Q3 2015 investors presentation 20 october 2015

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ASSA ABLOY is the global leader in door opening solutions, dedicated to satisfying end-user needs for security, safety and convenience Q3 Report 2015 Johan Molin President and CEO

Transcript of Q3 2015 investors presentation 20 october 2015

ASSA ABLOY is the global leader in door opening solutions, dedicated to satisfying end-user needs for security, safety and convenience

Q3 Report 2015 Johan Molin President and CEO

Financial highlights Q3 2015

Continued positive development – Strong growth in Americas, EMEA and Entrance – Flat in Global tech – Negative in APAC due to weak Chinese market

Sales 17,465 MSEK +19% 3% organic, 4% acquired growth, 12% currency

EBIT 2,970 MSEK +19% Currency effect 238 MSEK

EPS 1.86 SEK +18% Underlying tax rate 26%

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Financial highlights Jan-Sept 2015

A strong year – Strong growth in Americas, Global Tech and Entrance – Good growth in EMEA – Negative growth in APAC due to China

Sales 49,799 MSEK +21% 4% organic, 3% acquired growth, 14% currency

EBIT 8,041 MSEK +22% Currency effect 789 MSEK

EPS 5.02 SEK +23% Underlying tax rate 26%

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Market highlights Multiple innovation awards at ASIS

– Quantum Secure Predictive security, – Active ID Tap – Aperio cabinet lock for data servers – Ecopower supply, EcoFlex electrified mortise Lock

US Green Card program – Contract of 88 MUSD over five-year period

Accentra, solution for multi family-housing – Comprehensive cloud-based el-mech solution

– Access from anywhere and real-time trace and tracking

Google’s NEST partners with Yale

Google’s NEST partners with Yale

Seamlessly connected to Google’s NEST

Passcodes for family, friends & visitors

Cloud based and managed through apps

Real time track and trace

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Group sales in local currencies Jan-Sep 2015

2 +24

39 +7 17 +9

4 +7

1 +8

Share of Group sales 2015 YTD, % Year-to-date vs previous year, %

37 +5

Emerging markets 25% (24) of sales

-15-12-9-6-30369121518212427

31 00034 00037 00040 00043 00046 00049 00052 00055 00058 00061 00064 00067 000

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Growth %Sales MSEK

Organic Growth Acquired Growth Sales in Fixed Currencies

Sales growth, currency adjusted

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2015 Q3 +7% Organic +3% Acquired +4%

Operating income (EBIT), MSEK

4 5005 0005 5006 0006 5007 0007 5008 0008 5009 0009 50010 00010 50011 000

1 000

1 200

1 400

1 600

1 800

2 000

2 200

2 400

2 600

2 800

3 000

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

12-monthsQuarter

Quarter Rolling 12-months

Run rate 10,722 MSEK (8,777) +22%

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12

13

14

15

16

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2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

EBIT Margin

Quarter Rolling 12-months2015 Acquisitions Currency

Q3 -0.1% -0.3% 2015 -0.1% -0.3%

Operating margin, %

Run rate 2015 16.3% (16.2)

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Manufacturing footprint

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Status manufacturing footprint programs 2006-2013: – 72 factories closed to date, 6 to go – 84 factories converted to assembly, 25 to go – 39 offices closed, 10 to go

Total personnel reduction in Q3: – 510 FTE and total 10,269 FTE

1,000 FTE to go for all programs

711 MSEK of the provision remains for all programs

Margin highlights Q3 2015

EBIT margin 17.0% (17.0) 0.0%

+ Volume increase 1.5%, price 1.5%

+ Margin flat +0.0% + Organic growth + Manufacturing footprint & other programs - Currency -0.3% - Acquisitions -0.1%

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Acquisitions 2015

Fully active pipeline

11 acquisitions done in 2015

Annualized sales (1 850 MSEK)

Added sales 3.3%

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Nergeco, France

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Turnover of 350 MSEK with 150 employees

High-speed door company, with complementary products

Market leader in Southern Europe

Strengthens service offering

Accretive to EPS

23%

SALES share of

Group total %

Division – EMEA

Continues strong growth in Scandinavia, Finland and Eastern Europe

Good growth in Africa, Italy, Iberia and Israel

Growth in UK

Negative in Benelux and France

Price increases implemented

Operating margin (EBIT) + Organic +5%

+ Savings & efficiency

- Dilution from acq -0.3%

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13141516171819

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

EBIT %

Division - Americas

Strong growth in AHW, Elmech, Canada, Mexico and South America

Good growth in Residential

Flat in Doors

Slightly negative in High security

Operating margin (EBIT)

