Q4 2015 Conference Call...This presentation contains forward-looking information regarding future...
Transcript of Q4 2015 Conference Call...This presentation contains forward-looking information regarding future...
Q4 2015 Conference Call February 17, 2016
Forward-Looking Statements
& Non-GAAP Measures
2
This presentation contains forward-looking information regarding future events or the Company’s future financial performance based on the current expectations of Terex Corporation. In addition, when included in this presentation, the words “may,” “expects,” “intends,” “anticipates,” “plans,” “projects,” “estimates” and the negatives thereof and analogous or similar expressions are intended to identify forward-looking statements. However, the absence of these words does not mean that the statement is not forward-looking. The Company has based these forward-looking statements on current expectations and projections about future events. These statements are not guarantees of future performance.
Because forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties, actual results could differ materially. Such risks and uncertainties,
many of which are beyond the control of Terex, include among others: Our business is cyclical and weak general economic conditions
affect the sales of our products and financial results; the effect of the announcement and pendency of the merger with Konecranes Plc
(“Konecranes”) on our customers, employees, suppliers, vendors, distributors, dealers, retailers, operating results and business generally,
and the diversion of management’s time and attention; our ability to successfully integrate acquired businesses, including the pending
merger with Konecranes; our need to comply with restrictive covenants contained in our debt agreements; our ability to generate sufficient
cash flow to service our debt obligations and operate our business; our ability to access the capital markets to raise funds and provide
liquidity; our business is sensitive to government spending; our business is highly competitive and is affected by our cost structure,
pricing, product initiatives and other actions taken by competitors; our retention of key management personnel; the financial condition of
suppliers and customers, and their continued access to capital; our providing financing and credit support for some of our customers; we
may experience losses in excess of recorded reserves; the carrying value of our goodwill and other indefinite-lived intangible assets could
become impaired; our ability to obtain parts and components from suppliers on a timely basis at competitive prices; our business is global
and subject to changes in exchange rates between currencies, commodity price changes, regional economic conditions and trade
restrictions; our operations are subject to a number of potential risks that arise from operating a multinational business, including
compliance with changing regulatory environments, the Foreign Corrupt Practices Act and other similar laws, and political instability; a
material disruption to one of our significant facilities; possible work stoppages and other labor matters; compliance with changing laws
and regulations, particularly environmental and tax laws and regulations; litigation, product liability claims, intellectual property claims,
class action lawsuits and other liabilities; our ability to comply with an injunction and related obligations imposed by the United States
Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”); disruption or breach in our information technology systems; and other factors, risks and
uncertainties that are more specifically set forth in our public filings with the SEC. Non-GAAP Measures: Terex from time to time refers to various non-GAAP (generally accepted accounting principles) financial measures in this presentation. Terex believes that this information is useful to understanding its operating results and the ongoing performance of its underlying businesses without the impact of special items. See the appendix at the end of this presentation as well as the Terex fourth quarter 2015 earnings release on the Investor Relations section of our website www.terex.com for a description and/or reconciliation of these measures.
3
Proud Past - Better Future
4
Operating Summary
• Sales declined 11.8% in the
quarter, 6.2% related to
currency translation
• Q4 EPS of $0.50 and FY EPS
of $1.84 as adjusted(1),
reported EPS of $0.13 and
$1.30 respectively
• Free cash flow(2) of
$290 million for the year
• Backlog up 17% from Q3-15
but down 13% year on year
(1) See the reconciliations to GAAP provided in the appendix of this presentation.
(2) Free cash flow = net cash provided by (used in) operating activities less capital expenditures, excluding the impact of Terex Financial Services
North America
Western Europe Asia/
Oceania
Other*
LATAM
Sales by Geography 2015 vs 2014
5
(4)%
Actual FX-Adj.
(4)%
3%
(4)%
Q4
FY (3)%
(34)%
Actual FX-Adj.
(32)%
Q4
FY
(16)%
Actual FX-Adj.
(6)%
(15)%
Q4
FY
5%
(26)%
Actual FX-Adj.
(16)%
(9)%
Q4
FY
Actual FX-Adj.
