PT EXCELCOMINDO PRATAMA Tbk. (XL) Q1 2007 Results ......BTS 2G BTS 3G 7,871 1,491 2,357 4,324 4,886...

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1 PT EXCELCOMINDO PRATAMA Tbk. (XL) Q1 2007 Results Presentation April 2007 PT EXCELCOMINDO PRATAMA Tbk. (XL) Q1 2007 Results Presentation April 2007

Transcript of PT EXCELCOMINDO PRATAMA Tbk. (XL) Q1 2007 Results ......BTS 2G BTS 3G 7,871 1,491 2,357 4,324 4,886...

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    PT EXCELCOMINDO PRATAMA Tbk. (XL)

    Q1 2007 Results PresentationApril 2007

    PT EXCELCOMINDO PRATAMA Tbk. (XL)

    Q1 2007 Results PresentationApril 2007

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    Accomplishments

    XL - OverviewIndonesian Market

    Financial performance

    XL Focus

  • 3

    ���� � �����

    Brief overview

    * Through Indocel Holding Sdn Bhd which is 100% owned by TM** Through PT Rajawali Corpora

    *** Will be acquired by TMIL, estimated to be completed in Q2 07

    16.0%

    TM*

    59.6%

    16.8%

    Rajawali**

    7.4%

    Public

    16.8%

    7.4%

    Rajawali**

    Khazanah

    16.8%AIF***

    7.4%

    16.0%

    0.2 %

    ������������������������������������

    �����������������

    �����������������������������������

    � Started commercial operation in October 1996� Third largest mobile operator in Indonesia� GSM 900/1800/3G services� Only operator with own extensive backbone in Java,

    Sumatra, Sulawesi and Kalimantan� Listed on JSX since September 2005. Current market

    capitalization of c. US$1.7bn� Telekom Malaysia (“TM”) is the majority shareholder

    with a 59.6% stake� Khazanah Nasional is the second largest shareholder

    with a 16.8% stake

    Shareholding structure as of 31 March 2007

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    Accomplishments

    XL - Overview

    Indonesian Market

    Financial performance

    XL Focus

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    916 1,066 2,2213,669

    6,51911,400

    18,915

    31,997

    51,688

    68,500

    88,000

    105,000

    121,000

    136,000

    ���������� ������������

    Industry subscriber growth

    Source: Various research reports and XL’s estimates

    Market Share of Subscribers

    � Indonesian mobile market still offers significant growth potential withestimated penetration rate of only 28% as at 31 December 2006

    � Prepaid dominates the market with about 96% share� Three GSM operators (Telkomsel 51%*, Indosat 24%*, XL 14% as at

    31 December 2006) dominate the mobile industry

    � Competition also comes from FWA and CDMA operators which offer limited coverage at lower price

    � New foreign operators (Maxis and Hutchison) enter the 3G business and may increase competition landscape. Hutch has launched its service in Mar 07, Maxis not yet.

    * Published Report** Consists of Telkom Flexi, Mobile 8, Bakrie Telecom, StarOne, & Natrindo

    51%

    24%

    14%

    11%

    XL

    Others

    Telkomsel

    Indosat *

    *

    **

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    � The new interconnection regulation (cost based vs revenue share) has been implemented since 1 January 2007.

    � Government plans to tender USO projects in 2007.

    � Regulator plans to set minimum floor price for voice service. The Government has issued the Minister Decree (KM No. 12/02/2006), but has not issued the detailed operational regulation.

    � Government has issued the Ministerial Decree that regulates maximum retail tariff for leased lines. The Decree is expected to be effective in 2H 2007.

    � Industry is waiting for the Government action to issue a new IDD license this year and BWA license in the near future.

    ���������� ����������������������

    Regulations:

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    Accomplishments

    XL - Overview

    Indonesian Market

    Financial performance

    XL Focus

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    2,9083,743

    6,802

    9,1417,973

    9,653

    447

    248

    387

    176

    48

    36

    2003 2004 2005 2006 1Q06 1Q07

    Prepaid Postpaid

    8,221

    2,944

    3,791

    6,979

    9,52810,100

    2,6923,323

    4,301

    6,466

    1,2871,763

    2003 2004 2005 2006 Q1-06 Q1-07

    1,4491,626

    1,735

    2,554

    572759

    2003 2004 2005 2006 Q1-06 Q1-07

    � �� ��������������������� !

