PV output fluctuates (80% dropouts in 5 sec) TEP will have 250 MW of PV by 2013
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• PV output fluctuates (80% dropouts in 5 sec) • TEP will have 250 MW of PV by 2013 • TEP needs forecasts to ramp up generators • No forecasts are good enough yet The Problem: Our Solutions: • Advanced Numerical Weather Model • Irradiance Network and Velocity Model • Cloud movie analysis
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The Problem:. PV output fluctuates (80% dropouts in 5 sec) TEP will have 250 MW of PV by 2013 TEP needs forecasts to ramp up generators No forecasts are good enough yet. Our Solutions:. Advanced Numerical Weather Model Irradiance Network and Velocity Model Cloud movie analysis. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Transcript of PV output fluctuates (80% dropouts in 5 sec) TEP will have 250 MW of PV by 2013
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PV output fluctuates (80% dropouts in 5 sec)TEP will have 250 MW of PV by 2013TEP needs forecasts to ramp up generatorsNo forecasts are good enough yetThe Problem:Our Solutions:Advanced Numerical Weather ModelIrradiance Network and Velocity ModelCloud movie analysis
AC Power (kW)The Problem:ACC Regulations require Big Solar. Now Utility Operators need Forecasts.Aug 9Aug 10time
Our Solution #1
Numerical WeatherModel Forecast
Good for:2-hr averages40 hours in advance100 Rooftops +Wind Forecast
Good for:10 minute detail1-2 hours in advance
Our Solution #2
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23570 MW DG5121035506.43425Distribution of ~280 MW