Q4
FY
3%
5%
3%
15%
(21)%
(17)%
(8)%
29%
15%
10%5%
41%
2015 Q4
Western Europe
Asia/ Oceania
Other
LATAM
North America
29%
12%
10%5%
44%
2015 FY
*Other includes Eastern Europe, Middle East, and Africa
0%
Q4 Continuing Operations Results
6
USD Millions, except Earnings per Share
Q4 2015
As
Reported
Q4 2015
As
Adjusted(1)
Q4 2014
As
Reported
Q4 2014
As
Adjusted(1)
Net Sales $1,577.7 $1,577.7 $1,789.4 $1,789.4
% Change Q4 2014 (11.8%) (11.8%)
Income From Operations 50.8 91.1 70.4 118.1
Operating Margin 3.2% 5.8% 3.9% 6.6%
Earnings per Share $0.13 $0.50 $0.71 $0.72
EBITDA $81.9 $122.2 $106.6 $154.3
% Net Sales 5.2% 7.7% 6.0% 8.6%
ROIC 6.6% 11.2%
Free Cash Flow $246.9 $226.7
(1) See the reconciliations to GAAP provided in the appendix of this presentation.
FY Continuing Operations Results
7
USD Millions, except Earnings per Share
FY 2015
As
Reported
FY 2015
As
Adjusted(1)
FY 2014
As
Reported
FY 2014
As
Adjusted(1)
Net Sales $6,543.1 $6,543.1 $7,308.9 $7,308.9
% Change FY 2014 (10.5%) (10.5%)
Income From Operations 355.2 410.4 423.1 481.5
Operating Margin 5.4% 6.3% 5.8% 6.6%
Earnings per Share $1.30 $1.84 $2.27 $2.35
EBITDA $478.1 $533.3 $571.1 $629.5
% Net Sales 7.3% 8.2% 7.8% 8.6%
ROIC 6.6% 11.2%
Free Cash Flow $289.6 $340.3
(1) See the reconciliations to GAAP provided in the appendix of this presentation.
Aerial Work Platforms
8
USD Millions
637 571 517 342 451 799 603 382 936 500 374 439 698
177%
114%
87%
65%97%
139%
85%
65%
207%
100%
56%
80%
163%
0%
50%
100%
150%
200%
250%
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
Q4
'12
Q1
'13
Q2
'13
Q3
'13
Q4
'13
Q1
'14
Q2
'14
Q3
'14
Q4
'14
Q1
'15
Q2
'15
Q3
'15
Q4
'15
Net Bookings Book-to-Bill Ratio
Q4'15 Q4'14 FY 15 FY 14
Net Sales 455.3 468.2 2,213.4 2,369.7
% Change vs. 2014 (2.8%) (6.6%)
Operating Profit 42.7 38.7 269.3 302.8
Operating Margin% 9.4% 8.3% 12.2% 12.8%
Backlog 567.5 698.4
% Change vs. 2014 (18.7%)
• Cautious NA
rental market
• EU steady,
with some
upside
• Pricing
pressure
• Material cost
offsets
Cranes
• Continued softness in NA
crane market
• Towers stable
• Redesigned Explorer®
gaining acceptance
• Some softening in Utilities
USD Millions
* 473 458 460 363 512 533 499 286 457 375 433 303 446
93%
98%
89%81%
108%
138%
100%
69%97%
98% 95%
76%102%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
140%
160%
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
Q4
'12
Q1
'13
Q2
'13
Q3
'13
Q4
'13
Q1
'14
Q2
'14
Q3
'14
Q4
'14
Q1
'15
Q2
'15
Q3
'15
Q4
'15
Net Bookings Book-to-Bill Ratio
9
Q4'15 Q4'14 FY 15 FY 14
Net Sales 437.3 474.3 1,699.7 1,791.1
% Change vs. 2014 (7.8%) (5.1%)
Operating Profit, as adjusted (1) 18.9 34.6 61.9 85.9
Operating Margin% 4.3% 7.3% 3.6% 4.8%
Operating Profit, as reported 18.9 34.6 57.5 85.9
Operating Margin% 4.3% 7.3% 3.4% 4.8%
Backlog 431.9 538.5
% Change vs. 2014 (19.8%)
(1) See the reconciliations to GAAP provided in the appendix of this presentation.
