarterly United States estimates began in 1988. The September-November 2015 pig crop, at 30.3 million head, was down 1 percent from 2014. Sows farrowing during this period totaled 2.88 million head, down 4 percent from 2014. The sows farrowed during this quarter represented 48 percent of the breeding herd. The average pigs saved per litter was a record high 10.53 for the September-November period, compared to 10.23 last year. Pigs saved per litter by size of operation ranged from 8.20 for operations with 1-99 hogs and pigs to 10.60 for operations with more than 5,000 hogs and pigs. 58 60 62 64 66 68 70 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Million head Quarterly Hogs and Pigs Inventory – United States: December 1
Transcript of Quarterly Hogs and Pigs 12/23/2015 - Cornell University · 12/23/2015 · Released December 23,...
Quarterly Hogs and Pigs
ISSN: 1949-1921
Released December 23, 2015, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, United States
Department of Agriculture (USDA).
United States Hog Inventory Up 1 Percent United States inventory of all hogs and pigs on December 1, 2015 was 68.3 million head. This was up 1 percent from
December 1, 2014, and up slightly from September 1, 2015. This is the highest inventory of all hogs and pigs since
quarterly United States estimates began in 1988.
Breeding inventory, at 6.00 million head, was up 1 percent from last year, and up slightly from the previous quarter.
Market hog inventory, at 62.3 million head, was up 1 percent from last year, and up slightly from last quarter. This is the
highest market hog inventory since quarterly United States estimates began in 1988.
The September-November 2015 pig crop, at 30.3 million head, was down 1 percent from 2014. Sows farrowing during
this period totaled 2.88 million head, down 4 percent from 2014. The sows farrowed during this quarter represented
48 percent of the breeding herd. The average pigs saved per litter was a record high 10.53 for the September-November
period, compared to 10.23 last year. Pigs saved per litter by size of operation ranged from 8.20 for operations with
1-99 hogs and pigs to 10.60 for operations with more than 5,000 hogs and pigs.
58
60
62
64
66
68
70
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Million head
Quarterly Hogs and Pigs Inventory – United States: December 1
2 Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (December 2015) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
United States hog producers intend to have 2.84 million sows farrow during the December-February 2016 quarter, down
2 percent from the actual farrowings during the same period in 2015, but up 3 percent from 2014. Intended farrowings for
March-May 2016, at 2.85 million sows, are down slightly from 2015, but up 1 percent from 2014.
The total number of hogs under contract owned by operations with over 5,000 head, but raised by contractees, accounted
for 46 percent of the total United States hog inventory, unchanged from last year.
Revisions All inventory and pig crop estimates for March 2014 through September 2015 were reviewed using final pig crop, official
slaughter, death loss, and updated import and export data. The net revision made to the June 2015 all hogs and pigs
inventory was 0.2 percent. A revision of 0.1 percent was made to the March-May 2015 pig crop. A revision of 0.3 percent
was made to the September 2015 all hogs and pigs inventory.
This report was approved on December 23, 2015.
Secretary of Agriculture
Designate
Robert Johansson
Agricultural Statistics Board
Chairperson
James M. Harris
Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (December 2015) 3 USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
Contents
Hogs and Pigs Inventory by Class, Weight Group, and Quarter – United States: 2014 and 2015 ......................................... 4
Sows Farrowing, Pig Crop, and Pigs per Litter – United States: 2014-2016 .......................................................................... 5
Pigs per Litter by Size of Operation – United States: 2014 and 2015 .................................................................................... 5
Quarterly Litter Rate – United States ...................................................................................................................................... 6
Pigs per Litter by Size of Operation – United States: September-November 2015 ................................................................ 6
Quarterly Sows Farrowed – United States .............................................................................................................................. 7
Quarterly Pig Crop – United States ......................................................................................................................................... 7
Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory – States and United States: December 1, 2014 and 2015 ......................................... 8
Market Inventory by Weight Group – States and United States: December 1, 2014 and 2015 .............................................. 9
Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory – States and United States: March 1, 2014 and 2015 ............................................. 10
Market Inventory by Weight Group – States and United States: March 1, 2014 and 2015 .................................................. 10
Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory – States and United States: June 1, 2014 and 2015 ................................................ 11
Market Inventory by Weight Group – States and United States: June 1, 2014 and 2015 ..................................................... 11
Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory – States and United States: September 1, 2014 and 2015 ...................................... 12
Market Inventory by Weight Group – States and United States: September 1, 2014 and 2015 ........................................... 12
Annual Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop – States and United States:
December-November 2014 and 2015 ................................................................................................................................... 13
Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop – States and United States: December-February 2014-2016 ..................... 14
Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop – States and United States: March-May 2014-2016 .................................. 14
Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop – States and United States: June-August 2014 and 2015 ........................... 15
Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop – States and United States:
September-November 2014 and 2015 ................................................................................................................................... 15
Monthly Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop – United States: December-November 2014 and 2015 ............... 16
Statistical Methodology ........................................................................................................................................................ 17
Reliability of December 1 Hog Estimates ............................................................................................................................. 17
Information Contacts ............................................................................................................................................................ 18
4 Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (December 2015) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
Hogs and Pigs Inventory by Class, Weight Group, and Quarter – United States: 2014 and 2015 [May not add due to rounding]
Item 2014 2015 2015 as percent of 2014
(1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent)
March 1 inventory All hogs and pigs .................................................................................. Kept for breeding .............................................................................. Market .............................................................................................. Market hogs and pigs by weight groups Under 50 pounds .............................................................................. 50-119 pounds ................................................................................. 120-179 pounds ............................................................................... 180 pounds and over ........................................................................ June 1 inventory All hogs and pigs .................................................................................. Kept for breeding .............................................................................. Market .............................................................................................. Market hogs and pigs by weight groups Under 50 pounds .............................................................................. 50-119 pounds ................................................................................. 120-179 pounds ............................................................................... 180 pounds and over ........................................................................ September 1 inventory All hogs and pigs .................................................................................. Kept for breeding .............................................................................. Market .............................................................................................. Market hogs and pigs by weight groups Under 50 pounds .............................................................................. 50-119 pounds ................................................................................. 120-179 pounds ............................................................................... 180 pounds and over ........................................................................ December 1 inventory All hogs and pigs .................................................................................. Kept for breeding .............................................................................. Market .............................................................................................. Market hogs and pigs by weight groups Under 50 pounds .............................................................................. 50-119 pounds ................................................................................. 120-179 pounds ............................................................................... 180 pounds and over ........................................................................
