Puget Sound basin dynamics, what a concentration ...

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Puget Sound basin dynamics, what a concentration represents, and mechanisms for nutrient fluxes Jan Newton University of Washington APL and WOAC Al Devol, John Mickett, Wendi Ruef, Mark Warner, and many technicians over the years

Transcript of Puget Sound basin dynamics, what a concentration ...

Page 1: Puget Sound basin dynamics, what a concentration ...

Puget Sound basin dynamics, what a concentration represents,

and mechanisms for nutrient fluxes

Jan NewtonUniversity of Washington APL and WOAC

Al Devol, John Mickett, Wendi Ruef, Mark Warner, and many technicians over the years

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Puget Sound Chesapeake Bay

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e

Newton, Stormer, UW-COFS; Data source: NGDC

Bathymetry

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0 meters

200 meters

Puget Sound

is fjord-like;

a glacial-cut

estuarine

system

• It is deep

• Its nearshore

is narrow

Newton, Stormer, UW-COFS; Data source: NGDC

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Implications of a steep nearshore for

the ecosystem:

• It is only a narrow “fringe” of nearshore

habitat that supports many species at some

point in their life cycle

• Because narrow, we have less ‘leeway’

regarding destruction of nearshore habitat

• Removing or degrading a portion of the

nearshore habitat in Puget Sound does not

have the same proportional effect on the

living system as in a shallow, flat estuaryPhoto: PSAT 2004 State of Sound

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0 meters

200 meters

Puget Sound is deep, with strong tides, but sills too

Newton, Stormer, UW-COFS; Data source: NGDC

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Puget Sound circulation is retentive

TacomaStrait of Juan de Fuca

Sill

Stormer, UW; Data source: The Sound CD-ROM” UW-APL, WA Sea Grant, 1997

“reflux”

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Implications of reflux for ecosystem:

• Inputs to Puget Sound stay around for a long

time…

– Long-lasting effects that can be

de-coupled from source elimination

• Biota in Puget Sound have a high degree of

residency

• Both good and bad: this is why Puget Sound is

highly productive, but also highly retentive of

contaminants

Photos: PSAT 2004 State of Sound

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Ebbesmeyer

et al., 1984

BASINS AND SILLS

PSAMP, 2002

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Puget Sound Basins

Source: Puget Sound Partnership

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Puget Sound Tidal Range

Finlayson, 2006

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river

ocean

Estuarine circulation

Buoyant river water flows out of an estuary on surface,

dense ocean water flows in at depth, but there is mixing,

and sills cause “reflux” of water back in to an estuary.

Thomson, 1994

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fast

medium slow

medium

slow

very slow

Residence Times (relative)

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Basins

• Hood Canal: slow circulation, strong stratification

• Main Basin: fastest circulation, strong mixing

• Whidbey Basin: most freshwater input

• South Sound: strong mixing in some locations, slower circulation

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“The many faces of Puget Sound”By Eric Sorensen

Seattle Times science reporter; Monday, June 25, 2001

“Here's how some of the Sound's personalities work:

• The South Sound is so dynamic, with channels and inlets of varying depth, that different samplings show wildly different profiles.

• The Whidbey Basin off Everett is wonderfully productive in its top layer to the point where the phytoplankton below 30 feet is shaded out by the phytoplankton above and the incoming sediment of the many rivers. In the lower levels, ocean water can linger and last as long as a year.

• The north part of the Sound's main basin is well-mixed, with strong tides and sills turning the water regularly.

• The southern part of the basin is more stable, letting phytoplankton develop more easily.

