Quarterly Employment Q3:2019 Statistics Q3:2019 · QES Q3:2019 * Revised estimates s s MINING AND...

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QES Q3:2019 Quarterly Employment Statistics Q3:2019 #StatsSA

Transcript of Quarterly Employment Q3:2019 Statistics Q3:2019 · QES Q3:2019 * Revised estimates s s MINING AND...

Page 1: Quarterly Employment Q3:2019 Statistics Q3:2019 · QES Q3:2019 * Revised estimates s s MINING AND QUARRYING INDUSTRY The mining industry reported no change in employment in third

QESQ3:2019

Quarterly Employment

Statistics

Q3:2019

#StatsSA

Page 2: Quarterly Employment Q3:2019 Statistics Q3:2019 · QES Q3:2019 * Revised estimates s s MINING AND QUARRYING INDUSTRY The mining industry reported no change in employment in third

QESQ3:2019 QES Background

02

01

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QES is an enterprise-based sample survey

QES collects information on employing

businesses registered for VAT with annual

turnover greater than R300 000

R300 000

Samples are drawn from private non-agricultural

businesses e.g. factories, offices, stores as well as

national, provincial and local government entities

Sample size of approximately 20 000 was selected

Page 3: Quarterly Employment Q3:2019 Statistics Q3:2019 · QES Q3:2019 * Revised estimates s s MINING AND QUARRYING INDUSTRY The mining industry reported no change in employment in third

QESQ3:2019 QES Coverage

INCLUDES EXCLUDES

2

*Mining &

quarrying 3

4

5

6

7

8

9Manufacturing

Electricity,

gas and water

supply

ConstructionWholesale

trade, retail

trade, motor

trade and hotels

and restaurants

Transport, Storage

&

Communication

Business

services

Community

& personal

services

Agriculture, hunting, forestry and fishing

The informal business sector

Domestic services

* Administrative data from DMR

Page 4: Quarterly Employment Q3:2019 Statistics Q3:2019 · QES Q3:2019 * Revised estimates s s MINING AND QUARRYING INDUSTRY The mining industry reported no change in employment in third

QESQ3:2019

4

Number of employees as at the last month of the

reference quarter

Average monthly earnings

for the middle month of the reference quarter

Gross earnings for the three months of the

reference quarter

Estimates are published on a quarter lag (SDDS)

QES Variables

Page 5: Quarterly Employment Q3:2019 Statistics Q3:2019 · QES Q3:2019 * Revised estimates s s MINING AND QUARRYING INDUSTRY The mining industry reported no change in employment in third

QESQ3:2019

Results for Q3:2019

Page 6: Quarterly Employment Q3:2019 Statistics Q3:2019 · QES Q3:2019 * Revised estimates s s MINING AND QUARRYING INDUSTRY The mining industry reported no change in employment in third

QESQ3:2019

EMPLOYMENT RESULTS

Y/YQ/Q

Q/Q

Jobs increased by 78 000 (or 0,8%) in the

reference quarter compared with the same

quarter of 2018 (Q3:2018).

10 142 000 10 170 000The total number of persons employed

decreased from in

Q2:2019

There was a quarterly decrease of

28 000 jobs (or -0,3 %) in the

Q3:2019 compared with Q2:2019.

0,8%-0,3%

Page 7: Quarterly Employment Q3:2019 Statistics Q3:2019 · QES Q3:2019 * Revised estimates s s MINING AND QUARRYING INDUSTRY The mining industry reported no change in employment in third

QESQ3:2019

89%

11%

EMPLOYMENT COMPOSITION

FULL TIME

PART TIME

Part-time employees are those

permanent, temporary or casual

employees who work less than

40 hours per week.

Full-time employees are those

permanent, temporary and casual

employees who normally work 40 hours

or more per week.

9 081 000

1 061 000

Page 8: Quarterly Employment Q3:2019 Statistics Q3:2019 · QES Q3:2019 * Revised estimates s s MINING AND QUARRYING INDUSTRY The mining industry reported no change in employment in third

QESQ3:2019

Five of the eight industries reported a combined total job losses of 45 000 quarter-on-quarter.

Electricity and mining industries reported no change whereas trade industry reported a quarterly

increase of 17 000 jobs. Full-time and part-time jobs decreased by 11 000 and 17 000 jobs

respectively.