61,494 5,851
55,643
17,336 15,487 12,538 10,281
61,568 5,855
55,713
18,254 15,801 11,491 10,166
65,979 5,920
60,059
20,390 17,458 12,112 10,098
67,776 5,939
61,838
19,801 17,366 13,000 11,671
67,399 5,982
61,418
19,454 17,129 13,580 11,255
67,065 5,926
61,140
19,365 17,436 12,910 11,429
68,175 5,986
62,190
20,291 17,986 12,805 11,108
68,299 6,002
62,297
19,508 17,282 13,210 12,296
110 102 110
112 111 108 109
109 101 110
106 110 112 112
103 101 104
100 103 106 110
101 101 101
99 100 102 105
Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (December 2015) 5 USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
Sows Farrowing, Pig Crop, and Pigs per Litter – United States: 2014-2016 [May not add due to rounding. Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun]
Item 2014 2015 2016 2015 as percent of 2014
2016 as percent of 2015
(1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent) (percent)
Sows farrowing December-February 1 2 ................... March-May 2 .................................. December-May 1 ............................. June-August ................................... September-November ..................... June-November .............................. Pig crop December-February 1 ..................... March-May ...................................... December-May 1 ............................. June-August ................................... September-November ..................... June-November ..............................
2,763 2,810 5,573
2,991 2,994 5,985
26,326 27,495 53,821
30,402 30,633 61,035
2,895 2,854 5,749
2,945 2,875 5,820
29,627 29,593 59,219
30,588 30,271 60,859
2,840 2,850 5,690
105 102 103
98 96 97
113 108 110
101
99 100
98
100 99
(number) (number) (number) (percent) (percent)
Pigs per litter December-February 1 ..................... March-May ...................................... December-May 1 ............................. June-August ................................... September-November ..................... June-November ..............................
9.53 9.78 9.66
10.16 10.23 10.20
10.23 10.37 10.30
10.39 10.53 10.46
107 106 107
102 103 103
1 December preceding year. 2 Intentions for 2016.
Pigs per Litter by Size of Operation – United States: 2014 and 2015 [December preceding year]
Pig crop
Pigs per litter on operations having 1
1-99 head
100-499 head
500-999 head
1,000-1,999 head
2,000-4,999 head
5,000+ head
(number) (number) (number) (number) (number) (number)
2014 December-February ....................... March-May ..................................... June-August .................................. September-November .................... 2015 December-February ....................... March-May ..................................... June-August .................................. September-November ....................
7.70 7.80 8.00 8.10
7.90 8.00 8.00 8.20
8.30 8.50 8.70 8.80
8.60 8.70 8.70 8.90
8.50 8.80 9.10 9.20
9.00 9.10 9.10 9.30
8.90 9.20 9.50 9.60
9.40 9.50 9.50 9.70
9.50 9.70
10.00 10.10
10.00 10.10 10.10 10.30
9.60 9.80
10.20 10.30
10.30 10.40 10.40 10.60
1 Pigs per litter rounded to the nearest tenth.
6 Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (December 2015) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
9.00
9.20
9.40
9.60
9.80
10.00
10.20
10.40
10.60
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Number head
Quarterly Litter Rate – United States
10.53
8.20
8.90
9.30
9.70
10.30
10.60
7.25
7.75
8.25
8.75
9.25
9.75
10.25
10.75
All 1-99 100-499 500-999 1,000-1,999 2,000-4,999 5,000+
Number head
Pigs per Litter by Size of Operation – United States: September-November 2015
Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (December 2015) 7 USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
2.7
2.8
2.9
3.0
3.1
3.2
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Million head
Quarterly Sows Farrowed – United States
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Million head
Quarterly Pig Crop – United States
8 Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (December 2015) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory – States and United States: December 1, 2014 and 2015 [May not add due to rounding]
State
Breeding Market Total
2014 2015 2015 as percent of 2014
2014 2015 2015 as percent of 2014
2014 2015 2015 as percent of 2014
(1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent)
Alabama ................. Alaska ..................... Arizona ................... Arkansas ................. California ................ Colorado ................. Connecticut ............. Delaware ................ Florida ..................... Georgia ................... Hawaii ..................... Idaho ....................... Illinois ...................... Indiana .................... Iowa ........................ Kansas .................... Kentucky ................. Louisiana ................ Maine ...................... Maryland ................. Massachusetts ........ Michigan ................. Minnesota ............... Mississippi .............. Missouri .................. Montana .................. Nebraska ................ Nevada ................... New Hampshire ...... New Jersey ............. New Mexico ............ New York ................ North Carolina ......... North Dakota ........... Ohio ........................ Oklahoma ............... Oregon .................... Pennsylvania .......... Rhode Island ........... South Carolina ........ South Dakota .......... Tennessee .............. Texas ...................... Utah ........................ Vermont .................. Virginia .................... Washington ............. West Virginia ........... Wisconsin ............... Wyoming ................. Idaho and Washington ........... United States ..........
