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    HHUNTERSVILLE PPOLICE

    DDEPARTMENT 9630 Julian Clark Ave P.O. Box 664 Huntersville, N.C.

    28070

    (704) 464-5400 Fax (704) 947-9200Philip K. Potter, CLEE

    Chief of Police

    MONTHLY CRIME BULLETIN

    Burglary

    November 2012

    Activity Summary:

    There were twenty-seven(27) burglaries reported in November 2012. There were thirteen(13) burglaries

    reported during the same timeframe in 2011. This is a 108% increase from 2011 to 2012.

    Nineteen (19), or70%, of theincidents involved residentiallocations.

    Seventeen (17) incidents, or63%, involved forced entry.

    Seven (7) incidents,or26%, were discovered on a Tuesday.

    Six (6) incidents, or22%, were discovered between the hours of2000 2359.

    Eleven (11) incidents are openfor further investigation, eleven (11) have been closed with leads

    exhausted, four (4) have been closed due to victim refusal to cooperate and one (1) has been closed by

    arrest.

    Historically, HPD has an average of 22 burglaries during the month of November with a current threshold of 13 to 31.

    This November, we were within thethreshold with 27 reported burglaries.

    Forecast for December:The average number of burglaries for the month of December is 21 plus or minus 11. By the end of December, thereis a 68% chance HPD will have received between 10 and 32 reported burglaries.

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    27Burglaries Reported in November 2012

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    Temporal Analysis

    # of Incident/Day at Found Time Crimes Found by 4hr Intervals

    Modus Operandi Analysis

    Forced or Non-forced Entries Method of Entry

    Entry Type # % of total

    Forced 17 63%

    Unforced 10 37%Unknown 0 0%

    27 100%

    Day # % Total

    Sunday 3 11%

    Monday 4 15%

    Tuesday 7 26%Wednesda

    y

    3 11%

    Thursday 1 4%

    Friday 4 15%

    Saturday 5 19%

    27 100%

    Time Period # % per Allocation

    0000-0359 4 15%

    0400-0759 4 15%

    0800-1159 4 15%1200-1559 5 19%

    1600-1959 4 15%

    2000-2359 6 22%

    27 100%

    Method # % of total

    Force Door 12 44%

    Force Window 3 11%

    Cut Hole in Fence 0 0%

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    Monthly Crime Analysis for November 2012

    Burglary

    Tract Case # Street

    Date

    From

    Time

    From

    Date

    To

    Time

    To Location

    A1 121130204200 ERIC KYLE DR 11/30/12 1515 11/30/12 2042A2 121124202901 BABE STILLWELL FARM RD 11/2/12 0700 11/2/12 0700

    A2 121124203001 DINNISTON DR 11/17/12 0900 11/24/12 2030

    A3 121119204401 CARRINGTON RIDGE DR 11/19/12 2032 11/19/12 2032

    B2 121130090701 VIXEN LN 11/30/12 0000 11/30/12 0900

    B3 121103061101 QUAIL CROSSING 11/2/12 2100 11/3/12 0605

    B3 121111180300 FIFTH ST 11/7/12 0800 11/11/12 1700

    C2 121130231500 TUSCALOOSA RD 11/30/12 2300 11/30/12 2300

    C2 121105184000 CIMMARON RD 11/5/12 0800 11/5/12 1800

    C2 121103225705 SWANSBORO LN 11/3/12 2257 11/3/12 2257

    C2 121121134306 HAMBRIGHT RD 11/16/12 2300 11/21/12 1343

    C4 121119120204 MCCOY RD 11/18/12 0430 11/18/12 1030C5 121105084902 LATTA SPRINGS CIR 11/5/12 0844 11/5/12 0849

    C5 121118150400 MOUNTAIN MAJESTY WAY 11/18/12 1430 11/18/12 1504

    D1 121113134000

    MT HOLLY-HUNTERSVILLE

    RD 11/13/12 1135 11/13/12 1320

    D3 121119102201 SERENITY ST 11/16/12 2000 11/19/12 0600

    D3 121121101503 WARFIELD AVE 11/17/12 0000 11/17/12 0000

    D3 121121105501 WARFIELD AVE 11/17/12 0000 11/17/12 0000

    D3 121115082700 HOLBROOKS RD 11/14/12 2200 11/15/12 0827

    D3 121127022300 WARFIELD AVE 11/27/12 0223 11/27/12 0223

    D3 121127100202 OLD VERMILLION DR 11/26/12 1 800 11/27/12 0000

    D3 121106154004 S CHURCH ST 11/6/12 1500 11/6/12 1540D3 121106163901 CENTRAL AVE 11/4/12 1200 11/6/12 1615

    D3 121106164202 DELLWOOD DR 11/6/12 0620 11/6/12 1630

    D3 121120110701 WHISPERING PINES LN 9/15/12 0730 9/18/12 0730

    D3 121128205305

    HUNTERSVILLE-CONCORD

    RD 11/28/12 1545 11/28/12 2030

    Incidents per Month 2011 Compared to 2012

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    November and December Burglaries Over Time

    0

    5

    10

    15

    20

    25

    30

    35

    2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

    #

    ofIncide

    nts

    November

    December

    Comparison of # of Incidents in November to # of Incidents in December over time

    Month Year # of

    Incidents

    % Change

    November 2011 13

    November 2012 27 108%

    Month Year # of Incidents Month Year # of Incidents Mean # Change by Month

    November 2006 29 December 2006 28 28.5 -1

    November 2007 22 December 2007 29 25.5 +7

    November 2008 19 December 2008 16 17.5 -3

    November 2009 18 December 2009 8 13 -10

    November 2010 15 December 2010 21 18 +6

    November 2011 13 December 2011 12 12.5 -1

    Standard Deviation from Mean in incidents # for 2006-2011 +-6.5 Standard Deviation for change in

    incidents # b/w Nov and Dec:

    +-6.2