QESQ3:2019 QUARTER-ON-QUARTER EMPLOYMENT CHANGE

Quarter-on-quarter Number of employees

Industry Full-time Part-time All employees

Construction -14 000 2 000 -12 000

Manufacturing -8 000 -4 000 -12 000

Community services 8 000 -19 000 -11 000

Business services 1 000 -10 000 -9 000

Transport -4 000 3 000 -1 000

Electricity 0 0 0

Mining* 0 - 0

Trade 6 000 11 000 17 000

Total -11 000 -17 000 -28 000

*Data for mining industry is not available separately for part-time

Page 9: Quarterly Employment Q3:2019 Statistics Q3:2019 · QES Q3:2019 * Revised estimates s s MINING AND QUARRYING INDUSTRY The mining industry reported no change in employment in third

QESQ3:2019

Community services, Trade, Business services and Mining industries recorded the highest increases

in employment year-on-year. Construction, Manufacturing, Electricity and Transport industries lost

jobs in Q3:2019 compared with Q3:2018.

Both full-time and part-time jobs increased by 45 000 and 33 000 year-on-year respectively.

QESQ3:2019 YEAR-ON-YEAR EMPLOYMENT CHANGE

*Data for mining industry is not available separately for part-time

Year-on-year Number of employees

Industry Full-time Part-time All employees

Community services 21 000 33 000 54 000

Trade 30 000 23 000 53 000

Business services 47 000 -19 000 28 000

Mining* 6 000 - 6 000

Transport -2 000 1 000 -1 000

Electricity -3 000 0 -3 000

Manufacturing -15 000 -7 000 -22 000

Construction -39 000 2 000 -37 000

Total 45 000 33 000 78 000

Page 10: Quarterly Employment Q3:2019 Statistics Q3:2019 · QES Q3:2019 * Revised estimates s s MINING AND QUARRYING INDUSTRY The mining industry reported no change in employment in third

QESQ3:2019

* Revised estimates

Num

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MINING AND QUARRYING INDUSTRYThe mining industry reported no change in employment in third quarter of 2019.

There was an annual increase of 6 000 jobs from 456 000 in Q3:2018 to 462 000 in

Q3:2019.

489

456

462 462

430

440

450

460

470

480

490

500

Jun Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep Dec Mar Jun* Sep

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Page 11: Quarterly Employment Q3:2019 Statistics Q3:2019 · QES Q3:2019 * Revised estimates s s MINING AND QUARRYING INDUSTRY The mining industry reported no change in employment in third

QESQ3:2019

* Revised estimates

Number of employees in the

Trade Industry

TRADE INDUSTRYThe Trade industry gained 17 000 jobs in the 3rd quarter of 2019.

Year-on-year the industry gained 53 000 jobs in Q3:2019 compared with

same quarter of 2018.

Nu

mb

er

of e

mp

loye

es

Th

ou

sa

nd

s

1 926

2 131

2 206

2 248

2 265

1 700

1 800

1 900

2 000

2 100

2 200

2 300

Jun Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep Dec Mar Jun* Sep

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Page 12: Quarterly Employment Q3:2019 Statistics Q3:2019 · QES Q3:2019 * Revised estimates s s MINING AND QUARRYING INDUSTRY The mining industry reported no change in employment in third

QESQ3:2019

Num

be

r o

f e

mp

loye

es

Th

ou

sand

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* Revised estimates

2 545

2 6592 698

2 751

2 684

2 749

2 738

2 400

2 450

2 500

2 550

2 600

2 650

2 700

2 750

2 800

Jun Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep Dec Mar Jun* Sep

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Increase was due to

appointment of casual workers

for the election registration drive

in Q1:2016

Increase was due to appointment

of casual workers for local

government election in Q3:2016

Increase due to appointment of

casual workers for the 2019

national election registration

drive in Q1:2018.

Increase due to appointment of casual

workers for the national elections and

provincial appointments of community

health workers in Q2:2019 .

-11 00054 000

The community services industry reported a loss of jobs in the third quarter.

Year-on-year the industry gained jobs compared with same quarter of the

previous year (Q3:2018).

COMMUNITY SERVICES INDUSTRY

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QESQ3:2019

* Revised estimates

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EMPLOYMENT TIME SERIES

9 293

10 064

10 176

10 142

JUN SEP DEC MAR JUN SEP DEC MAR JUN SEP DEC MAR JUN SEP DEC MAR JUN* SEP

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

The number of jobs increased by approximately 849 000 from 9 293 000 in the

second quarter of 2015 to 10 142 000 in the third quarter of 2019.