• Hood Canal has so much phytoplankton that it goes off the researchers' graphs. It's also less turbulent, with upper layers letting the waters warm so much that by midsummer temperatures can top 70º F. By comparison, what's 48º F in Friday Harbor in November will be 48º F in June.”

http://community.seattletimes.nwsource.com/archive/?date=20010625&slug=pugetsound25m0

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Thomson, 1994

Oceanic control is strong

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Emmett, et al., 2000

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Emmett, et al., 2000

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WARM

COLD

temperature salinity determine density

FRESH

SALTY

+

less dense

more dense“thermocline”

or “pycnocline”

Water StructureWater Structure

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WARM

FRESH

COLD

SALTY

“stratified” “mixed”

Density structure can be two different ways:

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Lo nutrient Hi oxygen

Phytoplankton present

Hi nutrient Lo oxygen

No phytoplankton

And more things vary than just temp. and salinity:

Phytoplankton present

No phytoplankton

{ CO2 + H2O C(H2O) + O2 }

sunlight

nutrientsPhotosynthesis

Respiration

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Basins

• Hood Canal: slow circulation, strong stratification

• Main Basin: fastest circulation, strong mixing

• Whidbey Basin: most freshwater input

• South Sound: strong mixing in some locations, slower circulation

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4625

3225

3412

2900

2360

19832340

2186

1500

~3000

~2000

n=19

n=19

n=5 x 80

n=30

n=8

Primary Production

(mg C m-2 d-1)

>1000-2000

>2000-3000

>3000-4000

>4000-5000

Newton et al., 2000

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127

67

48

27

3041

Chlorophyll a

(mg chl m-2)

<30

>30-50

>50-70

>70

32

Newton et al., 2000

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-31/372

29/50

85/77

0/0

64/1159/54

(P / B) percent

increase

compared to SJF

<10

>10-50

>50-100

>100

5/19

Newton et al., 2000

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What makes Puget Sound unique?

• 2nd largest estuary in the US, one of most productive in the world

• Deep, glacial fjord average depth 62.5m, max ~280m: • Chesapeake Bay average depth 6.4m

• San Francisco Bay average 7.6 m, max 30.5m

• Large tidal exchange: 3-4m

• Ocean-dominated salinity: Puget Sound 83% seawater vs 50% seawater for Chesapeake Bay

• Distinct basins

Source: Puget Sound 2015 Fact book, Puget Sound Institute

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Problems

• Not all basins work the same, so our

monitoring needs to be distributed.

• Within a basin, there can be strong spatial

variation

• Can be strong temporal variation

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High variability

370 profiles

in July 2008

Representativeness critical to understanding change in highly dynamic environment.

Sensor drift was found to vary 10% for the ORCA buoy oxygen sensors over one month. Using

samples from monthly versus every 6 hours intervals was found to account for 50-300% variation

or error, based on Monte Carlo sub-sampling simulations of 6-h frequency data (Devol et al.2007). Devol & Ruef

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Strong spatial variationL

atitu

de

N

Longitude W

Oct 08

Surface maps of dissolved oxygen and

chlorophyll concentrations around the ORCA

mooring in April 2007.

Note correlations of concentration fields.

Distance (m) Distance (m)

Dis

tan

ce (

m)

Distance (m) Distance (m)

Dis

tan

ce (

m)

DO chl

Devol & Ruef

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Problems

• Not all basins work the same, so our

monitoring needs to be distributed.

• Within a basin, there can be strong spatial

variation

• Can be strong temporal variation

• What does a nutrient concentration really

mean?

• Do we understand the system?

• How will things be changing?

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Nutrients & Chlorophyll

• Low nutrients could indicate lack of

phytoplankton (persistence of lack of

nutrients, thus low biomass)

• Low nutrients could indicate a bloom

(sudden uptake of nutrients with high

biomass)

• High nutrients could indicate eutrophication

• High nutrients could indicate upwelling

• High nutrients could indicate lack of

sunlight and slow growth

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“In general, the symptoms contributing most to high eutrophic

conditions were elevated levels of chlorophyll a, coupled with various

combinations of macroalgal abundance, nuisance/toxic algal blooms,

and low dissolved oxygen. High chlorophyll a concentrations is also a

fairly common natural condition in some North Pacific estuaries due

to naturally occurring seasonal blooms.”