Material Handling & Port Solutions
USD Millions
• Material Handling market flat,
opportunities with new products
• Growth in mobile harbor cranes
– flattening in ‘16
• Expect growth in gantry cranes
in 2016
10
374 496 393 510 375 398 418 303 354 309 395 335 290
90%
148%
107% 112%
71%
109%
98%
66% 70%
97%
109%
93%
75%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
140%
160%
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
Q4
'12
Q1
'13
Q2
'13
Q3
'13
Q4
'13
Q1
'14
Q2
'14
Q3
'14
Q4
'14
Q1
'15
Q2
'15
Q3
'15
Q4
'15
Net Bookings Book-to-Bill Ratio
Q4'15 Q4'14 FY 15 FY 14
Net Sales 390.0 515.6 1,445.8 1,783.4
% Change vs. 2014 (24.4%) (18.9%)
Operating Profit, as adjusted (1) 18.8 33.3 26.7 57.9
Operating Margin% 4.8% 6.5% 1.8% 3.2%
Operating Loss, as reported (15.9) (31.2) (8.6) (17.2)
Operating Margin% (4.1%) (6.1%) (0.6%) (1.0%)
Backlog 538.7 574.8
% Change vs. 2014 (6.3%)
(1) See the reconciliations to GAAP provided in the appendix of this presentation.
Materials Processing
11
• Accretive acquisitions
• Investing in products
• Persistent weakness in mining
sector remains a headwind
155 168 151 139 159 163 174 144 153 171 135 155 156
103%110%
86%94%
106% 109%
96% 93%98%
119%
81%
99% 95%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
140%
0
40
80
120
160
200
Q4
'12
Q1
'13
Q2
'13
Q3
'13
Q4
'13
Q1
'14
Q2
'14
Q3
'14
Q4
'14
Q1
'15
Q2*
'15
Q3
'15
Q4
'15
Net Bookings Book-to-Bill RatioQ4'15 Q4'14 FY 15 FY 14
Net Sales 164.1 164.4 636.5 653.1
% Change vs. 2014 (0.2%) (2.5%)
Operating Profit, as adjusted (1) 10.9 18.2 60.6 60.6
Operating Margin% 6.6% 11.1% 9.5% 9.3%
Operating Profit, as reported 10.5 18.2 57.1 60.6
Operating Margin% 6.4% 11.1% 9.0% 9.3%
Backlog 54.3 51.4
% Change vs. 2014 5.6%
(1) See the reconciliations to GAAP provided in the appendix of this presentation.
USD Millions
Construction
• German compact market
remains soft
• Growth in NA Concrete
business
USD Millions
237 184 194 139 224 223 183 128 191 198 122 109 162
130%
95% 93%
82%
127%
126%
89%
69%
103%
149%
75%71%
120%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
140%
160%
0
50
100
150
200
250
Q4
'12
Q1
'13
Q2
'13
Q3
'13
Q4
'13
Q1
'14
Q2
'14
Q3
'14
Q4
'14
Q1
'15
Q2
'15
Q3
'15
Q4
'15
Net Bookings Book-to-Bill Ratio
Q4'15 Q4'14 FY 15 FY 14
Net Sales 155.9 206.4 673.6 836.6
% Change vs. 2014 (24.5%) (19.5%)
Operating Profit (Loss) (9.1) 0.6 (10.2) 1.2
Operating Margin% (5.8%) 0.3% (1.5%) 0.1%
Backlog 145.9 137.9
% Change vs. 2014 5.8%
12
2016 Outlook
($ in Millions, except Earnings per Share)
USD Millions
Caution prevails in our markets:
• Commodity prices continue to
decline
• Currency markets remain volatile
• China growth slowing
• Geopolitical uncertainty
Focus on what we can control:
• Investing through the cycle – new
product development
• Manufacturing footprint / supply chain
• General & administrative expenses
• Restructuring actions
13
2016 Segment Outlook
14
($ in Millions, except Earnings per Share)
USD Millions
(1) Reflects the re-segmentation of the Scrap Material Handling business from Construction to MP (approximately
$145 million revenue in 2015) and the Service business from Cranes to MHPS and AWP (approximately $100 million
and $30 million revenue respectively in 2015) and excludes the impact of future acquisitions, divestitures, restructuring
and other unusual items.