Page 14: Quarterly Employment Q3:2019 Statistics Q3:2019 · QES Q3:2019 * Revised estimates s s MINING AND QUARRYING INDUSTRY The mining industry reported no change in employment in third

QESQ3:2019

Total gross earnings paid in the quarter

increased from billion in

Q2:2019 to R711,2 billion in Q3:2019.R699,5

GROSS EARNINGS RESULTS

3,8%

Y/Y

Increases in gross earnings

may be due to salary

increases, bonuses and

overtime payments paid in the

current quarter and not paid in

the previous quarter.

1,7%

Q/Q

R11,8 billion R26,0 billion

R711,2 billion

Page 15: Quarterly Employment Q3:2019 Statistics Q3:2019 · QES Q3:2019 * Revised estimates s s MINING AND QUARRYING INDUSTRY The mining industry reported no change in employment in third

QESQ3:2019

91%

9%

R650,0

GROSS EARNINGS COMPOSITION

R711,2 bn

Bonus and

overtime payments

bnBasic salary/wages

bn

R61,2

Page 16: Quarterly Employment Q3:2019 Statistics Q3:2019 · QES Q3:2019 * Revised estimates s s MINING AND QUARRYING INDUSTRY The mining industry reported no change in employment in third

QESQ3:2019

Gross earnings increased by R11,8 billion in the third quarter of 2019. Increases in gross earnings

were due to increases in basic salaries and bonuses and overtime payments by R9,3 billion and

R2,5 billion respectively.

Quarter-on-quarter Gross earnings (R' 000)

Industry Basic Salary/WagesBonus & Overtime

PaymentsTotal Gross Earnings

Business services 1 592 000 4 921 000 6 513 000

Community services 2 966 000 787 000 3 753 000

Mining* 2 252 000 - 2 252 000

Manufacturing 1 079 000 -153 000 926 000

Trade 1 232 000 -604 000 628 000

Electricity 266 000 -136 000 130 000

Construction -387 000 -340 000 -727 000

Transport 281 000 -1 997 000 -1 716 000

Total 9 281 000 2 478 000 11 759 000

QESQ3:2019 QUARTER-ON-QUARTER CHANGE IN GROSS EARNINGS

*Data for mining industry is not available separately for bonuses & overtime payments

Page 17: Quarterly Employment Q3:2019 Statistics Q3:2019 · QES Q3:2019 * Revised estimates s s MINING AND QUARRYING INDUSTRY The mining industry reported no change in employment in third

QESQ3:2019

Year-on-year Gross earnings (R' 000)

Industry Basic Salary/WagesBonus & Overtime

PaymentsTotal Gross Earnings

Community services 7 517 000 2 069 000 9 586 000

Trade 5 521 000 781 000 6 302 000

Business services 5 997 000 -1 372 000 4 625 000

Mining* 3 138 000 - 3 138 000

Manufacturing 2 158 000 258 000 2 416 000

Transport 1 796 000 -277 000 1 519 000

Electricity 14 000 -37 000 -23 000

Construction -1 342 000 -236 000 -1 578 000

Total 24 799 000 1 186 000 25 985 000

YEAR-ON-YEAR CHANGE IN GROSS EARNINGS

Year-on-year gross earnings increased by R26,0 billion. Increases were due to basic salary

payments made by R24,8 billion and bonus and overtime payments increased by R1,2 billion.

QESQ3:2019

*Data for mining industry is not available separately for bonuses & overtime payments

Page 18: Quarterly Employment Q3:2019 Statistics Q3:2019 · QES Q3:2019 * Revised estimates s s MINING AND QUARRYING INDUSTRY The mining industry reported no change in employment in third

QESQ3:2019

PERCENTAGE CHANGE IN GROSS EARNINGS

Quarterly and annual percentage change in gross earnings paid in the third quarter

of 2019.

Quarter-on-quarter

% changeYear-on-year

% change

6,5

3,6

1,7

1,6

1,6

0,9

0,9

- 2,3

- 4,1

- 10,0 0,0 10,0

Mining*

Business services

Total

Electricity

Community services

Trade

Manufacturing

Construction

Transport

9,3

6,5

4,2

4,0

3,8

3,5

2,5

- 0,3

- 4,9

- 10,0 - 5,0 0,0 5,0 10,0 15,0

Mining*

Trade

Community services

Transport

Total

Manufacturing

Business services

Electricity

Construction

* Administrative data from DMR

Page 19: Quarterly Employment Q3:2019 Statistics Q3:2019 · QES Q3:2019 * Revised estimates s s MINING AND QUARRYING INDUSTRY The mining industry reported no change in employment in third

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Gro

ss e

arn

ing

s

R’ b

illio

n

* Revised estimates

Gross earnings increased by R211 billion from R500 billion in second quarter of 2015 to

R711 billion in the third quarter of 2019. Gross earnings are steadily increasing since 2015.

