QSA Workshop on Environment Statistics Concepts and Frameworks

24 September 2012

Tracking Progress Towards QNV 2030 Development Goals

Environment Targets and Related Monitorable Indicators

Presented byNoura Essa Abdullah and Sharon Ng

Department of Social Development, GSDP

Presentation Themes

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Context

Qatar National Vision 2030, National Development Strategy 2011-2016 and Sustainable Development

Environment Points of Stress

NDS Environmental Management Outcomes

Monitoring NDS Projects, Sector Outcomes and QNV Goals

Conclusion

Rapid economic growth averaging 16.2% in real terms between 2004-2010

– Qatar now highest per capita globally propelled by growth of its hydrocarbon industry, especially liquified natural gas

Very rapidly growing population 1.7m in 2011 compared with 0.7m in 2004

– Includes large, growing and culturally diverse expatriate population

High human development with HDI ranked 37th in world in 2011 compared with 57th a decade earlier

– Leading country in terms of GNI per capita

– Health and education dimensions of HDI below those of average of highest human development countries

Qatar – A Dynamic Arab Islamic Gulf StateRapidly rising prosperity and high human development

Qatar - one of 6 Gulf Cooperation Council States….. ….with an increasing global presence

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Qatar’s GDP and Population Grew Unsustainably Between 2000 and 2010

Called for planned growth with balance

Exceptionally rapid rise in population, averaging 15% a year between 2004-2008 when economic growth was at its peak, called for substantial planning as well as infrastructure and social services

Qatar’s growing urban population, rising per capita income and rapid economic growth affecting the environment

Need for Sustainable Development and Environmental Management

To meet this challenge

Qatar establishing comprehensive environmental management system that aligns national growth and prosperity to realities of environmental constraints, supported by increasing capacity and sustainable

technologies

Increasing percapita Income

Rapid population

growth

Environmental impact per $ of

income

Increasingimpact on

Qatar’senvironment

Qatar National Vision 2030Sustainable development, intergenerational equity,

an underlying and cross-cutting principle

QNV 2030 is built on four inter-related development pillars that envisage that development will be carried out with responsibility and respect, balancing the needs of economic growth and social development with environmental protection

QNV 2030 beginning to transform Qatar into an advanced country, capable of sustaining its own development and providing a high standard of living for all

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Qatar National Vision 2030

Humandevelopment

Develop all people

to enable themto sustain aprosperous

society

Socialdevelopment

Develop just and

caring society with

high moralstandards

and active role in global

development

Economicdevelopment

Develop competitivediversified economy to secure prosperity

for all inpresent and

future

Environmentaldevelopment

Ensure harmony between

economic growth,social

developmentand

environment

Sustainable Development

Institutional Development and Modernisation

Priority AreasPriority Areas

Water Management

Pollution and Waste

Energy and Climate

Biodiversity

Lack of integrated water management system− High water consumption and increasing demand− Rising water table in Doha that raises construction costs and threatens marine

life

Poor air quality as a result of high levels of particulate matter which impact on respiratory illnesses

Large quantities of solid waste generated by high income households, construction and industry

Flaring intensity and high carbon dioxide emissions contributing to greenhouse gases

Qatar vulnerable to rising sea levels as a small coastal country

Environmental Points of StressEnvironmental Points of Stress

Sustaining the Environment for Future GenerationsAddressing environmental points of stress

Threats to biodiversity with species vulnerable to extinction− Lack of comprehensive biodiversity database limits effective policy− Protected areas lack effective management plan and public awareness of

biodiversity issues low

Environmental ChallengesEnvironmental Challenges

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10 Projects 14 Targets to be Achieved by 2016 7 Outcomes

NDS Environmental Management Outcomes Priority projects with related targets

Cleaner Water and

Sustainable Use

Enact a comprehensive National Water Act establishing an integrated system of quality requirements, discharge controls and incentives for conservation

Monitor groundwater, conserve freshwater aquifers where possible and eliminate excess water in Doha’s water table

Cleaner Airand

Effective Climate Change

Reponses

Eliminate instances of excess ozone levels through improved air quality management

Halve gas flaring to 0.0115 billion cubic metres per million tonnes of energy produced from 2008 level of 0.0230 billion cubic metres per million tonnes of energy produced