13.00 0.30
19.00 57.00 6.00
150.00 0.70 1.00 4.00
25.00
2.50 (D)
500.00 290.00
1,010.00 180.00 35.00 2.00 1.00 3.00
2.00
110.00 560.00 46.00
400.00 24.00
400.00 0.50 0.80 1.00
0.50 9.00
880.00 34.00
170.00 440.00
2.00 100.00
0.50 13.00
160.00 20.00
100.00 75.00 1.00 5.00 (D)
1.00 41.00 32.00
11.00
5,938.80
13.00 0.30
18.00 61.00 4.00
145.00 0.50 0.60 4.00
25.00
2.00 (D)
490.00 270.00
1,030.00 175.00 43.00 2.00 1.00 5.00
2.00
110.00 560.00 46.00
395.00 24.00
420.00 0.30 0.80 1.50
0.50 8.00
870.00 31.00
190.00 470.00
2.00 100.00
0.40 12.00
175.00 20.00
105.00 75.00 1.00 5.00 (D)
1.50 43.00 33.00
11.00
6,002.40
100 100 95
107 67 97 71 60
100 100
80
(D) 98 93
102 97
123 100 100 167
100 100 100 100 99
100 105 60
100 150
100 89 99 91
112 107 100 100 80 92
109 100 105 100 100 100 (D) 150 105 103
100
101
97.00 0.90
120.00 58.00
104.00 550.00
1.90 3.00
13.00 130.00
6.50 (D)
4,200.00 3,410.00
20,290.00 1,660.00
305.00 6.00 3.50
18.00
7.00 1,060.00 7,540.00
529.00 2,450.00
152.00 2,800.00
1.50 2.80 9.00
0.80
61.00 7,920.00
106.00 2,060.00 1,680.00
7.00 1,040.00
1.10 242.00
1,110.00
190.00 710.00 535.00
2.50 275.00
(D) 3.00
269.00 51.00
46.00
61,837.50
87.00 1.10
114.00 105.00 91.00
555.00 2.00 2.40
12.00 135.00
7.00 (D)
4,560.00 3,480.00
19,770.00 1,755.00
372.00 6.00 3.50
16.00
9.00 1,000.00 7,390.00
469.00 2,605.00
151.00 2,880.00
0.70 3.10
10.50
1.00 68.00
7,930.00 107.00
2,280.00 1,630.00
8.00 1,060.00
1.10 223.00
1,185.00
200.00 755.00 595.00
3.00 265.00
(D) 3.50
277.00 72.00
41.00
62,296.90
90 122 95
181 88
101 105 80 92
104
108 (D) 109 102 97
106 122 100 100 89
129 94 98 89
106 99
103 47
111 117
125 111 100 101 111 97
114 102 100 92
107 105 106 111 120 96
(D) 117 103 141
89
101
110.00 1.20
139.00 115.00 110.00 700.00
2.60 4.00
17.00 155.00
9.00 (D)
4,700.00 3,700.00
21,300.00 1,840.00
340.00 8.00 4.50
21.00
9.00 1,170.00 8,100.00
575.00 2,850.00
176.00 3,200.00
2.00 3.60
10.00
1.30 70.00
8,800.00 140.00
2,230.00 2,120.00
9.00 1,140.00
1.60 255.00
1,270.00
210.00 810.00 610.00
3.50 280.00
(D) 4.00
310.00 83.00
57.00
67,776.30
100.00 1.40
132.00 166.00 95.00
700.00 2.50 3.00
16.00 160.00
9.00 (D)
5,050.00 3,750.00
20,800.00 1,930.00
415.00 8.00 4.50
21.00
11.00 1,110.00 7,950.00
515.00 3,000.00
175.00 3,300.00
1.00 3.90
12.00
1.50 76.00
8,800.00 138.00
2,470.00 2,100.00
10.00 1,160.00
1.50 235.00
1,360.00
220.00 860.00 670.00
4.00 270.00
(D) 5.00
320.00 105.00
52.00
68,299.30
91 117 95
144 86
100 96 75 94
103
100 (D) 107 101 98
105 122 100 100 100
122 95 98 90
105 99
103 50
108 120
115 109 100 99
111 99
111 102 94 92
107 105 106 110 114 96
(D) 125 103 127
91
101
(D) Withheld to avoid disclosing data for individual operations.
Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (December 2015) 9 USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
Market Inventory by Weight Group – States and United States: December 1, 2014 and 2015 [Weight groups may not add to market inventory due to rounding]
State
Under 50 pounds
50-119 pounds
120-179 pounds
180 pounds and over
2014 2015 2014 2015 2014 2015 2014 2015
(1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head)
Alabama ..................... Alaska ........................ Arizona ....................... Arkansas .................... California .................... Colorado ..................... Connecticut ................ Delaware .................... Florida ........................ Georgia ...................... Hawaii ........................ Idaho .......................... Illinois ......................... Indiana ....................... Iowa ............................ Kansas ....................... Kentucky ..................... Louisiana .................... Maine ......................... Maryland ..................... Massachusetts ............ Michigan ..................... Minnesota ................... Mississippi .................. Missouri ...................... Montana ..................... Nebraska .................... Nevada ....................... New Hampshire .......... New Jersey ................. New Mexico ................ New York .................... North Carolina ............ North Dakota .............. Ohio ............................ Oklahoma ................... Oregon ....................... Pennsylvania .............. Rhode Island .............. South Carolina ............ South Dakota .............. Tennessee .................. Texas ......................... Utah ............................ Vermont ...................... Virginia ....................... Washington ................ West Virginia .............. Wisconsin ................... Wyoming .................... Idaho and Washington .............. United States ..............
30.00 0.40
55.00 38.00 31.00
265.00 0.70 1.30 4.00
62.00
3.00 (D)
1,360.00 1,040.00 5,310.00
445.00 98.00 2.00 1.50 7.00
2.00
310.00 2,650.00
191.00 1,170.00
59.00 950.00
0.30 0.90 2.80
0.20
22.00 3,010.00
57.00 590.00 660.00
2.50 265.00
0.50 48.00
380.00 51.00
175.00 220.00
0.90 73.00
(D) 0.50
102.00 34.00
19.00
19,800.50
25.00 0.40
48.00 88.00 22.00
240.00 0.70 1.20 4.00
54.00
3.00 (D)
1,390.00 1,000.00 5,100.00
430.00 92.00 2.00 1.20 5.00
2.10
275.00 2,560.00
173.00 1,240.00
57.00 950.00
0.30 0.80 2.20
0.20
26.00 2,950.00
52.00 610.00 690.00
3.00 255.00
0.40 43.00
405.00 49.00
205.00 235.00
0.90 61.00
(D) 1.00
89.00 50.00
16.00
19,508.40
19.00 0.30
23.00 5.00
25.00 125.00
0.40 0.90 5.00
25.00
1.50 (D)
1,180.00 950.00
6,500.00 415.00 99.00 2.00 1.00 4.00
2.60
245.00 2,200.00
131.00 470.00 38.00
840.00 0.50 0.60 2.50
0.30
14.00 1,830.00
21.00 600.00 420.00
2.50 340.00
0.20 66.00
285.00 52.00
170.00 110.00
0.70 67.00
(D) 1.00
56.00 7.00
12.00
17,366.00
21.00 0.40
23.00 3.00
19.00 120.00
0.40 0.60 4.00
28.00
2.00 (D)
1,330.00 920.00
6,300.00 405.00 110.00
2.00 0.60 4.00
2.60
250.00 2,200.00
113.00 525.00 33.00
750.00 0.10 0.80 2.50
0.40
15.00 1,880.00