Net Sales Operating Profit
Guidance(1) Guidance(1)
AWP Down ~ 15% 10 - 11%
Cranes Down ~ 15% 3.0 - 4.0%
MHPS ~ Flat 2.0 - 2.5%
MP Up ~ 5% 7.5 - 8.5%
Construction Down ~ 15% (1) to (2%)
2016 Outlook
(1) See the reconciliations to GAAP provided in the appendix of this presentation.
(2) Excludes the impact of future acquisitions, divestitures, restructuring and other unusual items.
15
($ in Millions, except Earnings per Share)
USD Millions, except Earnings per Share
2016
As Reported As Adjusted(1) Outlook(2)
Net Sales $6,543 $6,543 Down ~ 10%
Operating Margin 5.4% 6.3% 5.25 - 6.25%
EPS (cont.ops) 1.30 1.84 $1.30 - 1.60
Interest/Other Expense (128.6) (115.7) ~ (105)
Tax Rate 35.7% 30.4% 30 - 32%
Depreciation/Amortization 128.2 128.2 130 - 135
Free Cash Flow 289.6 289.6 200 - 250
Share Count 109.6 109.6 ~ 111
2015
Questions?
16
Appendix
17
Backlog Trend
Backlog shown is less than 12 months
USD Millions
18
$ % $ %
Terex 256 17% (263) (13%)
MP (8) (12%) 3 6%
MHPS (37) (6%) (36) (6%)
Cranes 5 1% (107) (20%)
Constr. 27 22% 8 6%
AWP 269 90% (131) (19%)
Sequential
Change
Year on Year
Change
295
523 418
214
698 699
436 298
567
166
214
188
132
138 204
164
119
146 501
673
661
552
539563
540
427
432
805
879
865
751
575
596
631
576
539
61
75
67
55
51
79
64
62
54
Q4 2013 Q1 2014 Q2 2014 Q3 2014 Q4 2014 Q1 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2015
AWP Construction Cranes MHPS MP
1,835
2,0012,141
1,482
2,3642,199
1,7041,828 1,738
$ %
Terex (157) (8%)
MP 6 12%
MHPS 10 2%
Cranes (79) (15%)
Constr. 13 9%
AWP (107) (15%)
Year on Year
Change
295
523 418
214
698 699
436 298
591 166
214
188
132
138 204
164
119
151 501
673
661
552
539563
540
427
460
805
879
865
751
575
596
631
576
585
61
75
67
55
51
79
64
62
57
Q4 2013 Q1 2014 Q2 2014 Q3 2014 Q4 2014 Q1 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2015
AWP Construction Cranes MHPS MP
1,835
2,0012,141
1,482
2,3642,199
1,7041,828
1,844
Backlog Trend – Currency Neutral
- Currency Neutral
USD Millions
19 Backlog shown is less than 12 months
Q4 2015 Adjustments
20
Net Sales $1,577.7 - - - $1,577.7
Income From Operations 50.8 1.6 4.0 34.7 91.1
Interest Income (Expense) (23.5) - - - (23.5)
Other Income (Expense) (7.0) 4.3 - - (2.7)
Income (Loss) from Cont. Ops before Taxes 20.3 5.9 4.0 34.7 64.9
Benefit from (Provision for) Income Taxes (5.6) (0.9) (0.8) (2.1) (9.4)
Noncontrolling Interest (0.1) - - - (0.1)
Income (Loss) from Continuing Operations $14.6 5.0 3.2 32.6 $55.4
Earnings per Share $0.13 $0.04 $0.03 $0.30 $0.50
Q4 2015
As Adjusted
Goodwill &
Intangible
Impairment
Restructuring &
Related
Merger
Related
Q4 2015
As Reported
USD Millions, except Earnings per Share
FY 2015 Adjustments
21
Net Sales $6,543.1 - - - - $6,543.1