    EBITDA (Rp bn)

    Subscribers (‘000)

    03 -06 C

    AGR = 2

    1%

    03 - 0

    6 CAG

    R = 48

    %

    33%

    23%

    1,4912,357

    4,324

    6,2794,886

    6,851

    9811,020

    2003 2004 2005 2006 Q1-06 Q1-07

    BTS 2G BTS 3G

    7,871

    1,4912,357

    4,3244,886

    7,260

    Network build up

    Number of BTS

    Gross revenue (Rp bn)

    03 - 06

    CAGR

    = 34%

    03 - 0

    6 CAG

    R = 70

    %

    37%

    61%

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    230

    570

    1,040

    1,988

    3,284

    1,7871,261

    5,2725,758

    2,113

    2003 2004 2005 2006 Q1-07

    Java, Bali, Nusra Outside Java, Bali, Nusra

    1,491

    2,357

    4,324

    7,260

    7,871

    " �� ��#�$��������� � ������ �����%���

    &'��(����Network Coverage as of March 2007

    2003 2004 2005 2006Q1-07Q1-06 Q1-07Customers (m) 2.9 3.8 7.0 9.5 8.2 10.1 BTS 1,491 2,357 4,324 7,260 4,886 7,871

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    Accomplishments

    XL - Overview

    Indonesian Market

    Financial performance

    XL Focus

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    ���)����

    �� Drive top line growth, at least in line with market Drive top line growth, at least in line with market revenue growth, while managing efficiency and revenue growth, while managing efficiency and productivity in order to drastically improve productivity in order to drastically improve RoARoA / / RoERoE

    �� Aggressive marketing and communicationAggressive marketing and communication

    �� Significant expansion of distribution networkSignificant expansion of distribution network

    �� Expand network coverage outside Java to strengthen Expand network coverage outside Java to strengthen market positionmarket position

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    Accomplishments

    XL - Overview

    Indonesian Market

    Financial performanceXL Focus

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    37% 39% 43%46% 44% 47%

    63% 61% 57% 56%53%

    54%

    2003 2004 2005 2006 Q1 06 Q1 07

    OG Minutes IC Minutes

    1,7401,560

    1,150

    8801,120

    820

    2003 2004 2005 2006 Q1 06 Q1 07

    0.8 1.01.5

    2.9

    0.50.9

    2003 2004 2005 2006 Q1-06 Q1-07

    Outgoing MoU (bn) Outgoing MoU per subs (min)

    Ratio incoming and outgoing MoU Voice revenue per minute (Rp)

    *�������+�����

    30

    2326

    29

    21

    29

    2003 2004 2005 2006 Q1 06 Q1 07

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    ,��(��- ������. �������

    In billion Rupiah*

    2005 2006 Growth 2006 2007 GrowthGross Revenue 4,301 6,466 50% 1,287 1,763 37%Discount and COGS 1,242 1,784 44% 316 390 23%Net Revenue 3,059 4,682 53% 971 1,373 41%OPEX 1,324 2,128 61% 399 614 54%EBITDA 1,735 2,554 47% 572 759 33%EBITDA margin 40% 39% N/A 44% 43% N/ADepreciation & Amortization 1,165 1,526 31% 338 411 22%EBIT 570 1,028 80% 234 348 49%Other (Expense) / Income (883) (25) -97% 267 (108) N/AEBT (313) 1,002 N/A 501 240 -52%Net (Loss) / Income (224) 652 N/A 355 176 -50%*Any difference comes from rounding

    One year ended31 December

    Three months ended31 March

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    $����)�� ����&��������������. �������

    2.42.1

    2.9

    2.1

    2005 2006 Q1-06 Q1-07

    4.3

    6.15.6

    7.1

    2005 2006 Q1-06 Q1-07

    Total Debt/LTM EBITDA (x) EBITDA/Interest Expense (x) Total Debt/Equity (x)

    1.1 1.21.3 1.3

    2005 2006 Q1-06 Q1-07

    Cash Flow (Rp bn)

    Balance Sheet (Rp bn)

    In billion Rupiah

    2005 2006 2006 2007Cash flow from operating activities 1,833 2,861 313 583 Cash flow used in investing activities (3,133) (4,518) (1,313) (1,172) Free cash flow (1,300) (1,657) (1,000) (589)

    One year ended31 December

    Three months ended31 March

    In billion Rupiah2005 2006 2006 2007

    Total Liabilities 5,725 8,355 7,027 8,999 Equity 3,629 4,281 3,984 4,457 Total Liabilities and Equity/Assets 9,354 12,637 11,010 13,456

    31 December 31 March

    Moody'sStandard & Poor's Stable

    Foreign Currency Outlook

    Ba3 PositiveBB-

    Fitch RatingsPefindo idAA- Stable

    AA(idn) Stable

    Local Currency Outlook

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    � /�� �����#

    Further strengthen Java and expand in non Java

    Strengthen Company / brand image

    Will grow by at least 30%Revenue

    Will be comparable or slightly higher than 2006EBITDA margin

    Will likely be around 2006 levelBlended ARPU

    USD 700 mn, to add more than 3,000 BTSCapex plan

    Coverage

    Marketing