23.00 620.00 345.00
2.00 335.00
0.30 58.00
320.00 44.00
205.00 115.00
0.80 65.00
(D) 1.00
63.00 9.00
10.50
17,282.00
26.00 0.10
22.00 8.00
27.00 80.00 0.40 0.50 2.00
22.00
1.50 (D)
800.00 660.00
4,740.00 340.00 48.00 1.00 0.50 3.00
1.60
250.00 1,520.00
103.00 380.00 28.00
535.00 0.20 0.70 2.00
0.20
12.00 1,580.00
14.00 530.00 290.00
1.00 225.00
0.20 67.00
220.00 55.00
150.00 110.00
0.50 72.00
(D) 0.50
57.00 4.00
9.50
13,000.40
19.00 0.20
22.00 4.00
25.00 90.00 0.40 0.40 2.00
29.00
1.00 (D)
910.00 720.00
4,660.00 390.00 71.00 1.00 0.90 4.00
2.10
230.00 1,420.00
92.00 400.00 32.00
580.00 0.10 0.70 2.60
0.20
14.00 1,590.00
14.00 600.00 260.00
2.00 250.00
0.20 60.00
215.00 54.00
165.00 125.00
0.60 72.00
(D) 0.50
65.00 4.00
9.50
13,210.40
22.00 0.10
20.00 7.00
21.00 80.00 0.40 0.30 2.00
21.00
0.50 (D)
860.00 760.00
3,740.00 460.00 60.00 1.00 0.50 4.00
0.80
255.00 1,170.00
104.00 430.00 27.00
475.00 0.50 0.60 1.70
0.10
13.00 1,500.00
14.00 340.00 310.00
1.00 210.00
0.20 61.00
225.00 32.00
215.00 95.00 0.40
63.00 (D)
1.00 54.00 6.00
5.50
11,670.60
22.00 0.10
21.00 10.00 25.00
105.00 0.50 0.20 2.00
24.00
1.00 (D)
930.00 840.00
3,710.00 530.00 99.00 1.00 0.80 3.00
2.20
245.00 1,210.00
91.00 440.00 29.00
600.00 0.20 0.80 3.20
0.20
13.00 1,510.00
18.00 450.00 335.00
1.00 220.00
0.20 62.00
245.00 53.00
180.00 120.00
0.70 67.00
(D) 1.00
60.00 9.00
5.00
12,296.10
(D) Withheld to avoid disclosing data for individual operations.
10 Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (December 2015) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory – States and United States: March 1, 2014 and 2015 [May not add due to rounding]
State
Breeding Market Total
2014 2015 2015 as percent of 2014
2014 2015 2015 as percent of 2014
2014 2015 2015 as percent of 2014
(1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent)
Colorado ...................... Illinois ........................... Indiana ......................... Iowa ............................. Kansas ......................... Michigan ...................... Minnesota .................... Missouri ....................... Nebraska ..................... North Carolina .............. Ohio ............................. Oklahoma .................... Pennsylvania ............... South Dakota ............... Texas ........................... Utah ............................. Other States 1 .............. United States ...............
160 500 270
1,010 170 110 550 355 400 870
170 430 95
170 100 75
416
5,851
140 490 280
1,030 175 110 570 400 420 890
180 440 100 165 100 75
417
5,982
88 98
104 102 103 100 104 113 105 102
106 102 105 97
100 100
100
102
520 3,750 3,080
18,490 1,460
890 6,950 1,995 2,600 6,930
1,830 1,520 1,015 1,020
430 635
2,528
55,643
570 4,260 3,470
19,770 1,685 1,030 7,430 2,500 2,730 7,710
2,150 1,750 1,040 1,145
820 595
2,763
61,418
110 114 113 107 115 116 107 125 105 111
117 115 102 112 191 94
109
110
680 4,250 3,350
19,500 1,630 1,000 7,500 2,350 3,000 7,800
2,000 1,950 1,110 1,190
530 710
2,944
61,494
710 4,750 3,750
20,800 1,860 1,140 8,000 2,900 3,150 8,600
2,330 2,190 1,140 1,310
920 670
3,179
67,399
104 112 112 107 114 114 107 123 105 110
117 112 103 110 174 94
108
110
1 Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States.
Market Inventory by Weight Group – States and United States: March 1, 2014 and 2015 [Weight groups may not add to market inventory due to rounding]
State
Under 50 pounds
50-119 pounds
120-179 pounds
180 pounds and over
2014 2015 2014 2015 2014 2015 2014 2015
(1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head)
Colorado ........................ Illinois ............................. Indiana ........................... Iowa ............................... Kansas ........................... Michigan ........................ Minnesota ...................... Missouri ......................... Nebraska ....................... North Carolina ................ Ohio ............................... Oklahoma ...................... Pennsylvania ................. South Dakota ................. Texas ............................. Utah ............................... Other States 1 ................ United States .................
270 1,070
890 4,570
390 275
2,490 920 820
2,630
580 580 250 330 80
290
901
17,336
280 1,330
990 5,030
445 295
2,600 1,250
870 2,800
660 740 265 375 230 265
1,029
19,454
95 1,100
880 5,780
345 190
2,000 385 730
1,650
555 335 345 280 105 130
582
15,487
100 1,260
970 6,410
415 235
2,050 505 780
1,810
630 370 340 305 215 105
629
17,129
75 810 620
4,850 275 225
1,480 320 545
1,540
465 225 190 210 75
110
523
12,538
90 890 710
4,940 335 260
1,550 380 615
1,640
510 270 240 250 200 120
580
13,580
80 770 690
3,290 450 200 980 370 505
1,110
230 380 230 200 170 105
521
10,281
100 780 800
3,390 490 240
1,230 365 465
1,460
350 370 195 215 175 105
525
11,255
1 Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States.
Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (December 2015) 11 USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory – States and United States: June 1, 2014 and 2015 [May not add due to rounding]
State
Breeding Market Total
2014 2015 2015 as percent of 2014
2014 2015 2015 as percent of 2014
2014 2015 2015 as percent of 2014
(1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent)
Colorado ...................... Illinois .......................... Indiana ........................ Iowa ............................. Kansas ........................ Michigan ...................... Minnesota .................... Missouri ....................... Nebraska ..................... North Carolina ............. Ohio ............................. Oklahoma .................... Pennsylvania ............... South Dakota ............... Texas .......................... Utah ............................. Other States 1 .............. United States ...............