Reduced Waste, More Recycling

and More Efficient

Use

Establish a solid waste management plan, strongly emphasizing recycling

Recycle 38% of solid waste, up from the current 8%

Contain domestic waste generation at 1.6 kilogrammes per capita per day

National Water Act

Urban water table management plan

Improve air quality Management

Reduction of gas flaring and venting

Establishing a solid waste

management plan

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Create a searchable electronic information source at the Ministry of Environment

Lead one regional environment effort, and launch two environmental projects involving private sector participation

NDS Environmental Management Outcomes (Cont)

Creating a National

Biodiversity Database

Functional Green Spaces

Environmental Information

Database

Strategic Partnerships

Nature and Natural Heritage

Conserved, Protectedand Sustainably

Managed

Sustainable Urbanization

and Healthier LivingEnvironment

An Increasingly Environmentally

Aware Population

Improved Governance and

Cooperation

Establish a comprehensive electronic biodiversity database

Expand actively managed protected areas

Establish three shady greenspace corridors in Doha and monitor their effect on urban air quality and health

Build an environmentally aware society Appoint a well known national champion for the

environment to raise awareness and commitment through demonstration projects and conversation partnerships

Environmental Awareness

10 Projects 14 Targets to be Achieved by 2016 7 Outcomes

Monitoring NDS Projects, Sector Outcomes and QNV Goals

Monitoring highlevel goals

Project inputs

Have we achieved QNV development goals

Monitoring achievements

Project activities

Have the project deliverables contributed to the stated

outcomes

Monitoringdeliverables

Project outputsQuantitative and qualitative

indicators

Have the tasks we have implemented led to the desired

results(eg legal, policy, regulation changes, awareness campaigns )

Monitoring tasks

NDS sector outcomesQuantitative and qualitative

indicators

What tasks we are going to do

through projects (eg drafting legislation, policy, regulations, organising

campaigns)

Monitoring input investments

QNV 2030 goalsQuantitative and qualitative

indicators

What resources we are

investing in projects (eg financial, human, enabling environment)

QN

V

Pil

lars

ND

S P

roje

cts

ND

S

Sec

tors

Level of monitoringLevel of monitoring What we will be learningWhat we will be learningWhat are we monitoring?What are we monitoring?

Im

ple

men

tati

on

Plan

ning5

MoEF and Ministries and Agencies

Project inputs

• To measure gap between reality and development vision

Ministries and AgenciesProject activities

• To determine extent to which projects have contributed towards achieving desired development outcomes, to learn lessons and to support future planning

GSDP andMinistries and Agencies

Project outputs

• To determine extent to which deliverable have been met, to assess project effectiveness and take corrective measures

GSDPNDS Sectoral Outcomes

• To determine extent to which activities have been completed (rate of project implementation), to learn lessons and to adjust project activities through corrective measures

GSDPQNV 2030 Goals

• To monitor resource effectiveness

Why are we monitoring?Why are we monitoring?Who will monitor and what will they monitor?

Expected ResultsWho will monitor and what will they monitor?

Expected Results

Effe

ctiv

e N

atio

nal P

lan

ning

: M

anag

ing

for

Res

ults

Hig

her

Leve

l D

evel

opm

ent

Res

ults

Who Monitors What and WhyTransparency and Accountability

Tracking Progress in Achieving NDS Results – Illustrative Example

Budgets, human resources

• CEDAW and CRC ratified and complied with

• Procure services • Collect and review data• Drafting legislation • Training programme• Create hotline• etc, etc

• Number of reported cases of domestic violence reduced

• Increase in % of women who feel that domestic violence has decreased

O1. Comprehensive domestic violence prevention, protection and support system established

O2. An early child neglect and abuse detection mechanism established

• Increased awareness of harmful effects of domestic violence

• New policy and legislation on child abuse implemented

Reduced family violence

Develop a sound social structure with effective public institutions and active

civil society organisations

• Budget allocated and spent for each activity

Results chainResults chainIndicators of progress(Baselines and targets)

Indicators of progress(Baselines and targets)

What results are we aiming to achieve?

What results are we aiming to achieve?

