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Transcript of PuntadelEste, November19th, Romania South Africa Canada Portugal Australia Russia Argentine Spain UK

  • Punta del Este, November 19th, 2018

    State of the Vitiviniculture

    World Market

    Jean-Marie Aurand

    Director General © OIV

  • Topics

     Potential of viticultural production

     Production of grapes

     Production of wine

     Consumption of wine

     International wine trade

    © OIV

  • Vineyard Surface Area

    © OIV

  • The Potential of Viticultural Production

    *Vineyards destined for the production of all type of grapes, both bearing and non-bearing.

    © OIV

    7,0

    7,2

    7,4

    7,6

    7,8

    8,0

    8,2

    million ha

    Evolution of the world area under vines*

    Since 2014 world vineyards have stabilised at around 7.5 million hectares

    7.5 million ha in 2017

  • 5 countries represent half of world

    vineyard

    Vineyards Surface Area*

    Spain

    13%

    China

    12%

    France

    10%

    Italy

    9%Turkey

    6%

    Rest of

    the

    world

    50%

    *Vineyards destined for the production of all type grapes, both bearing and non-bearing

  • Vineyard Surface Area Trends, 2000-2017

     Surface area decreases

    mainly concentrate in

    Europe, Turkey and Iran

     Significant growth of

    Chinese vineyard area

     Stabilisation in the USA and

    the majority of countries in

    the Southern Hemisphere

    Since 2000:

    © OIV

    967 870

    786 699

    448 441

    0

    400

    800

    1 200

    thousand ha

    223 222 215 194 191 145 142 140 131 125 106 103

    0

    100

    200

    300

    400

    thousand ha

  • Grapes Production

    © OIV

  • Major grapes producers (all uses)

    Since 2000:

     Consistent growth in

    mainly table grape

    producing countries such

    as China, India, Egypt and

    Uzbekistan

     Decreasing trend or

    stabilations in traditional

    wine making countries

    such as Italy, France, and

    Spain

    13,7

    6,9 6,7

    5,5 5,0

    4,2

    2,6 2,2 2,1 2,1

    0

    2

    4

    6

    8

    10

    12

    14

    16

    China Italy USA France Spain Turkey India Australia South Africa

    Argentina

    million tons

    2,0

    1,9 1,7 1,7 1,2

    1,0 1,0 1,0 0,9

    0

    1

    2

    3

    4

    Chile Iran Brazil Egypt Uzbekistan Germany Romania Greece Portugal

    million tons

    Trend 2000-2017

  • GrapeMajor grape producers in 2017

    Uruguay is the 48th grape producing

    country in the world

    96,2%

    3,8%

  • GrapeWhat happens to the 73.3 million tons of grapes harvested in 2017?

    © OIV

  • Wine Production

    © OIV

  • World Production of Wine

    With a 13% increase comprared to 2017, wine production (excluding juice & musts) in

    2018 is estimated to be one of the highest since 2000

    © OIV

    220

    240

    260

    280

    300

    320

    2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

    Prov.

    2018

    Prel.

    million hl

    279 million hl preliminary estimate for 2018

  • 63% of wine is produced in 5 countries

    Wine Production in 2018

    Italy

    18%

    France

    17%

    Spain

    15%USA

    9% Argentina

    5%

    Rest of

    the world

    37%

    * Figure for 2017

  • Top 10 Wine Producers

    In 2018:

     High production levels in major producing countries in Europe and the Americas

     Average production levels in Oceania and South Africa

    *Five-year Olympic average

    ** 2018 Figure not yet available © OIV

    48,5 46,4

    40,9

    23,9

    14,5 12,9 12,5 9,8 9,5

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    Italy France Spain USA Argentina China ** Chile Australia Germany South Africa

    98-02* 03-07* 08-12* 13-17* Forecast 2018

  • Wine Consumption

    © OIV

  • World Wine Consumption

    244 million hl

    in 2017

     Global wine consumption has quasi-stabilised after the economic crisis of 2008 at around 240-245 mhl

     Positive trend since 2014 mainly driven by the increase in wine consumption in Asia and in Western Europe