160 490 270
1,000 170 110 570 380 390 860
165 430 100 175 100 75
410
5,855
145 490 270
1,000 180 110 550 395 410 880
185 440 105 170 105 75
416
5,926
91 100 100 100 106 100 96
104 105 102
112 102 105 97
105 100
102
101
530 3,810 3,230
18,100 1,470
880 7,080 2,070 2,610 6,740
1,805 1,460 1,010 1,035
570 645
2,668
55,713
545 4,110 3,380
20,000 1,680
990 7,600 2,505 2,790 7,120
2,185 1,790 1,055 1,150
765 645
2,830
61,140
103 108 105 110 114 113 107 121 107 106
121 123 104 111 134 100
106
110
690 4,300 3,500
19,100 1,640
990 7,650 2,450 3,000 7,600
1,970 1,890 1,110 1,210
670 720
3,078
61,568
690 4,600 3,650
21,000 1,860 1,100 8,150 2,900 3,200 8,000
2,370 2,230 1,160 1,320
870 720
3,245
67,065
100 107 104 110 113 111 107 118 107 105
120 118 105 109 130 100
105
109
1 Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States.
Market Inventory by Weight Group – States and United States: June 1, 2014 and 2015 [Weight groups may not add to market inventory due to rounding]
State
Under 50 pounds
50-119 pounds
120-179 pounds
180 pounds and over
2014 2015 2014 2015 2014 2015 2014 2015
(1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head)
Colorado ........................ Illinois ............................ Indiana .......................... Iowa ............................... Kansas .......................... Michigan ........................ Minnesota ...................... Missouri ......................... Nebraska ....................... North Carolina ............... Ohio ............................... Oklahoma ...................... Pennsylvania ................. South Dakota ................. Texas ............................ Utah ............................... Other States 1 ................ United States .................
275 1,220
890 4,890
410 270
2,580 1,005
840 2,750
530 620 275 345 130 270
954
18,254
270 1,250
940 5,070
430 275
2,570 1,245
860 2,830
630 740 290 405 230 280
1,050
19,365
105 1,160
980 5,640
360 210
2,150 405 770
1,590
570 350 340 265 145 130
631
15,801
120 1,230 1,000 6,410
505 255
2,300 485 765
1,650
660 380 335 320 205 130
686
17,436
70 770 580
4,470 260 200
1,290 315 510
1,230
440 180 190 205 140 115
526
11,491
75 850 670
4,820 335 240
1,540 370 630
1,320
525 290 230 220 135 115
545
12,910
80 660 780
3,100 440 200
1,060 345 490
1,170
265 310 205 220 155 130
556
10,166
80 780 770
3,700 410 220
1,190 405 535
1,320
370 380 200 205 195 120
549
11,429
1 Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States.
12 Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (December 2015) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory – States and United States: September 1, 2014 and 2015 [May not add due to rounding]
State
Breeding Market Total
2014 2015 2015 as percent of 2014
2014 2015 2015 as percent of 2014
2014 2015 2015 as percent of 2014
(1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent)
Colorado ...................... Illinois ........................... Indiana ......................... Iowa ............................. Kansas ......................... Michigan ...................... Minnesota .................... Missouri ....................... Nebraska ..................... North Carolina .............. Ohio ............................. Oklahoma .................... Pennsylvania ............... South Dakota ............... Texas ........................... Utah ............................. Other States 1 .............. United States ...............
155 510 280
1,030 170 110 550 390 390 870
170 430 100 175 100 75
415
5,920
145 500 280
1,000 180 110 560 400 410 880
185 470 100 170 105 75
416
5,986
94 98
100 97
106 100 102 103 105 101
109 109 100 97
105 100
100
101
555 4,140 3,320
19,770 1,660
920 7,200 2,460 2,710 7,530
1,910 1,620 1,060 1,095
670 645
2,794
60,059
595 4,200 3,470
20,200 1,750
980 7,290 2,650 2,790 7,820
2,205 1,740 1,070 1,150
745 655
2,880
62,190
107 101 105 102 105 107 101 108 103 104
115 107 101 105 111 102
103
104
710 4,650 3,600
20,800 1,830 1,030 7,750 2,850 3,100 8,400
2,080 2,050 1,160 1,270
770 720
3,209
65,979
740 4,700 3,750
21,200 1,930 1,090 7,850 3,050 3,200 8,700
2,390 2,210 1,170 1,320
850 730
3,295
68,175
104 101 104 102 105 106 101 107 103 104
115 108 101 104 110 101
103
103
1 Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States.
Market Inventory by Weight Group – States and United States: September 1, 2014 and 2015 [Weight groups may not add to market inventory due to rounding]
State
Under 50 pounds
50-119 pounds
120-179 pounds
180 pounds and over
2014 2015 2014 2015 2014 2015 2014 2015
(1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head)
Colorado ........................... Illinois ................................ Indiana .............................. Iowa .................................. Kansas .............................. Michigan ........................... Minnesota ......................... Missouri ............................ Nebraska .......................... North Carolina ................... Ohio .................................. Oklahoma ......................... Pennsylvania .................... South Dakota .................... Texas ................................ Utah .................................. Other States 1 ................... United States ....................
310 1,270 1,040 5,510
485 290
2,610 1,270
940 3,110
560 720 265 380 210 300
1,120
20,390
300 1,320 1,010 5,310
480 295
2,550 1,275
880 3,200
650 795 275 415 190 280
1,066
20,291
105 1,280
960 6,470
500 225
2,190 470 800
1,820
600 390 370 305 190 130
653
17,458
110 1,280 1,000 6,530
495 240
2,200 560 790
1,960
680 410 370 315 205 130
711
17,986
85 830 620
4,470 315 205
1,400 360 505
1,430
460 220 225 200 140 115
532
12,112
80 810 700
4,880 295 215
1,390 400 590
1,410
505 260 225 205 170 120
550
12,805
55 760 700
3,320 360 200
1,000 360 465
1,170
290 290 200 210 130 100
488
10,098
105 790 760
3,480 480 230
1,150 415 530
1,250
370 275 200 215 180 125
553
11,108
1 Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States.
Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (December 2015) 13 USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
Annual Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop – States and United States: December-November 2014 and 2015 [December preceding year. May not add due to rounding]
State
Sows farrowing Pigs per litter Pig crop
2014 2015 2015 as percent of 2014
2014 2015 2014 2015 2015 as percent of 2014
(1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent) (number) (number) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent)
Alabama .......................... Alaska ............................. Arizona ............................ Arkansas ......................... California ......................... Colorado .......................... Connecticut ..................... Delaware ......................... Florida ............................. Georgia ........................... Hawaii ............................. Idaho ............................... Illinois .............................. Indiana ............................ Iowa ................................. Kansas ............................ Kentucky .......................... Louisiana ......................... Maine .............................. Maryland .......................... Massachusetts ................. Michigan .......................... Minnesota ........................ Mississippi ....................... Missouri ........................... Montana .......................... Nebraska ......................... Nevada ............................ New Hampshire ............... New Jersey ...................... New Mexico ..................... New York ......................... North Carolina ................. North Dakota ................... Ohio ................................. Oklahoma ........................ Oregon ............................ Pennsylvania ................... Rhode Island ................... South Carolina ................. South Dakota ................... Tennessee ....................... Texas .............................. Utah ................................. Vermont ........................... Virginia ............................ Washington ..................... West Virginia ................... Wisconsin ........................ Wyoming ......................... Idaho and Washington ................... United States ...................
24.00 0.17
34.00 116.00
8.00 288.00
0.40 0.80 4.00
40.00
2.40 (D)
1,010.00 540.00
1,990.00 334.00 76.00 1.10 0.90 5.00
1.50
205.00 1,160.00
102.00 780.00 46.50
690.00 0.40 0.50 1.30
0.40
11.30 1,805.00
71.50 348.00 760.00
1.30 189.00
0.40 22.00
347.00 35.00
178.00 162.00
0.60 6.00 (D)
0.60 67.00 74.00
16.60
11,557.67
20.50 0.22
31.00 125.00
8.50 277.00
0.40 0.40 4.00
48.00
2.00 (D)
955.00 545.00
2,015.00 344.00 81.00 1.10 0.90 5.20
2.30
202.00 1,135.00
100.00 800.00 45.50
685.00 0.40 0.50 0.80
0.40
15.00 1,805.00
68.00 357.00 780.00
1.80 188.00
0.40 19.00
350.00 43.00
185.00 156.00
0.90 7.00 (D)
0.80 72.00 68.00
15.60
11,568.62
85 129 91
108 106 96
100 50
100 120
83
(D) 95
101 101 103 107 100 100 104
153 99 98 98
103 98 99
100 100 62
100 133 100 95
103 103 138 99
100 86
101 123 104 96
150 117 (D) 133 107 92
94
100
8.83 9.41 7.76 9.62 7.38 9.32 9.00 8.00 7.00
10.23
7.50 (D)
10.09 9.65
10.48 9.67 9.46 7.18 7.44 9.40
8.13 9.61
10.73 10.25 9.34
10.34 10.74 7.00 7.60 7.46
8.50
11.06 9.17
10.77 9.46 9.67 8.23
10.27 8.50 9.64
10.71 9.89 9.06 9.44 7.67
10.17 (D)
8.33 9.70
10.49
8.80
9.94
9.95 8.18 8.68
10.54 7.29 9.96 9.00
10.00 7.00
10.50
7.25 (D)
10.30 10.40 10.78 10.16 9.78 7.00 7.44 8.65
8.43
10.72 11.08 11.33 10.11 10.73 11.11 5.75 8.80 7.13
7.50
10.20 9.67
10.82 10.51 10.32 8.28
10.32 7.00
10.05
10.87 9.56 9.24 9.43 7.33
10.00 (D)
7.75 9.35
10.04
8.72
10.38
212.00 1.60
264.00 1,116.00
59.00 2,683.00
3.60 6.40
28.00 409.00
18.00
(D) 10,191.00 5,211.00
20,862.00 3,229.00
719.00 7.90 6.70
47.00
12.20 1,970.00
12,449.00 1,046.00 7,289.00
481.00 7,414.00
2.80 3.80 9.70
3.40
125.00 16,547.00
770.00 3,292.00 7,352.00
10.70 1,941.00
3.40 212.00
3,717.00
346.00 1,613.00 1,529.00
4.60 61.00
(D) 5.00
650.00 776.00
146.00
114,855.80
204.00 1.80
269.00 1,317.00
62.00 2,760.00
3.60 4.00
28.00 504.00
14.50
(D) 9,833.00 5,667.00
21,714.00 3,496.00
792.00 7.70 6.70
45.00
19.40 2,166.00
12,571.00 1,133.00 8,084.00
488.00 7,612.00
2.30 4.40 5.70
3.00
153.00 17,446.00
736.00 3,753.00 8,053.00
14.90 1,941.00
2.80 191.00
3,803.00
411.00 1,710.00 1,471.00
6.60 70.00
(D) 6.20
673.00 683.00
136.00
120,078.60
96 113 102 118 105 103 100 63
100 123
81
(D) 96
109 104 108 110 97
100 96
159 110 101 108 111 101 103 82
116 59
88
122 105 96
114 110 139 100 82 90
102 119 106 96
143 115 (D) 124 104 88
93
105
(D) Withheld to avoid disclosing data for individual operations.
14 Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (December 2015) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop – States and United States: December-February 2014-2016 [December preceding year. May not add due to rounding]
State
Sows farrowing Pigs per litter Pig crop 1
2014 2015 2016 2 2016 as percent of 2015
2014 2015 2014 2015 2015 as percent of 2014
(1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent) (number) (number) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent)
Colorado ................... Illinois ........................ Indiana ...................... Iowa .......................... Kansas ...................... Michigan ................... Minnesota ................. Missouri .................... Nebraska .................. North Carolina ........... Ohio .......................... Oklahoma ................. Pennsylvania ............ South Dakota ............ Texas ........................ Utah .......................... Other States 3 ........... United States ............