Income From Operations 355.2 1.6 16.4 2.5 34.7 410.4
Interest Income (Expense) (100.3) - - - - (100.3)
Other Income (Expense) (28.3) 12.9 - - - (15.4)
Income (Loss) from Cont. Ops before Taxes 226.6 14.5 16.4 2.5 34.7 294.7
Benefit from (Provision for) Income Taxes (81.0) (1.6) (4.1) (0.9) (2.1) (89.7)
Noncontrolling Interest (3.1) - - - - (3.1)
Income (Loss) from Continuing Operations $142.5 12.9 12.3 1.6 32.6 $201.9
Earnings per Share $1.30 $0.12 $0.11 $0.01 $0.30 $1.84
Product
Campaign
FY 2015
As Adjusted
Goodwill &
Intangible
Impairment
FY 2015
As Reported
Merger
Related
Restructuring &
Related
USD Millions, except Earnings per Share
Q4 2014 Adjustments
22
Q4 2014 Q4 2014
As Reported As Adjusted
Net Sales $1,789.4 - - - $1,789.4
Income From Operations 70.4 31.5 16.2 - 118.1
Interest Income (Expense) (26.4) - - - (26.4)
Other Income (Expense) (4.6) - 2.9 - (1.7)
Income (Loss) from Cont. Ops before Taxes 39.4 31.5 19.1 - 90.0
Benefit from (Provision for) Income Taxes 41.5 (9.7) 0.6 (41.1) (8.7)
Noncontrolling Interest (1.0) - - - (1.0)
Income (Loss) from Continuing Operations $79.9 $21.8 $19.7 ($41.1) $80.3
Earnings per Share $0.71 $0.19 $0.18 ($0.36) $0.72
Net Tax
Impact
Restructuring
& Related
Portfolio
Management
USD Millions, except Earnings per Share
FY 2014 Adjustments
23
FY 2014 FY 2014
As Reported As Adjusted
Net Sales $7,308.9 - - - - $7,308.9
Income From Operations 423.1 - 42.2 16.2 - 481.5
Interest Income (Expense) (112.5) - - - - (112.5)
Other Income (Expense) (13.4) 2.6 - 2.9 - (7.9)
Income (Loss) from Cont. Ops before Taxes 297.2 2.6 42.2 19.1 - 361.1
Benefit from (Provision for) Income Taxes (37.7) (0.9) (13.0) 0.6 (41.1) (92.1)
Noncontrolling Interest (0.5) - - - - (0.5)
Income (Loss) from Continuing Operations $259.0 $1.7 $29.2 $19.7 ($41.1) $268.5
Earnings per Share $2.27 $0.01 $0.26 $0.17 ($0.36) $2.35
Net Tax
ImpactDebt
Restructuring
and Related
Portfolio
Management
USD Millions, except Earnings per Share
2015 Adjusted OP by Segment
USD Millions
24
Q4 2015 Q4 2015 FY 2015 FY 2015
As Reported As Adjusted As Reported As Adjusted
AWP 42.7 - 42.7 269.3 - 269.3
Cranes 18.9 - 18.9 57.5 4.4 61.9
MHPS (15.9) 34.7 18.8 (8.6) 35.3 26.7
MP 10.5 0.4 10.9 57.1 3.5 60.6
Construction (9.1) - (9.1) (10.2) - (10.2)
Corporate 3.7 5.2 8.9 (9.9) 12.0 2.1
Consolidated 50.8 40.3 91.1 355.2 55.2 410.4
Adjustments Adjustments
2014 Adjusted OP by Segment
USD Millions
25
Q4 2014 Q4 2014 FY 2014 FY 2014
As Reported As Adjusted As Reported As Adjusted
AWP 38.7 - 38.7 302.8 - 302.8
Cranes 34.6 - 34.6 85.9 - 85.9
MHPS (31.2) 64.4 33.2 (17.2) 75.1 57.9
MP 18.2 - 18.2 60.6 - 60.6
Construction 0.6 - 0.6 1.2 - 1.2
Corporate 9.5 (16.7) (7.2) (10.2) (16.7) (26.9)
Consolidated 70.4 47.7 118.1 423.1 58.4 481.5
Adjustments Adjustments