GROSS EARNINGS TIME SERIES

500

685 699

711

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

Jun Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep Dec Mar Jun* Sep

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Page 20: Quarterly Employment Q3:2019 Statistics Q3:2019 · QES Q3:2019 * Revised estimates s s MINING AND QUARRYING INDUSTRY The mining industry reported no change in employment in third

QESQ3:2019

Average Monthly Earnings

(AME)

August 2019

Page 21: Quarterly Employment Q3:2019 Statistics Q3:2019 · QES Q3:2019 * Revised estimates s s MINING AND QUARRYING INDUSTRY The mining industry reported no change in employment in third

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Quarter-on-quarter and year-on-year AME increased by 2,6% and 3,7% respectively.

AVERAGE MONTHLY EARNINGS (AME)

Y/YQ/Q

R21 966 R21 414

AME including bonuses and overtime payments

increased in August 2019 from (May 2019)

2,6% 3,7%

Page 22: Quarterly Employment Q3:2019 Statistics Q3:2019 · QES Q3:2019 * Revised estimates s s MINING AND QUARRYING INDUSTRY The mining industry reported no change in employment in third

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Quarter-on-quarter

(%)Year-on-year

(%)

August 2019: average monthly earnings

AVERAGE MONTHLY EARNINGSThe mining and community industries reported the largest increases of 7,7% and 7,0% in average

monthly earnings in the third quarter compared with second quarter of 2019, respectively.

Year-on-year the mining industry is leading other industries and rose by 7,8%.

Five of the eight industries grew below the total industry average of 3,7% in August 2019 compared

with August of 2018.

* Administrative data from DMR

7,7

7,0

2,6

1,5

1,3

0,6

0,0

- 0,2

- 0,3

-5,0 0,0 5,0 10,0

Mining*

Community services

Total

Manufacturing

Business services

Electricity

Construction

Trade

Transport

7,8

5,1

3,8

3,7

3,6

2,9

2,7

2,6

0,1

0,0 5,0 10,0

Mining*

Community services

Manufacturing

Total

Electricity

Trade

Business services

Transport

Construction

Page 23: Quarterly Employment Q3:2019 Statistics Q3:2019 · QES Q3:2019 * Revised estimates s s MINING AND QUARRYING INDUSTRY The mining industry reported no change in employment in third

QESQ3:2019

AVERAGE MONTHLY EARNINGS

* Revised estimates

R1

67

55

R1

72

77

R1

73

22

R1

72

62

R1

79

98

R1

81

56

R1

87

23

R1

89

13

R1

94

99

R1

99

96

R2

01

93

R2

00

92

R2

04

33

R2

11

92

R2

12

56

R2

08

59

R2

14

14

R2

19

66

R0

R5 000

R10 000

R15 000

R20 000

R25 000M

ay

Au

g

No

v

Feb

May

Au

g

No

v

Feb

May

Au

g

No

v

Feb

May

Au

g

No

v

Feb

May

*

Au

g

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Page 24: Quarterly Employment Q3:2019 Statistics Q3:2019 · QES Q3:2019 * Revised estimates s s MINING AND QUARRYING INDUSTRY The mining industry reported no change in employment in third

QESQ3:2019

Number of

employees

RecapQES

Q3:2019

Full time jobs Part time jobs

Gross earnings

increased by

R11,8 billion q/q

and increased by

R26,0 billion y/y

Bonus and

overtime

payments

increased by

R2,5 billion q/q

and increased

by R1,2 billion

y/y

Average monthly

earnings

increased by 2,6%

q/q and increased

by 3,7% y/y

Gross earnings

Bonus and

overtime

Average monthly

earnings

-28 000

78 000 45 000

Number of

employees

declined by

q/q, and increased

by y/y

-11 000

Full-time jobs

declined by

q/q

and increased

by y/y

-17 00033 000

Part-time jobs

declined by

q/q and

gained

year-on-year

Page 25: Quarterly Employment Q3:2019 Statistics Q3:2019 · QES Q3:2019 * Revised estimates s s MINING AND QUARRYING INDUSTRY The mining industry reported no change in employment in third

QESQ3:2019

Thank You

StatsSA @StatsSA