71 245 120 480 80 49
275 180 165 435
90
180 44 82 41 40
186
2,763
69 245 140 510
88 52
285 205 170 445
88
195 46 85 43 35
194
2,895
68 235 130 500 84 49
275 195 170 445
86
185 45 87 47 39
200
2,840
99 96 93 98 95 94 96 95
100 100
98 95 98
102 109 111
103
98
8.80 10.00 9.20 9.90 9.15 9.20
10.50 9.10
10.55 8.40
8.00 9.15
10.40 10.65 8.60
10.00
9.89
9.53
9.80 10.20 10.10 10.70 10.00 10.50 11.00 9.80
11.00 9.50
10.45 10.15 10.20 10.80 9.05 8.70
9.96
10.23
625 2,450 1,104 4,752
732 451
2,888 1,638 1,741 3,654
720
1,647 458 873 353 400
1,840
26,326
676 2,499 1,414 5,457
880 546
3,135 2,009 1,870 4,228
920
1,979 469 918 389 305
1,933
29,627
108 102 128 115 120 121 109 123 107 116
128 120 102 105 110 76
105
113
1 Number of pigs born December-February that were still on hand March 1, or had been sold. 2 Intentions. 3 Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States.
Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop – States and United States: March-May 2014-2016 [May not add due to rounding]
State
Sows farrowing Pigs per litter Pig crop 1
2014 2015 2016 2 2016 as percent of 2015
2014 2015 2014 2015 2015 as percent of 2014
(1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent) (number) (number) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent)
Colorado ................... Illinois ........................ Indiana ...................... Iowa .......................... Kansas ...................... Michigan ................... Minnesota ................. Missouri .................... Nebraska .................. North Carolina ........... Ohio .......................... Oklahoma ................. Pennsylvania ............ South Dakota ............ Texas ........................ Utah .......................... Other States 3 ........... United States ............
73 250 125 470 82 52
290 185 170 440
80
185 48 90 43 41
186
2,810
70 230 130 495
84 50
275 200 170 445
89
195 49 86 50 41
195
2,854
69 240 130 495 83 49
275 205 170 440
85
190 44 87 48 37
203
2,850
99 104 100 100 99 98
100 103 100 99
96 97 90
101 96 90
104
100
9.30 9.90 9.25
10.60 9.25 8.90
10.60 8.90
10.50 8.70
9.50 9.60
10.30 10.70 9.40
10.50
9.78
9.78
10.00 10.50 10.50 10.60 9.95
10.70 11.05 10.40 11.20 9.30
10.60 10.35 10.30 10.95 9.50 9.80
10.52
10.37
679 2,475 1,156 4,982
759 463
3,074 1,647 1,785 3,828
760
1,776 494 963 404 431
1,819
27,495
700 2,415 1,365 5,247
836 535
3,039 2,080 1,904 4,139
943
2,018 505 942 475 402
2,048
29,593
103 98
118 105 110 116 99
126 107 108
124 114 102 98
118 93
113
108
1 Number of pigs born March-May that were still on hand June 1, or had been sold. 2 Intentions 3 Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States.
Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (December 2015) 15 USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop – States and United States: June-August 2014 and 2015 [May not add due to rounding]
State
Sows farrowing Pigs per litter Pig crop 1
2014 2015 2015 as percent of 2014
2014 2015 2014 2015 2015 as percent of 2014
(1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent) (number) (number) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent)
Colorado .................................. Illinois ...................................... Indiana .................................... Iowa ......................................... Kansas .................................... Michigan .................................. Minnesota ................................ Missouri ................................... Nebraska ................................. North Carolina ......................... Ohio ......................................... Oklahoma ................................ Pennsylvania ........................... South Dakota ........................... Texas ...................................... Utah ......................................... Other States 2 .......................... United States ...........................
73 260 145 530 85 51
290 205 175 470
86
200 49 89 44 42
197
2,991
70 250 140 500 88 50
295 205 170 465
90
195 48 90 47 42
200
2,945
96 96 97 94
104 98
102 100 97 99
105 98 98
101 107 100
101
98
9.45 10.20 9.80
10.70 9.90
10.10 10.85 9.80
10.90 9.50
10.00 9.70
10.10 10.65 9.90
10.40
9.97
10.16
10.10 10.15 10.60 10.80 10.30 11.00 11.15 9.85
11.10 9.70
10.50 10.40 10.40 10.85 9.00 9.60
10.12
10.39
690 2,652 1,421 5,671
842 515
3,147 2,009 1,908 4,465
860
1,940 495 948 436 437
1,966
30,402
707 2,538 1,484 5,400
906 550
3,289 2,019 1,887 4,511
945
2,028 499 977 423 403
2,022
30,588
102 96
104 95
108 107 105 100 99
101
110 105 101 103 97 92
103
101
1 Number of pigs born June-August that were still on hand September 1, or had been sold. 2 Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States.
Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop – States and United States: September-November 2014 and 2015 [May not add due to rounding]
State
Sows Farrowing Pigs per litter Pig crop 1
2014 2015 2015 as percent of 2014
2014 2015 2014 2015 2015 as percent of 2014
(1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent) (number) (number) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent)
Colorado ....................... Illinois ........................... Indiana ......................... Iowa .............................. Kansas ......................... Michigan ....................... Minnesota ..................... Missouri ........................ Nebraska ...................... North Carolina .............. Ohio .............................. Oklahoma ..................... Pennsylvania ................ South Dakota ................ Texas ........................... Utah .............................. Other States 2 ............... United States ................
71 255 150 510 87 53
305 210 180 460
92
195 48 86 50 39
203
2,994
68 230 135 510 84 50
280 190 175 450
90
195 45 89 45 38
201
2,875
96 90 90
100 97 94 92 90 97 98
98
100 94
103 90 97
99
96
9.70 10.25 10.20 10.70 10.30 10.20 10.95 9.50
11.00 10.00
10.35 10.20 10.30 10.85 8.40 6.70
9.59
10.23
9.95 10.35 10.40 11.00 10.40 10.70 11.10 10.40 11.15 10.15
10.50 10.40 10.40 10.85 9.40 9.50
9.92
10.53
689 2,614 1,530 5,457
896 541
3,340 1,995 1,980 4,600
952
1,989 494 933 420 261
1,942
30,633
677 2,381 1,404 5,610
874 535
3,108 1,976 1,951 4,568
945
2,028 468 966 423 361
1,996
30,271
98 91 92
103 98 99 93 99 99 99
99
102 95
104 101 138
103
99
1 Number of pigs born September-November that were still on hand December 1, or had been sold. 2 Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States.