+ Organic +6%

+ Efficiency

- Dilution from acq -0.3%

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19

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2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

EBIT %

23%

SALES share of

Group total %

Division - Asia Pacific

Strong growth in New Zealand, South Asia and North Asia

Growth in Australia

Continued decline in China – Efficiency measures mitigate profit pressure

Operating margin (EBIT) - Organic -3%

+ Personnel reduction in China -9%

+ Positive sales mix

+ Currency and acq +0.2%

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10

12

14

16

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2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

EBIT %

16%

SALES share of

Group total %

Division - Global Technologies

HID – Strong growth in IDT (inlays) and Quantum secure

– Good growth in PACS, SI and IDA

– Flat in Project sales

– Strong decline in Gov-Id and BIO solutions

Hospitality – Strong growth

– Strong profit

Operating margin (EBIT) - Organic 0%

- Negative mix

- Dilution from acq -0.6%

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1415161718192021

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

EBIT %

12%

SALES share of

Group total %

Division - Entrance Systems Strong growth in Industrial EU, High Speed Doors and

4Front

Good growth in Amarr

Growth in Door automatics and Flexiforce

Flat in Ditec and Residential EU

Strongly improving efficiency

Operating margin (EBIT) + Organic +6%

+ Consolidation effects

- Dilution from acq -0.1%

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1112131415161718

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

EBIT %

26%

SALES share of

Group total %

ASSA ABLOY is the global leader in door opening solutions, dedicated to satisfying end-user needs for security, safety and convenience

Q3 Report 2015 Carolina Dybeck Happe CFO

ASSA ABLOY is the global leader in door opening solutions, dedicated to satisfying end-user needs for security, safety and convenience

Financial highlights Q3 2015

MSEK 2014 2015 Change 2014 2015 Change

Sales 14,727 17,465 +19% 40,996 49,799 +21% Whereof Organic growth +3% +4% Acquired growth +4% +3% FX-differences +1,661 +12% +5,561 +14% Operating income (EBIT) 2,499 2,970 +19% 6,575 8,041 +22% EBIT-margin (%) 17.0 17.0 16.0 16.1 Operating cash flow 2,249 2,816 +25% 4,769 5,327 +12% EPS (SEK) 1.57 1.86 +18% 4.09 5.02 +23%

3rd Quarter Nine months

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Bridge Analysis – Jul-Sep 2015

MSEK 2014

Jul-Sep

Organic Currency Acq/Div 2015

Jul-Sep

3% 12% 4% 19%

Sales 14,727 471 1,661 606 17,465

EBIT 2,499 152 238 81 2,970

% 17.0% 32.2% 14.3% 13.3% 17.0%

Dilution / Accretion 0.4% -0.3% -0.1%

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P&L Components as % of sales Jan – Sep 2015

Direct material 36.1% 36.4% 36.6%

Conversion costs 25.2% 24.6% 24.5%

Gross Margin 38.7% 39.0% 38.9%

S, G & A 22.7% 22.8% 22.8%

EBIT 16.0% 16.2% 16.1%

2015 YTD excl

acquisitions

2014 YTD

2015 YTD

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Operating cash flow, MSEK

4 5005 0005 5006 0006 5007 0007 5008 0008 5009 0009 50010 00010 500

0

500

1 000

1 500

2 000

2 500

3 000

3 500

4 000

4 500

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

12-monthsQuarter

Quarter Cash Rolling 12-months EBT Rolling 12 months

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Gearing % and net debt MSEK

0

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40

60

80

100

120

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10 000

15 000

20 000

25 000

30 000

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

GearingNet Debt

Net debt Gearing

Debt/Equity 63 (68)

Net debt/EBITDA 2.1 (2.3)

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*) 2008-2011 Not restated for changed pension accounting principles.

Earnings per share, SEK

2,002,503,003,504,004,505,005,506,006,507,00

0,40

0,60

0,80

1,00

1,20

1,40

1,60

1,80

2,00

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

12-monthsQuarter SEK

Quarter Rolling 12-months

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Restated for Stock split 3:1 2015.

Stock split 2015 3:1

ASSA ABLOY is the global leader in door opening solutions, dedicated to satisfying end-user needs for security, safety and convenience

Q3 Report 2015 Johan Molin President and CEO

Conclusions Q3 2015

Strong growth by 19% with 3% organic

Emerging markets 25% (24) Strong EBIT +19% Strong EPS +18% Strong Cash flow +25%

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ASSA ABLOY is the global leader in door opening solutions, dedicated to satisfying end-user needs for security, safety and convenience

Q&A