QNV Goal

NDS Outcome

Outputs(Deliverables)

Activities(Tasks)

Inputs

Towards a NDS Monitoring FrameworkMeasuring For Results

Indicator frameworks at different levels, including baselines and targets (process, outcome and goal indicators), methods of collection, sources of data,

level of detail, frequency of collection, assumptions and risks need to be factored

Template(s) to collect monitoring information along with reporting matrices of monitorable indicators

(piloted and validated)

E-monitoring system for data storage, analysis and reporting with defined accessibility with flexibility to

modify according to evolving needs

(Institutional and participatory dimensions need also to be factored in measuring for results)

A Guiding Principle

When it comes to indicator selection less is more

... and be SMART

Measurable Will indicator show desired change/results?

Specific Does indicator capture essence of desired result?

Relevant Is it applicable to intended development result ?

Achievable Are desired changes/results realistic?

Trackable Are data available or collectable at reasonable cost?

Environmental Development Pillar

A Balance Between Development Needs and Protecting the Environment

NDS Sector Outcome 1: Preserving and protecting the environment, including air, land, water and biological diversity

Target 1: Cleaner air through improved air quality management to meet WHO Air Quality Guideline levels (AQ 2005).

Air quality – ambient concentration of air pollutants in urban areas: (i) carbon monoxide, (ii) nitrogen dioxide, (iii) sulfur dioxide and (iv) ozone.

Target 2: More sustainable land use and healthier living environments by maintaining sustainable growth of urban land comparative with top 10 OECD countries.

Land cover and land use rates of change

Target 3: Cleaner water and sustainable use to meet the Environmental Protection Agency human health benchmarks for coastal water quality or Cleaner water and sustainable use by reducing water consumption to the average per capita consumption of OECD countries

Quality of coastal waters in Qatar: (i) salinity, (ii) temperature, (iii) dissolved oxygen, (iv) biochemical oxygen demand and (v) chemical oxygen demand.

Water abstraction per capita

Target 4: Nature and natural heritage conserved, protected and sustainably managed by achieving 30% of total land and sea area as protected areas .

Area of selected key ecosystems protected as a percentage of total area (land and marine)

Abundance and change in threat status of selected key species

NDS Sector Outcome 2: A comprehensive urban development plan for Qatar that adopts a sustainable policy with regard to urban expansion and population distribution

Target 1: More sustainable urbanization and a healthier living environment, maintaining the average OECD urban growth rate for developed countries.

Rate of growth of urban population

Target 2: More healthier living environment and reducing premature deaths from air pollution by adopting OECD’s 25% air pollution reduction scenario.

Estimated number of premature deaths from exposure to outdoor airborne particulate matter and ground-level ozone

Air quality (i) airborne particulate matter, (ii) ground level ozone

NDS Sector Outcome 3: Encouragement of regional cooperation to put in place preventive measures to mitigate the negative environmental effects of pollution arising from development activities

Target 1: Improved governance and regional and international cooperation by supporting research and development in environmental management in line with OECD average and comparable to high-spending GCC countries.

Gross domestic expenditure on R&D in environmental management as a percentage of total domestic expenditure on R&D

R&D personnel in environmental management as a percentage of total R&D personnel

NDS Sector Outcome 4: A proactive and significant regional role in assessing the impact of climate change and mitigating its negative impacts, especially on countries of the Gulf

Target 1: Improved regional and international cooperation by providing development aid to foster innovation and support new clean technologies in line with the International Energy Agency (IEA) member countries average and comparable to high-spending GCC countries.

Aggregate development assistance flows in support of climate change adaptation and mitigation as a percentage of GDP

NDS Sector Outcome 5: Support for international efforts to mitigate the effects of climate change

Target 1: Improved governance and regional and international cooperation, meeting or exceeding target for reduction of GHG emissions set by the Kyoto Protocol.

Implementation of ratified global agreement for climate change

Emissions of greenhouse gasses (Carbon dioxide equivalent)

GSDP will

monitor and report twice yearly to the Supreme Committee for Development Planning on NDS progress, including on strategy outcomes in relation to QNV goals

prepare a mid-term review of the NDS by end 2013 as part of its mandate in the 6 year planning cycle

QSA will work with GSDP on indicator selection and continue to support with relevant data for monitoring the progress and achievement of QNV 2030 development goals

Conclusion

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