Bricker, S.B., et al., 1999

“These particular

systems are influenced

by inflows of upwelled

oceanic water which is

low in dissolved oxygen,

and therefore contributes

to dissolved oxygen

problems which might

otherwise be attributed

to human influence.”

Bricker et al., 2007

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?

Differences between Hood Canal

and Puget Sound

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Near Admiralty InletWithin Hood Canal

“ORCA” buoy data

Devol, Ruef (UW)

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Water quality impacts from

eutrophication• Dependent on stratification

no light

no nutrients

Stratified: Well-mixed:

O2 debt

Spri

ng:

Su

mm

er:

no light

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32

28

13

10

159

4

1115

% increase in

integrated prod’n

<5

>5-15

>15-25

>25-35

Newton et al., 2000

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32/

79

28/78

13/17

10/16

15/209/14

4/11

11/

15215/

51

% increase in

integrated /

surface prod’n

<5 / <10

>5-15 / >10-30

>15-25 / >30-50

>25-35 / >50-70

>35 / >70

Newton et al., 2000

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Hood Canal Vertical stratification strong

0

20

40

60

80

0 20 40 60

0

20

40

60

80

0 50 100

Chl a (ug/L)

21 Oct 1999

18 Aug 1999

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Jan Feb Mar Apr May SepAugJulJun DecNovOctJan Feb Mar Apr May SepAugJulJun DecNovOct

Annual cycle

2006

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-100

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

Perc

en

t in

cre

ase in

su

rface p

rod

ucti

on

Admiralty

Central Hood

South Hood

Hood Canal

Newton et al., 2000

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South Sound Phytoplankton blooms appear spatially

variable and dynamicSurface chl Surface NO3

Albertson et al., 2002

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-100

0

100

200

300

400

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

Perc

en

t in

cre

ase in

su

rface p

rod

ucti

on

Carr

Nisqually

Case

Hammersley

Totten

South Sound

Newton et al., 2000

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Effect of nutrient spike

-1000

-500

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

O-9

8

J-9

9

M-9

9

M-9

9

J-9

9

A-9

9

S-9

9

O-9

9

J-0

0

M-0

0

M-0

0

J-0

0

J-0

0

A-0

0

S-0

0

De

lta

Pro

du

ctio

n

(mg C

m-2

d-1

)Point Wells Admiralty Inlet West Point

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

S-9

8

D-9

8

A-9

9

J-9

9

O-9

9

F-0

0

M-0

0

A-0

0

N-0

0

Pro

du

cti

on

(mg

C m

-2 d

-1)

Main Basin Strong temporal variability

Nakata & Newton 2004

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-100

0

100

200

300

400

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

Perc

en

t in

cre

ase i

n s

urf

ace p

rod

ucti

on West Point

Point Wells

Admiralty Inlet

Possession Sound

Main Basin

Newton et al., 2000

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Regional patterns

• Hood Canal: 1.0 - 1.5 kg C m-2 y-1

– highest P, B, ~ constant nutrient sensitivity

• South Sound: 0.7 - 1.1 kg C m-2 y-1

– high and variable P, B, nutrient sensitivity

• Main Basin: 0.8 kg C m-2 y-1

– dynamic and moderate P, B, variable nutrient

sensitivity

• Strait of Juan de Fuca: 0.5 kg C m-2 y-1

– lowest P, B, strong ocean influence

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Problems

• Not all basins work the same, so our

monitoring needs to be distributed.

• Within a basin, there can be strong spatial

variation

• Can be strong temporal variation

• What does a nutrient concentration really

mean?

• Do we understand the system?

• How will things be changing?

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Sources of N to Puget Sound

• Land

– ground water

– surface water: rivers, streams, storm water, etc.

– point sources: sewage, industrial

• Water

– recycled from consumers: zpk, fish, benthos, etc.

– flux from marine sediments

– import from other marine areas: ocean, etc.