16 Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (December 2015) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
Monthly Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop – United States: December-November 2014 and 2015 [December preceding year]
Month Sows farrowing 1 Pigs per litter Pig crop 1
2014 2015 2014 2015 2014 2015
(1,000 head) (1,000 head) (number) (number) (1,000 head) (1,000 head)
December ....................... January ........................... February ......................... March .............................. April ................................ May ................................. June ................................ July ................................. August ............................ September ...................... October ........................... November ....................... Total ...............................
921 924 918 953 922 935 999 992
1,000 1,024
994 975
11,558
962 974 960 966 944 943 993 974 978 991 957 927
11,569
9.60 9.47 9.51 9.59 9.78 9.98
10.08 10.20 10.20 10.20 10.26 10.24
9.94
10.32 10.16 10.22 10.38 10.40 10.33 10.35 10.39 10.43 10.44 10.59 10.55
10.38
8,846 8,753 8,727 9,139 9,025 9,331
10,078 10,122 10,202 10,451 10,203 9,979
114,856
9,923 9,895 9,809
10,031 9,817 9,745
10,276 10,114 10,198 10,351 10,135 9,786
120,079
1 Monthly values may not add to quarterly or annual totals due to rounding.
Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (December 2015) 17 USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
Statistical Methodology
Survey Procedures: A random sample of roughly 11,100 United States producers was surveyed to provide data for these
estimates. Survey procedures ensured that all hog and pig producers, regardless of size, had a chance to be included in the
survey. Large operations were sampled more heavily than small operations. During the first half of December 2015, data
were collected from about 8,000 operations, 72 percent of the total sample. The data collected were received by electronic
data reporting (EDR), mail, telephone, and face-to-face personal interviews. Regardless of when operations responded,
they were asked to report inventories as of December 1, 2015.
Estimating Procedures: Hogs and pigs estimates were prepared by the Agricultural Statistics Board after reviewing
recommendations and analysis submitted by each field office. National and State survey data were reviewed for
reasonableness with each other and with estimates from past years using a balance sheet. The balance sheet begins with
the previous inventory estimate, adds the estimates of births and imports, and subtracts the estimates of slaughter, exports,
and deaths. This indicated ending inventory level is compared to the Agricultural Statistics Board estimate for
reasonableness.
Revision Policy: Revisions to previous estimates are made to improve quarter to quarter relationships. Estimates for the
previous four quarters are subject to revision when current estimates are made. In December, estimates for all quarters of
the current and previous year are reviewed. The reviews are primarily based on hog check-off receipts and slaughter.
Estimates will also be reviewed after data from the Department of Agriculture five-year Census of Agriculture are
available. No revisions will be made after that date.
Reliability: Since all operations raising hogs are not included in the sample, survey estimates are subject to sampling
variability. Survey results are also subject to non-sampling errors such as omissions, duplication, and mistakes in
reporting, recording, and processing the data. The effects of these errors cannot be measured directly. They are minimized
through rigid quality controls in the data collection process and through a careful review of all reported data for
consistency and reasonableness.
To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the estimates in this report, the "Root Mean Square Error" is shown for
selected items in the following table. The "Root Mean Square Error" is a statistical measure based on past performance
and is computed using the difference between first and final estimates. The "Root Mean Square Error" for hog inventory
estimates over the past 20 quarters is 1.4 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the final estimate will not be
above or below the current estimate of 68.3 million head by more than 1.4 percent. Chances are 9 out of 10 that the
difference will not exceed 2.3 percent.
Reliability of December 1 Hog Estimates [Based on data for the previous twenty quarters]
Item Root mean
square error
90 percent confidence
level
Difference between first and latest estimate
Average Smallest Largest Years
Below latest Above latest
(percent) (percent) (1,000) (1,000) (1,000) (number) (number)
All hogs and pigs ............................ Pig crop .......................................... Expected farrowings Next quarter ................................ Following quarter ........................
1.4
2.3
2.7
2.9
2.3
3.9
4.7
5.0
719
521
63
70
95
3
0
11
1,726
1,260
167
197
10
12
10
9
10
8
10
11
Information Contacts
Listed below are the commodity specialists in the Livestock Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics Service to
contact for additional information. E-mail inquiries may be sent to [email protected].
Dan Kerestes, Chief, Livestock Branch .......................................................................................................... (202) 720-3570
Scott Hollis, Head, Livestock Section ............................................................................................................ (202) 690-2424
Sherry Bertramsen – Livestock Slaughter ................................................................................................ (202) 720-3240
Doug Bounds – Hogs and Pigs ................................................................................................................. (202) 720-3106
David Colwell – Sheep and Goats ............................................................................................................ (202) 720-8784
Donnie Fike – Dairy Products .................................................................................................................. (202) 690-3236
Michael Klamm – Cattle, Cattle on Feed ................................................................................................. (202) 720-3040
Mike Miller – Milk Production and Milk Cows ....................................................................................... (202) 720-3278
Access to NASS Reports For your convenience, you may access NASS reports and products the following ways:
All reports are available electronically, at no cost, on the NASS web site: http://www.nass.usda.gov
Both national and state specific reports are available via a free e-mail subscription. To set-up this free
subscription, visit http://www.nass.usda.gov and click on “National” or “State” in upper right corner above
“search” box to create an account and select the reports you would like to receive.
For more information on NASS surveys and reports, call the NASS Agricultural Statistics Hotline at (800) 727-9540,
7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET, or e-mail: [email protected].
The U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) prohibits discrimination against its customers, employees, and applicants for
employment on the basis of race, color, national origin, age, disability, sex, gender identity, religion, reprisal, and where
applicable, political beliefs, marital status, familial or parental status, sexual orientation, or all or part of an individual's
income is derived from any public assistance program, or protected genetic information in employment or in any program
or activity conducted or funded by the Department. (Not all prohibited bases will apply to all programs and/or
employment activities.)
If you wish to file a Civil Rights program complaint of discrimination, complete the USDA Program Discrimination
Complaint Form (PDF), found online at http://www.ascr.usda.gov/complaint_filing_cust.html, or at any USDA office, or
call (866) 632-9992 to request the form. You may also write a letter containing all of the information requested in the
form. Send your completed complaint form or letter to us by mail at U.S. Department of Agriculture, Director, Office of
Adjudication, 1400 Independence Avenue, S.W., Washington, D.C. 20250-9410, by fax (202) 690-7442 or email at
