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HHUNTERSVILLE PPOLICE

DDEPARTMENT 9630 Julian Clark Ave P.O. Box 664 Huntersville, N.C.

28070

(704) 464-5400 Fax (704) 947-9200Philip K. Potter, CLEE

Chief of Police

MONTHLY CRIME BULLETIN

Burglary

September 2012

Activity Summary:

There were fifteen(15) burglaries reported in September 2012. There were twenty(20) burglaries reported

during the same timeframe in 2011. This is a 25% decrease from 2011 to 2012.

Eleven (11), or73%, of theincidents involved residentiallocations.

Ten (10) incidents, or67%, involved unforced entry.

Four (4) incidents,or27%, were discovered on a Sunday.

Five (5) incidents, or33%, were discovered between the hours of0800 1159 and five (5) were discovered

between the hours of2000 - 2359.

Eight (8) incidents are openfor further investigation, three (3) have been closed with leads exhausted and

four (4) have been closed due to victim refusal to cooperate.

Historically, HPD has an average of 20 burglaries during the month of September with a current threshold of 14 to 26.

This September, we were withinthethreshold with 15 reported burglaries.

Forecast for October:The average number of burglaries for the month of October is 17 plus or minus 4. By the end of October, there is a68% chance HPD will have received between 13 and 21 reported burglaries.

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15Burglaries Reported in September 2012

A map of the incidents is unavailable at this time.

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September 2012

Geographic Analysis

Incidents per Reporting Tract Number of Crimes per Location

Incidents by Response Area

d b

Location # % of totalCommercial 1 7%

Residential 11 73%

School 1 7%

Construction Site 2 13%

Hotel 0 0%

15 100%

Tract # % of total

A1 1 7%

A2 1 7%

A3 0 0%

A4 0 0%

A5 1 7%

B1 4 27%

B2 1 7%

B3 2 13%B4 0 0%

C1 0 0%

C2 1 7%

C3 0 0%

C4 0 0%

C5 1 7%

C6 0 0%

D1 0 0%D2 1 7%

D3 0 0%

D4 0 0%

D5 2 13%

D6 0 0%

15 100%

Beat # % of

total

East 1 1 7%

East 2 6 40%

East 3 3 20%

West 1 2 13%

West 2 1 7%

West 3 2 13%

15 100%

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Temporal Analysis

# of Incident/Day at Found Time Crimes Found by 4hr Intervals

Modus Operandi Analysis

Forced or Non-forced Entries Method of Entry

Entry Type # % of total

Forced 5 33%

Unforced 10 67%Unknown 0 0%

15 100%

Day # % Total

Sunday 4 27%

Monday 3 20%

Tuesday 0 0%Wednesda

y

3 20%

Thursday 2 13%

Friday 2 13%

Saturday 1 7%

15 100%

Time Period # % per Allocation

0000-0359 0 0%

0400-0759 1 7%

0800-1159 5 33%1200-1559 3 20%

1600-1959 1 7%

2000-2359 5 33%

15 100%

Method # % of total

0 0%Force Door 2 13%

Force Window 0 0%

Cut Hole in Fence 0 0%

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Monthly Crime Analysis for September 2012

Burglary

Tract Case # Street

Date

From

Time

From

Date

To

Time

ToA1 120912113601 STONEGREEN LN 9/9/12 1600 9/12/12 1136

A2 120923112200 WEATHERLY WAY 9/23/12 1121 9/23/12 1122

A5 120905231001 CASHION RD 9/5/12 1300 9/5/12 1530

B1 120913220903 N CHURCH ST 9/13/12 0000 9/13/12 2209

B1 120919145403 STATESVILLE RD 9/19/12 0500 9/19/12 1430

B1 120925121002 STATESVILLE RD 9/17/12 0700 9/24/12 2030

B1 120929205200 STATESVILLE RD 9/29/2012 2020 9/29/2012 2050

B2 120902190301 STATESVILLE RD 9/2/12 1201 9/2/12 1850

B3 120902193902 QUAIL CROSSING 9/1/12 2100 9/2/12 0900

B3 120924090000 COLONIAL PARK DR 9/23/12 1730 9/24/12 0530

C2 120909205500 GIBRALTER DR 9/9/12 1300 9/9/12 2055C5 120927170501 TANNERS CREEK DR 9/27/12 0840 9/27/12 1330

D2 120903223501

OLD STATESVILLE

RD 9/3/12 2230 9/3/12 2235

D5 120921081400 SALEM RIDGE RD 9/21/12 0000 9/21/12 0800

D5 120921081401 BRANCHSIDE LN 9/21/12 0000 9/21/12 0800

Incidents per Month 2011 Compared to 2012

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September and October Burglaries Over Time

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

#

ofIncide

nts

September

October

Comparison of # of Incidents in September to # of Incidents in October over time

Month Year # of

Incidents

% Change

September 2011 20

September 2012 15 -25%

Month Year # of Incidents Month Year # of Incidents Mean # Change by Month

September 2006 19 October 2006 15 17 -4

September 2007 28 October 2007 17 22.5 -11

September 2008 31 October 2008 21 26 -10

September 2009 19 October 2009 18 18.5 -1

September 2010 20 October 2010 25 22.5 +5

September 2011 20 October 2011 13 16.5 -7

Standard Deviation from Mean in incidents # for 2006-2011 +-3.7 Standard Deviation for change in incidents

# b/w Sept and Oct:

+-6.0