• Air

– atmospheric nitrogen equilibrium with water

– rain

– fallout of particles

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Ocean

Atmosphere

Groundwater

Rivers

Surface

? %

? %

? %

? %

? %

? %‘Storage’

Benthic ? %

Watershed? %

Upward flux to photic zone ? %

Load estimates:

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20 -

40 -

60 -

0-

Lower Hood Canal

3.2

Freshwater input

(incl. 2.4 from septics)

9.5

Denitrification

removal

40

84 Transport in*

28.5 Transport out*

9 dNO3/dt

Union Belfair

Lower Hood Canal N-Budget (Mt/mo; JJAS):

39.5

dPN/dt

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Concentration x flow = flux !

Nitrate Currents

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The answer you get depends on how you sample…

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Ocean

Atmosphere

Groundwater

Rivers

Surface

? %

? %

? %

? %

? %

? %‘Storage’

Benthic ? %

Watershed? %

Upward flux to photic zone ? %

Load estimates:

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Respiration and Decay (R) : [O2]

CH2O + O2 CO2 + H2O + nutrients

Photosynthesis (P) : [O2]

CO2 + H2O + nutrients CH2O + O2

Nutrients

Str

atif

icat

ion

Devol 2003

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Photosynthesis (P) : [O2]

CO2 + H2O + nutrients CH2O + O2

Respiration and Decay (R) : [O2]

CH2O + O2 CO2 + H2O + nutrients

Nutrients

Str

atif

icat

ion

Photosynthesis (P) : [O2]

CO2 + H2O + nutrients CH2O + O2

Devol 2003

Euphoti

c zo

ne

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Problems

• Not all basins work the same, so our

monitoring needs to be distributed.

• Within a basin, there can be strong spatial

variation

• Can be strong temporal variation

• What does a nutrient concentration really

mean?

• Do we understand the system?

• How will things be changing?

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Monthly solar radiation SeaTac airport (48N)

Ebbesmeyer

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Variation in spring bloomN2

Chlorophyll

Solar

2005 2006 2007

Ruef

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Interannual

variation

Eisner et al., 1997

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PNW estuaries

have strong

influence from

climate

Global influence on:

ocean conditions

watershed conditions

local weather

NASA SeaWiFS

Image

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<0%

0-30%

30-49%

50-69%

>70%

Percent change instratification

(10-y mean – Oct 00-Sep 01/10-y mean)

Mean = 56%

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Joint Effort to Monitor the Strait (JEMS)

JEMS line

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fresher,

warmer water

from Puget

Sound and

Georgia

Basin flowing

outcolder, salty

water from

Pacific Ocean

flowing in

North

Canada

South

U.S.A.

Flow in Strait of Juan de Fuca:

Thomson, 1994

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S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A

0

20

40

60

80

100

Dep

th (

m)

Geostrophic Velocity (cm/s)

-60

-50

-50

-40

-40

-40

-30

-30

-30

-30

-20 -20

-20

-20

-20

-20

-20 -2

0

-20

-20

-20

-10

-10 -1

0

-10

-10

-10

-10

-10

-10

-10

-10

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

2000 2001 2002

Geostrophic Velocity (cm/sec)Low River Flow

Weak Density

Gradient

Decreased

Outflow

Velocity

Water stays in

Puget Sound

longerFour-fold difference in speed

of inland water outflow.

(this means how fast the water flows

out the Strait)

Newton et al., 2003

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Conclusions

• Drought period increased the salinity of estuarine waters, leading to higher density surface layer and weaker stratification.

• Higher salinity surface waters with weaker vertical density gradient result in decreased outflow velocity and longer residence timein estuary.

• Implications for oxygen, phytoplankton blooms, trophic transfer, and transport or retention of larvae, species, and pollutants need further investigation.

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Deep Salinity:

Precipitation:

wet dry wet

Carr @ 35 m Twanoh @ 25 m

Ruef et al., 2017 Marine Waters Overview

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Solutions?

• More focus on mechanisms

– Fluxes

• Sustain long-term monitoring

– Plankton, rates

• Keep finding time for analysis

– Including models

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Thank you !