    © OIV

    200

    220

    240

    260

    2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

    Prov.

    million hl

  • Top 10 Wine Consumers

    In 2017:

     USA continues to increase its consumption and confirms its place as the world’s largest consumer

     Consumption increased slightly in Italy and in China

     Consumption quasi stable in France, Germany, UK and Spain

    © OIV

    32,6

    27,0

    22,6 20,1

    17,9

    12,7 10,5

    8,9 8,9 5,9

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    USA France Italy Germany China UK Spain Argentina Russia Australia

    million hl

    Trend 2000-2017

  • World Wine Consumption

    5 five countries consume half of the world’s wine

  • 1,5

    2,0

    3,2

    7,5

    11,2

    12,4

    15,3

    16,0

    23,4

    24,0

    24,5

    24,8

    26,4

    26,8

    28,2

    28,9

    28,9

    30,0

    31,6

    32,2

    37,0

    44,0

    50,7

    58,8

    China

    Brazil

    Japan

    Russia

    South Africa

    USA

    Chile

    Canada

    UK

    Greece

    Netherlands

    Romania

    Spain

    Argentine

    Germany

    Sweden

    Hungary

    Australia

    Belgium

    Austria

    Switzerrland

    Italy

    France

    Portugal

    Per capita (+15) consumption litres per capita

    © OIV

    Wine Consumption in 2017

    2,2

    2,3

    2,4

    2,4

    2,4

    2,7

    3,0

    3,3

    3,5

    3,5

    4,1

    4,5

    4,9

    5,2

    5,9

    8,9

    8,9

    10,5

    12,7

    17,9

    20,1

    22,6

    27,0

    32,6

    Chile

    Greece

    Sweden

    Hungary

    Austria

    Switzerrland

    Belgium

    Brazil

    Netherlands

    Japan

    Romania

    South Africa

    Canada

    Portugal

    Australia

    Russia

    Argentine

    Spain

    UK

    China

    Germany

    Italy

    France

    USA

    Total consumption millions hl

    Breakdown of these

    countries by consumption

    per capita

  • OIV Focus 2018

    Industrial Use of Wine

  • Focus 2018

    Industrial use of wine

    Why this report? Understand the breakdown of the ~12%(~33 Mhl) of wine produced and utilised industrially each year

    What is the industrial use of wine? Industrial use of wine is intended to be a transformation of wine (eg. distillation, acetic fermentation, modification

    of compounds, etc.)

    Products covered  wine distillate, wine spirits, brandy

     aromatised wines, wine based beverages

     wine vinegars

  • Focus 2018 Industrial use of wine

    Objective of the study

     To provide information on various industrial outputs of wine production

     To improve each country’s vitivinicultural balance sheet, making detailed analyses of its wine utilization

     First attempt to evaluate at world level the market of industrial products derived from wine (such as vermouth, brandy, wine based beverages, etc.)

    Wine

    Direct human

    consumption

    Transformation

     Distillation of wine

     Wine distillate

     Wine spirits

     Brandy/Weinbrand

     Alcohols not intended for human

    consumption

     Modification of

    compounds

     Acetic fermentation

     Incorporation in other

    products

     Wine based beverages

     Aromatised wines (vermouth)

     Beverage obtained by (or partial)

    dealcoholisation of wine

     Wine vinegars

     Jam, sauces, sauerkraut

  • International Trade

    of Wine

    © OIV

  • Increase of 3.9%/2016 by volume (108 mhl)

    Increase of 5.1%/2016 by value (30 bn EUR)

    Global Wine Trade

    © OIV

    60 65 68 73

    77 79 84 89 90 88

    96 103 103 102 104 106 104 108

    50

    90

    130

    mhl Volume

    12 12 15 15 15 16

    18 20 20 18 21 23

    25 26 26 28 29 30

    5

    15

    25

    35

    bn EUR Value

    Bottle

    57%

    Sparkling

    8%

    Bulk

    35%

    Trade volume by type of product in %

    2017

    Bottle 72%

    Sparking

    19%

    Bulk

    8%

    Tarde value by type of product in %

    2017

  • Prin